Convergence results for maximum likelihood type estimators in multivariable ARMA models II

The consistency proof for the (Gaussian quasi) maximum likelihood estimator in multivariable ARMA models as given in Dunsmuir and Hannan (1976, Adv, in Appl. Probab. 8, 339–364) rests on a certain property of the underlying parameter space, called B6 in their paper. It is not known whether the usual parameter spaces like the manifold M(n) or the parameter spaces corresponding to echelon forms satisfy condition B6, since the argument given by Dunsmuir and Hannan to establish this fact is inconclusive. In Pötscher (1987, J. Multivariate Anal. 21 29–52) it was shown how consistency can be proved without relying on B6 if the data generating process is Gaussian. In this note we show that the Gaussianity assumption can be replaced by ergodicity thus restoring Dunsmuir and Hannan's consistency proof to its full generality and extending it to parameter spaces which do not satisfy condition B6.     

Some new approaches to multivariate probability distributions

We extend and generalize to the multivariate set-up our earlier investigations related to expected remaining life functions and general hazard measures including representations and stability theorems for arbitrary probability distributions in terms of these concepts. (The univariate case is discussed in detail in Kotz and Shanbhag, Advan. Appl. Probab. 12 (1980), 903–921.)     

On the Rate of Multivariate Poisson Convergence

The distribution of the sum of independent nonidentically distributed Bernoulli random vectors inR^kis approximated by a multivariate Poisson distribution. By using a multivariate adaption of Kerstan's (1964,Z. Wahrsch. verw. Gebiete2, 173–179) method, we prove a conjecture of Barbour (1988,J. Appl. Probab.25A, 175–184) on removing a log-term in the upper bound of the total variation distance. Second-order approximations are included.     

Convergence of nonhomogeneous stochastic chains with countable states

The work started by V. M. Maksimov [1970, Theory Probab. Appl.15, 604–618], and continued by A. Mukherjea [1980, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc.263, 505–520], is extended, and completed with respect to certain aspects. Infinite-dimensional stochastic chains are considered in the framework of Mukherjea [loc. cit.]; backward products of stochastic matrices and their convergence are also considered. The main theme centers around understanding how the convergence of products (backward and forward, finite and infinite dimensional) takes place and what it means in terms of various types of asymptotic behavior of the individual stochastic matrices in the chain. The study is based on establishing the existence of a basis for convergent chains. The basis then makes it possible to describe properly various aspects of convergence. All results are new; they are also complete at least in the sense they have been presented and suitable examples (or counter-examples) are presented to justify the assumptions involved.     

Partition properties of q-hypergraphs

A q-analogue to a partition theorem for finite hypergraphs of Nes̆etr̆il and Rödl [J. Combin. Theory Ser. A 22 (1977), 289–312 and 34 (1983), 183–201] is proven. This generalizes the vector space Ramsey theorem of Graham, Leeb, and Rothschild [Advan. in Math. 8 (1972), 417–433].     

Quelques lois de probabilité associées à un modèle de réplication d'un ADN

By using some quasi-renewal-like equations and functional differential equations, we explicitly compute the Laplace transforms of some random variables introduced by Cowan and Chiu in modelling the process of replication of a DNA molecule [J. Appl. Probab. 31 (1994) 301–308]. These Laplace transforms are expressed by means of infinite products arising in the theory of partitions. To cite this article: A. Lachal, C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris, Ser. I 336 (2003).     

A Capped Optimal Stopping Problem for the Maximum Process

This paper concerns an optimal stopping problem driven by the running maximum of a spectrally negative Lévy process X. More precisely, we are interested in capped versions of the American lookback optimal stopping problem (Gapeev in J. Appl. Probab. 44:713–731, 2007; Guo and Shepp in J. Appl. Probab. 38:647–658, 2001; Pedersen in J. Appl. Probab. 37:972–983, 2000), which has its origins in mathematical finance, and provide semi-explicit solutions in terms of scale functions. The optimal stopping boundary is characterised by an ordinary first-order differential equation involving scale functions and, in particular, changes according to the path variation of X. Furthermore, we will link these capped problems to Peskir’s maximality principle (Peskir in Ann. Probab. 26:1614–1640, 1998).     

