具有一致相关的纵向数据模型中方差和相关系数的齐性检验

在纵向数据分析中, 模型方差的齐性是一个基本假定, 但是该假定未必正确. 林金官、韦博成^[1]讨论了具有AR(1)误差的非线性纵向数据模型中方差和相关系数的齐性检验. 本文对具有一致相关协方差结构的纵向数据模型, 研究了方差齐性和相关系数齐性的检验, 得到了检验的score统计量, 并应用于葡萄糖数据. 最后, 本文还给出了模拟结果.     

具有线性趋势回归信度模型的自相关性的score检验

回归信度模型在保险研究中具有重要的作用。本文讨论了具有线性趋势回归信度模型自相关性的score检验问题。首先推导出模型中自相关存在性检验的score检验统计量,然后利用Monte-Carlo方法模拟了此种检验统计量的功效。最后利用文中所得到的检验方法对旅客意外身体伤害保险数据进行了实例分析。     

具有AR(1)误差的线性随机效应模型中方差齐性和自相关性的检验

在回归分析中，方差齐性是一个很基本的假设．本文对具有AR(1)误差的线性随机效应模型，研究了方差齐性和自相关性的检验问题．我们分别讨论了随机误差异方差、随机效应异方差、多元异方差以及自相关性的检验问题，并用score检验方法给出了三种方差齐性和自相关性的检验统计量．随机模拟的结果表明，当样本容量较大时，检验的功效较好．本文还给出一个数值例子说明检验方法的实用性．另外，模型的结果也可以推广到非线性情形．     

线性度量误差模型的序列相关检验

回归模型的序列相关检验是经济和金融数据分析中的一项重要的工作.基于最小二乘残差,作者提出了一个检验统计量以检验线性度量误差模型的误差序列是否存在序列相关性.在零假设下,得到了检验统计量的渐近分布.数值模拟结果表明,这里提出的检验统计量具有良好的有限样本性质.     

具有线性趋势回归信度模型异方差的score检验

回归信度模型在保险研究中具有重要的作用.本文分险种内部,险种之间,险种内部及之间三种情形讨论了具有线性趋势回归信度模型异方差的score检验问题.首先推导了异方差存在性检验的score检验统计量,然后利用Monte-Carlo方法模拟了这几种检验统计量的功效,功效模拟结果显示：这几种检验统计量都有很好的检验效果.最后利用文中所得到的检验方法对旅客意外身体伤害保险数据进行了实例分析.     

具有ARIMA(0,1,0)误差的非线性模型的异方差检验

本文讨论随机误差是 ARIMA( 0 ,1 ,0 )序列的非线性回归模型的异方差检验问题 .首先导出了检验的 score统计量 ,然后利用参数的正交变换 ,得到了调整的 score统计量 .最后 ,利用氯化物数据 ( Bates &Watts,1 988)说明了检验方法的应用     

具有椭球等高分布误差的半参数回归模型参数的Bayes估计

本文给出了具有椭球等高分布误差的半参数回归模型中参数的Ｂａｙｅｓ估计．     

回归模型中异方差或变离差检验问题综述

回归模型的异方差或变离差检验是统计诊断的重要课题。本文系统介绍了普通回归模型、广义回归模型和基于纵向数据的随机效应或自相关回归模型的异方差检验或变离差检验的研究概况和最新进展；同时介绍了作者关于非线性回归模型的相应工作，最后指出了若干有有待进一步研究的问题。     

纵向部分线性模型的分块经验似然比检验

结合基函数逼近技术和分块经验似然方法,对纵向数据下的部分线性模型提出了一个简单有效的检验方法.在一定条件下,证明了所构造的检验统计量渐近服从标准卡方分布,进而得到了一定置信水平的拒绝域.数据模拟表明该检验方法可以有效地消除纵向数据的组内相关性对检验功效的影响.     

