需求不确定情况下的多周期生产批量决策

针对在市场需求不确定的情况下的中小制造型企业的生产批量决策优化问题进行研究,根据多周期生产情况下需求的不确定性,综合考虑缺货成本、库存成本和期初库存等因素,以多生产周期的总利润最大化为目标,建立生产批量决策模型,通过优化分析,得出其利润最大化下的最优生产批量,并通过敏感性分析讨论最优批量与多周期生产条件下的不确定需求等影响因素之间的关系.     

考虑返回补偿策略的制造与再制造的最优决策

作为减少成本的一种有效方式,近年来,再制造获得了企业越来越多的关注.对于再制造企业,如何有效地返回产品是一个基本的问题,为此,考虑了一个返回补偿策略,即企业支付给愿意返回产品的消费者一个价格补偿.在这个策略下,回收数量是随机需求的一个比例.研究了一个两周期的库存系统,企业需要在每周期初决策新材料的采购数量以及分配给制造和再制造方式的生产数量.通过建立一个三级随机动态规划模型,给出了制造和再制造混合系统对于已实现需求的最优生产策略,同时证明了每个周期的目标函数对于库存补充数量是凸的,进而证明基本的库存策略仍然是最优的.最后从管理者的角度进行了数值分析.     

基于改进粒子群算法的备货型生产系统的生产与维修整合模型

生产系统随着设备磨损往往会失控或发生故障,给企业带来巨大损失.本文以备货型生产系统为研究对象,根据其成品先入库后销售的特点,建立基于故障率的非周期的生产、维修、库存整合模型.模型以最小化单位总成本为目标,基于萤火虫算法的邻域结构改进粒子群算法,求解系统的最优生产率和维修策略,并分析比较不合格产品率、失控率对目标函数值和最优策略的影响.     

医院医疗器械—麻醉包库存策略

麻醉包对于医院来说是一种重要的医疗物品,具有需求量大,一旦缺货则损失严重等特点,为此研究了黑龙江省某医院麻醉包的库存问题.以存储费用为标准来评价和优选库存策略,共建立了四大库存模型,分别是经济批量EOQ库存模型;需求离散条件下多周期有准备成本库存模型;需求服从正态分布条件下多周期有准备成本库存模型和蒙特卡罗仿真库存控制模型.其中,三个模型得出了结果,通过证明,一个模型不符合医院实际情况.通过比较上述三个模型求得的最优化库存策略与医院实际使用的库存策略,建议采取蒙特卡罗仿真库存控制模型求解得出的结果作为医院方最优库存策略.     

上升线性需求条件下考虑资金时间价值的变质性物品生产库存模型

变质性物品生产库存系统的研究具有重要实际意义.本文研究了变质性物品生产库存系统在上升趋势线性需求条件下,考虑资金的时间价值,在有限计划时间水平内,如何确定最优生产周期,各周期最优生产率,以及最优库存安排策略.通过本文的研究,得到了一些有用的结论.     

网络直销模式下含有管理复原退货物流的库存问题研究

本文采用定期库存控制策略研究了需求服从均匀分布、订货周期与再制造周期不相等情况下的含有管理复原退货物流的库存问题。在考虑退货价格对需求的影响的情况下，本文建立了以使期望利润最大化为目标，对退货价格、订货量、订货周期和再制造周期进行同时进行决策的库存模型。本文通过数值算例分析了退货价格对需求的影响因子的大小以及退货率的大小分别对利润、最优退货价、最优订货量、最优订货周期和最优退货处理周期的影响。结果指出，商家在制订库存策略时应该考虑退货价对需求的影响，并且应首先确定退货率和退货价对需求影响因子的大小。     

能源回购补偿机制下基于无限阶段折扣准则的最优生产与库存策略

世界经济的快速发展和工业化进程的推进促使各国电力需求激增,电力供需矛盾为能源回购项目的发展提供了条件。为能够实现错峰用电和缓解能源需求的紧张,能源回购项目在每个阶段出现能源短缺时,将根据短缺的不同程度为限产(或停产)企业提供了金额不同的资金补偿。因此,在该能源回购补偿机制下,企业需要确定每个阶段是否参加能源回购项目及其相应的生产库存策略,来实现其期望折扣成本的最小化。本文研究了能源回购补偿机制下企业以最小化期望折扣成本为目标的无限阶段最优生产/库存策略。引入启动成本和多个能源需求状态的资金补偿水平后,在合理的假设条件下,证明了每个阶段生产商的最优生产/库存策略在高峰状态为(sⁱ,S)策略,在非高峰状态为(s⁰,S,A)策略。     

