Semiparametric Maximum Likelihood for Missing Covariates in Parametric Regression

We consider parameter estimation in parametric regression models with covariates missing at random. This problem admits a semiparametric maximum likelihood approach which requires no parametric specification of the selection mechanism or the covariate distribution. The semiparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) has been found to be consistent. We show here, for some specific models, that the semiparametric MLE converges weakly to a zero-mean Gaussian process in a suitable space. The regression parameter estimate, in particular, achieves the semiparametric information bound, which can be consistently estimated by perturbing the profile log-likelihood. Furthermore, the profile likelihood ratio statistic is asymptotically chi-squared. The techniques used here extend to other models.     

缺失数据下半参数回归模型的经验似然推断

针对响应变量缺失下的半参数回归模型,构造模型中未知参数的经验对数似然比统计量,证明了所提出的统计量具有渐近χ2分布,由此构造未知参数的置信域,并就置信域的覆盖概率及区间长度方面,通过模拟研究与最小二乘法进行优劣比较.     

具有Cox强度过程的多状态生存分析模型的自助法

本文利用计数过程技术及VonMises方法，研究了具有时变伴变量的删失生存资料的Cox回归模型的自助法的大样本性质．研究表明：在一些正则条件下，对这个模型施实自助法是可行的．即回归系数的偏极大似然估计及基准危险率的非参数极大似然估计的自过程是相合的．     

Quantile Regression of Ultra-high Dimensional Partially Linear Varying-coefficient Model with Missing Observations

In this paper,we focus on the partially linear varying-coefficient quantile regression with missing observations under ultra-high dimension,where the missing observations include either responses or covariates or the responses and part of the covariates are missing at random,and the ultra-high dimension implies that the dimension of parameter is much larger than sample size.Based on the B-spline method for the varying coefficient functions,we study the consistency of the oracle estimator which i...     

两响应Haar小波回归模型最优设计

本文讨论两响应线性Haar小波模型的最优试验设计问题.假定每个响应变量与自变量之间的回归关系可以用一个线性小波多项式表示.本文给出一个设计,它同时具有D-,A-和Q-最优性,并且与两响应变量的协方差阵无关.     

线性回归模型参数稳定性的Quandt-Andrews检验法

探讨了线性回归模型中经常被忽略的一种检验—模型参数稳定性检验,介绍了一种未被经常使用的基于Chow检验的Quandt-Andrews稳定性检验法,并通过模拟序列进行了对比分析,得出了Quandt-Andrews检验虽然是基于Chow检验,却是比Chow检验具有更高的效度的结论。     

数据缺失情形线性回归模型中误差方差的经验似然估计

在随机缺失(MAR)机制下利用经验似然方法构造了线性回归模型中误差方差的估计.并在一定条件下,证明了该估计的渐近正态性,由此得出当误差的分布不对称时,该估计的渐近方差比常用估计的渐近方差小.     

缺失数据下线性模型中回归参数的经验似然置信区域

在缺失样本下,构造了线性模型中参数的调整的经验似然置信域,数值模拟表明调整的经验似然置信域有较好的覆盖率和精度.     

缺失数据下线性模型中反映变量均值的经验似然置信区间

在协变量和反映变量都缺失下,构造了线性模型中反映变量均值的经验似然置信区间,数据模拟表明调整的经验似然置信区间有较好的覆盖率和精度,进一步完善了缺失数据下对线性模型的研究.     

基于协变量缺失的Horvitz-Thompson加权分位回归估计方法

含有协变量缺失的数据缺失问题是现代统计分析中的热点之一.当缺失数据中同时存在厚尾,偏斜和异方差问题时则更加难以处理.为此,本文提出一种逆概率加权分位回归估计来研究响应和协变量之间的关系.与经典估计方法相比具有明显优势,一方面,该估计量使用了所有可用的数据,并且允许缺失的协变量与响应高度相关;另一方面,该估计量在所有分位数水平上满足一致性和渐近正态性.通过模拟验证了该方法的在有限样本下的有效性,进一步将该方法推广到线性多元回归模型和非参数回归模型.     

