Uniform exponential convergence of sample average random functions under general sampling with applications in stochastic programming

Sample average approximation (SAA) is one of the most popular methods for solving stochastic optimization and equilibrium problems. Research on SAA has been mostly focused on the case when sampling is independent and identically distributed (iid) with exceptions (Dai et al. (2000) [9], Homem-de-Mello (2008) [16]). In this paper we study SAA with general sampling (including iid sampling and non-iid sampling) for solving nonsmooth stochastic optimization problems, stochastic Nash equilibrium problems and stochastic generalized equations. To this end, we first derive the uniform exponential convergence of the sample average of a class of lower semicontinuous random functions and then apply it to a nonsmooth stochastic minimization problem. Exponential convergence of estimators of both optimal solutions and M-stationary points (characterized by Mordukhovich limiting subgradients (Mordukhovich (2006) [23], Rockafellar and Wets (1998) [32])) are established under mild conditions. We also use the unform convergence result to establish the exponential rate of convergence of statistical estimators of a stochastic Nash equilibrium problem and estimators of the solutions to a stochastic generalized equation problem.     

Asymptotic Analysis of Sample Average Approximation for Stochastic Optimization Problems with Joint Chance Constraints via Conditional Value at Risk and Difference of Convex Functions

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) has been recently used to approximate a chance constraint. In this paper, we study the convergence of stationary points, when sample average approximation (SAA) method is applied to a CVaR approximated joint chance constrained stochastic minimization problem. Specifically, we prove under some moderate conditions that optimal solutions and stationary points, obtained from solving sample average approximated problems, converge with probability one to their true counterparts. Moreover, by exploiting the recent results on large deviation of random functions and sensitivity results for generalized equations, we derive exponential rate of convergence of stationary points. The discussion is also extended to the case, when CVaR approximation is replaced by a difference of two convex functions (DC-approximation). Some preliminary numerical test results are reported.     

Penalized sample average approximation methods for stochastic programs in economic and secure dispatch of a power system

In this paper, we develop a stochastic programming model for economic dispatch of a power system with operational reliability and risk control constraints. By defining a severity-index function, we propose to use conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) for measuring the reliability and risk control of the system. The economic dispatch is subsequently formulated as a stochastic program with CVaR constraint. To solve the stochastic optimization model, we propose a penalized sample average approximation (SAA) scheme which incorporates specific features of smoothing technique and level function method. Under some moderate conditions, we demonstrate that with probability approaching to 1 at an exponential rate with the increase of sample size, the optimal solution of the smoothing SAA problem converges to its true counterpart. Numerical tests have been carried out for a standard IEEE-30 DC power system.     

Stochastic mathematical programs with equilibrium constraints,modelling and sample average approximation

In this article, we discuss the sample average approximation (SAA) method applied to a class of stochastic mathematical programs with variational (equilibrium) constraints. To this end, we briefly investigate the structure of both–the lower level equilibrium solution and objective integrand. We show almost sure convergence of optimal values, optimal solutions (both local and global) and generalized Karush–Kuhn–Tucker points of the SAA program to their true counterparts. We also study uniform exponential convergence of the sample average approximations, and as a consequence derive estimates of the sample size required to solve the true problem with a given accuracy. Finally, we present some preliminary numerical test results.     

Stochastic Multiobjective Optimization: Sample Average Approximation and Applications

We investigate one stage stochastic multiobjective optimization problems where the objectives are the expected values of random functions. Assuming that the closed form of the expected values is difficult to obtain, we apply the well known Sample Average Approximation (SAA) method to solve it. We propose a smoothing infinity norm scalarization approach to solve the SAA problem and analyse the convergence of efficient solution of the SAA problem to the original problem as sample sizes increase. Under some moderate conditions, we show that, with probability approaching one exponentially fast with the increase of sample size, an ϵ-optimal solution to the SAA problem becomes an ϵ-optimal solution to its true counterpart. Moreover, under second order growth conditions, we show that an efficient point of the smoothed problem approximates an efficient solution of the true problem at a linear rate. Finally, we describe some numerical experiments on some stochastic multiobjective optimization problems and report preliminary results.     

