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51.
On effectiveness of wiretap programs in mapping social networks   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Snowball sampling methods are known to be a biased toward highly connected actors and consequently produce core-periphery networks when these may not necessarily be present. This leads to a biased perception of the underlying network which can have negative policy consequences, as in the identification of terrorist networks. When snowball sampling is used, the potential overload of the information collection system is a distinct problem due to the exponential growth of the number of suspects to be monitored. In this paper, we focus on evaluating the effectiveness of a wiretapping program in terms of its ability to map the rapidly evolving networks within a covert organization. By running a series of simulation-based experiments, we are able to evaluate a broad spectrum of information gathering regimes based on a consistent set of criteria. We conclude by proposing a set of information gathering programs that achieve higher effectiveness then snowball sampling, and at a lower cost. Maksim Tsvetovat is an Assistant Professor at the Center for Social Complexity and department of Public and International Affairs at George Mason University, Fairfax, VA. He received his Ph.D. from the Computation, Organizations and Society program in the School of Computer Science, Carnegie Mellon University. His dissertation was centered on use of artificial intelligence techniques such as planning and semantic reasoning as a means of studying behavior and evolution of complex social networks, such as these of terrorist organizations. He received a Master of Science degree from University of Minnesota with a specialization in Artificial Intelligence and design of Multi-Agent Systems, and has also extensively studied organization theory and social science research methods. His research is centered on building high-fidelity simulations of social and organizational systems using concepts from distributed artificial intelligence and multi-agent systems. Other projects focus on social network analysis for mapping of internal corporate networks or study of covert and terrorist orgnaizations. Maksim’s vita and publications can be found on Kathleen M. Carley is a professor in the School of Computer Science at Carnegie Mellon University and the director of the center for Compuational Analysis of Social and Organizational Systems (CASOS) which has over 25 members, both students and research staff. Her research combines cognitive science, social networks and computer science to address complex social and organizational problems. Her specific research areas are dynamic network analysis, computational social and organization theory, adaptation and evolution, text mining, and the impact of telecommunication technologies and policy on communication, information diffusion, disease contagion and response within and among groups particularly in disaster or crisis situations. She and her lab have developed infrastructure tools for analyzing large scale dynamic networks and various multi-agent simulation systems. The infrastructure tools include ORA, a statistical toolkit for analyzing and visualizing multi-dimensional networks. ORA results are organized into reports that meet various needs such as the management report, the mental model report, and the intelligence report. Another tool is AutoMap, a text-mining systems for extracting semantic networks from texts and then cross-classifying them using an organizational ontology into the underlying social, knowledge, resource and task networks. Her simulation models meld multi-agent technology with network dynamics and empirical data. Three of the large-scale multi-agent network models she and the CASOS group have developed in the counter-terrorism area are: BioWar a city-scale dynamic-network agent-based model for understanding the spread of disease and illness due to natural epidemics, chemical spills, and weaponized biological attacks; DyNet a model of the change in covert networks, naturally and in response to attacks, under varying levels of information uncertainty; and RTE a model for examining state failure and the escalation of conflict at the city, state, nation, and international as changes occur within and among red, blue, and green forces. She is the founding co-editor with Al. Wallace of the journal Computational Organization Theory and has co-edited several books and written over 100 articles in the computational organizations and dynamic network area. Her publications can be found at: http://www.casos.cs.cmu.edu/bios/carley/publications.php  相似文献   
52.
In this paper we examine when the order of a pole of Igusa's local zeta function associated to a polynomial is smaller than ``expected'. We carry out this study in the case that is sufficiently non-degenerate with respect to its Newton polyhedron , and the main result of this paper is a proof of one of the conjectures of Denef and Sargos. Our technique consists in reducing our question about the polynomial to the same question about polynomials , where are faces of depending on the examined pole and is obtained from by throwing away all monomials of whose exponents do not belong to . Secondly, we obtain a formula for Igusa's local zeta function associated to a polynomial , with unstable, which shows that, in this case, the upperbound for the order of the examined pole is obviously smaller than ``expected'.

  相似文献   

53.
The purpose of this study was to determine if endoscopic and stroboscopic parameters of voice were normal between attacks of paradoxical vocal fold dysfunction (PVFD). Fifty adults (38 females, 12 males) and 54 adult controls (40 females, 14 males) were examined via endoscopy with and without stroboscopy. Endoscopy indicated paradoxical adduction of the folds during the respiratory cycle of all 50 participants with PVFD, although they were asymptomatic. Atypical laryngeal configurations were observed including abnormality of the anterior-posterior dimension and ventricular fold medialization in both groups of subjects. Stroboscopy demonstrated abnormalities including unstable zero phase, decreased amplitude of vibration, decreased mucosal waves, and phase asymmetry primarily for the PVFD subjects alone. Results indicate that persons with PVFD demonstrate subtle laryngeal abnormality endoscopically and stroboscopically when dyspnea is not reported. This supports the hypothesis that PVFD is not episodic but exists as a continuum of laryngeal instability that may, due to various precipitating factors, be exacerbated to breathing attacks.  相似文献   
54.
55.
A new competitive electrochemiluminescence-based immunoassay for the type-2 brevetoxins in oyster extracts was developed. The assay was verified by spiking known amounts of PbTx-3 into 80% methanol extracts of Gulf Coast oysters. We also provide preliminary data demonstrating that 100% acetone extracts, aqueous homogenates, and the clinical matrixes urine and serum can also be analyzed without significant matrix interferences. The assay offers the advantages of speed ( 2 h analysis time); simplicity (only 2 additions, one incubation period, and no wash steps before analysis); low limit of quantitation (conservatively, 50 pg/mL = 1 ng/g tissue equivalents); and a stable, nonradioactive label. Due to the variety of brevetoxin metabolites present and the lack of certified reference standards for liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry confirmation, a true validation of brevetoxins in shellfish extracts is not possible at this time. However, our assay correlated well with another brevetoxin immunoassay currently in use in the United States. We believe this assay could be useful as a regulatory screening tool and could support pharmacokinetic studies in animals and clinical evaluation of neurotoxic shellfish poisoning victims.  相似文献   
56.

