Forecasting cancellation rates for services booking revenue management using data mining

Revenue management (RM) enhances the revenues of a company by means of demand-management decisions. An RM system must take into account the possibility that a booking may be canceled, or that a booked customer may fail to show up at the time of service (no-show). We review the Passenger Name Record data mining based cancellation rate forecasting models proposed in the literature, which mainly address the no-show case. Using a real-world dataset, we illustrate how the set of relevant variables to describe cancellation behavior is very different in different stages of the booking horizon, which not only confirms the dynamic aspect of this problem, but will also help revenue managers better understand the drivers of cancellation. Finally, we examine the performance of the state-of-the-art data mining methods when applied to Passenger Name Record based cancellation rate forecasting.     

Uranium and phosphate behavior in the vadose zone of a fertilized corn field

Phosphate fertilizers contain approximately 200 mg^.kg^-1 of uranium. The uranium and phosphate can move through the vadose zone and reach groundwater. Therefore, the knowledge of the ways in which these two elements are distributed, their partition relationships and their mobility behavior is of great interest. In order to study the latter, suction cup samplers, intended to collect soil water at different depths, were installed in an experimental site in a high plain of Mexico, where corn is cultivated and phosphate fertilizers are systematically applied. It was observed that the vadose zone contains high concentrations of uranium (1-50 mg^.kg^-1) and phosphates (22-33 mg^.kg^-1), which decrease at greater depths. Uranium concentration in the soil water varies between 10 and 3 mg^.l^-1 and phosphates between 1 and 0.3 mg^.l^-1. Their evolution throughout the profile of the vadose zone is determined by the decrease in concentrations, due to the physico-chemical processes involved.     

Thermo‐oxidative degradation of HDPE as a function of its crystalline content

The composition, the thermal properties, and the kinetics of the thermo‐oxidative degradation of high‐density polyethylene (HDPE) were studied as a function of the increasing crystalline fraction, which resulted from the selective extraction of the amorphous part, through digestion by immersion in fuming nitric acid (HNO₃) for different periods of time. The chemical and thermodynamic changes in HDPE, brought about by digestion in nitric acid for different periods of time, are discussed. Changes in the chemistry and microstructure of the HDPE, as a function of acid treatment for different periods of time, were studied using infra‐red spectroscopy (FTIR), gel permeation chromatography (GPC), and thermal analysis (DSC and TGA), as well as scanning electron microscopy (SEM). These studies were carried out as a function of the extracted amorphous fraction of HDPE samples via digestion in HNO₃. These studies showed that in the first stages of the acid chemical attack, the amorphous part first undergoes a chemical modification and then dissolves into the strong acid medium. The total crystalline fraction apparently decreases during the first stages of the chemical attack and then increases as the amorphous part is extracted. TGA results show that as the selective extraction of the amorphous part occurs, there is a displacement of the thermo‐oxidative degradation toward higher temperatures. The kinetics of the thermo‐oxidative degradation as a function of the extraction of the amorphous part was followed according to the Horowitz‐Metzger method, and it was found that as the concentration of the crystalline fraction increases, the activation energy for the thermo‐oxidative degradation increases. SEM studies show that the extraction of the amorphous part does not affect the size of the crystalline lamellar thickness of HDPE. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Polym Sci Part B: Polym Phys 47: 1906–1915, 2009     

An extension of Calabi's rigidity theorem to complex submanifolds of indefinite complex space forms

The rigidity for full holomorphic isometric immersions of an indefinite Kähler manifold into an indefinite complex space form is proved. All such immersions between indefinite complex projective (and hyperbolic) spaces are founded and examples of non-congruents holomorphic isometric immersions are exposed.     

One-pot synthesis of new 6-(alkylamine)dibenzo[c,e][1,2]oxaphosphinine-6-oxides

Several new 6-(alkylamine)-6H-dibenz[c,e][1,2]oxaphosphinine-6-oxides were prepared through a one-pot reaction, starting with 2-phenylphenol, phosphorus trichloride, and a Zn catalyst, to form 6-chloro-6H-dibenz[c,e][1,2]oxaphosphine. The alkylamine derivatives were subsequently prepared through a nucleophilic substitution reaction involving aliphatic amines and H₂O₂ oxidation under soft conditions. This method has the advantages that it is a one-pot synthesis, does not require an inert atmosphere, and involves in situ catalyst formation.     

Ionization Constants of DL-2-Aminobutyric Acid and DL-Norvaline Under Hydrothermal Conditions by UV–Visible Spectroscopy

The first and second ionization constants for the amino acids DL-2-aminobutyric acid (DL-2-aminobutanoic acid) and DL-norvaline (DL-2-aminopentanoic acid) were determined under hydrothermal conditions, from 175 to 275 °C at 10 MPa, using thermally-stable colorimetric pH indicators (acridine, 4-nitrophenol and 2-naphthoic acid). The measurements were carried out by UV–visible spectroscopy using a high-temperature, high-pressure platinum flow cell with sapphire windows, which minimized the effects of thermal decomposition. The results were combined with literature values from titration calorimetry at 25–130 °C to yield an extended van’t Hoff model for the temperature dependence of the ionization constants for the carboxylic acid and ammonium groups, \( K_{\text{a,COOH}} \) and \( K_{{{\text{a,NH}}_{3}^{ + } }} \), over the entire temperature range. The experimental results for the second ionization constant \( K_{{{\text{a,NH}}_{3}^{ + } }} \) at elevated temperatures are consistent with the predictions from the Yezdimer–Sedlbauer–Wood functional group additivity model, but for the first ionization constant \( K_{\text{a,COOH}} \) are not. This suggests that the group contribution parameters for the standard partial molar heat capacity of the carboxylic acid group are in error, or that nearest neighbor interactions between the –COOH and \( - {\text{NH}}_{3}^{ + } \) groups cause a breakdown in the functional group additivity relationship.