Effects of South China Sea/western North Pacific summer monsoon on tropospheric biennial oscillation （TBO）

Several theories have been developed to explain tropical biennial oscillation (TBO), as an air--sea interactive system to impact Asian and global weather and climate, and some models have been established to produce a TBO. A simple 5-box model, with almost all the key processes associated with TBO, can produce a TBO by including air--sea interactions in the monsoon regions. Despite that, the South China Sea/western North Pacific summer monsoon (SCS/WNPSM), a very important monsoon subsystem, is neglected. In this paper, based on the dynamical framework of 5-box model, the term of SCS/WNPSM has been added and a 6-box model has been developed. Comparing the difference of TBO sensibilities with several key parameters, air--sea coupling coefficient α, SST-thermocline feedback coefficient γ and wind-evaporation feedback coefficient λ, between the modified model and original model, TBO is more sensible to the parameters in the new model. The results imply that the eastern Pacific and local wind-evaporation play more important roles in the TBO when including SCS/WNPSM.     

Binding Interactions of Toluidine Blue O with Escherichia Coli DNA: Formation of Bridged Structure

The interaction(s) of Toluidine Blue O (TBO) with DNA was investigated using absorption and emission spectral methods. The binding of TBO with DNA was understood from the observed hypochromism in the absorption spectra and decrease in the emission intensity of TBO. From the absorption and emission spectral data, two binding constants were estimated for the binding of TBO with DNA. Based on the binding constant values both intercalative and electrostatic interactions of TBO with DNA were suggested. The TBO-DNA binding constant values reveal that the electrostatic interaction of TBO with DNA is weaker than the intercalative interaction. The emission quenching and salt effect studies showed that the TBO was partially intercalated with DNA. The two modes of binding between TBO and DNA may lead to the formation of bridging of a pair of DNA duplexes by TBO molecule. The electrostatic interaction is more important for the formation of the bridged structure of TBO with DNA. This was verified by studying the interaction of an anionic dye, Eosin Y (EY).     

南海夏季风与登陆我国大陆初旋的关系

利用1948---2009年南海夏季风指数、NCEP/NCAR月平均再分析位势高度场、风场资料, 首次分析了南海夏季风与每年登陆中国大陆的首个热带气旋(初旋)的关系. 结果表明: 初旋的登陆日、登陆纬度、生成纬度与当年登陆中国大陆热带气旋的频数、活动期、强度等相关性较好; 强(弱)南海夏季风指数年份, 登陆大陆热带气旋数偏多(少)、初旋登陆日偏迟(早)、初旋登陆点偏南(北). 从流场上看, 强(弱)南海夏季风指数年份, 对应的季风槽偏强(弱), 其异常风场和初旋路径也截然不同. 从年际变化上看, 南海夏季风指数明显呈减弱趋势, 而初旋登陆点则有一定北移.     

Chaos and predictability of the Indian summer monsoon

Predictability of the Indian summer monsoon is investigated by conducting three multiyear integrations with the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory’s climate model. The mean monsoon simulated by the model is realistic. It is shown that a significant fraction of the interannual variance of the simulated Indian summer monsoon may be due to internal dynamics. It is discovered that the tropical atmosphere is capable of sustaining a quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) accounting for most of the internal low frequency variability. It is also shown that neither air-sea interaction nor surface hydrology feedback is essential for the QBO of the model atmosphere. That such a QBO can arise due to modulation of the nonlinear intraseasonal oscillations by the annual cycle is demonstrated using a simple nonlinear dynamical model. The phase and the amplitude of the internal mode is unpredictable and hence may be responsible for limiting the long range predictability of the monsoon.     

国家气候中心大气环流模式冬季模式误差特征分析

本文利用1982—2010年国家气候中心第二代月动力延伸预测系统中大气环流模式(BCC_AGCM)的回报资料和美国国家环境预测中心和美国国家大气研究中心(NCEP/NCAR)再分析资料,分析了该模式对冬季气温预测的误差特征及其与外强迫的联系.结果表明模式能够在整体上较好地反映出欧亚区域冬季气温的变化趋势,能抓住东亚冬季风区气温年际变化的主要空间模态,对东亚冬季风区冬季气温具有一定的预报能力.预报误差的空间分布和时间演变特征的结果表明,误差在陆地大于海洋,高纬地区大于低纬地区,同时与海拔高度也有密切关系.预报误差的主要模态与一些关键区域的海温和海冰存在显著的相关性,表明模式对外强迫异常的响应能力存在缺陷.这为结合模式对关键区海温和海冰异常的响应能力,有针对性地改进模式对东亚冬季风区冬季气温的预测能力提供了依据.     

