不确定多属性决策中区间数排序的一种新方法

根据格序决策理论,提出不确定多属性决策中区间数排序的新方法,将综合评价值区间数分为可比较与不可比较区间数,对可比较区间数利用区间数上界进行比较来排序,而对不可比较区间数利用均值及区间上界比较来排序,方法比格序决策法和期望-方差法等方法更加简单易行,进一步提高了决策效率.最后通过算例验证方法的可行性和有效性.     

区间数互反矩阵几何加权集成多属性群决策方法

研究了属性值以区间数表示的群决策问题,提出了区间数决策向量转化为互反判断矩阵的公式,定义了区间数互反判断矩阵几何加权集成算子.在此基础上,提出了区间数多属性群决策的新方法.方法首先针对每一个属性,将各决策者、各方案对应此属性的区间数向量转换为互反判断矩阵,由新定义的集成算子进行集成.由集成区间数矩阵的上界、下界矩阵计算各方案关于此属性的排序向量.由属性权重、可能度和排序公式对方案进行排序.最后给出一个实例进行分析,结果表明了此方法的实用性和可行性.     

基于超效率DEA-IAHP的物流企业绩效评价

本文在介绍超效率数据包络分析法及区间数层次分析法的原理和模型,深入研究DEA-AHP评价方法的基础上,提出了超效率DEA-IAHP方法对物流企业绩效进行评价,改进方法引入超效率DEA方法和区间层次分析法弥补了原方法的不足,其中超效率数据包络分析法弥补了原方法不能对效率均为1的决策单元有效排序的问题,可以对所有决策单元进行总排序;区间层次分析法使用区间数判断矩阵来表达各指标因素对总目标的相对重要程度,这有效地解决了决策者因为对物流企业信息掌握不全而导致的点判断矩阵不可靠的问题,更好地体现了决策者偏好。笔者给出了应用超效率DEA-IAHP方法对物流企业进行绩效评价的基本步骤,并用实例分析体现了该方法的实用性及优越性。     

基于前景理论的模糊DEA交叉效率评价方法

针对模糊环境下决策单元的相对有效性评价问题，本文利用α-截集法将三角模糊数型的投入产出值转化为区间数，提出一种改进的区间交叉效率模型。随后，引入前景理论来研究区间交叉效率集结问题，定义区间参考点代替传统的单个参考点，以最大化所有决策单元的前景交叉效率为原则，构建最大化前景交叉效率模型求解集结权重。根据偏好度方法，比较区间交叉效率值。本文方法基于统一的生产前沿面来度量决策单元的效率，保证了不同决策单元之间以及不同α值下的效率可比；定义区间参考点充分考虑了决策者在模糊环境下的心理因素变化，集结决策单元的区间交叉效率值代替综合前景值，以保留尽可能多的决策信息。最后，通过例子验证方法的有效性。     

基于虚拟决策单元的排序模型

本文给出了一种新的决策单元排序方法。基于经典的C²R模型,通过引入一个虚拟的决策单元,形成了一个新的排序模型,按照相对效率值的大小实现了决策单元的排序。实验表明,新排序方法不仅能较好地反映C²R模型的计算结果,而且可避免超效率方法造成的相对效率值偏大的弊端。新的排序方法依据充分、简单方便,同时体现了整体的决策效率。     

考虑偏差值的中立型区间交叉效率研究

在不确定性环境下,当决策单元(DMU)的投入产出数据为区间数形式时,为解决决策单元之间既不是合作也不是竞争关系时的交叉评价问题,本文提出一种中立型区间交叉效率模型。从所有被评价者的角度出发解决评价权重的选取问题,以决策单元投入得分的平均偏差与产出得分的平均偏差之和最小化为目标,建立决策单元在最佳和最差两种生产状态下的中立型区间交叉效率模型。在本文提出的中立型模型视角下,DMU的投入得分平均偏差和产出得分平均偏差之和达到最小。算例结果表明该中立型区间交叉效率模型的有效性,解决了不确定性环境下的交叉评价问题,保证评价的客观公正,更加符合现实。     

基于Vague集的模糊多目标决策方法及应用

针对目前基于Vague集多目标决策中Vague值计算困难以及确定目标满意度的下界和不满意度的上界存在主观随意性问题.提出了一种基于Vague集的模糊多目标决策方法.利用属性数学中的属性集和属性测度理论构造目标的真隶属度函数、假隶属度函数和犹豫度函数,从而可计算出目标的Vague值;采用记分函数计算方案的多目标评分值,从而可以对方案进行排序并选择出最优方案.应用实例验证了该方法的有效性和实用性.     

