Permanence and periodic solutions in models with stage structure,delay, and pulse action

We obtain sufficient conditions for the permanence and existence of an asymptotically stable periodic solution for a model of evolution of a biological species with stage structure, delay, and pulse action and for a system of equations with delay and pulse action that models the dynamics of two competitive species with stage structure.     

Modelling the effects of heavy alcohol consumption on the transmission dynamics of gonorrhea

Prior studies have indicated that heavy alcohol drinkers are likely to engage in risky sexual behaviours and thus, more likely to get sexually transmitted infections (STIs) than social drinkers. Here, we formulate a deterministic model for evaluating the impact of heavy alcohol drinking on the reemerging gonorrhea epidemic. The model is rigorously analysed, showing the existence of a globally asymptotically stable disease-free equilibrium whenever the reproductive number is less than unity. If the disease threshold number is greater than unity, a unique endemic equilibrium exists and is globally asymptotically stable in the interior of the feasible region and the disease persists at endemic proportions if it is initially present. Both analytical and numerical results are provided to ascertain whether heavy alcohol drinking has an impact on the transmission dynamics of gonorrhea.     

Threshold dynamics for a HFMD epidemic model with?periodic transmission rate

In this paper, a periodic epidemic model is proposed in order to simulate the dynamics of HFMD transmission. We consider the effects of quarantine in the children population. We obtain a threshold value which determines the extinction and uniform persistence of the disease. Our results show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the threshold value is less than unity. Otherwise, the system has a positive periodic solution and the disease persists. Numerical simulations show that quarantine has a positive impact on the spread of disease, i.e., quarantine is beneficial to the intervention and control of the disease outbreak in the children population.     

The dynamics of a high-dimensional delayed pest management model with impulsive pesticide input and?harvesting prey at different fixed moments

In this paper, a delayed pest control model with stage-structure for pests by introducing a constant periodic pesticide input and harvesting prey (Crops) at two different fixed moments is proposed and analyzed. We assume only the pests are affected by pesticide. We prove that the conditions for global asymptotically attractive ??predator-extinction?? periodic solution and permanence of the population of the model depend on time delay, pulse pesticide input, and pulse harvesting prey. By numerical analysis, we also show that constant maturation time delay, pulse pesticide input, and pulse harvesting prey can bring obvious effects on the dynamics of system, which also corroborates our theoretical results. We believe that the results will provide reliable tactic basis for the practical pest management. One of the features of present paper is to investigate the high-dimensional delayed system with impulsive effects at different fixed impulsive moments.     

The importance of immune responses in a model of hepatitis B virus

In this paper, the dynamical behavior of a hepatitis B virus model with CTL immune responses is studied. Analyzing the model, we show that the virus-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproductive ratio of virus is less than one and the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable if the basic reproductive ratio is greater than one. When the basic reproductive ratio is greater than one, the system is uniformly persistent, which means the virus is endemic. Mathematical analysis and numerical simulations show that the CTL immune responses play a significant and decisive role in eradication of disease. The study and information derived from this model may have an important impact on treatment protocols of hepatitis B virus in the future.     

Longwave Approximation in Film Flow Theory

An asymptotic longwave model which takes dispersive terms into account is constructed for describing the motion of thin films with finite deviations from the middle surface. An exact periodic solution describing a nonlinear capillary wave is constructed within the framework of the model. Small deviations from the nonlinear capillary wave are described by a linear system with periodic coefficients. It is shown that for wave perturbation periods greater than a certain critical value the monodromy matrix of this system has eigenvalues whose absolute values are equal to unity. For perturbation periods less than the critical period the absolute value of one of the eigenvalues becomes greater than unity.     

The spread of computer virus under the effect of external computers

In reality, the external computers, in particular, external infected computers are connected to the Internet. Based on this reasonable assumption, a new computer virus propagation model is established. Different from all the previous models, this model regards the external computers as a single compartment to study. Through a qualitative analysis, it is found that (1) this model possesses a unique (viral) equilibrium, and (2) this equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Further study shows that, by taking effective measures, the number of infected computers can be made below an acceptable threshold.     

Propagation of computer virus under the influences of infected external computers and removable storage media

In reality, a portion of infected external computers could enter the Internet, and removable storage media could carry virus. To our knowledge, nearly all previous models describing the spread of computer virus ignore the combined impact of these two factors. In this paper, a new dynamical model is established based on these facts. A systematic analysis of the model is performed, and it is found that the unique (viral) equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Some simulation experiments are also made to justify the model. Finally, a result and some applicable measures for suppressing viral spread are suggested.     

