All-pay auctions with pre- and post-bidding options

Motivated by the emergence of online penny or pay-to-bid auctions, in this study, we analyze the operational consequences of all-pay auctions competing with fixed list price stores. In all-pay auctions, bidders place bids, and highest bidder wins. Depending on the auction format, the winner pays either the amount of their bid or that of the second-highest bid. All losing bidders forfeit their bids, regardless of the auction format. Bidders may visit the store, both before and after bidding, and buy the item at the fixed list price. In a modified version, we consider a setting where bidders can use their sunk bid as a credit towards buying the item from the auctioneer at a fixed price (different from the list price). We characterize a symmetric equilibrium in the bidding/buying strategy and derive optimal list prices for both the seller and auctioneer to maximize expected revenue. We consider two situations: (1) one firm operating both channels (i.e. fixed list price store and all-pay auction), and (2) two competing firms, each operating one of the two channels.     

考虑全局投标者后悔心理行为的组合拍卖的投标均衡策略

许多实验研究表明投标者在拍卖过程中往往表现出预期后悔心理行为,并且投标者的预期后悔心理行为将会对投标策略产生影响,但以往大多是针对单物品拍卖研究考虑投标者后悔心理行为的投标均衡策略,而针对多物品拍卖情形的研究较少关注。本文着重研究了考虑投标者后悔心理行为的组合拍卖的投标均衡策略问题,在全局投标者存在预期后悔心理行为的假设下,依据Engelbrecht-Wiggans和Katok提出的后悔函数刻画了投标者的后悔心理行为,在此基础上,构建了组合拍卖模型,通过分析给出了全局投标者投标均衡策略需要满足的充分和必要条件。进一步地,依据构建的模型,通过数值实验分析了局部投标者人数、组合效应系数和全局投标者后悔参数对全局投标者投标策略的影响。最后,通过一个关于无线电频谱组合拍卖的算例说明了本文给出的模型及投标均衡策略确定方法的潜在应用和优越性。     

Home-grown values and incentive compatible auction design

The behavioral properties of several auctions designed to elicit individual valuations for an object are studied using controlled laboratory experiments. Our experiments lead us to conclude that there are some behavioral differences between alternative incentive-compatible institutions for eliciting home-grown values, contrary to the theoretical expectation that these institutions are isomorphic. These results are consistent with earlier experimental results using induced values. The most important finding is that English auctions appear to elicit lower bids than Vickrey auctions, after controlling for observable socio-economic characteristics. Moreover, English auction bids also exhibit significantly less residual variance and may be sensitive to the number of rival bidders. It appears that the real-time learning allowed in the English auction significantly affects subject behavior. We also find that values elicited with the Becker, DeGroot and Marshak institution differ from those in both English and Vickrey auctions. Received November 1993/Final version May 1995     

On the impact of low-balling: Experimental results in asymmetric auctions

The paper reports on a series of asymmetric auction experiments with private-independent values and two buyers. Maskin and Riley (2000) showed, under some conditions, that if one buyer has a greater probability than the other of not being able to bid, first-price auctions could yield lower revenues to the seller than second-price auctions. The data rejected this prediction because of an important overbidding when subjects received low values in first-price auctions. In this asymmetric setting, the observed overbidding cannot be explained by the usual risk aversion hypothesis and the detection of a learning pattern indicates that subjects used more an adaptive behaviour than a static one. An ad hoc bidding strategy for the buyers who are the most likely to bid explains the observed low bids better than the risk neutral equilibrium strategy. Finally, as subjects appear to have bid in equilibrium as if there were two other competitors instead of only one, their bidding behaviour can be thought to have displayed an over anxiousness about winning. Received: January 1999/Final version June 2001     

Choice of item pricing feedback schemes for multiple unit reverse combinatorial auctions

Recently, interest in combinatorial auctions has extended to include trade in multiple units of heterogeneous items. Combinatorial bidding is complex and iterative auctions are used to allow bidders to sequentially express their preferences with the aid of auction market information provided in the form of price feedbacks. There are different competing designs for the provision of item price feedbacks; however, most of these have not been thoroughly studied for multiple unit combinatorial auctions. This paper focuses on addressing this gap by evaluating several feedback schemes or algorithms in the context of multiple unit auctions. We numerically evaluate these algorithms under different scenarios that vary in bidder package selection strategies and in the degree of competition. We observe that auction outcomes are best when bidders use a naïve bidding strategy and competition is strong. Performance deteriorates significantly when bidders strategically select packages to maximize their profit. Finally, the performances of some algorithms are more sensitive to strategic bidding than others.     