Abstract  

The single-crystal X-ray structures and in vivo activities of three aryl acetylenic inhibitors of cytochromes P450 1A1, 1A2, 2A6, and 2B1 have been determined and are reported herein. These are 1-ethynylpyrene, 1-propynylpyrene, and 4-propynylpyrene. To investigate electronic influences on the mechanism of enzyme inhibition, the experimental electron density distribution of 1-ethynylpyrene has been determined using low-temperature X-ray diffraction measurements, and the resulting net atomic charges compared with various theoretical calculations. A total of 82,390 reflections were measured with Mo Kα radiation to a (sinθ/λ)max = 0.985 Å−1. Averaging symmetry equivalent reflections yielded 8,889 unique reflections. A least squares refinement procedure was used in which multipole parameters were added to describe the distortions of the atomic electron distributions from spherical symmetry. A map of the model electron density distribution of 1-ethynylpyrene was obtained. Net atomic charges calculated from refined monopole population parameters yielded charges that showed that the terminal acetylenic carbon atom (C18) is more negative than the internal carbon (C17). Net atomic charges calculated by ab initio, density functional theory, and semi-empirical methods are consistent with this trend suggesting that the terminal acetylenic carbon atom is more likely to be the site of oxidation. This is consistent with the inhibition mechanism pathway that results in the formation of a reactive ketene intermediate. This is also consistent with assay results that determined that 1-ethynylpyrene acts as a mechanism-based inhibitor of P450s 1A1 and 1A2 and as a reversible inhibitor of P450 2B1. Crystallographic data: 1-ethynylpyrene, C18H10, P21/c, a = 14.571(2) Å, b = 3.9094(5) Å, c = 20.242(3) Å, β = 105.042(2)°, V = 1,113.5(2) Å3; 1-propynylpyrene, C19H12, P21/n, a = 8.970(2) Å, b = 10.136(1) Å, c = 14.080(3) Å, β = 99.77(2)°, V = 1,261.5(4) Å3; 4-propynylpyrene, C19H12, Pbca, a = 9.904(1) Å, b = 13.174(2) Å, c = 19.401(1) Å, V = 2,531.4(5) Å3.  相似文献   
57.
With lower limits of detection and increased stability constantly being demanded of biosensor devices, characterisation of the constituent layers that make up the sensor has become unavoidable, since this is inextricably linked with its performance. This work describe the optimisation and characterisation of two aspects of sensor performance: a conductive polymer layer (polyaniline) and the immobilised protein layer. The influence of the thickness of polyaniline films deposited electrochemically onto screen-printed electrode surfaces is described in this work in terms of its influence on a variety of amperometric sensor performance characteristics: time to reach steady state, charging current, catalytic current, background current and signal/background ratios. The influence of polymer film thickness on the conductivity and morphology of finished films is also presented.

An electrostatic method of protein immobilisation is used in this work and scanning electron microscopy in conjunction with gold-labelled antibodies and back-scattered electron detection has enabled the direct visualisation of individual groups of proteins on the sensor surface. Such information can provide an insight into the performance of sensors under influence of increasing protein concentrations.  相似文献   

58.
A highly parallelizable means of positioning or sorting particles in a size-selective manner into arrays is demonstrated based on the placement of particle suspensions on surfaces of patterned wettability and the subsequent evaporation of the suspending solvent. The method relies on creating lyophilic features of dimensions similar to or greater than those of the particles to be arrayed and smaller than those of the particles to be excluded. As the contact line recedes, it fills lyophilic features, creating discrete fluid elements that mimic the underlying lyophilic pattern. The fluid elements have aspect ratios dictated by the contact angle. By adjusting the size of the lyophilic features, the heights of the fluid elements can be adjusted to sequester or exclude particles based on their diameter. The principal interest of this work is its broad applicability. No prior understanding of the particle properties is needed except for the size of the particle and its ability to be suspended in a solvent.  相似文献   
59.
[reaction: see text] Pentacyclic triterpenoid natural product correolide (1) was converted to ketone 2 via ozonolysis. An unusual fragmentation reaction of ketone 2 with LiCl was discovered. This reaction is general among several similar substrates examined and appears to be specific for the correolide-type E-ring structure (ketone). A mechanism involving a retroaldol reaction, a nucleophilic opening of the epoxide, and a subsequent acetoxy elimination reaction was proposed.  相似文献   
60.
Abstract

A method was developed and validated to measure octamethylcyclotetrasiloxane (D4)? quantitatively by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS) at low level in extracts of several biological matrices that include plasma, liver, lung, feces and fat from rats. The key to the successful determination lay in the use of extracts dried with anhydrous magnesium sulfate. This was necessary in view of the propensity of the methyl siloxane based GC-stationary phase to generate D4 by its reaction with water present in the extracts. To enable quantiiation of D4 at parts per billion (μg/L) levels, the base ion m/z 281 resulting from the loss of a methyl group from the parent molecule was selected for monitoring by SIM mode in GC-MS. The recovery of D4 from any of the biological matrices was determined to be greater than 90% in three extractions. The D4 response for the standards in GC-MS was linear (R2 > 0.9900) and reproducible at concentrations ranging from 1—16,000 ng D4/g solvent. Precision was less than 5%.  相似文献   
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