On exponential rates of likelihood ratio estimators for location parameters

In this paper the exponential rates, bounds, and local exponential rates for likelihood ratio estimators are studied. Under certain regularity conditions, a family of likelihood ratio estimators is shown to be admissible in exponential rate. It is also shown that the maximum likelihood estimator is the limit of this family of estimators.     

Folded overlapping variance estimators for simulation

We propose and analyze a new class of estimators for the variance parameter of a steady-state simulation output process. The new estimators are computed by averaging individual estimators from “folded” standardized time series based on overlapping batches composed of consecutive observations. The folding transformation on each batch can be applied more than once to produce an entire set of estimators. We establish the limiting distributions of the proposed estimators as the sample size tends to infinity while the ratio of the sample size to the batch size remains constant. We give analytical and Monte Carlo results showing that, compared to their counterparts computed from nonoverlapping batches, the new estimators have roughly the same bias but smaller variance. In addition, these estimators can be computed with order-of-sample-size work.     

混合模型中方差分量估计的容许性及非负估计

对含有两个方差分量的线性混合模型, 本文构造了方差分量的一个线性估计类, 它包含许多常见的方差分量估计. 在这个类中我们建立了容许性的必要条件, 据此得到了两个新的改进估计. 最后我们讨论了方差分量的非负估计, 得到了优于方差分析估计和Tatsuya估计的正估计.     

Estimation of two normal means which may be common

Consider the problem of estimating the mean of a normal population when independent samples from this as well as a second normal population are available. Pre-test estimators which combine the two sample means if a test of the hypothesis of equal population means accepts but otherwise use only the first sample mean, are compared to limited translation estimators which are derived in the spirit of Bickel (1984, Ann. Statist., 12, 864–879) (we also cover the cases of unknown variances). Our conclusion is that if the accuracy with which the second population mean can be estimated is of the same or better order of magnitude as teh accuracy with which the first can be estimated, then the limited translation estimators largely dominate the pre-test estimators in terms of mean square error loss.This research was supported by grants from the FRD of the CSIR of South Africa.     

Asymptotically optimal estimation in the linear regression problem in the case of violation of some classical assumptions

We consider the problem of estimating the unknown parameters of linear regression in the case when the variances of observations depend on the unknown parameters of the model. A two-step method is suggested for constructing asymptotically linear estimators. Some general sufficient conditions for the asymptotic normality of the estimators are found, and an explicit form is established of the best asymptotically linear estimators. The behavior of the estimators is studied in detail in the case when the parameter of the regression model is one-dimensional.     

Some modifications of improved estimators of a normal variance

Consider the problem of estimating a normal variance based on a random sample when the mean is unknown. Scale equivariant estimators which improve upon the best scale and translation equivariant one have been proposed by several authors for various loss functions including quadratic loss. However, at least for quadratic loss function, improvement is not much. Herein, some methods are proposed to construct improving estimators which are not scale equivariant and are expected to be considerably better when the true variance value is close to the specified one. The idea behind the methods is to modify improving equivariant shrinkage estimators, so that the resulting ones shrink little when the usual estimate is less than the specified value and shrink much more otherwise. Sufficient conditions are given for the estimators to dominate the best scale and translation equivariant rule under the quadratic loss and the entropy loss. Further, some results of a Monte Carlo experiment are reported which show the significant improvements by the proposed estimators.     

线性混合效应模型中方差分量的估计

本文首先研究了含三个方差分量的线性混合随机效应模型改进的ANOVA估计, 此估计在均方损失下一致优于ANOVA估计. 由于这些方差估计取负值的概率大于零, 对得到的估计在某非负点采用截尾的方法得到非负估计是一种常用的方法. 对文章中提出的估计, 研究了此估计在某非负点截尾之后得到的估计在均方损失意义下优于截尾之前的估计的充分条件, 同时给出ANOVA估计在截尾之后优于它本身的充分条件, 而且将得到的结论推广到更一般的线性混合随机效应模型.     