Fraction auctions: The tradeoff between efficiency and running time

This paper studies the sales of a single indivisible object where bidders have continuous valuations. In Grigorieva et al. [14] it was shown that, in this setting, query auctions necessarily allocate inefficiently in equilibrium. In this paper we propose a new sequential auction, called the c-fraction auction. We show the existence of an ex-post equilibrium, called bluff equilibrium, in which bidders behave truthfully except for particular constellations of observed bids at which it is optimal to pretend a slightly higher valuation. We show c-fraction auctions guarantee approximate efficiency at any desired level of accuracy, independent of the number of bidders, when bidders choose to play the bluff equilibrium. We discuss the running time and the efficiency in the bluff equilibrium. We show that by changing the parameter c of the auction we can trade off efficiency against running time.     

预算约束下广义第二价格关键字拍卖均衡分析

在关键字拍卖中,广告主预算约束是影响投标策略均衡的重要因素。针对广泛应用的广义第二价格机制,分析了预算约束下的关键字拍卖均衡性质。按照广告主的点击估价和预算分布情况,将广告主划分为天然完全赢家、天然部分赢家和天然输家这三种类型,提出了广告主投标临界值与关键值的概念,基于关键字拍卖不断重复进行的特点,分别从长期视角与短期视角建立了静态模型与动态模型,研究结果表明:静态环境下拍卖存在唯一的纯策略纳什均衡;动态环境下当广告主采用最优反应投标策略时拍卖将收敛至唯一的纳什均衡点,并且动态环境下拍卖商收入不低于静态环境下的拍卖收入。数值算例的结果表明在动态环境下不同的初始报价会导致拍卖收敛至不同的均衡点。研究结果为拍卖商提供了拍卖收入预测和拍卖机制优化的决策依据。     

On the robustness of non-linear personalized price combinatorial auctions

Though the VCG auction assumes a central place in the mechanism design literature, there are a number of reasons for favoring Iterative Combinatorial Auctions (ICAs). Several promising ICA formats were developed based on primal–dual and subgradient algorithms. Prices are interpreted as a feasible dual solution and the provisional allocation is interpreted as a feasible primal solution. iBundle(3), dVSV and Ascending Proxy Auction result in VCG payoffs when the coalitional value function satisfies buyer submodularity and bidders bid straightforward, which is an ex-post Nash equilibrium in this case. iBEA and CreditDebit auctions do not even require the buyer submodularity and achieve the same properties for general valuations. Often, however, one cannot assume straightforward bidding and it is not clear from the theory how these non-linear personalized price auctions (NLPPAs) perform in this case. Robustness of auctions with respect to different bidding behavior is a critical issue for any application. We conducted a large number of computational experiments to analyze the performance of NLPPAs with respect to different bidding strategies and valuation models. We compare NLPPAs with the VCG auction and with ICAs with linear prices, such as ALPS and the Combinatorial Clock Auction. While NLPPAs performed very well in case of straightforward bidding, we observe problems with revenue, efficiency, and speed of convergence when bidders deviate.     

Auctions with synergy and resale

We study a sequential auction of two objects with two bidders, where the winner of the package obtains a synergy from the second object. If reselling after the two auctions occurs, it proceeds as either monopoly or monopsony take-it-or-leave-it offer. We find that a post-auction resale has a significant impact on bidding strategies in the auctions: Under the monopoly offer, there does not exist an equilibrium (symmetric or asymmetric) where bidders reveal their types with positive probability. Under the monopsony offer, however, we can identify symmetric increasing equilibrium strategies in auctions for both items. While allowing resale always improves efficiency, we demonstrate that the effect of resale on expected revenue and the probability of exposure are both ambiguous.     

Multi-criteria auctions without full comparability of bids

The emergence of auction mechanisms that support bids characterized by several attributes is one of the most recent evolutions within auction theory. These mechanisms, referred to as multi-attribute, multiple issue or multi-dimensional auctions, are at the intersection between multi-criteria decision and auction theories. The purpose of this paper is to introduce multi-criteria auctions the originality of which is not to require full comparability between bids. We claim that this distinctive feature is of great interest, especially in procurement situations. Furthermore, the existence of potential incomparability between multi-dimensional offers will permit us to manage different bidding niches coexisting within the same bidding space. A theoretical framework based on a general preference structure will be introduced and then referenced to existing approaches such as multi-attribute auctions or new ones such as dominance based multi-criteria auctions or butterfly auctions.     