A class of smoothing SAA methods for a stochastic mathematical program with complementarity constraints

A class of smoothing sample average approximation (SAA) methods is proposed for solving the stochastic mathematical program with complementarity constraints (SMPCC) considered by Birbil et al. [S.I. Birbil, G. Gürkan, O. Listes, Solving stochastic mathematical programs with complementarity constraints using simulation, Math. Oper. Res. 31 (2006) 739–760]. The almost sure convergence of optimal solutions of the smoothed SAA problem to that of the true problem is established by the notion of epi-convergence in variational analysis. It is demonstrated that, under suitable conditions, any accumulation point of Karash–Kuhn–Tucker points of the smoothed SAA problem is almost surely a kind of stationary point of SMPCC as the sample size tends to infinity. Moreover, under a strong second-order sufficient condition for SMPCC, the exponential convergence rate of the sequence of Karash–Kuhn–Tucker points of the smoothed SAA problem is investigated through an application of Robinson?s stability theory. Some preliminary numerical results are reported to show the efficiency of proposed method.     

规避风险的多阶段最优库存研究

基于市场需求是随机的,并且在进行市场销售前,就要确定每个阶段的生产数量的背景下,建立了具有规避风险的多阶段库存凸随机规划模型.该模型以最小化损失函数的期望值为目标函数,以规避风险为约束条件,以价值风险(VaR)和条件价值风险(CVaR)为风险度量;采用样本平均近似方法(SAA)求解该模型,并分析样本平均近似方法的收敛性;最后,给出数值结果.     

A Bilevel Stochastic Programming Problem with Random Parameters in the Follower’s Objective Function

Under study is a bilevel stochastic linear programming problem with quantile criterion. Bilevel programming problems can be considered as formalization of the process of interaction between two parties. The first party is a Leader making a decision first; the second is a Follower making a decision knowing the Leader’s strategy and the realization of the random parameters. It is assumed that the Follower’s problem is linear if the realization of the random parameters and the Leader’s strategy are given. The aim of the Leader is the minimization of the quantile function of a loss function that depends on his own strategy and the optimal Follower’s strategy. It is shown that the Follower’s problem has a unique solution with probability 1 if the distribution of the random parameters is absolutely continuous. The lower-semicontinuity of the loss function is proved and some conditions are obtained of the solvability of the problem under consideration. Some example shows that the continuity of the quantile function cannot be provided. The sample average approximation of the problem is formulated. The conditions are given to provide that, as the sample size increases, the sample average approximation converges to the original problem with respect to the strategy and the objective value. It is shown that the convergence conditions hold for almost all values of the reliability level. A model example is given of determining the tax rate, and the numerical experiments are executed for this example.     

Sample Average Approximation Method for Chance Constrained Programming: Theory and Applications

We study sample approximations of chance constrained problems. In particular, we consider the sample average approximation (SAA) approach and discuss the convergence properties of the resulting problem. We discuss how one can use the SAA method to obtain good candidate solutions for chance constrained problems. Numerical experiments are performed to correctly tune the parameters involved in the SAA. In addition, we present a method for constructing statistical lower bounds for the optimal value of the considered problem and discuss how one should tune the underlying parameters. We apply the SAA to two chance constrained problems. The first is a linear portfolio selection problem with returns following a multivariate lognormal distribution. The second is a joint chance constrained version of a simple blending problem. B.K. Pagnoncelli’s research was supported by CAPES and FUNENSEG. S. Ahmed’s research was partly supported by the NSF Award DMI-0133943. A. Shapiro’s research was partly supported by the NSF Award DMI-0619977.     