黄土高原中部秋季干湿的年际和年代际环流异常特征及与海温的多尺度相关性研究

黄土高原地区作为气候敏感区和生态脆弱区地表干 湿状况的年际和年代际变化特征十分明显. 但以往主要是针对夏季进行分析, 而对黄土高原秋季干湿变化规律及大气环流机理的认识非常有限. 本文基于中国589站最近50 a (1961–2010年)月降水和气温月平均资料、NCEP/NCAR提供的再分析资料以及NOAA提供的海表温度(Sea Surface Temperature, SST) 资料, 运用带通/低通滤波、小波分析、EOF/REOF和回归分析等方法, 在对中国秋季干湿时空演化分类的基础上, 通过研究秋季黄土高原中部干湿演变周期、大气环流特征及与海温的多尺度相关关系, 以揭示影响黄土高原中部秋季干湿变化的物理机理, 并确定影响该区域干湿状况的前兆信号. 小波功率谱分析表明, 黄土高原中部秋季干湿指数存在准4 a和准8 a的周期, 1970–1990年准8 a尺度周期振荡尤为明显. 年际(周期≤ 8 a) 尺度上偏湿年的大气环流特征是, 欧亚大陆中高纬呈“双阻型”, 200 hPa西风急流显著北移, 日本海-鄂霍茨克海受反气旋控制, 其底部的偏东水汽输送带将水汽输入研究区. 年代际(周期 > 8 a)尺度上偏湿年的大气环流特征是, 东亚大陆为一致的低值系统; 200 hPa东亚副热带西风急流减弱北移, 研究区主要水汽来源由经孟加拉湾在中南半岛转向的南风水汽输送及中纬度的西风水汽输送组成. 整个序列上, Nino3区SST指数(Nino3I)超前5个月与秋季干湿指数已呈显著的负相关关系, 而孟加拉湾–中国南海SST指数(BayI)则超前3个月与干湿指数呈现显著的负相关关系. 年际尺度上, 秋季Nino3I, BayI均与秋季干湿指数存在显著相关(准4 a, 4–6 a), 而年代际尺度上, 只有BayI与秋季干湿指数存在显著相关性(准10 a). 黄土高原中部秋季干湿的年际和年代际周期的确定、大气环流异常特征的认识及与海温的多尺度相关关系的建立, 不仅揭示了影响该区域干湿变化的物理机理, 也为干旱气候预测提供了重要的前兆信号. 关键词： 黄土高原中部 干湿特征 海表温度 小波分析     

On temporal evolution of precipitation probability of the Yangtze River delta in the last 50 years

The monthly precipitation observational data of the Yangtze River delta are transformed into the temporal evolution of precipitation probability (PP), and its hierarchically distributive characters have been revealed in this paper. Research results show that precipitation of the Yangtze River delta displays the interannual and interdecadal characters and the periods are all significant at a confidence level of more than 0.05. The interdecadal is an important time scale, because it is on the one hand a disturbance of long period changes, and on the other hand it is also the background for interannual change. The interdecadal and 3－7y oscillations have different motion laws in the data-based mechanism self-memory model (DAMSM). Meanwhile, this paper also provides a new train of thought for dynamic modelling. Because this method only involves a certain length of data series, it can be used in many fields, such as meteorology, hydrology, seismology, and economy etc, and thus has a bright perspective in practical applications.     

