On the number of securities which constitute an efficient portfolio

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the relationship between the number of securities which constitute an efficient portfolio as defined by the standard mean-variance portfolio selection model and the number of periods used to compute the efficient portfolio. It is shown that the number of data gives the upper bound of the number of securities which constitute an efficient portfolio, when each efficient portfolio is unique for a given expected return. Empirical tests based on actual return data show that this upper bound is very tight when the number of data is small. However, when more data are used, the upper bound becomes looser. This result is incompatible with the market efficiency. These empirical tests also indicate that a very tight upper bound often causes a degenerate case ensuring zero-variance portfolios.     

共同基金和无风险资产投资的最优策略

利用均值-方差模型,分析了非线性交易成本下的共同基金与无风险资产投资组合的有效边界和在一般的效用函数下讨论了投资者的最优投资策略.     

证券组合选择的有效子集

本文引进证券组合选择的有效子集概念。有效子集可取代原有的基本证券集来生成Markowitz有效组合前沿。本文给出一个证券集的子集是全集的有效子集的充要条件。在理论上，这是一条新的k-基金分离定理；在实际应用上，这有可能用来减少计算有效组合前沿的计算量。     

Computing efficient frontiers using estimated parameters

The mean-variance model for portfolio selection requires estimates of many parameters. This paper investigates the effect of errors in parameter estimates on the results of mean-variance analysis. Using a small amount of historical data to estimate parameters exposes the model to estimation errors. However, using a long time horizon to estimate parametes increasers the possibility of nonstationarity in the parameters. This paper investigates the tradeoff between estimation error and stationarity. A simulation study shows that the effects of estimation error can be surprisingly large. The magnitude of the errors increase with the number of securities in the analysis. Due to the error maximization property of mean-variance analysis, estimates of portfolio performance are optimistically biased predictors of actual portfolio performance. It is important for users of mean-variance analysis to recognize and correct for this phenomenon in order to develop more realistic expectations of the future performance of a portfolio. This paper suggests a method for adjusting for the bias. A statistical test is proposed to check for nonstationarity in historical data.     

不允许卖空证券组合选择的有效子集

证券组合选择的有效子集是指它可取代原有的基本证券集来生成Markowits有效组合前沿.本文给出一个证券集的子集在不允许卖空的条件下是全集的有效子集的充要条件。     

基于基准过程的动态均值-方差最优投资组合选择

利用动态规划方法研究了基于基准过程的动态均值-方差最优投资组合问题,证明了识别定理,得到了剩余过程的均方最优投资策略和有效前沿.     

STUDY ON THE INTERRELATION OF EFFICIENT PORTFOLIOS AND THEIR FRONTIER UNDER t DISTRIBUTION AND VARIOUS RISK MEASUREgS

In order to study the effect of different risk measures on the efficient portfolios （fron- tier） while properly describing the characteristic of return distributions in the stock market, it is assumed in this paper that the joint return distribution of risky assets obeys the multivariate t-distribution. Under the mean-risk analysis framework, the interrelationship of efficient portfolios （frontier） based on risk measures such as variance, value at risk （VaR）, and expected shortfall （ES） is analyzed and compared. It is proved that, when there is no riskless asset in the market, the efficient frontier under VaR or ES is a subset of the mean-variance （MV） efficient frontier, and the efficient portfolios under VaR or ES are also MV efficient; when there exists a riskless asset in the market, a portfolio is MV efficient if and only if it is a VaR or ES efficient portfolio. The obtained results generalize relevant conclusions about investment theory, and can better guide investors to make their investment decision.     

期望和残差收益估计不可靠的鲁棒模型

投资优化问题的最优策略会随着输入参数的扰动而出现敏感的变化,针对投资优化问题中出现的随机变量的参数估计不可靠的情况,本文引入不确定集合描述随机收益的有关矩信息,提出了投资优化问题的一个鲁棒性模型,并采用数学规划的理论和方法,给出了该模型的最优策略和有效前沿的解析表示。本方法能够为采用保守策略的、对不确定性厌恶的投资者提供一种最优的投资策略。     

全时段最优套期保值模型及实证研

针对传统套期保值模型只考虑套期保值资产在套期保值期末的风险及未能充分利用样本数据所提供的信息的问题,本文提出了一类同时考虑套期保值期内不同期限风险的全时段最优套期保值比率计算模型.全时段套期保值模型通过最小化套期保值资产在套期保值期内不同期限的风险将投资者面临的风险在整个套期保值期内稳定保持在一个较低的水平,并更充分的利用了资产历史价格样本数据所提供的信息.本文基于沪深300指数及其仿真股指期货的历史价格数据,对传统形式的三种套期保值模型与本文提出的三种全时段套期保值模型的套期保值效果进行了实证分析和比较,并使用GARCH模型比较分析了这些模型套期保值的动态效果,结果表明三种全时段模型的套期保值效果都要优于相应的传统模型,能有效地缓解提前终止套期保值时投资者所面临的风险.     

