不同情形下供应链优化决策模型的比较分析

本文提出三种不同情形（制造商与零售商追求各自利润最大化，并且没有价格折扣策略；制造商与零售商共同追求总利润最大化，不实施价格折扣策略；制造商与零售商共同追求总利润最大化，并实施价格折扣策略）下供应链价格和库存补充策略的优化决策模型，并通过具体数例进行比较分析，结果表明，供应链合作并实施价格折扣策略时的供应链总利润最高，而供应链双方利润分配系数的变化对基于供应链总利润最大化的供应链优化决策没有影响．     

具有非线性采购成本库存控制问题的研究现状与挑战

库存管理是基于运筹学而发展起来的一门学科,并成为近几十年来运筹学和管理科学重要的研究领域之一。在库存系统中,采购成本是必不可少的成本之一,主要包含产品成本、运输成本、装卸成本等。现实中,采购成本依赖于采购量,且往往是采购量的非线性函数。介绍了几类常见的采购成本函数：依赖于采购量的固定成本、增量折扣、全量折扣、车载容量折扣和凸采购成本等。基于周期盘点库存模型和连续盘点库存模型,综述了带有这些非线性采购成本函数的库存模型研究进展。虽然经过了几十年的研究,但很多带有非线性采购成本的库存模型的最优采购策略因为其复杂性至今未能被完整刻画。通过综述来简单讨论该类问题的挑战和机会。     

一种随机需求下的供应链激励机制

研究了在随机需求条件下，供应链中用价格折扣策略协调供需双方利益的问题。考虑随机性需求有可能造成分销商的库存积压，本提出了生产商给予分销商的积压商品价格折扣的策略，分析了其激励机制，给出了最优价格折扣的模型和算法。最后用数值方法验证了这种价格折扣策略能够给生产商和分销商带来利益改善，而且需求波动越大，该策略的协调效果越好。     

THE INTRINSIC QUALITATIVE PROPERTIES OF THE CLASSICAL OPTIMAL STOPPING PROBLEM ARE INVARIANT TO THE FUNCTIONAL FORM OF THE DISCOUNT FUNCTION

Abstract The intrinsic qualitative properties of a generic optimal stopping model are shown to be invariant to the functional form of the discount function. If the discount function is assumed to be a member of particular infinite parametric family—a family that includes the exponential and classical hyperbolic discount functions as special cases—an additional refutable comparative statics result is produced that holds for the entire family. Consequently, if one limits econometric tests of the model to its qualitative properties, one cannot determine the form of the discount function used by the decision maker. It is also shown that the only discount function that yields a time‐consistent stopping rule is the exponential function with a constant rate of discount.     

贴现率不确定条件下矿产资源最优开采及资源税研究

贴现率在研究矿产资源代际优化配置时起着非常重要的作用。首先,在贴现率具有不确定性的条件下,讨论了矿产资源的最优开采问题,给出了矿产资源价格期望变化率;其次研究了贴现率具有不确定性、市场存在垄断时最优资源税设定问题。结果显示,贴现率的不确定性降低了资源价格期望变化率,但从价资源税不受其影响,从量资源税与不确定性程度之间存在反向变动关系。     

基于信用支付和现金折扣的变质物品库存模型

本文在供应商提供给零售商定期信用支付和现金折扣情况下,研究了零售商的变质物品最优库存问题。基于信用支付和现金折扣的两种支付条件下,分四种情况建立库存模型,并给出了寻求变质物品最优订购周期和最优付款时间的有效算法。最后,给出算例以及最优解,以说明本模型及求解过程。     

Incremental discount policy of cell-phone carrier with connection success rate constraint

Korean mobile carriers have implemented various service plans to gain additional market share. One of them is incremental discount policy on the call rate in which subscriber pays less for calls longer than a prescribed length. In this paper, a mathematical model is developed to find an optimal discount policy with the objective of maximizing the carrier’s average expected revenue while satisfying a prescribed connection success rate. Through the analysis of the objective function we find a reduced solution space in which an optimal solution can be found by a search method. Through solving example problems the validity of the model is illustrated.     