Harnack Inequality and Applications for Infinite-Dimensional GEM Processes

The dimension-free Harnack inequality and uniform heat kernel upper/lower bounds are derived for a class of infinite-dimensional GEM processes, which was introduced in Feng and Wang (J. Appl. Probab. 44 938–949 2007) to simulate the two-parameter GEM distributions. In particular, the associated Dirichlet form satisfies the super log-Sobolev inequality which strengthens the log-Sobolev inequality derived in Feng and Wang (J. Appl. Probab. 44 938–949 2007). To prove the main results, explicit Harnack inequality and super Poincaré inequality are established for the one-dimensional Wright-Fisher diffusion processes. The main tool of the study is the coupling by change of measures.     

A functional central limit theorem for ϱ-mixing sequences

In this note a functional central limit theorem for ?-mixing sequences of I. A. Ibragimov (Theory Probab. Appl.20 (1975), 135–141) is generalized to nonstationary sequences (X_n)_n ∈ $\text{N}$, satisfying some assumptions on the variances and the moment condition $\text{E |X}{}_{\mathrm{n}}\text{|}{}^{\mathrm{2\; +\; b}}\text{= O(n}{}^{\mathrm{<mtext>b</mtext><mtext>2</mtext><mtext>??</mtext>}}\text{)}$ for some b > 0, ? > 0.     

On Gronwall-Bellman-Bihari-type integral inequalities in several variables with retardation

Presented are some new nonlinear integral inequalities of the Gronwall-Bellman-Bihari type in n-independent variables with delay which extend recent results of C. C. Yeh and M.-H. Shin [J. Math. Anal. Appl.86, (1982), 157–167], C. C. Yeh [J. Math. Anal. Appl.87, (1982), 311–321], and A. I. Zahariev and D. D. Bainor [J. Math. Anal. Appl.89, (1981), 147–149]. Some applications of the results are included.     

Group-Theoretic Dimension of Stationary Symmetric α-Stable Random Fields

The growth rate of the partial maximum of a stationary stable process was first studied in the works of Samorodnitsky (Ann. Probab. 32:1438–1468, 2004; Adv. Appl. Probab. 36:805–823, 2004), where it was established, based on the seminal works of Rosiński (Ann. Probab. 23:1163–1187, 1995; 28:1797–1813, 2000), that the growth rate is connected to the ergodic-theoretic properties of the flow that generates the process. The results were generalized to the case of stable random fields indexed by ? ^d in Roy and Samorodnitsky (J. Theor. Probab. 21:212–233, 2008), where properties of the group of nonsingular transformations generating the stable process were studied as an attempt to understand the growth rate of the partial maximum process. This work generalizes this connection between stable random fields and group theory to the continuous parameter case, that is, to fields indexed by ? ^d .     

Ergodicity of Combocontinuous Adaptive MCMC Algorithms

This paper proves convergence to stationarity of certain adaptive MCMC algorithms, under certain assumptions including easily-verifiable upper and lower bounds on the transition densities and a continuous target density. In particular, the transition and proposal densities are not required to be continuous, thus improving on the previous ergodicity results of Craiu et al. (Ann Appl Probab 25(6):3592–3623, 2015).     

The Number of Generations Entirely Visited for Recurrent Random Walks in a Random Environment

In this paper we deal with a random walk in a random environment on a super-critical Galton–Watson tree. We focus on the recurrent cases already studied by Hu and Shi (Ann. Probab. 35:1978–1997, 2007; Probab. Theory Relat. Fields 138:521–549, 2007), Faraud et al. (Probab. Theory Relat. Fields, 2011, in press), and Faraud (Electron. J. Probab. 16(6):174–215, 2011). We prove that the largest generation entirely visited by these walks behaves like logn, and that the constant of normalization, which differs from one case to another, is a function of the inverse of the constant of Biggins’ law of large numbers for branching random walks (Biggins in Adv. Appl. Probab. 8:446–459, 1976).     

