Threshold conditions for a discrete nonautonomous SIRS model

In this paper, a discrete nonautonomous SIRS epidemic model is studied. The model is constructed by applying a nonstandard finite difference scheme. Under weaker assumptions, the sufficient and necessary conditions on the permanence and strong persistence of the disease and the sufficient condition on the extinction of the disease are established. In order to illustrate our theoretical analysis, some numerical simulations are included in the end. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An SIRS epidemic model with pulse vaccination and non-monotonic incidence rate

An SIRS epidemic model with pulse vaccination and non-monotonic incidence rate is introduced. Some sufficient conditions for the global attractivity of the infection-free periodic solution and permanence of this system are presented. Two numerical simulations are also given to illustrate our main results.     

Global analysis of a delayed epidemic dynamical system with pulse vaccination and nonlinear incidence rate

This study explores the influence of epidemics by numerical simulations and analytical techniques. Pulse vaccination is an effective strategy for the treatment of epidemics. Usually, an infectious disease is discovered after the latent period, H1N1 for instance. The vaccinees (susceptible individuals who have started the vaccination process) are different from both susceptible and recovered individuals. So we put forward a SVEIRS epidemic model with two time delays and nonlinear incidence rate, and analyze the dynamical behavior of the model under pulse vaccination. The global attractivity of ‘infection-free’ periodic solution and the existence, uniqueness, permanence of the endemic periodic solution are investigated. We obtain sufficient condition for the permanence of the epidemic model with pulse vaccination. The main feature of this study is to introduce two discrete time delays and impulse into SVEIRS epidemic model and to give pulse vaccination strategies.     

Permanence of an SIR epidemic model with density dependent birth rate and distributed time delay

In this paper, we investigate the permanence of an SIR epidemic model with a density-dependent birth rate and a distributed time delay. We first consider the attractivity of the disease-free equilibrium and then show that for any time delay, the delayed SIR epidemic model is permanent if and only if an endemic equilibrium exists. Numerical examples are given to illustrate the theoretical analysis. The results obtained are also compared with those from the analog system with a discrete time delay.     

Stability analysis in a class of discrete SIRS epidemic models

In this paper, the dynamical behaviors of a class of discrete-time SIRS epidemic models are discussed. The conditions for the existence and local stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium are obtained. The numerical simulations not only illustrate the validity of our results, but also exhibit more complex dynamical behaviors, such as flip bifurcation, Hopf bifurcation and chaos phenomenon. These results reveal far richer dynamical behaviors of the discrete epidemic model compared with the continuous epidemic models.     

Two profitless delays for an SEIRS epidemic disease model with vertical transmission and pulse vaccination

Since the investigation of impulsive delay differential equations is beginning, the literature on delay epidemic models with pulse vaccination is not extensive. In this paper, we propose a new SEIRS epidemic disease model with two profitless delays and vertical transmission, and analyze the dynamics behaviors of the model under pulse vaccination. Using the discrete dynamical system determined by the stroboscopic map, we obtain a ‘infection-free’ periodic solution, further, show that the ‘infection-free’ periodic solution is globally attractive when some parameters of the model are under appropriate conditions. Using a new modeling method, we obtain sufficient condition for the permanence of the epidemic model with pulse vaccination. We show that time delays, pulse vaccination and vertical transmission can bring different effects on the dynamics behaviors of the model by numerical analysis. Our results also show the delays are “profitless”. In this paper, the main feature is to introduce two discrete time delays, vertical transmission and impulse into SEIRS epidemic model and to give pulse vaccination strategies.     

Pulse vaccination delayed SEIRS epidemic model with saturation incidence

A delayed SEIRS epidemic model with pulse vaccination and saturation incidence rate is investigated. Using the discrete dynamical system determined by the stroboscopic map, we obtain the existence of the disease-free periodic solution and its exact expression. Further, using the comparison theorem, we establish the sufficient conditions of global attractivity of the disease-free periodic solution and the permanence of disease. Our results indicate that a long latent period of the disease or a proper pulse vaccination rate will lead to eradication of the disease.     

一类具非线性发生率和垂直传染的流行病模型分析

研究了一类具非线性发生率和垂直传染的SEIR传染病模型,在模型中考虑了时滞和脉冲免疫接种,运用离散动力系统的频闪映射,获得了一个无病周期解,并得到了无病周期解全局吸引的条件,运用脉冲时滞泛函微分方程理论,获得了含有时滞的模型持久性的充分条件.     

Analysis of epidemic spreading of an SIRS model in complex heterogeneous networks

In this paper, we study the spreading of infections in complex heterogeneous networks based on an SIRS epidemic model with birth and death rates. We find that the dynamics of the network-based SIRS model is completely determined by a threshold value. If the value is less than or equal to one, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally attractive and the disease dies out. Otherwise, the disease-free equilibrium becomes unstable and in the meantime there exists uniquely an endemic equilibrium which is globally asymptotically stable. A series of numerical experiments are given to illustrate the theoretical results. We also consider the SIRS model in the clustered scale-free networks to examine the effect of network community structure on the epidemic dynamics.     