Analysis of pest-epidemic model by?releasing diseased pest with?impulsive transmission

According to biological and chemical control strategy for pest control, we investigate an SI model for pest management, concerning periodic spraying of microbial pesticide and releasing infected pests at different fixed moments. By using Floquet and comparison theorems, we prove that the pest-extinction periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable when the impulsive period T is less than the critical value T _max?. Otherwise, the system can be permanent. Our results provide reliable tactic basis for the practical pest management.     

The genic mutation on dynamics of a predator–prey system with impulsive effect

In this work, we consider a genic mutational predator?Cprey system with birth pulse and impulsive cutting on prey population at different moments. All the solutions of the investigated system are proved to be uniformly ultimately bounded. The conditions of the globally asymptotically stable predator-extinction boundary periodic solution of the investigated system are obtained. The permanent conditions of the investigated system are also obtained. Finally, numerical simulations are inserted to illustrate the results. Our results present that the genic mutational rate plays an important role on the permanence of the investigated system. Our results also provide reliable tactic basis for the practical biological economics management.     

Global dynamics behaviors for new delay SEIR epidemic disease model with vertical transmission and pulse vaccination

A robust SEIR epidemic disease model with a profitless delay and verti- cal transmission is formulated,and the dynamics behaviors of the model under pulse vaccination are analyzed.By use of the discrete dynamical system determined by the stroboscopic map,an‘infection-free’periodic solution is obtained,further,it is shown that the‘infection-free’periodic solution is globally attractive when some parameters of the model are under appropriate conditions.Using the theory on delay functional and impulsive differential equatibn,the sufficient condition with time delay for the perma- nence of the system is obtained,and it is proved that time delays,pulse vaccination and vertical transmission can bring obvious effects on the dynamics behaviors of the model. The results indicate that the delay is‘profitless’.     

The Stochastic Beverton-Holt Equation and the M. Neubert Conjecture

In the Beverton-Holt difference equation of population biology with intrinsic growth parameter above its critical value, any initial non-zero population will approach an asymptotically stable fixed point, the carrying capacity of the environment. When this carrying capacity is allowed to vary periodically it is known that there is a globally asymptotically stable periodic solution and the average of the state variable along this solution is strictly less than the average of the carrying capacities, i.e. the varying environment has a deleterious effect on the state average. In this work we consider the case of a randomly varying environment and show that there is a unique invariant density to which all other density distributions on the state variable converge. Further, for every initial non-zero state variable and almost all random sequences of carrying capacities, the averages of the state variable along an orbit and the carrying capacities exist and the former is strictly less than the latter. 2000 MSC: 37H10; 39A11; 92D25.     

Flow of a viscous fluid past an array of spheres

The Stokes flow of a viscous incompressible fluid through a periodic array of impenetrable spheres with linear friction on the boundary is considered. A solution and an expression for the drag are obtained to terms of order c^5/3 compared with unity (c is the volume concentration of the spheres). The proposed algorithm permits solution with any required degree of accuracy. The solution contains as limits the cases of perfect slip and no-slip on the surfaces of the spheres. In the problem with the no-slip condition, an asymptotically exact lower bound for the drag, which is valid for all values of the concentration c, is constructed.Translated from Izvestiya Akademii Nauk SSSR, Mekhanika Zhidkosti i Gaza, No. 4, pp. 37–44, July–August, 1981.     

Self-stability of a simple walking model driven by a rhythmic signal

In this paper, we analyzed the dynamic properties of a simple walking model of a biped robot driven by a rhythmic signal from an oscillator. The oscillator receives no sensory feedback and the rhythmic signal is an open loop. The simple model consists of a hip and two legs that are connected at the hip. The leg motion is generated by a rhythmic signal. In particular, we analytically examined the stability of a periodic walking motion. We obtained approximate periodic solutions and the Jacobian matrix of a Poincaré map by the power-series expansion using a small parameter. Although the analysis was inconclusive when we used only the first order expansion, by employing the second order expansion it clarified the stability, revealing that the periodic walking motion is asymptotically stable and the simple model possesses self-stability as an inherent dynamic characteristic in walking. We also clarified the stability region with respect to model parameters such as mass ratio and walking speed.     