两货栈及延期支付和现金折扣情形下变质产品的最优订货策略

已有的两货栈库存模型通常不考虑将延期支付和现金折扣相结合的情形,但实际上,供应商在给予销售商延期支付政策的同时,也会实施现金折扣策略以激励销售商尽快付款,加快资金周转,减少坏账损失。为此,本文建立了延期支付和现金折扣情形下变质产品的两货栈库存模型,并对模型的最优解进行理论分析,给出了最优解的求解步骤。最后通过数值算例对模型的可行性进行了验证,并分析了模型参数变化对最优订货策略和最优付款时间的影响。     

Ordering and pricing decisions in a two-echelon supply chain with asymmetric demand information

This article examines coordinated decisions in a decentralized supply chain that consists of one supplier and one retailer, and faces random demand of a single product with a short life cycle. We consider a setting where the retailer has accurate demand information while the supplier does not. Such a problem with asymmetric demand information can be viewed as an extension of the newsboy problem in which both the supplier and the retailer possess the same demand information. Combining the mechanism of sharing demand information and that of quantity discount and return policy enables us to develop three coordinated models in contrast with the basic and uncoordinated model. We are able to show the ordinal relationship among the retailer’s optimal order quantities in these four models under a general form of random demand, and compare the supply chain profits and conduct sensitivity analysis analytically in four models under uniform random demand. We also provide numerical results under normal random demand that bear a resemblance to those under uniform random demand.     

两货栈及延期支付和现金折扣情形下变质产品的最优订货策略

已有的两货栈库存模型通常不考虑将延期支付和现金折扣相结合的情形,但实际上,供应商在给予销售商延期支付政策的同时,也会实施现金折扣策略以激励销售商尽快付款,加快资金周转,减少坏账损失。为此,本文建立了延期支付和现金折扣情形下变质产品的两货栈库存模型,并对模型的最优解进行理论分析,给出了最优解的求解步骤。最后通过数值算例对模型的可行性进行了验证,并分析了模型参数变化对最优订货策略和最优付款时间的影响。     

Optimal ordering and pricing policy with supplier quantity discounts and price-dependent stochastic demand

We study a joint ordering and pricing problem for a retailer whose supplier provides all-unit quantity discount for the product. Both generalized disjunctive programming model and mixed integer nonlinear programming model are presented to formulate the problem. Some properties of the problem are analysed, based on which a solution algorithm is developed. Two numerical examples are presented to illustrate the problem, which are solved by our solution algorithm. Managerial analysis indicates that supplier quantity discount has much influence on the ordering and pricing policy of the retailer and more profit can be obtained when the supplier provides quantity discount.     

An overview on available models and techniques for the multicriteria reliability problem with emphasis on a potential use in a DSS for this problem type

The paper reviews available models and techniques covering three classes of the multi-criteria reliability problem. These classes include allocation of reliabilities in presence of multiple goals, reliability optimization with several kinds of failures and allocation of resources to optimize multiattribute systems. Optimization techniques are also suggested. The models and techniques are also evaluated with respect to their potential use in a DSS for reliability optimization.     

ON HYPERBOLIC TIME DISCOUNTING IN EXHAUSTIBLE RESOURCE MODELS: AN APPLICATION TO WORLD OIL RESOURCES

ABSTRACT. Recent research on discounting in long term economic models involves hyperbolic discounting, in which the marginal discount rate shrinks as time passes. To investigate hyperbolic discounting and exhaustible resource allocation, this work develops a discrete‐time world oil model and model solution procedure, then uses the model to examine the consequences of adopting conventional (constant annual) discounting when hyperbolic discounting is appropriate, of adopting one hyperbolic discount rate path when a different hyperbolic path is appropriate, and of adopting hyperbolic discounting when conventional discounting is appropriate. Five conventional and two hyperbolic discount rate paths are considered. One hyperbolic path is that used by Nordhaus and Boyer [2000]; the other is that recommended by Weitzman [2001]. The generality of the findings is also assessed.     

Reliability assessment for load‐sharing systems with exponential components using statistical expansion as a correction

Among recent system models, one specific type of system is generally used to model the dependence among components. Components are connected parallel in such systems as they fail one by one and are supposed to share the system work load. The model is thus referred to as the load‐sharing system model. Despite the availability of extensive reliability assessment methods for different systems, load‐sharing systems have not received enough attention from the scholars who have studied reliability assessment so far. Load‐sharing systems are generally designed for high levels of reliability. Therefore, tests for such systems can be expensive and time consuming. Limitation on resources always leads to small test sample sizes. This increases the difficulties associated with obtaining an accurate and robust system reliability assessment result. This paper proposes a novel assessment method for a certain type of load‐sharing system with components following exponential lifetime distributions. Based on the parameter estimation of the system reliability model, we introduce the Winterbottom‐Cornish‐Fisher asymptotic expansion method for implementing a correction of normal approximation. We demonstrate the accuracy of our method through a series of examples and simulation studies.     