L'intégrale stochastique comme opérateur de divergence dans l'espace fonctionnel

This article proves that the definition of the stochastic integral with respect to a generalized gaussian process given by Skorohod [Theory Probab. Appl. (1975), 219–233] is equivalent to the adjoint of the differential in the probability space following the stochastic variation calculus of Malliavin.     

An existence result for optimal economic growth problems

An existence result for optimal control problems of Lagrange type with unbounded time domain is derived very directly from a corresponding result for problems with bounded time domain. This subsumes the main existence result of R. F. Baum ¦J. Optim. Theory Appl.19 (1976), 89–116¦ and has the existence results for optimal economic growth problems of S.-I. Takekuma ¦J. Math. Econom.7 (1980), 193–208¦ and M. J. P. Magill ¦Econometrica49 (1981), 679–711; J. Math. Anal. Appl.82 (1981), 66–74¦ as simple corollaries. In addition, a new notion of uniform integrability is used, which coincides with the classical notion if the time domain is bounded.     

Random nonlinear Hammerstein equations

We prove existence theorems for random differential equations defined in a separable reflexive Banach space. These theorems are proved through the use of theory of random analysis established in [X. Z. Yuan, Random nonlinear mappings of monotone type, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 19] which differs from the other means, for example in [R. Kannan and H. Salehi, Random nonlinear equations and monotonic nonlinearities, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 57 (1977), 234–256; D. Kravvaritis, Existence theorems for nonlinear random equations and inequalities, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 86 (1982), 61–73; D. A. Kandilakis and N. S. Papageorgious, On the existence of solutions for random differential inclusions in a Banach space, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 126 (1987), 11–23].     

On the skewness of order statistics with applications

Order statistics from heterogeneous samples have been extensively studied in the literature. However, most of the work focused on the effect of heterogeneity on the magnitude or dispersion of order statistics. In this paper, we study the skewness of order statistics from heterogeneous samples according to star ordering. The main results extend the corresponding results in Kochar and Xu (J. Appl. Probab. 46:342–352, 2009; J. Appl. Probab. 48:271–284, 2011). Examples and applications are highlighted as well.     

Principes de grandes déviations pour des processus de « coarse graining »

We improve the Large Deviations Principle satisfied by a Coarse Grained process already analyzed by Boucher, Ellis and Turkington [Ann. Probab. 27 (1999) 297–324]. To cite this article: J. Trashorras, C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris, Ser. I 336 (2003).     

Orthonormal Compactly Supported Wavelets with Optimal Sobolev Regularity: Numerical Results

Numerical optimization is used to construct new orthonormal compactly supported wavelets with a Sobolev regularity exponent as high as possible among those mother wavelets with a fixed support length and a fixed number of vanishing moments. The increased regularity is obtained by optimizing the locations of the roots the scaling filter has on the interval (π/2,π). The results improve those obtained by I. Daubechies (1988, Comm. Pure Appl. Math.41, 909–996), H. Volkmer (1995, SIAM J. Math. Anal.26, 1075–1087), and P. G. Lemarié-Rieusset and E. Zahrouni (1998, Appl. Comput. Harmon. Anal.5, 92–105).     

Complex interpolation spaces on multiply-connected domains

Variants of Calderón's interpolation spaces [A₀, A₁]_θ which are defined using a multiply-connected domain instead of the strip 0 < Re z < 1 are considered. It is shown that they coincide to within equivalence of norms with Calderón's spaces. This result applies also to spaces obtained by generalised forms of Calderón's construction due to Coifman, Cwikel, Rochberg, Sagher, and Weiss (Advan. in Math.43 (1982), 203–229).