Orderings of coherent systems with randomized dependent components

Consider a general coherent system with independent or dependent components, and assume that the components are randomly chosen from two different stocks, with the components of the first stock having better reliability than the others. Then here we provide sufficient conditions on the component’s lifetimes and on the random numbers of components chosen from the two stocks in order to improve the reliability of the whole system according to different stochastic orders. We also discuss several examples in which such conditions are satisfied and an application to the study of the optimal random allocation of components in series and parallel systems. As a novelty, our study includes the case of coherent systems with dependent components by using basic mathematical tools (and copula theory).     

Stochastic comparisons of lifetimes of series and parallel systems with dependent and heterogeneous components

This work considers stochastic comparisons of lifetimes of series and parallel systems with dependent and heterogeneous components having lifetimes following the proportional odds (PO) model. The joint distribution of component lifetimes is modeled by Archimedean survival copula. We discuss some potential applications of our findings in system reliability and actuarial science.     

Stochastic comparisons of series and parallel systems with randomized independent components

Consider a series or parallel system of independent components and assume that the components are randomly chosen from two different batches, with the components of the first batch being more reliable than those of the second. In this note it is shown that the reliability of the system increases, in usual stochastic order sense, as the random number of components chosen from the first batch increases in increasing convex order. As a consequence, we establish a result analogous to the Parrondo’s paradox, which shows that randomness in the number of components extracted from the two batches improves the reliability of the series system.     

Allocations of cold standbys to series and parallel systems with dependent components

In the context of industrial engineering, cold‐standby redundancies allocation strategy is usually adopted to improve the reliability of coherent systems. This paper investigates optimal allocation strategies of cold standbys for series and parallel systems comprised of dependent components with left/right tail weakly stochastic arrangement increasing lifetimes. For the case of heterogeneous and independent matched cold standbys, it is proved that better redundancies should be put in the nodes having weaker [better] components for series [parallel] systems. For the case of homogeneous and independent cold standbys, it is shown that more redundancies should be put in standby with weaker [better] components to enhance the reliability of series [parallel] systems. The results developed here generalize and extend those corresponding ones in the literature to the case of series and parallel systems with dependent components. Numerical examples are also presented to provide guidance for the practical use of our theoretical findings.     

Modeling and analysis of system reliability using phase‐type distribution closure properties

Phase‐type distribution closure properties are utilized to devise algorithms for generating reliability functions of systems with basic structures. These structures include series, parallel, K‐out‐of‐N, and standby structures with perfect/imperfect switch. The algorithms form a method for system reliability modeling and analysis based on the relationship between the system lifetime and component lifetimes for general structures. The proposed method is suitable for functional system reliability analysis, which can produce reliability functions of systems with independent components instead of only system reliability values. Once the system reliability function is obtained, other reliability measures such as the system's hazard function and mean time to failure can be obtained efficiently using only matrix algebra. Dimensional and numerical comparisons with computerized symbolic processing are also presented to show the superiority of the proposed method.     

Stochastic ordering properties for systems with dependent identically distributed components

In this paper, we obtain ordering properties for coherent systems with possibly dependent identically distributed components. These results are based on a representation of the system reliability function as a distorted function of the common component reliability function. So, the results included in this paper can also be applied to general distorted distributions. The main advantage of these results is that they are distribution‐free with respect to the common component distribution. Moreover, they can be applied to systems with component lifetimes having a non‐exchangeable joint distribution. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On stochastic comparisons of series systems with heterogeneous dependent and independent location-scale family distributed components

This paper carries out comparisons of heterogeneous series systems with location-scale family distributed components It is shown that the systems with dependent components in series sharing Archimedean copula with more dispersion in the location or scale parameters result in better performance in the sense of the usual stochastic order. Moreover, if the components are independently distributed, it is possible to obtain more generalized results as compared to the dependent set-up.     

Reliability and covariance estimation of weighted k-out-of-n multi-state systems

In the literature of reliability engineering, reliability of the weighted k-out-of-n system can be calculated using component reliability based on the structure function. The calculation usually assumes that the true component reliability is completely known. However, this is not the case in practical applications. Instead, component reliability has to be estimated using empirical sample data. Uncertainty arises during this estimation process and propagates to the system level. This paper studies the propagation mechanism of estimation uncertainty through the universal generating function method. Equations of the complete solution including the unbiased system reliability estimator and the corresponding unbiased covariance estimator are derived. This is a unified approach. It can be applied to weighted k-out-of-n systems with multi-state components, to weighted k-out-of-n systems with binary components, and to simple series and parallel systems. It may also serve as building blocks to derive estimators of system reliability and uncertainty measures for more complicated systems.     