常系数投资消费模型的一些优化性质

本文在有效易费的常系数投资消费模型下，讨论了折算函数和价值函数的一些基本性质，即给出了价值函数的凹性、连续性、正则性和变分不等式的粘性上解以及粘性解存在性等结果。     

Structural properties of the optimal resource allocation policy for single-queue systems

This paper studies structural properties of the optimal resource allocation policy for single-queue systems. Jobs arrive at a service facility and are sent one by one to a pool of computing resources for parallel processing. The facility poses a constraint on the maximum expected sojourn time of a job. A central decision maker allocates the servers dynamically to the facility. We consider two models: a limited resource allocation model, where the allocation of resources can only be changed at the start of a new service, and a fully flexible allocation model, where the allocation of resources can also change during a service period. In these two models, the objective is to minimize the average utilization costs whilst satisfying the time constraint. To this end, we cast these optimization problems as Markov decision problems and derive structural properties of the relative value function. We show via dynamic programming that (1) the optimal allocation policy has a work-conservation property, and (2) the optimal number of servers follows a step function with as extreme policy the bang-bang control policy. Moreover, (3) we provide conditions under which the bang-bang control policy takes place. These properties give a full characterization of the optimal policy, which are illustrated by numerical experiments.     

基于重复博弈的地方政府精准扶贫合作机制研究

精准扶贫是习近平总书记为彻底解决贫困问题而提出一项战略要求。精准扶贫是一项复杂性较高、涉及范畴较广的系统工作,其工作的展开需要由地方政府共同协作完成。地方政府合作周期长短对精准扶贫有着巨大的影响,基于博弈论的基本思想方法,针对地方政府精准扶贫合作机制进行研究。首先,针对精准扶贫过程中完全信息静态博弈的情况,构建地方政府合作与非合作的无限次重复博弈模型,并分析双方政府均采取冷酷战略时,彼此合作的临界贴现因子;然后,针对精准扶贫过程中地方政府合作周期长短对精准扶贫成效的问题,探讨了有限重复博弈模型的临界贴现因子与地方政府合作周期的关系。分析表明：在精准扶贫过程中,双方政府合作周期越长,临界贴现因子越小,精准扶贫合作的稳定性越强。最后,针对精准扶贫过程中地方政府合作周期和合作机制等提出对策和建议。     

复杂系统可靠性的Bayes—Easterling综合方法

本文对于由成败型单元和指数寿命型单元组成的串，并联系统进行综合。文中研究了Ｂａｙｅｓ－Ｅａｓｔｅｒｌｉｎｇ高阶逼近方法，进行了误差分析，所提出了的方法，可用于特高可靠性下的复杂系统可靠性评估。     

基于CVaR准则的折扣回购策略双层风险决策

首先,引入条件风险值(CVaR)准则,作为风险厌恶型的供应商和零售商的决策准则,建立了基于条件风险值(CVaR)准则的折扣回购策略双层风险决策模型.然后,导出了零售商在批发价格下的最优订购公式,证明了订购量随着折扣增大而增大,随着批发价格增大而减小,数值实验表明供应商可以通过折扣和批发价来分担零售商的风险损失,来使供应链达到协调.     

An optimization approach for supply chain management models with quantity discount policy

Owing to the difficulty of treating nonlinear functions, many supply chain management (SCM) models assume that the average prices of materials, production, transportation, and inventory are constant. This assumption, however, is not practical. Vendors usually offer quantity discounts to encourage the buyers to order more, and the producer intends to discount the unit production cost if the amount of production is large. This study solves a nonlinear SCM model capable of treating various quantity discount functions simultaneously, including linear, single breakpoint, step, and multiple breakpoint functions. By utilizing the presented linearization techniques, such a nonlinear model is approximated to a linear mixed 0–1 program solvable to obtain a global optimum.