选择资产组合的EP-MV模型及最优解的解析表示

本文提出了存在无风险资产贷出或借入时的有效投资组合模型(EP-MV模型)，研究了不允许卖空(投资比例非负)约束条件下，EP-MV优化模型的算法，给出了有效投资组合投资比例的解析表示．在资产收益由多因素模型产生的基础上，得到了资产与有效投资组合的期望收益及风险的估计，便于实际应用．     

借贷利率限制下资产-负债管理问题的均值-方差模型

将负债过程和借款利率限制引入投资组合优化问题中,并建立该问题的均值-方差模型.通过引入拉格朗日函数并应用拉格朗日对偶定理得到一个等价的新的优化模型,然后应用动态规划原理得到了最优投资策略和有效前沿的解析表达式.算例解释了所得结论.     

含交易费用的证券组合投资的多目标规划模型

以Ｍａｒｋｏｗ ｉｔｚ证券组合投资理论为基础,采用相对偏好参数,建立了含交易费用的证券组合的多目标规划模型,并给出了它的解法及有效边界的确定方法     

均值-方差准则下的多期最优保险投资(英文)

近年来,最优保险投资问题吸引了越来越多的注意。一般这个问题是在连续时间框架下来研究的。本文针对这一问题建立离散时间的最优控制模型。应用动态规划原理求解模型对应的近似问题,得到了最优投资策略和投资有效边界的解析表达形式。本文得到的最优投资策略和投资有效边界均依赖于承保参数。通过数值例子分析了承保参数对最优投资策略和有效边界的影响。     

具指数赋权指标的证券投资多目标线性规划模型

本文提出证券投资决策的指数赋权指标体系．在该指标体系中,建立风险证券组合投资决策和存在无风险证券或无风险贷款时证券组合投资决策的多目标线性规划模型．研究了有效风险证券组合集和有效证券组合集的结构和相互关系,市场证券组合以及证券均衡市场价格和投资风险分析．     

允许卖空的资本市场中存在非负均衡价格向量的充要条件

For the capital market satisfying standard assumptions that are widely adopted in the equilibrium analysis,a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence and uniqueness of a nonnegative equilibrium price vector that clears the mean-variance capital market with short sale allowed is derived. Moreover, the given explicit formula for the equilibrium price shows clearly the relationship between prices of assets and statistical properties of the rate of return on assets, the desired rates of return of individual investors as well as other economic quantities.The economic implication of the derived condition is briefly discussed. These results improve the available results about the equilibrium analysis of the mean-variance market.     

New reformulations for probabilistically constrained quadratic programs

The mixed integer quadratic programming (MIQP) reformulation by Zheng, Sun, Li, and Cui (2012) for probabilistically constrained quadratic programs (PCQP) recently published in EJOR significantly dominates the standard MIQP formulation ( and ) which has been widely adopted in the literature. Stimulated by the dimensionality problem which Zheng et al. (2012) acknowledge themselves for their reformulations, we study further the characteristics of PCQP and develop new MIQP reformulations for PCQP with fewer variables and constraints. The results from numerical tests demonstrate that our reformulations clearly outperform the state-of-the-art MIQP in Zheng et al. (2012).     

有界变量线性规划的基线算法

本文对有界变量线性规划的算法进行了研究，得到了一种解此问题的新算法。文中根据基线算法的算法原理，通过对BL表的旋转，在各变量满足界约束的条件下，使目标函数值不断增大，直至得到有界硬上界，从而得到问题的最优解。文中给出了有界变量线性规划基线算法的计算步骤，并给出了一个例子。与单纯形法相比，采用基线算法解有界变量线性规划操作更简单。迭代次数少，解题速度更快。     

The cyclic Barzilai--Borwein method for unconstrained optimization

^** Email: dyh{at}lsec.cc.ac.cn^*** Email: hager{at}math.ufl.edu^**** Email: klaus.schittkowski{at}uni-bayreuth.de^***** Email: hzhang{at}math.ufl.edu In the cyclic Barzilai–Borwein (CBB) method, the sameBarzilai–Borwein (BB) stepsize is reused for m consecutiveiterations. It is proved that CBB is locally linearly convergentat a local minimizer with positive definite Hessian. Numericalevidence indicates that when m > n/2 3, where n is the problemdimension, CBB is locally superlinearly convergent. In the specialcase m = 3 and n = 2, it is proved that the convergence rateis no better than linear, in general. An implementation of theCBB method, called adaptive cyclic Barzilai–Borwein (ACBB),combines a non-monotone line search and an adaptive choice forthe cycle length m. In numerical experiments using the CUTErtest problem library, ACBB performs better than the existingBB gradient algorithm, while it is competitive with the well-knownPRP+ conjugate gradient algorithm.     

多目标规划ak-较多有效解类的有效性充分条件

在文［３］引进多目标规划问题的带双参数ａ和ｋ的ａｋ－较多有效解, 并且给出了此类解的有效性必要条件。本文在一定凸性的假设下证明了ａｋ－较多 有效解和ａｋ－弱较多有效解的几个有效性充分条件．