基于交叉评价策略的DEA灰色关联排序模型北大核心

数据包络分析(DEA)是评价决策单元相对效率的有效方法,其中的交叉效率评价方法可用来对决策单元进行区分排序.针对原有模型中交叉效率值的不唯一问题,结合灰色关联分析思想,构建理想决策单元,定义各决策单元与理想决策单元的灰色关联度,以灰色关联度值最大为目标,建立优化模型来计算输入和输出指标的最佳权重,据此得出决策单元的交叉效率值,实现对决策单元的完全排序.最后通过算例来验证模型的有效性和实用性.     

基于交叉评价策略的DEA灰色关联排序模型

数据包络分析(DEA)是评价决策单元相对效率的有效方法,其中的交叉效率评价方法可用来对决策单元进行区分排序.针对原有模型中交叉效率值的不唯一问题,结合灰色关联分析思想,构建理想决策单元,定义各决策单元与理想决策单元的灰色关联度,以灰色关联度值最大为目标,建立优化模型来计算输入和输出指标的最佳权重,据此得出决策单元的交叉效率值,实现对决策单元的完全排序.最后通过算例来验证模型的有效性和实用性.     

基于SMAA和公共权重的决策单元效率评价与排序

在数据包络分析(DEA)中,公共权重模型是决策单元效率评价与排序的常用方法之一。与传统DEA模型相比,公共权重模型用一组公共的投入产出权重评价所有决策单元,评价结果往往更具有区分度且更为客观。本文考虑决策单元对排序位置的满意程度,提出了基于最大化最小满意度和最大化平均满意度两类新的公共权重模型。首先,基于随机多准则可接受度分析(SMAA)方法,计算出每个决策单元处于各个排名位置的可接受度;然后,通过逆权重空间分析,分别求得使最小满意度和平均满意度最大化的一组公共权重;最后,利用所求的公共权重,计算各决策单元的效率值及相应的排序。算例分析验证了本文提出的基于SMAA的公共权重模型用于决策单元效率评价与排序的可行性。     

Measuring the performances of decision-making units using interval efficiencies

Efficiency is a relative measure because it can be measured within different ranges. The traditional data envelopment analysis (DEA) measures the efficiencies of decision-making units (DMUs) within the range of less than or equal to one. The corresponding efficiencies are referred to as the best relative efficiencies, which measure the best performances of DMUs and determine an efficiency frontier. If the efficiencies are measured within the range of greater than or equal to one, then the worst relative efficiencies can be used to measure the worst performances of DMUs and determine an inefficiency frontier. In this paper, the efficiencies of DMUs are measured within the range of an interval, whose upper bound is set to one and the lower bound is determined through introducing a virtual anti-ideal DMU, whose performance is definitely inferior to any DMUs. The efficiencies turn out to be all intervals and are thus referred to as interval efficiencies, which combine the best and the worst relative efficiencies in a reasonable manner to give an overall measurement and assessment of the performances of DMUs. The new DEA model with the upper and lower bounds on efficiencies is referred to as bounded DEA model, which can incorporate decision maker (DM) or assessor's preference information on input and output weights. A Hurwicz criterion approach is introduced and utilized to compare and rank the interval efficiencies of DMUs and a numerical example is examined using the proposed bounded DEA model to show its potential application and validity.     

Evaluating the performances of decision-making units based on interval efficiencies

Efficiency could be not only the ratio of weighted sum of outputs to that of inputs but also that of weighted sum of inputs to that of outputs. When the previous efficiency measures the best relative efficiency within the range of no more than one, the decision-making units (DMUs) who get the optimum value of one perform best among all the DMUs. If the previous efficiency is measured within the range of no less than one, the DMUs who get the optimum value of one perform worst among all the DMUs. When the later efficiency is measured within the range of no more than one, the DMUs who get the optimum value of one perform worst among all the DMUs. If the later efficiency is measured within the range of no less than one, the DMUs who get the optimum value of one perform best among all the DMUs. This paper mainly studies an interval DEA model with later efficiency, in which efficiency is measured within the range of an interval, whose upper bound is set to one and the lower bound is determined by introducing a virtual ideal DMU, whose performance is definitely superior to any DMUs. The efficiencies, obtained from interval DEA model, turn out to be all intervals and are referred to as interval efficiencies, which combine the best and the worst relative efficiency in a reasonable manner to give an overall assessment of performances for all DMUs. Assessor's preference information on input and output weights is also incorporated into interval DEA model reasonably and conveniently. Through an example, some differences are found from the ranking results obtained from interval DEA model and bounded DEA model using the Hurwicz criterion approach to rank the interval efficiencies.     

