Estimators of covariances in time series models

The theory of Minimum Norm Quadratic Estimators for estimating variances and covariances is applied to show that some commonly used estimators of covariances in time series models are easily derived using the above principle. In applying the theory MINQE, it is observed that no unbiased estimator exists in the class of invariant quadratics.     

缺失数据下Jackknife方差估计量的渐近设计无偏性

在实际的调查中经常会出现缺失数据．如何处理这种情况下总体目标量的估计是一个重要问题．Zou等(2002)对缺失数据情况下的样本轮换方法证明了他们所提出的线性化．Jackknife方差估计量在均匀回答下是估计量方差的近似的设计无偏估计．这一性质对于．Jackknife方差估计量的使用提供了重要依据．对于其它情况下．Jackknife方差估计量是否也具有这一性质无疑是一个有意义的问题．作者旨在研究文献中已提出的若干．Jackknife方差估计量的渐近设计无偏性．我们的结果表明Zou等(2002)所注意到的Jackknife方差估计量的渐近设计无偏性具有一定的普遍性。     

方差分量的二次不变估计的非负改进

研究一类方差分量模型中的方差分量的估计改进问题,首先在含两个方差分量模型中给出σ21二次型估计类,并且此估计类还具有无偏性和不变性.考虑二次损失(δ-θ)2,在此估计类基础上放弃无偏性进行非负改进,不仅得到优于二次不变无偏估计类的σ21的非负二次不变估计类,而且还说明了它优于方差分析估计和最小均方误差估计,文献[5]中给出s>2时的非负改进,但是非负改进存在是有条件的,本文克服了这个缺陷.最后给出了非负改进存在的充分必要条件.     

混合模型中方差分量估计的容许性及非负估计

对含有两个方差分量的线性混合模型, 本文构造了方差分量的一个线性估计类, 它包含许多常见的方差分量估计. 在这个类中我们建立了容许性的必要条件, 据此得到了两个新的改进估计. 最后我们讨论了方差分量的非负估计, 得到了优于方差分析估计和Tatsuya估计的正估计.     

Asymptotic equivalence of the jackknife and infinitesimal jackknife variance estimators for some smooth statistics

The jackknife variance estimator and the infinitesimal jackknife variance estimator are shown to be asymptotically equivalent if the functional of interest is a smooth function of the mean or a trimmed L-statistic with Hölder continuous weight function.     

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Variance related premium principle is one of the most important principles not only in practice applications but also in research field of actuarial science. In this paper, the Bayesian models are established under variance related premium principle. The Bayesian estimate and credibility estimate of risk premium are derived. Furthermore, some statistical properties of estimators are discussed. In the models with multitude contract data, the unbiased consistent estimates of the structure parameters are proposed. Finally, the empirical Bayes estimator are proved to be asymptotically optimal.     

2SUR回归模型系数估计的均方误差比较

对于2SUR回归模型的参数估计问题,给出了一些一航均方误差矩阵比较结果,据此提出了一类线性估计和一类基于离差阵广义非限定估计的非线性两步估计,并获得了该两步估计类的一些有限样本性质。     

A Comparison of Restricted and Unrestricted Estimators in Estimating Linear Functions of Ordered Scale Parameters of Two Gamma Distributions

The problem of estimating linear functions of ordered scale parameters of two Gamma distributions is considered. A necessary and sufficient condition on the ratio of two coefficients is given for the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) to dominate the crude unbiased estimator (UE) in terms of mean square error. A modified MLE which satisfies the restriction is also suggested, and a necessary and sufficient condition is also given for it to dominate the admissible estimator based solely on one sample. The estimation of linear functions of variances in two sample problem and also of variance components in a one-way random effect model is mentioned.     

On Edgeworth expansions for dependency-neighborhoods chain structures and Stein's method

Let W be the sum of dependent random variables, and h(x) be a function. This paper provides an Edgeworth expansion of an arbitrary ``length' for %E{h(W)} in terms of certain characteristics of dependency, and of the smoothness of h and/or the distribution of W. The core of the class of dependency structures for which these characteristics are meaningful is the local dependency, but in fact, the class is essentially wider. The remainder is estimated in terms of Lyapunov's ratios. The proof is based on a Stein's method.Supported in part by NSF grant DMS-98-03623Supported in part by the Russian Foundation of Basic Research, grant # 00-01-00194, and by NSF grant DMS-98-03623Mathematics Subject Classification (2000):Primary 62E20; Secondary 60E05     

An Edgeworth Expansion for Studentized Finite Population Statistics

We show the validity of the one-term Edgeworth expansion for Studentized asymptotically linear statistics based on samples drawn without replacement from finite populations. Replacing the moments defining the expansion by their estimators we obtain an empirical Edgeworth expansion. We show the validity of the empirical Edgeworth expansion in probability.     