On relevation transform involved with statistical dependence between two component lifetimes

Krakowski (Rev Fr Autom Inform Rech Opèr. 1973;7:107–120.) introduced the relevation transform for component and active redundancy with independent lifetimes, and except for Johnson and Kotz (Am J Math Manag Sci. 1981;1:155–165; Nav Res Logist. 1983;30:163–169.) most subsequent researches were conducted under this framework. However, it is not uncommon that a component and its active redundancy bear some common stresses due to the environment and thus they have dependent lifetimes. In this note, we equip the involved lifetimes with a survival copula and then clarify the potential difference between the new and classical versions through making stochastic comparison. Moreover, by ordering the lifetime of system with relevation redundancy we also study the way of allocating a relevation redundancy at component level to ultimately improve the system reliability. The present results on series and parallel systems serve as a generalization of the corresponding ones of Belzunce et al. (Appl Stoch Models Bus Ind. 2019;35:492–503.). Several numerical examples are presented to illustrate these findings as well.     

Reliability and expectation bounds for coherent systems with exchangeable components

Sharp upper and lower bounds are obtained for the reliability functions and the expectations of lifetimes of coherent systems based on dependent exchangeable absolutely continuous components with a given marginal distribution function, by use of the concept of Samaniego's signature. We first show that the distribution of any coherent system based on exchangeable components with absolutely continuous joint distribution is a convex combination of distributions of order statistics (equivalent to the k-out-of-n systems) with the weights identical with the values of the Samaniego signature of the system. This extends the Samaniego representation valid for the case of independent and identically distributed components. Combining the representation with optimal bounds on linear combinations of distribution functions of order statistics from dependent identically distributed samples, we derive the corresponding reliability and expectation bounds, dependent on the signature of the system and marginal distribution of dependent components. We also present the sequences of exchangeable absolutely continuous joint distributions of components which attain the bounds in limit. As an application, we obtain the reliability bounds for all the coherent systems with three and four exchangeable components, expressed in terms of the parent marginal reliability function and specify the respective expectation bounds for exchangeable exponential components, comparing them with the lifetime expectations of systems with independent and identically distributed exponential components.     

Reliability analysis in uncertain random system

Reliability analysis of a system based on probability theory has been widely studied and used. Nevertheless, it sometimes meets with one problem that the components of a system may have only few or even no samples, so that we cannot estimate their probability distributions via statistics. Then reliability analysis of a system based on uncertainty theory has been proposed. However, in a general system, some components of the system may have enough samples while some others may have no samples, so the reliability of the system cannot be analyzed simply based on probability theory or uncertainty theory. In order to deal with this type systems, this paper proposes a method of reliability analysis based on chance theory which is a generalization of both probability theory and uncertainty theory. In order to illustrate the method, some common systems are considered such as series system, parallel system, k-out-of-n system and bridge system.     

Some results on series and parallel systems of randomized components

We study the system (series/parallel) where the components are randomly chosen from two different batches. We assume that one batch is more reliable than the other in some stochastic sense. In the case of series systems we show that, under certain conditions, lifetime of one system dominates that of the other in different stochastic orders viz. hazard rate, down shifted hazard rate and likelihood ratio orders. Further, we show that the same principle holds for the reversed hazard rate and the likelihood ratio orders in the case of parallel systems.     

Reliability assessment for load‐sharing systems with exponential components using statistical expansion as a correction

Among recent system models, one specific type of system is generally used to model the dependence among components. Components are connected parallel in such systems as they fail one by one and are supposed to share the system work load. The model is thus referred to as the load‐sharing system model. Despite the availability of extensive reliability assessment methods for different systems, load‐sharing systems have not received enough attention from the scholars who have studied reliability assessment so far. Load‐sharing systems are generally designed for high levels of reliability. Therefore, tests for such systems can be expensive and time consuming. Limitation on resources always leads to small test sample sizes. This increases the difficulties associated with obtaining an accurate and robust system reliability assessment result. This paper proposes a novel assessment method for a certain type of load‐sharing system with components following exponential lifetime distributions. Based on the parameter estimation of the system reliability model, we introduce the Winterbottom‐Cornish‐Fisher asymptotic expansion method for implementing a correction of normal approximation. We demonstrate the accuracy of our method through a series of examples and simulation studies.     