Improved estimation under Pitman's measure of closeness

Stein-type and Brown-type estimators are constructed for general families of distributions which improve in the sense of Pitman closeness on the closest (in a class) estimator of a parameter. The results concern mainly scale parameters but a brief discussion on improved estimation of location parameters is also included. The loss is a general continuous and strictly bowl shaped function, and the improved estimators presented do not depend on it, i.e., uniform domination is established with respect to the loss. The normal and inverse Gaussian distributions are used as illustrative examples. This work unifies and extends previous relevant results available in the literature.     

混合系数线性模型参数的广义Liu估计

本文研究连续测量数据情况下的混合系数线性模型的参数估计问题.利用压缩估计方法给出了该模型的一类新的有偏估计-广义Liu估计,并在均方误差意义下,证明此类估计分别优于最小二乘估计、Liu估计.最后讨论参数的选取问题.     

广义偏最小二乘(PLS)估计类

本文研究了一类含有偏最小二乘（partialleastsquaresPLS）估计的估计类．给出了PLS估计的一般代数形式；讨论了含有PLS估计的广义PPLS估计类的统计性质；给出了该估计类优于最小二乘估计的条件．     

降水量的统计拟合

本文给出了全样本场合下卡帕分布参数的矩估计,证明了矩估计的唯一存在性,并通过Monte-Carlo模拟考察了估计的精度;最后通过北京、天津、南京、上海、广州降水量的实际数据说明本文方法的可行性。     

Statistical estimation in partial linear models with covariate data missing at random

In this paper, we consider the partial linear model with the covariables missing at random. A model calibration approach and a weighting approach are developed to define the estimators of the parametric and nonparametric parts in the partial linear model, respectively. It is shown that the estimators for the parametric part are asymptotically normal and the estimators of g(·) converge to g(·) with an optimal convergent rate. Also, a comparison between the proposed estimators and the complete case estimator is made. A simulation study is conducted to compare the finite sample behaviors of these estimators based on bias and standard error.     

Maximum integrated likelihood estimator of the interest parameter when the nuisance parameter is location or scale

The problem of estimation of an interest parameter in the presence of a nuisance parameter, which is either location or scale, is studied. Two estimators are considered: the usual maximum likelihood estimator and the estimator based on maximization of the integrated likelihood function. The estimators are compared, asymptotically, with respect to the bias and with respect to the mean squared error. The examples are given.     

Error estimators for stiff differential equations

When solving ordinary differential equations numerically, the local error is estimated at each step. In the classical situation of ‘small’ step sizes, it is clear what is required of the error estimators. Stiff problems are solved with ‘large’ step sizes. The quality of error estimators is studied in this situatuion, and it is shown how to modify unsatisfactory estimators so as to improve them greatly. Several formulas from the literature are treated as examples.     

Estimation of the Scale Matrix and its Eigenvalues in the Wishart and the Multivariate F Distributions

In this paper, the problem of estimating the scale matrix and their eigenvalues in a Wishart distribution and in a multivariate F distribution (which arise naturally from a two-sample setting) are considered. A new class of estimators which shrink the eigenvalues towards their arithmetic mean are proposed. It is shown that the new estimator which dominates the usual unbiased estimator under the squared error loss function. A simulation study was carried out to study the performance of these estimators.     