Convergence analysis of stationary points in sample average approximation of stochastic programs with second order stochastic dominance constraints

Sample average approximation (SAA) method has recently been applied to solve stochastic programs with second order stochastic dominance (SSD) constraints. In particular, Hu et al. (Math Program 133:171–201, 2012) presented a detailed convergence analysis of $\epsilon $ -optimal values and $\epsilon $ -optimal solutions of sample average approximated stochastic programs with polyhedral SSD constraints. In this paper, we complement the existing research by presenting convergence analysis of stationary points when SAA is applied to a class of stochastic minimization problems with SSD constraints. Specifically, under some moderate conditions we prove that optimal solutions and stationary points obtained from solving sample average approximated problems converge with probability one to their true counterparts. Moreover, by exploiting some recent results on large deviation of random functions and sensitivity analysis of generalized equations, we derive exponential rate of convergence of stationary points.     

Sample average approximation of stochastic dominance constrained programs

In this paper we study optimization problems with second-order stochastic dominance constraints. This class of problems allows for the modeling of optimization problems where a risk-averse decision maker wants to ensure that the solution produced by the model dominates certain benchmarks. Here we deal with the case of multi-variate stochastic dominance under general distributions and nonlinear functions. We introduce the concept of ${\mathcal{C}}$ -dominance, which generalizes some notions of multi-variate dominance found in the literature. We apply the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) method to this problem, which results in a semi-infinite program, and study asymptotic convergence of optimal values and optimal solutions, as well as the rate of convergence of the feasibility set of the resulting semi-infinite program as the sample size goes to infinity. We develop a finitely convergent method to find an ${\epsilon}$ -optimal solution of the SAA problem. An important aspect of our contribution is the construction of practical statistical lower and upper bounds for the true optimal objective value. We also show that the bounds are asymptotically tight as the sample size goes to infinity.     

Single and multi-period optimal inventory control models with risk-averse constraints

This paper presents some convex stochastic programming models for single and multi-period inventory control problems where the market demand is random and order quantities need to be decided before demand is realized. Both models minimize the expected losses subject to risk aversion constraints expressed through Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) as risk measures. A sample average approximation method is proposed for solving the models and convergence analysis of optimal solutions of the sample average approximation problem is presented. Finally, some numerical examples are given to illustrate the convergence of the algorithm.     

An Approximation Scheme for Uncertain Minimax Optimal Control Problems

In this work, we address an uncertain minimax optimal control problem with linear dynamics where the objective functional is the expected value of the supremum of the running cost over a time interval. By taking an independently drawn random sample, the expected value function is approximated by the corresponding sample average function. We study the epi-convergence of the approximated objective functionals as well as the convergence of their global minimizers. Then we define an Euler discretization in time of the sample average problem and prove that the value of the discrete time problem converges to the value of the sample average approximation. In addition, we show that there exists a sequence of discrete problems such that the accumulation points of their minimizers are optimal solutions of the original problem. Finally, we propose a convergent descent method to solve the discrete time problem, and show some preliminary numerical results for two simple examples.     

Convergence theory for nonconvex stochastic programming with an application to mixed logit

Monte Carlo methods have extensively been used and studied in the area of stochastic programming. Their convergence properties typically consider global minimizers or first-order critical points of the sample average approximation (SAA) problems and minimizers of the true problem, and show that the former converge to the latter for increasing sample size. However, the assumption of global minimization essentially restricts the scope of these results to convex problems. We review and extend these results in two directions: we allow for local SAA minimizers of possibly nonconvex problems and prove, under suitable conditions, almost sure convergence of local second-order solutions of the SAA problem to second-order critical points of the true problem. We also apply this new theory to the estimation of mixed logit models for discrete choice analysis. New useful convergence properties are derived in this context, both for the constrained and unconstrained cases, and associated estimates of the simulation bias and variance are proposed. Research Fellow of the Belgian National Fund for Scientific Research     

Approximating stationary points of stochastic optimization problems in Banach space

In this paper, we present a uniform strong law of large numbers for random set-valued mappings in separable Banach space and apply it to analyze the sample average approximation of Clarke stationary points of a nonsmooth one stage stochastic minimization problem in separable Banach space. Moreover, under Hausdorff continuity, we show that with probability approaching one exponentially fast with the increase of sample size, the sample average of a convex compact set-valued mapping converges to its expected value uniformly. The result is used to establish exponential convergence of stationary sequence under some metric regularity conditions.     