Global attractivity and permanence of a SVEIR epidemic model with pulse vaccination and time delay

In this study, we propose a new SVEIR epidemic disease model with time delay, and analyze the dynamic behavior of the model under pulse vaccination. Pulse vaccination is an effective strategy for the elimination of infectious disease. Using the discrete dynamical system determined by the stroboscopic map, we obtain an ‘infection-free’ periodic solution. We also show that the ‘infection-free’ periodic solution is globally attractive when some parameters of the model under appropriate conditions. The permanence of the model is investigated analytically. Our results indicate that a large vaccination rate or a short pulse of vaccination or a long latent period is a sufficient condition for the extinction of the disease.     

Global stability for a multi-group SIRS epidemic model with varying population sizes

In this paper, by extending well-known Lyapunov function techniques to SIRS epidemic models, we establish sufficient conditions for the global stability of an endemic equilibrium of a multi-group SIRS epidemic model with varying population sizes which has cross patch infection between different groups. Our proof no longer needs such a grouping technique by graph theory commonly used to analyze the multi-group SIR models.     

Global attractivity and permanence of a delayed SVEIR epidemic model with pulse vaccination and saturation incidence

In this study, we formulate and analyze a new SVEIR epidemic disease model with time delay and saturation incidence, and analyze the dynamic behavior of the model under pulse vaccination. Using the discrete dynamical system determined by the stroboscopic map, we obtain an ‘infection-free’ periodic solution, further, show that the ‘infection-free’ periodic solution is globally attractive for some parameters of the model under appropriate conditions. The permanence of the model is investigated analytically. By computer simulation it is concluded that a large vaccination rate or a short pulse of vaccination or a long latent period are each a sufficient condition for the extinction of the disease.     

Global stability of nonresident computer virus models

In this paper, applying Lyapunov functional techniques to nonresident computer virus models, we establish global dynamics of the model whose threshold parameter is the basic reproduction number R₀ such that the virus‐free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when R₀ ≤ 1, and the infected equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when R₀ > 1 under the same restricted condition on a parameter, which appeared in the literature on delayed susceptible‐infected‐recovered‐susceptible (SIRS) epidemic models. We use new techniques on permanence and global stability of this model for R₀ > 1. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

一类新的含有垂直传染与脉冲免疫的时滞SEIR传染病模型的全局动力学行为

对一个带有有害时滞与垂直传染的SEIR传染病模型,在脉冲免疫接种条件下,分析了其动力学行为．运用离散动力系统的频闪映射,获得了一个‘无病’周期解,证明了当模型的一些参数在适当的条件下,该‘无病’周期解是全局吸引的．运用脉冲时滞泛函微分方程理论,获得了含有时滞的持久性的充分条件,并且证明了时滞、脉冲免疫与垂直传染对模型的动力学行为能够产生显著的影响．结论表明该时滞是“有害”时滞．     

The threshold of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with saturated incidence

In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with saturated incidence. When the noise is small, we obtain a threshold of the stochastic system which determines the extinction and persistence of the epidemic. Besides, we find that large noise will suppress the epidemic from prevailing.     

A delayed SIRS epidemic model with pulse vaccination

A delayed SIRS epidemic model with pulse vaccination and saturated contact rate is investigated. By using the discrete dynamical system determined by the stroboscopic map, we obtain the exact infection-free periodic solution of the system. Further, by using the comparison theorem, we prove that under the condition that R₀ < 1 the infection-free periodic solution is globally attractive, and that under the condition that R′ > 1 the disease is uniformly persistent, which means that after some period of time the disease will become endemic.     

Global dynamics of a discretized SIRS epidemic model with time delay

We derive a discretized SIRS epidemic model with time delay by applying a nonstandard finite difference scheme. Sufficient conditions for the global dynamics of the solution are obtained by improvements in discretization and applying proofs for continuous epidemic models. These conditions for our discretized model are the same as for the original continuous model.     

Complete global stability for an SIRS epidemic model with generalized non-linear incidence and vaccination

This paper deals with global dynamics of an SIRS epidemic model for infections with non permanent acquired immunity. The SIRS model studied here incorporates a preventive vaccination and generalized non-linear incidence rate as well as the disease-related death. Lyapunov functions are used to show that the disease-free equilibrium state is globally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number is less than or equal to one, and that there is an endemic equilibrium state which is globally asymptotically stable when it is greater than one.     

Permanence for a nonautonomous discrete single-species system with delays and feedback control

A nonautonomous discrete single-species system with delays and feedback control is studied. New sufficient conditions for ensuring the permanence of the system are obtained. A very important fact is found in our results, that is, that the feedback control is harmless to the permanence of species. The corresponding results given in [F.D. Chen, Permanence of a single species discrete model with feedback control and delay, Appl. Math. Lett. 20 (2007) 729–733] are improved and extended.     

The SIR epidemic model from a PDE point of view

We present a derivation of the classical Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) and Susceptible-Infected-Removed-Susceptible (SIRS) models through a mean-field approximation from a discrete version of SIR(S). We then obtain a hyperbolic forward Kolmogorov equation, and show that its projected characteristics recover the standard SIR(S) model. Moreover, for the SIRS model, we show that the long time limit of the SIRS model will be a Dirac measure supported on the corresponding isolated equilibria. For the SIR model, we show that the long time limit is a Radon measure supported in a segment of nonisolated equilibria.