需求依赖于服务水平的易变质品库存策略研究

本文研究需求依赖于上一周期服务水平、缺货时订单部分损失的两周期易变质品库存问题。分别考虑一次订货和多次订货两种情况,以平均利润最大化为目标构建库存模型,证明了模型解的存在性和唯一性,得到了最优库存服务水平和最优补货策略。最后,通过算例给出两个模型的应用,对重要参数进行了灵敏度分析,并且将两种模型的结果进行了对比分析。结果表明:订单损失率的增加会提高服务水平,但会使得利润降低;顾客期望服务水平的提高会降低第一阶段的服务水平,同时使利润减少;单位库存持有成本或变质率的增加会降低服务水平和平均利润。通常情况,企业通过多次订货能获得更大的利润,而只有当库存持有成本极小时,一次订购才能够获得更大的利润。同时,结果也表明:服务水平对库存策略有较大的影响,因此在进行库存决策时考虑服务水平具有重要的作用。     

考虑生产计划的多周期切割问题优化研究

切割生产广泛存在于工业企业,是原材料加工的重要环节。已有文献主要关注单周期切割问题,但是切割计划也是生产计划的一部分,切割计划和生产计划应该协调优化,达到全局最优。本文研究考虑生产计划的多周期切割问题,目标是最小化运营成本,包括准备成本、切割成本、库存成本以及母材消耗成本。首先建立混合整数规划模型;提出动态规划启发式算法;最后对算例在多种情境下测试,分析成本因子变化对最优结果的影响。算法结果与CPLEX最优结果比较,平均误差为1.85%,表明算法是有效的。     

基于贝叶斯信息更新的风险规避库存策略研究

在贝叶斯库存控制研究中一个著名的结论是：当缺货需求不能被观测到时,最优贝叶斯库存水平总会高于短视策略库存水平,原因是决策者需要通过多订货来获取对需求分布的认识. 这是基于风险中性的研究,然后现实中决策者都期望规避风险. 基于贝叶斯信息更新研究了风险规避背景下需求部分可观测的多周期报童问题,决策者的周期内效用函数满足独立可加性公理. 通过引入非正规化概率,研究发现,对风险规避的决策者,当其效用函数具有不变绝对风险规避特征时,最优贝叶斯库存水平也会高于短视策略库存水平. 非正规化概率简化了动态规划方程与结果的证明.     

Cost-effective inventory control in a value-added manufacturing system

This paper considers the cost-effective inventory control of work-in-process (WIP) and finished products in a two-stage distributed manufacturing system. The first stage produces a common WIP, and the second stage consists of several production sites that produce differentiated products with different capacity and service level requirements. The unit inventory holding cost is higher at the second stage. This paper first uses a network of inventory-queue model to evaluate the inventory cost and service level achievable for given inventory control policy, and then derives a very simple algorithm to find the optimal inventory control policy that minimizes the overall inventory holding cost and satisfies the given service level requirements. Some managerial insights are obtained through numerical examples.     

Base stock policies for production/inventory problems with uncertain capacity levels

In this paper we consider a single item, stochastic demand production/inventory problem where the maximum amount that can be produced (or ordered) in any given period is assumed to be uncertain. Inventory levels are reviewed periodically. The system operates under a stationary modified base stock policy. The intent of our paper is to present a procedure for computing the optimal base stocl level of this policy under expected average cost per period criterion. This procedure would provide guidance as to the appropriate amount of capacity to store in the form of inventory in the face of stochastic demand and uncertain capacity. In achieving this goal, our main contribution is to establish the analogy between the class of base stock production/inventory policies that operate under demand/capacity uncertainty, and the G/G/1 queues and their associated random walks. We also present example derivations for some important capacity distributions.     

Optimal pricing and production in an inventory model

This paper deals with the problem of simultaneously determining the optimal price policy and production rate over a given planning horizon. For nonlinear demand functions and convex inventory and shortage cost functions the optimal solution paths are derived by using optimal control theory. The treatment of linear nonsmooth cost functions requires the use of a generalized maximum principle. The solution method is a phase portrait analysis providing insight into the optimal pricing and production policies as well as the resulting inventory paths. Moreover, it is shown that in the case of nonsmooth piecewise linear cost functions the equilibrium is approached within finite time although the model is nonlinear in the control variables. Finally it is illustrated that exogenous fluctuations in the demand rate (seasonal demand pattern) amount to cyclical optimal solutions.     

Analysis of deteriorating inventory/production systems using a linear quadratic regulator

We consider an inventory-production system where items deteriorate at a constant rate. The objective is to develop an optimal production policy that minimizes the cost associated with inventory and production rate. The inventory problem is first modeled as a linear optimal control problem. Then linear quadratic regulator (LQR) technique is applied to the control problem in order to determine the optimal production policy. Examples are solved for three different demand functions. Sensitivity analysis is then conducted to study the effect of changing the cost parameters on the objective function.     