20世纪90年代末东亚夏季降水年代际变化及其成因初探

基于1983—2011年月总降水量、环流和海温的再分析资料,给出了20世纪90年代末东亚夏季降水的年代际调整的区域特征,及其对应的大气环流内部过程和可能的海温外强迫的年代际变化.研究结果表明,在20世纪90年代末期东亚北部夏季降水比东亚南部夏季降水由湿向干的表现更为明显,东亚南部地区夏季降水则是在20世纪90年代初和21世纪初发生年代际的转折.此外,东亚地区夏季的500 h Pa高度场、850 h Pa风场、U200风场、水汽输送场和东亚太平洋遥相关型指数和东亚夏季风指数等在20世纪90年代末期也表现出明显的年代际变化特征.进而从大气内部过程的角度验证了20世纪90年代末东亚夏季降水发生的年代际调整.与此同时,北太平洋和西太平洋海表温度表现出由偏低向偏高的转变,这可能是导致20世纪90年代末期东亚夏季气候年代际变化的重要外部成因之一.     

In vitro photodynamic antimicrobial chemotherapy in dentine contaminated by cariogenic bacteria

The development of a method to ensure bacterial-free substrates without extensive cavity preparation would be highly useful to dentistry, since there is no currently available effective method for killing residual bacteria in dentinal tissue. This randomized in vitro study determined parameters for using toluidine blue O (TBO) with a light-emitting diode (LED) for dentine caries disinfection and monitored intrapulpal/periodontal temperatures during irradiation. Occlusal human dentine slabs were immersed in Streptococcus mutans culture for demineralization induction. Slabs were allocated to 10 groups (n = 15), which were treated with 0.1 mg ml⁻¹ TBO with 5 min of incubation time or 0.9% NaCl solution for 5, 10 or 15 min, and submitted or not to irradiation for 5, 10 or 15 min (47, 94, and 144 J/cm²). Before and after treatments, dentine samples were analyzed with regard to S. mutans counts. In whole teeth, temperature in pulp and periodontium was measured by thermocouples during irradiation. Kruskal-Wallis/Student-Newman-Keuls, and ANOVA/Tukey test were respectively utilized to compare log reductions and temperature rises between groups. Bacterial reduction was observed when dentine was exposed to both TBO and LED at all irradiation times, as well as to LED alone for 10 and 15 min. Temperature increases lower than 2°C were observed for either pulp or periodontium. Concluding, LED combined with TBO is a safe and effective approach for dentine caries disinfection. Nevertheless, additional studies should be conducted to determine the influence of the irradiation in S. mutans viability in dentinal surface/tubules.     

Removal of rhodamine B from aqueous solutions using vanadium pentoxide/titanium butyl oxide hybrid xerogels

A stable and insoluble V_2O_5·n H_2O/tetra-n-butyl titanate(TBO) hybrid xerogel was synthesized by the sol–gel method. This novel material proved to be an efficient absorbent with an absorption capacity of 179 mg·g~(-1)for Rhodamine B(Rh B) in water due to its unique layered structure, which can effectively accommodate Rh B molecules between its layers as demonstrated by XRD and FTIR spectroscopic analyses.     

全球温度场信息熵的时空特征分析

本文基于信息熵理论定义气象要素信息熵,并运用其分析全球温度场在不同时空尺度上偏离气候态(1971—2000)的不确定性. 研究结果表明:1)温度场气候态信息熵(CE)具有明显的纬向分布特征,总体表现为温度场CE由低纬度地区向中高纬度地区递增,且海陆差异显著,可以较好地区分各个气候带;其垂直变化,在低纬度地区表现为随高度的升高而增加,但在中高纬度地区则以300hPa为界呈准对称分布,在此高度之上其值随高度升高而增加,之下则相反,这一特征在高纬度地区更为明显.2)温度场月信息熵(ME)的季节性差异显著,总体表 关键词： 信息熵 温度场 可预测性     

Actual Tropical Waves Identified by the Wavenumber-Frequency Spectrum Analysis during Boreal Summer

Based on daily satellite-observed outgoing longwave radiation （OLR） data, the tropical intraseasonal oscillation （ISO） associated with the Asian summer monsoon is found to be dominant during the 2005 summer. Such an ISO along with other tropical waves are identified using a wavenumber-frequency spectrum analysis. Some of Significant spectral peaks coincide well with the dispersion curves of the equatorially trapped wave modes from shallow＇water theory, with various equivalent depths of 12-200 m, suggesting that actual tropical waves can be detected from observational data. Although the formation mechanism of the ISO is more complicated than those of other tropical waves with higher frequencies, significant spectral peaks that correspond to the ISO with a period of 30-60 days distinctly appear in the OLR spectra. The selective wavenumber-frequency filtering of OLR data is thus performed to isolate the ISO, Kelvin and equatoriai Rossby waves, and the properties and signatures of such tropical waves that control tropical atmospheric variability for the 2005 summer are clearly identified.     