Comparing the Spanish and the discriminatory auction formats: A discrete model with private information

The Spanish Treasury is the only Treasury in the world that uses a hybrid system of discriminatory and uniform price auctions to sell government debt: winning bidders pay their bid price for each unit if this is lower than the weighted average price of winning bids (WAP), and pay the WAP otherwise. Following Gordy [Gordy, M., 1996. Multiple bids in a multiple-unit common-value auction. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System], we model the Spanish auction as a common value auction of multiple units with private information, allowing for multiple bids. Numerical analysis shows that bidders spread their bids more in the Spanish than in the discriminatory auction and bid higher for the first unit, and that the expected seller’s revenue is higher in the Spanish than in the discriminatory auction within a reasonable set of parameter values.     

Vickrey–Dutch procurement auction for multiple items

We consider a setting where there is a manufacturer who wants to procure multiple items from a set of suppliers each of whom can supply one or more of these items (bundles). We design an ascending price auction for such a setting which implements the Vickrey–Clarke–Groves outcome and truthful bidding is an ex post Nash equilibrium. Our auction maintains non-linear and non-anonymous prices throughout the auction. This auction has a simple price adjustment step and is easy to implement in practice. As offshoots of this auction, we also suggest other simple auctions (in which truthful bidding is not an equilibrium by suppliers) which may be suitable where incentives to suppliers are not a big concern. Computer simulations of our auction show that it is scalable for the multi-unit case, and has better information revelation properties than its descending auction counterpart.     

A new end-of-auction model for curbing sniping

The online auction market has been growing at a spectacular rate. Most auctionsare open-bid auctions where all the participants know the current highest bid.This knowledge has led to a phenomenon known as sniping, whereby somebidders may wait until the last possible moment before bidding, therebydepriving other bidders of the opportunity to respond and also preventingsellers from obtaining the highest price for an item. This is especially true inthe case of the commonly used second-price, fixed-deadline auction. We considera procedure involving a randomly determined stopping time and show that thisapproach eliminates the potential benefits to a sniper. The scheme enables allbidders to compete more fairly and promotes an early bidding strategy, which islikely to increase the price received by the seller while providing adequatebidding opportunities for would-be buyers.     

Design of discrete Dutch auctions with an uncertain number of bidders

The focus of this paper is on Dutch auctions where the bidding prices are restricted to a finite set of values and the number of bidders follows a Poisson distribution. The goal is to determine what the discrete bid levels should be to maximize the auctioneer’s expected revenue, which is the same as the average selling price of the object under consideration. We take a new approach to the problem by formulating the descending-price competitive bidding process as a nonlinear program. The optimal solution indicates that the interval between two successive bids should be wider as the Dutch auction progresses. Moreover, the auctioneer’s maximum expected revenue increases with the number of bid levels to be set as well as the expected number of bidders. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate the key results from this study and their managerial implications are discussed.     

Sets in excess demand in simple ascending auctions with unit-demand bidders

This paper analyzes the problem of selecting a set of items whose prices are to be updated in the next iteration in so called simple ascending auctions with unit-demand bidders. A family of sets called “sets in excess demand” is introduced, and the main result demonstrates that a simple ascending auction always terminates at the minimum Walrasian equilibrium prices if and only if the selection belongs to this family.     

Auctions with bidder-determined allowable combinations

Combinatorial auctions are desirable as they enable bidders to express the synergistic values of a group of assets and thus may lead to better allocations. Compared to other types of auctions, they keep bidders from being exposed to risks (of receiving only parts of combinations that would be valuable to them) or from being overly cautious (in order to minimize such risks). However, computation time needed to determine the set of optimal winning combinations in a general combinatorial auction may grow exponentially as the auction size increases, and this is sometimes given as a reason for not using combinatorial auctions. To determine the winning allocation in a reasonable time, a bid taker might try to limit the kinds of allowable combinations, but bidders may disagree on what combinations should be allowed, and this may make limiting the allowable combinations politically infeasible.This paper proposes and tests successfully a new approach to managing the computational complexity of determining the set of winning combinations. The main idea is to let bidders themselves determine and prioritize the allowable combinations. Using bidder-determined combinations has two nice properties. First, by delegating the decision on what is biddable to the bidders who know what combinations are important to them, the bid taker is able to be (and appear) fair. Second, since bidders know their economics and have the incentive to get important combinations included, bidder prioritization of combinations will tend to assure that the most economically-important combinations are included in determining the winning set of bids if the bid taker is not able to consider all of the combinations submitted by bidders. The proposed auction process is useful in situations, such as government auctions, in which the bid taker is reluctant to limit the allowable combinations.     