A Goodness-of-Fit Test for the Functional Linear Model with Scalar Response

This article proposes a goodness-of-fit test for the null hypothesis of a functional linear model with scalar response. The test is based on a generalization to the functional framework of a previous one, designed for the goodness-of-fit of regression models with multivariate covariates using random projections. The test statistic is easy to compute using geometrical and matrix arguments, and simple to calibrate in its distribution by a wild bootstrap on the residuals. The finite sample properties of the test are illustrated by a simulation study for several types of basis and under different alternatives. Finally, the test is applied to two datasets for checking the assumption of the functional linear model and a graphical tool is introduced. Supplementary materials are available online.     

Empirical Likelihood of Quantile Difference with Missing Response When High-dimensional Covariates Are Present

Acta Mathematica Sinica, English Series - We, in this paper, investigate two-sample quantile difference by empirical likelihood method when the responses with high-dimensional covariates of the two...     

响应变量删失时函数型部分线性分位数回归模型的估计

最近几年,函数型数据分析的理论和应用飞速发展.在许多实际应用里,响应变量往往存在随机右删失的情况.考虑利用函数型部分线性分位数回归模型来刻画函数型和标量预测量与右删失响应变量之间的关系.基于函数型主成分基函数来逼近未知的斜率函数,通过极小化逆概率加权分位数损失函数得到未知系数的估计量.文章的估计方法容易通过加权分位数回...     

Asymptotic Theory for Relative-Risk Models with Missing Time-Dependent Covariates

Relative-risk models are often used to characterize the relationship between survival time and time-dependent covariates. When the covariates are observed, the estimation and asymptotic theory for parameters of interest are available; challenges remain when missingness occurs. A popular approach at hand is to jointly model survival data and longitudinal data. This seems efficient, in making use of more information, but the rigorous theoretical studies have long been ignored. For both additive risk models and relative-risk models, we consider the missing data nonignorable. Under general regularity conditions, we prove asymptotic normality for the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimators.     

缺失数据下半参数单调回归模型的估计

研究了响应变量缺失情况下半参数单调回归模型的估计问题。利用嵌入核估计的方法得到了参数部分的估计,在此基础上构造了非参数部分的单调约束最小二乘估计。证明了参数估计的渐近分布为正态分布,得到了非参数部分估计的收敛速度。通过随机模拟研究了有限样本量下估计的表现。     

A Product Partition Model With Regression on Covariates

We propose a probability model for random partitions in the presence of covariates. In other words, we develop a model-based clustering algorithm that exploits available covariates. The motivating application is predicting time to progression for patients in a breast cancer trial. We proceed by reporting a weighted average of the responses of clusters of earlier patients. The weights should be determined by the similarity of the new patient’s covariate with the covariates of patients in each cluster. We achieve the desired inference by defining a random partition model that includes a regression on covariates. Patients with similar covariates are a priori more likely to be clustered together. Posterior predictive inference in this model formalizes the desired prediction.

We build on product partition models (PPM). We define an extension of the PPM to include a regression on covariates by including in the cohesion function a new factor that increases the probability of experimental units with similar covariates to be included in the same cluster. We discuss implementations suitable for any combination of continuous, categorical, count, and ordinal covariates.

An implementation of the proposed model as R-package is available for download.     

因变量缺失下变系数部分线性测量误差模型的变量选择

主要研究因变量存在缺失且协变量部分包含测量误差情形下,如何对变系数部分线性模型同时进行参数估计和变量选择.我们利用插补方法来处理缺失数据,并结合修正的profile最小二乘估计和SCAD惩罚对参数进行估计和变量选择.并且证明所得的估计具有渐近正态性和Oracle性质.通过数值模拟进一步研究所得估计的有限样本性质.     

具有线性趋势的回归信度模型中的估计和检验

研究具有线性趋势回归信度模型的参数估计和检验. 对该模型的回归系数和随机效应的方差,利用正交变换法得到了它们的极大似然估计, 并得到了参数的无偏估计. 对随机效应和是否有线性趋势采用似然比检验, 得到了似然统计量较好的近似$P$值, 并对检验的功效进行了模拟研究.     

Mallows Model Averaging Estimation for Linear Regression Model with Right Censored Data

This paper is concerned with an optimal model averaging estimation for linear regression model with right censored data. The weights for model averaging are picked up via minimizing the Mallows criterion. Under some mild conditions, it is shown that the identified weights possess the property of asymptotic optimality, that is,the model averaging estimator corresponding to these weights achieves the lowest squared error asymptotically.Some numerical studies are conducted to evaluate the finite-sa...