一个机器服务模型的可靠性分析

本文讨论了由Ｎ个同型部件和一个服务设备组成的机器服务模型，在服务设备绝对可靠，或服务设备具有指数寿命，修理工对其修理的时间为ＰＨ分布，这两种情况下求得了系统的平稳概率分布，从而求得机器系统和服务设备的稳态可靠性指标，并证明了它们的首次失效时间均服从ＰＨ分布，服务设备和修理工的忙期亦服从ＰＨ分布．     

On exhibiting inventory systems with Erlangian lifetimes under renewal demands

A continuous revies (s, S) inventory system with renewal demand in which one item is put into operation as an exhibiting piece is analyzed. The lifetime of any operating unit has Erlangian distribution, and on failure is replaced by another one from the stock and the failed item is disposed of. Replenishment of stock is instantaneous. The transient and stationary values of inventory level distribution and the mean reorder rate are obtained using the techniques of semi-regenerative processes. Decision rules for optimums andS that minimize the long-run expected cost rate are derived. The solution for a dual model with the distribution of lifetimes and inter-demand times interchanged is also given.     

A standby system with two types of repair persons

A continuously monitored one‐unit system, backed by an identical standby unit, is perfectly repaired by an in‐house repair person, if achievable within a random or deterministic patience time (DPT), or else by a visiting expert, who repairs one or all failed units before leaving. We study four models in terms of the limiting availability and limiting profit per unit time, using semi‐Markov processes, when all distributions are exponential. We show that a DPT is preferable to a random patience time, and we characterize conditions under which the expert should repair multiple failed units (rather than only one failed unit) during each visit. We also extend the method when life‐ and repair times are non‐exponential. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

服务台可修的GI/PH/1排队系统

本文讨论服务台可修的GI/PH/1排队,其中服务台寿命和修复时间也是PH变量。首先证明系统在稳态下可转化为一个等价的经典GI/PH/1模型,然后给出系统的各种稳态指标。此外,对修复后重新服务和累积服务两种不同模型,我们给出了统一的处理。     

Stationary self-similar random fields on the integer lattice

We establish several methods for constructing stationary self-similar random fields (ssf's) on the integer lattice by “random wavelet expansion”, which stands for representation of random fields by sums of randomly scaled and translated functions, or more generally, by composites of random functionals and deterministic wavelet expansion. To construct ssf's on the integer lattice, random wavelet expansion is applied to the indicator functions of unit cubes at integer sites. We demonstrate how to construct Gaussian, symmetric stable, and Poisson ssf's by random wavelet expansion with mother wavelets having compact support or non-compact support. We also generalize ssf's to stationary random fields which are invariant under independent scaling along different coordinate axes. Finally, we investigate the construction of ssf's by combining wavelet expansion and multiple stochastic integrals.     

On a scheme for predictive maintenance

An operating system contains a replaceable unit whose wear (i.e. accumulated amount of damage) can be observed over time. When the wear reaches a certain level the unit is no longer able to function satisfactorily and needs to be replaced. Although units are produced to the same nominal specification there is still some random variation among them in their wear rates. This will be expressed by incorporating a random effect, or frailty term, in the model for individual degradation. There are costs for observing the wear on a unit, for replacing a unit, and for allowing a unit to fail before being replaced. When the last cost is comparatively large replacement before failure is preferable. For some standard examples of wear processes the lifetime distributions are obtained and the cost consequences of particular maintenance schemes are investigated.     

Wavelet estimation of conditional density with truncated, censored and dependent data

In this paper we define a new nonlinear wavelet-based estimator of conditional density function for a random left truncation and right censoring model. We provide an asymptotic expression for the mean integrated squared error (MISE) of the estimator. It is assumed that the lifetime observations form a stationary α-mixing sequence. Unlike for kernel estimators, the MISE expression of the wavelet-based estimators is not affected by the presence of discontinuities in the curves. Also, asymptotic normality of the estimator is established.     

A single server model for packetwise transmission of messages

We study a discrete-time single-server queue where batches of messages arrive. Each message consists of a geometrically distributed number of packets which do not arrive at the same instant and which require a time unit as service time. We consider the cases of constant spacing and geometrically distributed (random) spacing between consecutive packets of a message. For the probability generating function of the stationary distribution of the embedded Markov chain we derive in both cases a functional equation which involves a boundary function. The stationary mean number of packets in the system can be computed via this boundary function without solving the functional equation. In case of constant (random) spacing the boundary function can be determined by solving a finite-dimensional (an infinite-dimensional) system of linear equations numerically. For Poisson- and Bernoulli-distributed arrivals of messages numerical results are presented. Further, limiting results are derived.     

On random age and remaining lifetime for populations of items

We consider items that are incepted into operation having already a random (initial) age and define the corresponding remaining lifetime. We show that these lifetimes are identically distributed when the age distribution is equal to the equilibrium distribution of the renewal theory. Then we develop the population studies approach to the problem and generalize the setting in terms of stationary and stable populations of items. We obtain new stochastic comparisons for the corresponding population ages and remaining lifetimes that can be useful in applications. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Stationary Random Measures on Homogeneous Spaces

This paper discusses stationary random measures on a homogeneous space and their Palm measures. It starts with such fundamental properties as the refined Campbell theorem and then proceeds to consider invariant transports, invariance and transport properties of Palm measures, and stationary partitions. A key tool is a transformation of random measures that permits the extension of recent results for stationary random measures on a group to the more general case of stationary random measures on a homogeneous state space.     

