Rate of convergence in the law of large numbers for supercritical general multi-type branching processes

We provide sufficient conditions for polynomial rate of convergence in the weak law of large numbers for supercritical general indecomposable multi-type branching processes. The main result is derived by investigating the embedded single-type process composed of all individuals having the same type as the ancestor. As an important intermediate step, we determine the (exact) polynomial rate of convergence of Nerman’s martingale in continuous time to its limit. The techniques used also allow us to give streamlined proofs of the weak and strong laws of large numbers and ratio convergence for the processes in focus.     

Sample path large deviations for super-Brownian motion

Summary We derive two large deviation principles of Freidlin-Wentzell type for rescaled super-Brownian motion. For one of the appearing rate functions an integral representation is given and interpreted as Kakutani-Hellinger energy. As a tool we develop estimates for the Laplace functionals of (historical) super-Brownian motion and certain maximal inequalities. Also it is shown that the Hölder norm of index <1/2 of the processtf, X _t possesses some finite exponential moments provided the functionf is smooth.This work was supported in part by the Graduiertenkolleg Algebraische, analytische und geometrische Methoden und ihre Wechselwirkung in der modernen Mathematik, Bonn     

New large deviation results for some super-Brownian processes

We give large deviation results for the super-Brownian excursion conditioned to have unit mass or unit extinction time and for super-Brownian motion with constant non-positive drift. We use a representation of these processes by a path-valued process, the so-called Brownian snake for which we state large deviation principles.     

A new approach to the single point catalytic super-Brownian motion

Summary A new approach is provided to the super-Brownian motionX with a single point-catalyst _c as branching rate. We start from a superprocessU with constant branching rate and spatial motion given by the 1/2-stable subordinator. We prove that the occupation density measure ^c ofX at the catalystc is distributed as the total occupation time measure ofU. Furthermore, we show thatX _t is determined from ^c by an explicit representation formula. Heuristically, a mass ^c (ds) of particles leaves the catalyst at times and then evolves according to Itô's Brownian excursion measure. As a consequence of our representation formula, the density fieldx ofX satisfies the heat equation outside ofc, with a noisy boundary condition atc given by the singularly continuous random measure ^c . In particular,x isC outside the catalyst. We also provide a new derivation of the singularity of the measure ^c .     

Lower deviation probabilities for supercritical Galton-Watson processes

There is a well-known sequence of constants cn describing the growth of supercritical Galton-Watson processes Zn. By lower deviation probabilities we refer to P(Zn=kn) with kn=o(cn) as n increases. We give a detailed picture of the asymptotic behavior of such lower deviation probabilities. This complements and corrects results known from the literature concerning special cases. Knowledge on lower deviation probabilities is needed to describe large deviations of the ratio Zn+1/Zn. The latter are important in statistical inference to estimate the offspring mean. For our proofs, we adapt the well-known Cramér method for proving large deviations of sums of independent variables to our needs.     

Fluctuations of the empirical quantiles of independent Brownian motions

We consider iid Brownian motions, B_j(t), where B_j(0) has a rapidly decreasing, smooth density function f. The empirical quantiles, or pointwise order statistics, are denoted by B_j:n(t), and we consider a sequence Q_n(t)=B_j(n):n(t), where j(n)/n→α∈(0,1). This sequence converges in probability to q(t), the α-quantile of the law of B_j(t). We first show convergence in law in C[0,∞) of F_n=n^1/2(Q_n−q). We then investigate properties of the limit process F, including its local covariance structure, and Hölder-continuity and variations of its sample paths. In particular, we find that F has the same local properties as fBm with Hurst parameter H=1/4.     

Law of large numbers and central limit theorem for randomly forced PDE's

We consider a class of dissipative PDE's perturbed by an external random force. Under the condition that the distribution of perturbation is sufficiently non-degenerate, a strong law of large numbers (SLLN) and a central limit theorem (CLT) for solutions are established and the corresponding rates of convergence are estimated. It is also shown that the estimates obtained are close to being optimal. The proofs are based on the property of exponential mixing for the problem in question and some abstract SLLN and CLT for mixing-type Markov processes.     

Asymptotic distribution of the CLSE in a critical process with immigration

It is known that in the critical case the conditional least squares estimator (CLSE) of the offspring mean of a discrete time branching process with immigration is not asymptotically normal. If the offspring variance tends to zero, it is normal with normalization factor n^2/3$n^{2/3}$. We study a situation of its asymptotic normality in the case of non-degenerate offspring distribution for the process with time-dependent immigration, whose mean and variance vary regularly with non-negative exponents α$\alpha$ and β$\beta$, respectively. We prove that if β<1+2α$\beta <1+2\alpha$, the CLSE is asymptotically normal with two different normalization factors and if β>1+2α$\beta >1+2\alpha$, its limit distribution is not normal but can be expressed in terms of the distribution of certain functionals of the time-changed Wiener process. When β=1+2α$\beta =1+2\alpha$ the limit distribution depends on the behavior of the slowly varying parts of the mean and variance.     