Large auctions with risk-averse bidders

We study private-value auctions with n risk-averse bidders, where n is large. We first use asymptotic analysis techniques to calculate explicit approximations of the equilibrium bids and of the seller’s revenue in any k-price auction (k = 1, 2, . . .). These explicit approximations show that in all large k-price auctions the effect of risk-aversion is O(1/n ²) small. Hence, all large k-price auctions with risk-averse bidders are O(1/n ²) revenue equivalent. The generalization, that all large auctions are O(1/n ²) revenue equivalent, is false. Indeed, we show that there exist auction mechanisms for which the limiting revenue as ${n\longrightarrow \infty }We study private-value auctions with n risk-averse bidders, where n is large. We first use asymptotic analysis techniques to calculate explicit approximations of the equilibrium bids and of the seller’s revenue in any k-price auction (k = 1, 2, . . .). These explicit approximations show that in all large k-price auctions the effect of risk-aversion is O(1/n ²) small. Hence, all large k-price auctions with risk-averse bidders are O(1/n ²) revenue equivalent. The generalization, that all large auctions are O(1/n ²) revenue equivalent, is false. Indeed, we show that there exist auction mechanisms for which the limiting revenue as n? ￥{n\longrightarrow \infty } with risk-averse bidders is strictly below the risk-neutral limit. Therefore, these auction mechanisms are not revenue equivalent to large k-price auctions even to leading-order as n? ￥{n\longrightarrow \infty }.     

面向电子逆向拍卖的多属性报价建议模型

针对多属性拍卖中报价的复杂性和现有报价指导模型的局限性,提出了一个以拍卖方的总价值提升为基本约束,以投标人的利润最大化为目标的多属性报价建议模型,并引入二元变量解决了定性属性的推荐问题。当投标人具有不同的投标能力和偏好时,模型可根据投标人的投标要求进行报价推荐;当存在单位价值相同的推荐报价时,模型设置了相应的约束以鼓励早投标行为。最后,还从理论上证明了该模型的稳定性,并通过算例说明了模型的可行性。     

Designing sniping agents

Sniping agents are increasingly being deployed to assist bidders in acquiring items in online auctions. This paper reviews the extant auction literature and proposes an overarching sniping agent design framework that could potentially increase the commercial viability of snipping agents. For better alignment between the functions of sniping agents and the needs of human bidders, we review existing literature based on three fundamentals: (1) knowledge about human bidder behavior, (2) awareness of the product(s) desired by a bidder, and (3) an understanding of the research on bidding agents and auction design. The output of this review is the explicit consideration of iterative combinatorial auction agent design, fuzzy set representation of the bidder’s preferences and dynamic derivation of bidding strategies according to the progress of ongoing auctions.     

On being balanced in an unbalanced world

This paper examines the case of a procurement auction for a single project, in which the breakdown of the winning bid into its component items determines the value of payments subsequently made to bidder as the work progresses. Unbalanced bidding, or bid skewing, involves the uneven distribution of mark-up among the component items in such a way as to attempt to derive increased benefit to the unbalancer but without involving any change in the total bid. One form of unbalanced bidding for example, termed Front Loading (FL), is thought to be widespread in practice. This involves overpricing the work items that occur early in the project and underpricing the work items that occur later in the project in order to enhance the bidder's cash flow. Naturally, auctioners attempt to protect themselves from the effects of unbalancing—typically reserving the right to reject a bid that has been detected as unbalanced. As a result, models have been developed to both unbalance bids and detect unbalanced bids but virtually nothing is known of their use, success or otherwise. This is of particular concern for the detection methods as, without testing, there is no way of knowing the extent to which unbalanced bids are remaining undetected or balanced bids are being falsely detected as unbalanced. This paper reports on a simulation study aimed at demonstrating the likely effects of unbalanced bid detection models in a deterministic environment involving FL unbalancing in a Texas DOT detection setting, in which bids are deemed to be unbalanced if an item exceeds a maximum (or fails to reach a minimum) ‘cut-off’ value determined by the Texas method. A proportion of bids are automatically and maximally unbalanced over a long series of simulated contract projects and the profits and detection rates of both the balancers and unbalancers are compared. The results show that, as expected, the balanced bids are often incorrectly detected as unbalanced, with the rate of (mis)detection increasing with the proportion of FL bidders in the auction. It is also shown that, while the profit for balanced bidders remains the same irrespective of the number of FL bidders involved, the FL bidder's profit increases with the greater proportion of FL bidders present in the auction. Sensitivity tests show the results to be generally robust, with (mis)detection rates increasing further when there are fewer bidders in the auction and when more data are averaged to determine the baseline value, but being smaller or larger with increased cut-off values and increased cost and estimate variability depending on the number of FL bidders involved. The FL bidder's expected benefit from unbalancing, on the other hand, increases, when there are fewer bidders in the auction. It also increases when the cut-off rate and discount rate is increased, when there is less variability in the costs and their estimates, and when less data are used in setting the baseline values.