Role of the rate of change of Total Column Ozone during different seasons on the prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall over Gangetic West Bengal, India

A critical analysis of Total Column Ozone (TCO) over Dum Dum, West Bengal, India is done during different seasons for the period of 1997 to 2005. It is confirmed that pre-monsoon rate of change of TCO over Dum Dum is highly correlated with Gangetic West Bengal, India monsoon rainfall of same year and that of TCO during other seasons are independent of monsoon rainfall over Gangetic West Bengal. It is also concluded that pre-monsoon rate of change of TCO may play an important role to forecast monsoon rainfall of a particular year over Gangetic West Bengal. It is also showed that other parameters affecting monsoon rainfall are insignificant w.r.t. TCO variations. A possible explanation based on chemical kinetics of O₃ are also presented.     

欧亚中高纬阻塞高压关键区高度场动力-统计跨季度预测实验

本文主要利用实际业务模式的预报结果和丰富的历史资料对乌拉尔山、 贝加尔湖和鄂霍次克海三个阻塞高压活动关键区夏季平均的500 hPa高 度场进行动力-统计跨季度预测实验, 其结果显示该方法能在一定程度上减小模式预报误差, 提高预报技巧, 显示出了良好的业务应用前景. 此外, 敏感性实验显示, 相似指标和相似年选取个数都对预测结果有显著影响. 关键词： 阻塞高压 高度场 动力-统计 跨季度预测     

Geometric detection of coupling directions by means of inter-system recurrence networks

We introduce a geometric method for identifying the coupling direction between two dynamical systems based on a bivariate extension of recurrence network analysis. Global characteristics of the resulting inter-system recurrence networks provide a correct discrimination for weakly coupled Rössler oscillators not yet displaying generalised synchronisation. Investigating two real-world palaeoclimate time series representing the variability of the Asian monsoon over the last 10,000 years, we observe indications for a considerable influence of the Indian summer monsoon on climate in Eastern China rather than vice versa. The proposed approach can be directly extended to studying K>2$K>2$ coupled subsystems.     

Secondary X-Ray Environment in the Lower Atmosphere of the Earth during Monsoon Season over Udaipur City （India） in July-September 2006

We present a study on the secondary x-rays of energy band 2-100 keV emitted by the intruded principal pollutant components （gases and minerals） brought up in the lower atmosphere by dust storms, monsoon drift and the gravitational pull on meteoritic showers. On the ground we employed a 1.5 × 1 inch^2 NaI crystal in a scintillation detector, suitable for the energy range 2-100 keV of secondary x-rays, providing better energy resolution than a larger sized crystal. In order to eliminate the radioactive background of the Earth, the detector was well shielded on all sides with the help of the lead （Pb） container, except with a.small open window at the top to permit only vertically incident secondary radiation. The results from the data analysis obtained during the monsoon over Udaipur city （India） during the period from July to September （2006） have revealed a linear correlation between dust storm cure monsoon clouds and observed luminosities of secondary x-ray radiation from intruded pollutants. We found intense flux of secondary x-rays from the intruded pollutants when heavy dust and monsoon clouds were brought up by dust storms and monsoon drift in the lower atmosphere over Udaipur city as compared to normal days. Thus, secondary x-rays in the environment provide a tool for investigation of local intrusive pollutant components in the lower atmosphere.     

Seasonal variability of cloud optical depth over northwestern China derived from CERES/MODIS satellite measurements

The seasonal variability of cloud optical depth over northwestern China derived from Clouds and the Earth＇s Radiant Energy System （CERES） Single Scanner Footprint （SSF） Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer （MODIS） Edition IB data from July 2002 to June 2004 is presented. The regions of interest are those with Asia monsoon influence, the Tianshan and Qilian Mountains, and the Taklimakan Desert. The results show that the instantaneous measurements presented here are much higher than the previous results derived from International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project （ISCCP） D2 monthly mean data. Generally the measurements of cloud optical depth are the highest in summer and the lowest in winter, however, Taklimakan Desert has the lowest measurements in autumn. The regional variation is quite significant over northwestern China.     