统计深度函数及其应用

次序统计量在一维统计数据分析中起着很重要的作用．多年来,人们一直在商维数据处理和分析中寻找“次序统计量”,却没有得到很满意的结果．由于缺少自然而有效的高维数据排序方法,因而象一维“中位数”的概念很难推广到高维．统计深度函数则提供了高维数据排序的一种工具,其主要思想是提供了一种从高维数据中心(最深点)向外的排序方法．不仅如此,统计深度函数已经在探索性高维数据分析,统计判决等方面带给我们一种全新的前景,并在工业、工程、生物医学等诸多领域得到很好的应用．本文介绍了统计深度函数概念及其应用,讨论了位置深度函数的标准,介绍了几种常用的统计深度函数．给出了由深度函数特别是由投影深度函数所诱导的位置和散布阵估计,介绍了它们的诸多优良性质,如极限分布,稳健性和有效性．由于在大多数场合下,高崩溃点的估计不是较有效的估计,而由统计深度函数所诱导的估计具有多元仿射不变性,并能提供理想的稳健性与有效性之间的平衡,本文还讨论了基于深度的统计检验和置信区域,介绍了统计深度函数的其他应用,如多元回归、带有变量误差模型、质量控制等,以及实际计算问题．指出了统计深度函数领域有关进一步的工作和研究方向．     

Generalized variance estimators in the multivariate gamma models

It is already known that the uniformly minimum variance unbiased (UMVU) estimator of the generalized variance always exists for any natural exponential family. However, in practice, this estimator is often difficult to obtain. This paper provides explicit forms of the UMVU estimators for the bivariate and symmetric multivariate gamma models, which are diagonal quadratic exponential families. For the non-independent multivariate gamma models, it is shown that the UMVU and the maximum likelihood estimators are not proportional.      

Comparisons among some estimators in misspecified linear models with multicollinearity

In this paper we deal with comparisons among several estimators available in situations of multicollinearity (e.g., the r-k class estimator proposed by Baye and Parker, the ordinary ridge regression (ORR) estimator, the principal components regression (PCR) estimator and also the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator) for a misspecified linear model where misspecification is due to omission of some relevant explanatory variables. These comparisons are made in terms of the mean square error (mse) of the estimators of regression coefficients as well as of the predictor of the conditional mean of the dependent variable. It is found that under the same conditions as in the true model, the superiority of the r-k class estimator over the ORR, PCR and OLS estimators and those of the ORR and PCR estimators over the OLS estimator remain unchanged in the misspecified model. Only in the case of comparison between the ORR and PCR estimators, no definite conclusion regarding the mse dominance of one over the other in the misspecified model can be drawn.     

One-step jackknife for M-estimators computed using Newton's method

To estimate the dispersion of an M-estimator computed using Newton's iterative method, the jackknife method usually requires to repeat the iterative process n times, where n is the sample size. To simplify the computation, one-step jackknife estimators, which require no iteration, are proposed in this paper. Asymptotic properties of the one-step jackknife estimators are obtained under some regularity conditions in the i.i.d. case and in a linear or nonlinear model. All the one-step jackknife estimators are shown to be asymptotically equivalent and they are also asymptotically equivalent to the original jackknife estimator. Hence one may use a dispersion estimator whose computation is the simplest. Finite sample properties of several one-step jackknife estimators are examined in a simulation study.The research was supported by Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada.     

Necessary conditions for dominating the James-Stein estimator

This paper develops necessary conditions for an estimator to dominate the James-Stein estimator and hence the James-Stein positive-part estimator. The ultimate goal is to find classes of such dominating estimators which are admissible. While there are a number of results giving classes of estimators dominating the James-Stein estimator, the only admissible estimator known to dominate the James-Stein estimator is the generalized Bayes estimator relative to the fundamental harmonic function in three and higher dimension. The prior was suggested by Stein and the domination result is due to Kubokawa. Shao and Strawderman gave a class of estimators dominating the James-Stein positive-part estimator but were unable to demonstrate admissiblity of any in their class. Maruyama, following a suggestion of Stein, has studied generalized Bayes estimators which are members of a point mass at zero and a prior similar to the harmonic prior. He finds a subclass which is minimax and admissible but is unable to show that any in his class with positive point mass at zero dominate the James-Stein estimator. The results in this paper show that a subclass of Maruyama's procedures including the class that Stein conjectured might contain members dominating the James-Stein estimator cannot dominate the James-Stein estimator. We also show that under reasonable conditions, the “constant” in shrinkage factor must approachp-2 for domination to hold.