Stationary states of random Hamiltonian systems

Summary We investigate the ergodic properties of Hamiltonian systems subjected to local random, energy conserving perturbations. We prove for some cases, e.g. anharmonic crystals with random nearest neighbor exchanges (or independent random reflections) of velocities, that all translation invariant stationary states with finite entropy per unit volume are microcanonical Gibbs states. The results can be utilized in proving hydrodynamic behavior of such systems.Hill Center for Mathematical Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ 08903, USAJF was supported in parts by Japan Society for Promotion of Science (JSPS) and by NSF Grant DMR89-18903     

Stratified Monte Carlo Quadrature for Continuous Random Fields

We consider the problem of numerical approximation of integrals of random fields over a unit hypercube. We use a stratified Monte Carlo quadrature and measure the approximation performance by the mean squared error. The quadrature is defined by a finite number of stratified randomly chosen observations with the partition generated by a rectangular grid (or design). We study the class of locally stationary random fields whose local behaviour is like a fractional Brownian field in the mean square sense and find the asymptotic approximation accuracy for a sequence of designs for large number of the observations. For the Hölder class of random functions, we provide an upper bound for the approximation error. Additionally, for a certain class of isotropic random functions with an isolated singularity at the origin, we construct a sequence of designs eliminating the effect of the singularity point.     

Stochastic properties of two general versions of the residual lifetime at random times

This paper studies 2 different versions of the general residual lifetime at random times in the context of statistical dependence between the system lifetime and the random time. We prove that the class of residual lifetimes with a semiindependent random age is equivalent to the class of residual lifetimes at independent random times. Additionally, we conduct stochastic comparisons of the 2 versions of the general residual lifetime at random times. Several numerical examples are presented to illustrate the ordering results.     

Spectral representation of intrinsically stationary fields

Transferring the concept of processes with weakly stationary increments to arbitrary locally compact Abelian groups two closely related notions arise: while intrinsically stationary random fields can be seen as a direct analog of intrinsic random functions of order k$k$ applied by G. Matheron in geostatistics, stationarizable random fields arise as a natural analog of definitizable functions in harmonic analysis. We concentrate on intrinsically stationary random fields related to finite-dimensional, translation-invariant function spaces, establish an orthogonal decomposition of random fields of this type, and present spectral representations for intrinsically stationary as well as stationarizable random fields using orthogonal vector measures.     

Some Simple Remarks on an Autoregressive Scheme and an Implied Problem

Nonminimum phase autoregressive schemes are considered in the context of the problem of determining a stationary process that satisfies a possibly nonlinear autoregressive system of equations. It's noted that in most solutions there is an implicit assumption that the independent random variables generating the process are independent of the past of the process. This is not true of the non-minimum phase schemes. A simple scheme that has a characteristic polynomial with roots inside and outside the unit disc in the complex plane is discussed.     

Weak ergodicity and products of random matrices

A representation for a weakly ergodic sequence of (nonstochastic) matrices allows products of nonnegative matrices which eventually become strictly positive to be expressed via products of some associated stochastic matrices and ratios of values of a certain function. This formula used in a random setup leads to a representation for the logarithm of a random matrix product. If the sequence of random matrices is in addition stationary then automatically almost all sequences are weakly ergodic, and the representation is expressed in terms of an one-dimensional stationary process. This permits properties of products of random matrices to be deduced from the latter. Second moment assumptions guarantee that central limit theorems and laws of the iterated logarithm hold for the random matrix products if and only if they hold for the corresponding stationary process. Finally, a central limit theorem for some classes of weakly dependent stationary random matrices is derived doing away with the restriction of boundedness of the ratios of colum entries assumed by previous studies. Extensions beyond stationarity are discussed.     

A general model for consecutive-k-out-of-n: F repairable system with exponential distribution and (k−1)-step Markov dependence

In this paper, a general model for consecutive-k-out-of-n: F repairable system with exponential distribution and (k−1)-step Markov dependence is introduced. The lifetime of a component is an exponential random variable, its parameter depends on the number of consecutive failed components that precede the component. The repair time is also an exponential random variable. A priority repair rule on the basis of the system failure risk is adopted. Then the transition density matrix of the system is determined. Some reliability indices, including the system availability, rate of occurrence of failures and reliability are evaluated accordingly. For the demonstration of the model and methodology, a linear system example and a circular system example are investigated.     

Optimum ordering polices with the effect of weather condition,random lead times and salvage cost

In this paper we deal with an optimum ordering policy for a one-unit system with a general lifetime, where the failed unit is scrapped without repair. A spare can only be provided after a lead time. Two kinds of orders (regular and emergency) are possible, each having a different, generally distributed lead time. Weather conditions are subject to a Markov process with two states-normal and abnormal which has a constant rate λ from normal to abnormal weather condition and μ from abnormal to normal respectively. The operational status of the unit is affected by the abnormal weather condition. The costs include downtimes, salvage, penalty, ordering costs. The optimal policy discussed is the one which maximizes the cost effectiveness, and is illustrated with a numerical example     

Construction of stationary self-similar generalized fields by random wavelet expansion

Random wavelet expansion is introduced in the study of stationary self-similar generalized random fields. It is motivated by a model of natural images, in which 2D views of objects are randomly scaled and translated because the objects are randomly distributed in the 3D space. It is demonstrated that any stationary self-similar random field defined on the dual space of a Schwartz space of smooth rapidly decreasing functions has a random wavelet expansion representation. To explicitly construct stationary self-similar random fields, random wavelet expansion representations incorporating random functionals of the following three types are considered: (1) a multiple stochastic integral over the product domain of scale and translate, (2) an iterated one, first integrating over the scale domain, and (3) an iterated one, first integrating over the translate domain. We show that random wavelet expansion gives rise to a variety of stationary self-similar random fields, including such well-known processes as the linear fractional stable motions. Received: 11 December 1998 / Revised version: 31 January 2001 / Published online: 23 August 2001