线性模型下F-检验最优的误差协方差结构

文献中回归参数线性假设的F-检验统计量主要包括基于广义最小二乘估计F- 统计量F(θ),基于最小二乘估计的F-统计量FLSE以及Wu C．F．J．等于1988年提出的调整的F-统计量FA(θ)．其中后两者因形式简单而常常被广泛采用．本文主要研究了FA(θ)和FLSE的最优性,并分别获得了FA(θ)=F(θ)和ELSE=F(θ)的充要条件．最后,我们将所得的结果应用到医药领域的两类重要模型．     

Uniform Convergence Rate of Estimators of Autocovariances in Partly Linear Regression Models with Correlated Errors

Consider the partly linear regression model ,where yi's are responses, xi = (xi1, xi2,…,xip)' and ti ∈T are known and nonrandom design points, T is a compact set in the real line is an unknown parameter vector, g(·) is an unknown function and {Ei} isa linear process, i.e., random variables with zeromean and variance o2e. Drawing upon B-spline estimation of g(·) and least squares estimation of 0, we construct estimators of the autocovariances of {Ei}- The uniform strong convergence rate of these estimators to their true values is then established. These results not only are a compensation for those of [23], but also have some application in modeling error structure. When the errors {Ei} are an ARMA process, our result can be used to develop a consistent procedure for determining the order of the ARMA process and identifying the non-zero coefficients of the process. Moreover, our result can be used to construct the asymptotically efficient estimators for parameters in the ARMA error process.     

Efficient Mean Estimation in Log-Normal Linear Models with First-Order Correlated Errors

In this paper, we propose a log-normal linear model whose errors are first-order correlated, and suggest a two-stage method for the efficient estimation of the conditional mean of the response variable at the original scale. We obtain two estimators which minimize the asymptotic mean squared error (MM) and the asymptotic bias (MB), respectively. Both the estimators are very easy to implement, and simulation studies show that they are perform better.     

Robust Bayesian Inference for Seemingly Unrelated Regressions with Elliptical Errors

Bayesian inference is considered for the seemingly unrelated regressions with an elliptically contoured error distribution. We show that the posterior distribution of the regression parameters and the predictive distribution of future observations under elliptical errors assumption are identical to those obtained under independently distributed normal errors when an improper prior is used. This gives inference robustness with respect to departures from the reference case of independent sampling from the normal distribution.     

部分线性模型非参数分量的线性关系检验

对于部分线性模型中非参数部分是否为某一特定阶数(记为p)的多项式函数的检验问题,本文基于非参数函数在各点的p阶导函数估计值的样本方差构造了一个简单的检验统计量.给出了计算检验p-值的三阶矩χ2逼近方法.最后通过数值模拟验证了我们所提检验方法的有效性.     

Truncated Estimator of Asymptotic Covariance Matrix in Partially Linear Models with Heteroscedastic Errors

A partially linear regression model with heteroscedastic and/or serially correlated errors is studied here. It is well known that in order to apply the semiparametric least squares estimation （SLSE） to make statistical inference a consistent estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix is needed. The traditional residual-based estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix is not consistent when the errors are heteroscedastic and/or serially correlated. In this paper we propose a new estimator by truncating, which is an extension of the procedure in White. This estimator is shown to be consistent when the truncating parameter converges to infinity with some rate.     

基于M估计的线性混合效应模型中方差的齐性检验

本文对纵向数据的线性混合模型,用Fisher得分法得到了参数的M估计(稳健估计),给出了其渐近性质,研究了M估计下异方差的Score检验问题,并对检验统计量的功效进行了模拟,最后通过葡萄糖数据的实例说明了本文方法的有效性.     

Asymptotic Normality of the Whittle Estimator in Linear Regression Models with Long Memory Errors

This paper establishes the asymptotic normality of the Whittle estimator of the unknown dependence parameters in a linear regression model with long memory moving average errors. The design variables are taken to be deterministic or random. In the latter case they are assumed to have a moving average representation that includes both short and long memory. In all cases, it is observed that the rate of consistency of the regression parameter estimator has an effect on the asymptotic normality of the Whittle estimator.     

Predictive Inference for the Elliptical Linear Model

This paper derives the prediction distribution of future responses from the linear model with errors having an elliptical distribution with known covariance parameters. For unknown covariance parameters, the marginal likelihood function of the parameters has been obtained and the prediction distribution has been modified by replacing the covariance parameters by their estimates obtained from the marginal likelihood function. It is observed that the prediction distribution with elliptical error has a multivariate Student'st-distribution with appropriate degrees of freedom. The results for some special cases such as the Intra-class correlation model, AR(1), MA(1), and ARMA(1,1) models have been obtained from the general results. As an application, theβ-expectation tolerance region has been constructed. An example has been added.