Global properties of a class of virus infection models with multitarget cells

In this paper, we propose a class of virus infection models with multitarget cells and study their global properties. We first study three models with specific forms of incidence rate function, then study a model with a more general nonlinear incidence rate. The basic model is a (2n+1)-dimensional nonlinear ODEs that describes the population dynamics of the virus, n classes of uninfected target cells, and n classes of infected target cells. Model with exposed state and model with saturated infection rate are also studied. For these models, Lyapunov functions are constructed to establish the global asymptotic stability of the uninfected and infected steady states of these models. We have proven that if the basic reproduction number is less than unity then the uninfected steady state is globally asymptotically stable, and if the basic reproduction number is greater than unity then the infected steady state is globally asymptotically stable. For the model with general nonlinear incidence rate, we construct suitable Lyapunov functions and establish the sufficient conditions for the global stability of the uninfected and infected steady states of this model.     

Global stability of a delayed SEIRS epidemic model with saturation incidence rate

In this paper, an SEIRS epidemic model with a saturation incidence rate and a time delay describing a latent period is investigated. By analyzing the corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of an endemic equilibrium and a disease-free equilibrium is established. When the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, by means of an iteration technique, sufficient conditions are obtained for the global asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium. By comparison arguments, it is proved that if the basic reproduction number is less than unity, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the main theoretical results.     

Global Analysis of Two Tuberculosis Models

Two models for tuberculosis (TB) that include treatment of latent and infective individuals are considered. The first model assumes constant recruitment with a fixed fraction entering each class, having the consequences that TB never dies out and that the usual threshold condition does not apply. The unique endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable for all parameter values and is shown to be globally asymptotically stable under certain parameter restrictions. The second model has a general recruitment function, but all recruitment is into the susceptible class. Three threshold parameters determine the existence and local stability of equilibria. The disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number is less than or equal to one. The endemic equilibrium, when it exists, is shown to be globally asymptotically stable under certain parameter restrictions. Global stability results for the endemic equilibria are proved using the geometric approach of Li and Muldowney.     

On the Existence and Stability of Time Periodic Solution to the Compressible Navier–Stokes Equation on the Whole Space

The existence of a time periodic solution of the compressible Navier–Stokes equation on the whole space is proved for a sufficiently small time periodic external force when the space dimension is greater than or equal to 3. The proof is based on the spectral properties of the time-T-map associated with the linearized problem around the motionless state with constant density in some weighted L ^∞ and Sobolev spaces. The time periodic solution is shown to be asymptotically stable under sufficiently small initial perturbations and the L ^∞ norm of the perturbation decays as time goes to infinity.     

Plane contact problem for a half-space with boundary imperfections

In this paper the new micrmodelling approach to the contact problem for a half-space with boundary imperfections is proposed. The approach is based on a periodic distribution of micro-undulations along the space boundary and leads to the 2-D mathematical macro-model of the contact problem. The general idea of the modelling takes into account certain concepts used in the investigation of periodic composite materials (see e.g. Wozniak, 1993) . The resulting model constitutes a generalization of the known Winkler-type model (see e.g. Shtayerman, 1949) . The numerical solution to the special problem shows the boundary imperfections effect on the contact of bodies.     

On a New Route to Chaos in Railway Dynamics

Cooperrider's mathematical model of a railway bogie running on a straight track has been thoroughly investigated due to its interesting nonlinear dynamics (see True [1] for a survey). In this article a detailed numerical investigation is made of the dynamics in a speed range, where many solutions exist, but only a couple of which are stable. One of them is a chaotic attractor.Cooperrider's bogie model is described in Section 2, and in Section 3 we explain the method of numerical investigation. In Section 4 the results are shown. The main result is that the chaotic attractor is created through a period-doubling cascade of the secondary period in an asymptotically stable quasiperiodic oscillation at decreasing speed. Several quasiperiodic windows were found in the chaotic motion.This route to chaos was first described by Franceschini [9], who discovered it in a seven-mode truncation of the plane incompressible Navier–Stokes equations. The problem investigated by Franceschini is a smooth dynamical system in contrast to the dynamics of the Cooperrider truck model. The forcing in the Cooperrider model includes a component, which has the form of a very stiff linear spring with a dead band simulating an elastic impact. The dynamics of the Cooperrider truck is therefore non-smooth.The quasiperiodic oscillation is created in a supercritical Neimark bifurcation at higher speeds from an asymmetric unstable periodic oscillation, which gains stability in the bifurcation. The bifurcating quasiperiodic solution is initially unstable, but it gains stability in a saddle-node bifurcation when the branch turns back toward lower speeds.The chaotic attractor disappears abruptly in what is conjectured to be a blue sky catastrophe, when the speed decreases further.