The two annual northward jumps of the West Pacific Subtropical High and their relationship with summer rainfall in Eastern China under global warming

The two northward jumps of summer West Pacific Subtropical High （WPSH） are defined based on the pentad-scale ridge data of the WPSH ridge in 1951 to 2012. The times of the northward jumps are found to have obvious inter-annual and decadal characteristics, i.e., the occurrence of the first northward jump of WPSH shows a ＂consistently early-consistently late＂ decadal pattern, with the transition around 1980; the occurrence of the second northward jump of WPSH shows a ＂consistently late-consistently early-consistently late＂ decadal pattern, with the transitions about 1955 and 1978, respec- tively, which is consistent with global warming. In the meantime, the times of the two northward jumps not only have a good correspondence to the beginning and ending dates of the rainy season, but also greatly influence the position of the main rain belt in Eastern China. When the first northward jump occurs early, the main rain belt is located from just north of 30~ N to the south of North China, while the opposite situation appears when the first jump occurs late. When the second jump occurs early, more rain falls over North China and South China, but less falls in the Yangtze River region, while the opposite situation appears when the second jump occurs late. In the four cases when abnormalities occur in the same year as early or late northward jumps, the position of the main rain belt can be considered as a superposition of isolated abnormal effects of the two northward jumps. Moreover, the prophase and synchronous forces of the sea surface temperature in the Pacific has great influence on the times of the northward jumps, and the driving forces of the two jumps differ.     

Stable H and O isotope variations reveal sources of recharge in Dhofar,Sultanate of Oman

Due to the ability of stable water isotopes to characterize the origin of water and connected processes of groundwater recharge, we used the isotope variations of hydrogen and oxygen in different water sources for assessing the recharge process in the Dhofar region. δ¹⁸O and δ²H of precipitation, spring water, and groundwater cover a range from ?10 to +2 and from ?70 to +7?‰ (vs Vienna Standard Mean Ocean Water), respectively, and correlate in a linear relationship close to the Global Meteoric Water Line. No obvious evaporation processes are detected. A clear signal of the recent precipitation is given by the annual monsoon. The monsoon signal is confirmed by several springs existing in the south at the foot of the Dhofar mountains and sources at Gogub above 450?m and Tawi Atir at 650?m above sea level. They occur here first in the form of water intercepted by trees as stemflow and throughflow. The isotope signature of groundwater in the Dhofar mountains reflects the climatic conditions at the time of recharge and the lithological features of the limestone matrix. To the north, the isotope patterns of the groundwater are continuously depleted from the monsoon signal along the outcropping aquifer D (Lower Umm Er Radhuma). Here, a more negative signature towards the wells in the Najd desert region was observed. Cyclone water that flooded wadis in the Dhofar region occasionally, as observed in November 2011, falls isotopically into the same range as we observed in the fossil groundwater. Taking into account the different sources of precipitation and groundwater and thus a clear distinction of the isotopic composition of the water sources, we conclude a recharge process divided into a southward and a northward component in the Dhofar region.     

季风与极涡的异常配置下中国夏季大尺度旱涝分布

从冷暖系统配置的角度,选取东亚夏季风(EASM)和7月亚洲区极涡面积(APVA),分析了二者的气候特征与中国夏季降水分布之间的关系.在此基础上,将1951—2010年EASM和APVA的异常配置分为四种类型:A:季风强、极涡大;B:季风强、极涡小;C:季风弱、极涡大;D:季风弱、极涡小.研究发现,二者的异常配置下,中国夏季大尺度旱涝分布在季尺度上表现出多面性特征:A型年,夏季整体偏旱;B型年,夏季南涝北旱;C型年,夏季北涝南旱;D型年,夏季整体偏涝.由此可见,中国夏季旱涝总体分布除了与EASM有关外还与APVA密切相关,二者异常的不同配置下,夏季降水多寡和旱涝分布表现出了显著的差异和规律性,这对夏季降水总体趋势预测有一定的指示意义.此外,通过研究不同配置关系对应大气环流异常特征,并分析不同要素在夏季风和极涡关系变化中的作用,发现不同配置类型下夏季降水表现出的差异和规律性直接取决于环流场的整体配置,其中西太副高和中高纬阻塞形势起主导作用.