Interval efficiency measures in data envelopment analysis with imprecise data

The conventional data envelopment analysis (DEA) measures the relative efficiencies of a set of decision making units (DMUs) with exact values of inputs and outputs. For imprecise data, i.e., mixtures of interval data and ordinal data, some methods have been developed to calculate the upper bound of the efficiency scores. This paper constructs a pair of two-level mathematical programming models, whose objective values represent the lower bound and upper bound of the efficiency scores, respectively. Based on the concept of productive efficiency and the application of a variable substitution technique, the pair of two-level nonlinear programs is transformed to a pair of ordinary one-level linear programs. Solving the associated pairs of linear programs produces the efficiency intervals of all DMUs. An illustrative example verifies the idea of this paper. A real case is also provided to give some interpretation of the interval efficiency. Interval efficiency not only describes the real situation in better detail; psychologically, it also eases the tension of the DMUs being evaluated as well as the persons conducting the evaluation.     

Improvement of efficiency intervals based on DEA by adjusting inputs and outputs

We improve the efficiency interval of a DMU by adjusting its given inputs and outputs. The Interval DEA model has been formulated to obtain an efficiency interval consisting of evaluations from both the optimistic and pessimistic viewpoints. DMUs which are not rated as efficient in the conventional sense are improved so that their lower bounds become as large as possible under the condition that their upper bounds attain the maximum value one. The adjusted inputs and outputs keep each other balanced by improving the lower bound of efficiency interval, since the lower bound becomes small if all the inputs and outputs are not proportioned. In order to improve the lower bound of efficiency interval, different target points are defined for different DMUs. The target point can be regarded as a kind of benchmark for the DMU. First, a new approach to improvement by adjusting only outputs or inputs is proposed. Then, the combined approach to improvement by adjusting both inputs and outputs simultaneously is proposed. Lastly, numerical examples are shown to illustrate our proposed approaches.     

Interval data without sign restrictions in DEA

Conventional DEA models assume deterministic, precise and non-negative data for input and output observations. However, real applications may be characterized by observations that are given in form of intervals and include negative numbers. For instance, the consumption of electricity in decentralized energy resources may be either negative or positive, depending on the heat consumption. Likewise, the heat losses in distribution networks may be within a certain range, depending on e.g. external temperature and real-time outtake. Complementing earlier work separately addressing the two problems; interval data and negative data; we propose a comprehensive evaluation process for measuring the relative efficiencies of a set of DMUs in DEA. In our general formulation, the intervals may contain upper or lower bounds with different signs. The proposed method determines upper and lower bounds for the technical efficiency through the limits of the intervals after decomposition. Based on the interval scores, DMUs are then classified into three classes, namely, the strictly efficient, weakly efficient and inefficient. An intuitive ranking approach is presented for the respective classes. The approach is demonstrated through an application to the evaluation of bank branches.     

Interval cross efficiency for fully ranking decision making units using DEA/AHP approach

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a popular technique for measuring the relative efficiency of a set of decision making units (DMUs). Fully ranking DMUs is a traditional and important topic in DEA. In various types of ranking methods, cross efficiency method receives much attention from researchers because it evaluates DMUs by using self and peer evaluation. However, cross efficiency score is usual nonuniqueness. This paper combines the DEA and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to fully rank the DMUs that considers all possible cross efficiencies of a DMU with respect to all the other DMUs. We firstly measure the interval cross efficiency of each DMU. Based on the interval cross efficiency, relative efficiency pairwise comparison between each pair of DMUs is used to construct interval multiplicative preference relations (IMPRs). To obtain the consistency ranking order, a method to derive consistent IMPRs is developed. After that, the full ranking order of DMUs from completely consistent IMPRs is derived. It is worth noting that our DEA/AHP approach not only avoids overestimation of DMUs’ efficiency by only self-evaluation, but also eliminates the subjectivity of pairwise comparison between DMUs in AHP. Finally, a real example is offered to illustrate the feasibility and practicality of the proposed procedure.     