On the Effect of Product Variety in Production–Inventory Systems

In this paper, we examine the effect of product variety on inventory costs in a production–inventory system with finite capacity where products are made to stock and share the same manufacturing facility. The facility incurs a setup time whenever it switches from producing one product type to another. The production facility has a finite production rate and stochastic production times. In order to mitigate the effect of setups, products are produced in batches. In contrast to inventory systems with exogenous lead times, we show that inventory costs increase almost linearly in the number of products. More importantly, we show that the rate of increase is sensitive to system parameters including demand and process variability, demand and capacity levels, and setup times. The effect of these parameters can be counterintuitive. For example, we show that the relative increase in cost due to higher product variety is decreasing in demand and process variability. We also show that it is decreasing in expected production time. On the other hand, we find that the relative cost is increasing in expected setup time, setup time variability and aggregate demand rate. Furthermore, we show that the effect of product variety on optimal base stock levels is not monotonic. We use the model to draw several managerial insights regarding the value of variety-reducing strategies such as product consolidation and delayed differentiation.     

Capacity and Production Managment in a Single Product Manufacturing System

In planning and managing production systems, manufacturers have two main strategies for responding to uncertainty: they build inventory to hedge against periods in which the production capacity is not sufficient to satisfy demand, or they temporarily increase the production capacity by “purchasing” extra capacity. We consider the problem of minimizing the long-run average cost of holding inventory and/or purchasing extra capacity for a single facility producing a single part-type and assume that the driving uncertainty is demand fluctuation. We show that the optimal production policy is of a hedging point policy type where two hedging levels are associated with each discrete state of the system: a positive hedging level (inventory target) and a negative one (backlog level below which extra capacity should be purchased). We establish some ordering of the hedging levels, derive equations satisfied by the steady-state probability distribution of the inventory/backlog, and give a more detailed analysis of the optimal control policy in a two state (high and low demand rate) model.     

Joint pricing and inventory replenishment decisions with returns and expediting

We study a single-item periodic-review model for the joint pricing and inventory replenishment problem with returns and expediting. Demand in consecutive periods are independent random variables and their distributions are price sensitive. At the end of each period, after the demand is realized, a buyer can return excess stocks to a supplier. Or, if there are stockouts, the buyer can place an expediting order at the supplier to reduce the amount of shortage. Unfilled demands are fully backlogged. We characterize the optimal dynamic policy that determines the pricing, inventory replenishment, and adjustment decisions in each period so that the total expected discounted profit is maximized. For a very general stochastic demand function, we can show that the optimal replenishment policy is a modified base-stock policy, the optimal pricing policy is a modified base-stock-list-price policy, and the optimal policy for inventory adjustment follows a dual-threshold policy. We further study the operational effect of returns and expediting. Analytical and numerical results demonstrate that returns and expediting lead to a significant profit increase in a number of situations, including limited supply capacity, sufficient flexibility of the expediting order, high demand uncertainty, and a price-sensitive market.     

Average Cost Optimality for an Unreliable Two-Machine Flowshop with Limited Internal Buffer

We consider a production planning problem in a two-machine flowshop subject to breakdown and repair of machines and subject to nonnegativity and upper bound constraints on work-in-process. The objective is to choose machine production rates over time to minimize the long-run average inventory/backlog and production costs. For sufficiently large upper bound on the work-in-process, the problem is formulated as a stochastic dynamic program. We then establish a verification theorem and a partial characterization of the optimal control policy if it exists.     

Inventory decisions for a finite horizon problem with product substitution options and time varying demand

The inventory control of substitutable products has been recognized as a problem worthy of study in the operations management literature. Product substitution provides flexibility in supply chain management and enhances response time in production control. This paper proposes a finite horizon inventory control problem for two substitutable products, which are ordered jointly in each replenishment epoch. Demand for the products are assumed to be time–varying. In case of a stock–out for one of the products, its demand is satisfied by using the stock of the other product. The optimal ordering schedule, for both products, that minimizes the total cost over a finite planning horizon is derived. Numerical examples along with sensitivity analyses are also presented.     

Optimal policy for brownian inventory models with general convex inventory cost

We study an inventory system in which products are ordered from outside to meet demands, and the cumulative demand is governed by a Brownian motion. Excessive demand is backlogged. We suppose that the shortage and holding costs associated with the inventory are given by a general convex function. The product ordering from outside incurs a linear ordering cost and a setup fee. There is a constant leadtime when placing an order. The optimal policy is established so as to minimize the discounted cost including the inventory cost and ordering cost.