Convergence analysis of sample average approximation for a class of stochastic nonlinear complementarity problems: from two-stage to multistage

In this paper, we consider the sample average approximation (SAA) approach for a class of stochastic nonlinear complementarity problems (SNCPs) and study the corresponding convergence properties. We first investigate the convergence of the SAA counterparts of two-stage SNCPs when the first-stage problem is continuously differentiable and the second-stage problem is locally Lipschitz continuous. After that, we extend the convergence results to a class of multistage SNCPs whose decision variable of each stage is influenced only by the decision variables of adjacent stages. Finally, some preliminary numerical tests are presented to illustrate the convergence results.

     

Analysis of stochastic dual dynamic programming method

In this paper we discuss statistical properties and convergence of the Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming (SDDP) method applied to multistage linear stochastic programming problems. We assume that the underline data process is stagewise independent and consider the framework where at first a random sample from the original (true) distribution is generated and consequently the SDDP algorithm is applied to the constructed Sample Average Approximation (SAA) problem. Then we proceed to analysis of the SDDP solutions of the SAA problem and their relations to solutions of the “true” problem. Finally we discuss an extension of the SDDP method to a risk averse formulation of multistage stochastic programs. We argue that the computational complexity of the corresponding SDDP algorithm is almost the same as in the risk neutral case.     

On the Convergence of Coderivative of SAA Solution Mapping for a Parametric Stochastic Generalized Equation

The aim of this paper is to investigate the convergence properties for Mordukhovich’s coderivative of the solution map of the sample average approximation (SAA) problem for a parametric stochastic generalized equation. It is demonstrated that, under suitable conditions, both the cosmic deviation and the ρ-deviation between the coderivative of the solution mapping to SAA problem and that of the solution mapping to the parametric stochastic generalized equation converge almost surely to zero as the sample size tends to infinity. Moreover, the exponential convergence rate of coderivatives of the solution maps to the SAA parametric generalized equations is established. The results are used to develop sufficient conditions for the consistency of the Lipschitz-like property of the solution map of SAA problem and the consistency of stationary points of the SAA estimator for a stochastic mathematical program with complementarity constraints.     

A note on the sample average approximation method for stochastic mathematical programs with complementarity constraints

Meng and Xu (2006) [3] proposed a sample average approximation (SAA) method for solving a class of stochastic mathematical programs with complementarity constraints (SMPCCs). After showing that under some moderate conditions, a sequence of weak stationary points of SAA problems converge to a weak stationary point of the original SMPCC with probability approaching one at exponential rate as the sample size tends to infinity, the authors proposed an open question, that is, whether similar results can be obtained under some relatively weaker conditions. In this paper, we try to answer the open question. Based on the reformulation of stationary condition of MPCCs and new stability results on generalized equations, we present a similar convergence theory without any information of second order derivative and strict complementarity conditions. Moreover, we carry out convergence analysis of the regularized SAA method proposed by Meng and Xu (2006) [3] where the convergence results have not been considered.     

On the Convergence of Coderivative of SAA Solution Mapping for a Parametric Stochastic Variational Inequality

The aim of this paper is to investigate the convergence properties for Mordukhovich’s coderivative of the solution map of the sample average approximation (SAA) problem for a parametric stochastic variational inequality with equality and inequality constraints. The notion of integrated deviation is introduced to characterize the outer limit of a sequence of sets. It is demonstrated that, under suitable conditions, both the cosmic deviation and the integrated deviation between the coderivative of the solution mapping to SAA problem and that of the solution mapping to the parametric stochastic variational inequality converge almost surely to zero as the sample size tends to infinity. Moreover, the exponential convergence rate of coderivatives of the solution maps to the SAA parametric stochastic variational inequality is established. The results are used to develop sufficient conditions for the consistency of the Lipschitz-like property of the solution map of SAA problem and the consistency of stationary points of the SAA estimator for a stochastic bilevel program.