Preservation of reliability classes under the formation of coherent systems

The preservation of reliability aging classes under the formation of coherent systems is a relevant topic in reliability theory. Thus, it is well known that the new better than used class is preserved under the formation of coherent systems with independent components. However, surprisingly, the increasing failure rate class is not preserved in the independent and identically distributed case, that is, the components may have the (negative) aging increasing failure rate property, but the system does not have this property. In this paper, we study conditions for the preservation of the main reliability classes under the formation of general coherent systems. These results can be applied both for systems with independent or dependent components. We consider both the case of systems with identically distributed components and the case of systems with components having different distributions. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Reliability inference with extended sequential order statistics

In this article, we will address the complexity of non-identical components in multi-component systems. Most technical systems can be described as such since either component types or component functions within the system vary amongst components. While most reliability related work resorts to the assumption of homogeneous components, we aim to address the often more realistic assumption of heterogeneous components extending the model of Extended Sequential Order Statistics by two inferential methods. Firstly, the derivation of Maximum Likelihood Estimates including a simulation study demonstrating their good performance for large enough sample size. Secondly, we introduce a likelihood ratio test to test whether components can be assumed identical accompanied by a power study. Both methods are powerful tools in reliability contexts. The former increases our understanding of component behaviour, especially upon failure of other components. This knowledge empowers system operators to make better decisions regarding maintenance schedules and failure time prediction. The latter supports operators in their quest of identifying component equivalence. Therefore, both methods can be used to achieve meaningful results in real life applications.     

On allocation of redundant components for systems with dependent components

In this paper we consider the problem of optimal allocation of a redundant component for series, parallel and k-out-of-n systems of more than two components, when all the components are dependent. We show that for this problem is naturally to consider multivariate extensions of the joint bivariates stochastic orders. However, these extensions have not been defined or explicitly studied in the literature, except the joint likelihood ratio order, which was introduced by Shanthikumar and Yao (1991). Therefore we provide first multivariate extensions of the joint stochastic, hazard rate, reversed hazard rate order and next we provide sufficient conditions based on these multivariate extensions to select which component performs the redundancy.     

The failure rate and likelihood ratio orderings of standby redundant systems

There are various notions of partial ordering between lifetimes of systems; stochastic ordering, failure rate ordering, and likelihood ratio ordering. In this paper we show that for series systems with noni.i.d. exponential lifetimes of components, standby redundancy at component level is better than that at system level in failure rate ordering and likelihood ratio ordering. We also demonstrate that for 2-component parallel systems withi.i.d. exponential lifetimes of components, standby system redundancy is better than standby component redundancy in failure rate ordering and likelihood ratio ordering.     

Joint Reliability Function of Coherent Systems with Shared Heterogeneous Components

In this paper, we consider two coherent systems having shared components. We assume that in the two systems there are three different types of components; components of type one that just belong to the first system, components of type two that lie only in the second system and components of type three that are shared by the two systems. We use the concept of joint survival signature to assess the joint reliability function of the two systems. Using this concept, some representations for the joint reliability function of the system lifetimes are obtained under two different scenarios of component failures. In the first scenario, we assume that the components of the systems fail according to different counting processes such as non-homogeneous Poisson processes. In the second scenario, it is assumed that the component lifetimes of each type are exchangeable while the three types of component lifetimes can be independent or dependent. To illustrate the theoretical results, two systems with shared components are studied numerically and graphically.

     

Strategic defense and attack for series and parallel reliability systems

A system of independent components is defended by a strategic defender and attacked by a strategic attacker. The reliability of each component depends on how strongly it is defended and attacked, and on the intensity of the contest. In a series system, the attacker benefits from a substitution effect since attacker benefits flow from attacking any of the components, while the defender needs to defend all components. Even for a series system, when the attacker is sufficiently disadvantaged with high attack inefficiencies, and the intensity of the contest is sufficiently high, the defender earns maximum utility and the attacker earns zero utility. The results for the defender (attacker) in a parallel system are equivalent to the results for the attacker (defender) in a series system. Hence, the defender benefits from the substitution effect in parallel systems. With budget constraints the ratio of the investments for each component, and the contest success function for each component, are the same as without budget constraints when replacing the system values for the defender and attacker with their respective budget constraints.     

Bounds for the reliability functions of coherent systems with heterogeneous components

The computation of the reliability function of a (complex) coherent system is a difficult task. Hence, sometimes, we should simply work with some bounds (approximations). The computation of these bounds has been widely studied in the case of coherent systems with independent and identically distributed (IID) components. However, few results have been obtained in the case of heterogeneous (non ID) components. In this paper, we derive explicit bounds for systems with heterogeneous (independent or dependent) components. Also some stochastic comparisons are obtained. Some illustrative examples are included where we compare the different bounds proposed in the paper.