The interval efficiency based on the optimistic and pessimistic points of view

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a data-oriented approach for evaluating the performances of a set of peer entities called decision-making units (DMUs), whose performance is determined based on multiple measures. The traditional DEA, which is based on the concept of efficiency frontier (output frontier), determines the best efficiency score that can be assigned to each DMU. Based on these scores, DMUs are classified into DEA-efficient (optimistic efficient) or DEA-non-efficient (optimistic non-efficient) units, and the DEA-efficient DMUs determine the efficiency frontier. There is a comparable approach which uses the concept of inefficiency frontier (input frontier) for determining the worst relative efficiency score that can be assigned to each DMU. DMUs on the inefficiency frontier are specified as DEA-inefficient or pessimistic inefficient, and those that do not lie on the inefficient frontier, are declared to be DEA-non-inefficient or pessimistic non-inefficient. In this paper, we argue that both relative efficiencies should be considered simultaneously, and any approach that considers only one of them will be biased. For measuring the overall performance of the DMUs, we propose to integrate both efficiencies in the form of an interval, and we call the proposed DEA models for efficiency measurement the bounded DEA models. In this way, the efficiency interval provides the decision maker with all the possible values of efficiency, which reflect various perspectives. A numerical example is presented to illustrate the application of the proposed DEA models.     

Dominance relations and ranking of units by using interval number ordering with cross-efficiency intervals

This paper proposes an approach to the cross-efficiency evaluation that considers all the optimal data envelopment analysis (DEA) weights of all the decision-making units (DMUs), thus avoiding the need to make a choice among them according to some alternative secondary goal. To be specific, we develop a couple of models that allow for all the possible weights of all the DMUs simultaneously and yield individual lower and upper bounds for the cross-efficiency scores of the different units. As a result, we have a cross-efficiency interval for the evaluation of each unit. Existing order relations for interval numbers are used to identify dominance relations among DMUs and derive a ranking of units based on the cross-efficiency intervals provided. The approach proposed may also be useful for assessing the stability of the cross-efficiency scores with respect to DEA weights that can be used for their calculation.     

Overall performance evaluation: new bounded DEA models against unreachability of efficiency

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) performance evaluation can be implemented from either optimistic or pessimistic perspectives. For an overall performance evaluation from both perspectives, bounded DEA models are introduced to evaluate decision making units (DMUs) in terms of interval efficiencies. This paper reveals unreachability of efficiency and distortion of frontiers associated with the existing bounded DEA models. New bounded DEA models against these problems are proposed by integrating the archetypal optimistic and pessimistic DEA models into a model with bounded efficiency. It provides a new way of deriving empirical estimates of efficiency frontiers in tune with that identified by the archetypal models. Without distortion of frontiers, all DMUs reach interval efficiencies in accordance with that determined by the archetypal models. A unified evaluation and classification result is derived and the efficiency relationships between DMUs are preserved. It is shown that the newly proposed models are more reliable for overall performance evaluation in practice, as illustrated empirically by two examples.     

An inverse optimization model for imprecise data envelopment analysis

Inverse data envelopment analysis (InDEA) is a well-known approach for short-term forecasting of a given decision-making unit (DMU). The conventional InDEA models use the production possibility set (PPS) that is composed of an evaluated DMU with current inputs and outputs. In this paper, we replace the fluctuated DMU with a modified DMU involving renewal inputs and outputs in the PPS since the DMU with current data cannot be allowed to establish the new PPS. Besides, the classical DEA models such as InDEA are assumed to consider perfect knowledge of the input and output values but in numerous situations, this assumption may not be realistic. The observed values of the data in these situations can sometimes be defined as interval numbers instead of crisp numbers. Here, we extend the InDEA model to interval data for evaluating the relative efficiency of DMUs. The proposed models determine the lower and upper bounds of the inputs of a given DMU separately when its interval outputs are changed in the performance analysis process. We aim to remain the current interval efficiency of a considered DMU and the interval efficiencies of the remaining DMUs fixed or even improve compared with the current interval efficiencies.