Boundary Harnack principle for subordinate Brownian motions

We establish a boundary Harnack principle for a large class of subordinate Brownian motions, including mixtures of symmetric stable processes, in κ$\kappa$-fat open sets (disconnected analogue of John domains). As an application of the boundary Harnack principle, we identify the Martin boundary and the minimal Martin boundary of bounded κ$\kappa$-fat open sets with respect to these processes with their Euclidean boundaries.     

Estimation of the offspring mean in a supercritical branching process with non-stationary immigration

In this paper, we consider the conditional least squares estimator (CLSE) of the offspring mean of a branching process with non-stationary immigration based on the observation of population sizes. In the supercritical case, assuming that the immigration variables follow known distributions, conditions guaranteeing the strong consistency of the proposed estimator will be derived. The asymptotic normality of the estimator will also be proved. The proofs are based on direct probabilistic arguments, unlike the previous papers, where functional limit theorems for the process were used.     

White noise driven SPDEs with reflection: Existence,uniqueness and large deviation principles

In the first part of this paper, we prove the uniqueness of the solutions of SPDEs with reflection, which was left open in the paper [C. Donati-Martin, E. Pardoux, White noise driven SPDEs with reflection, Probab. Theory Related Fields 95 (1993) 1–24]. We also obtain the existence of the solution for more general coefficients depending on the past with a much shorter proof. In the second part of the paper, we establish a large deviation principle for SPDEs with reflection. The weak convergence approach is proven to be very efficient on this occasion.     

Limit theorems for occupation time fluctuations of branching systems II: Critical and large dimensions

We give functional limit theorems for the fluctuations of the rescaled occupation time process of a critical branching particle system in R^d${\mathbb{R}}^d$ with symmetric α$\alpha$-stable motion in the cases of critical and large dimensions, d=2α$d=2\alpha$ and d>2α$d>2\alpha$. In a previous paper [T. Bojdecki, L.G. Gorostiza, A. Talarczyk, Limit theorems for occupation time fluctuations of branching systems I: long-range dependence, Stochastic Process. Appl., this issue.] we treated the case of intermediate dimensions, α<d<2α$\alpha <d<2\alpha$, which leads to a long-range dependence limit process. In contrast, in the present cases the limits are generalized Wiener processes. We use the same space–time random field method of the previous paper, the main difference being that now the tightness requires a new approach and the proofs are more difficult. We also give analogous results for the system without branching in the cases d=α$d=\alpha$ and d>α$d>\alpha$.     

Non-homogeneous random walks on a semi-infinite strip

We study the asymptotic behaviour of Markov chains (_Xn,_ηn)$(X_n,{\eta }_n)$ on _Z+×S${\mathbb{Z}}_{+}\times S$, where _Z+${\mathbb{Z}}_{+}$ is the non-negative integers and S$S$ is a finite set. Neither coordinate is assumed to be Markov. We assume a moments bound on the jumps of _Xn$X_n$, and that, roughly speaking, _ηn${\eta }_n$ is close to being Markov when _Xn$X_n$ is large. This departure from much of the literature, which assumes that _ηn${\eta }_n$ is itself a Markov chain, enables us to probe precisely the recurrence phase transitions by assuming asymptotically zero drift for _Xn$X_n$ given _ηn${\eta }_n$. We give a recurrence classification in terms of increment moment parameters for _Xn$X_n$ and the stationary distribution for the large- X$X$ limit of _ηn${\eta }_n$. In the null case we also provide a weak convergence result, which demonstrates a form of asymptotic independence between _Xn$X_n$ (rescaled) and _ηn${\eta }_n$. Our results can be seen as generalizations of Lamperti’s results for non-homogeneous random walks on _Z+${\mathbb{Z}}_{+}$ (the case where S$S$ is a singleton). Motivation arises from modulated queues or processes with hidden variables where _ηn${\eta }_n$ tracks an internal state of the system.     

A super-Brownian motion with a locally infinite catalytic mass

Summary. A super-Brownian motion in with “hyperbolic” branching rate , is constructed, which symbolically could be described by the formal stochastic equation (with a space-time white noise ). Starting at this superprocess will never hit the catalytic center: There is an increasing sequence of Brownian stopping times strictly smaller than the hitting time of such that with probability one Dynkin's stopped measures vanish except for finitely many Received: 27 November 1995 / In revised form: 24 July 1996     

Cramér large deviation expansions for martingales under Bernstein’s condition

An expansion of large deviation probabilities for martingales is given, which extends the classical result due to Cramér to the case of martingale differences satisfying the conditional Bernstein condition. The upper bound of the range of validity and the remainder of our expansion is the same as in the Cramér result and therefore are optimal. Our result implies a moderate deviation principle for martingales.