Asymptotic risk behavior of mean vector and variance estimators and the problem of positive normal mean

Asymptotic risk behavior of estimators of the unknow variance and of the unknown mean vector in a multivariate normal distribution is considered for a general loss. It is shown that in both problems this characteristic is related to the risk in an estimation problem of a positive normal mean under quadratic loss function. A curious property of the Brewster-Zidek variance estimator of the normal variance is also noticed.Research supported by NSF Grant DMS 9000999 and by Alexander von Humboldt Foundation Senior Distinguished Scientist Award.University of Münster     

Asymptotic Behaviour of Trajectory Fitting Estimators for Certain Non-ergodic SDE

Suppose one observes a path of a stochastic processX = (X_t)_t≥0 driven by the equation dX_t=θ a(X_t)dt + dW_t, t≥0, θ ≥ 0 with a(x) = x or a(x) = |x|^α for some α ∈ [0,1) and given initial condition X ₀. If the true but unknown parameter θ₀ is positive then X is non-ergodic. It is shown that in this situation a trajectory fitting estimator for θ₀ is strongly consistent and has the same limiting distribution as the maximum likelihood estimator, but converges of minor order. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Asymptotic Expansion for the Null Distribution of the <Emphasis Type="Italic">F</Emphasis>-statistic in One-way ANOVA under Non-normality

In this paper we derive the asymptotic expansion of the null distribution of the F-statistic in one-way ANOVA under non-normality. The asymptotic framework is when the number of treatments is moderate but sample size per treatment (replication size) is small. This kind of asymptotics will be relevant, for example, to agricultural screening trials where large number of cultivars are compared with few replications per cultivar. There is also a huge potential for the application of this kind of asymptotics in microarray experiments. Based on the asymptotic expansion we will devise a transformation that speeds up the convergence to the limiting distribution. The results indicate that the approximation based on limiting distribution are unsatisfactory unless number of treatments is very large. Our numerical investigations reveal that our asymptotic expansion performs better than other methods in the literature when there is skewness in the data or even when the data comes from a symmetric distribution with heavy tails.     

几个总体均值函数的鞍点逼近

本文发展了几个总体的均值向量的函数的尾部概率的鞍点逼近方法，并应用它于Bootstrap估计中，以代替Monte Carlo模拟，一些数值例子说明了其近似精度。     

左截断右删失数据分位差估计及其渐近性质

我们研究了左截断右删失数据分位差,基于左截断右删失数据乘积限构造了分位差的经验估计,同时克服经验估计的非光滑性,提出了分位数差的核光滑估计.利用经验过程理论推导出这两个估计的渐近偏差和渐近方差,并且在左截断右删失数据下研究了这两个分位差的大样本性质,获得分位差估计的相合性和渐近正态性.同时给出计算模拟以验证光滑分位差估计的表现,在均方损失的意义下模拟结果表明光滑估计比经验估计具有更好的性质.     

Asymptotic expansions for the distribution of quadratic forms in normal variables

Higher order asymptotic expansions for the distribution of quadratic forms in normal variables are obtained. The Cornish-Fisher inverse expansions for the percentiles of the distribution are also given. The resulting formula for a definite quadratic form guarantees accuracy almost up to fourth decimal place if the distribution is not very skew. The normalizing transformation investigated by Jensen and Solomon (1972, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., 67, 898–902) is reconsidered based on the rate of convergence to the normal distribution.Faculty of Science, Kyushu University, 6-10-1 Hakozaki, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka 812 Japan     

Other Classes of Minimax Estimators of Variance Covariance Matrix in Multivariate Normal Distribution

It is well known that the best equivariant estimator of the variance covariance matrix of the multivariate normal distribution with respect to the full affine group of transformation is not even minimax. Some minimax estimators have been proposed. Here we treat this problem in the framework of a multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) model and give other classes of minimax estimators.     

Asymptotic Improvement of the Usual Confidence Set in a Multivariate Normal Distribution with Unknown Variance

We consider confidence sets for the mean of a multivariate normal distribution with unknown covariance matrix of the formσ²I. The coverage probability of the usual confidence set is shown to be improved asymptotically by centering at a shrinkage estimator.     

A Subsampling Method for the Computation of Multivariate Estimators with High Breakdown Point

Abstract

All known robust location and scale estimators with high breakdown point for multivariate samples are very expensive to compute. In practice, this computation has to be carried out using an approximate subsampling procedure. In this article we describe an alternative subsampling scheme, applicable to both the Stahel-Donoho estimator and the minimum volume ellipsoid estimator, with the property that the number of subsamples required can be substantially reduced with respect to the standard subsampling procedures used in both cases. We also discuss some bias and variability properties of the estimator obtained from the proposed subsampling process.     

Imputation of mean of ratios for missing data and its application to PPSWR sampling

In practical survey sampling, nonresponse phenomenon is unavoidable. How to impute missing data is an important problem. There are several imputation methods in the literature. In this paper, the imputation method of the mean of ratios for missing data under uniform response is applied to the estimation of a finite population mean when the PPSWR sampling is used. The imputed estimator is valid under the corresponding response mechanism regardless of the model as well as under the ratio model regardless of the response mechanism. The approximately unbiased jackknife variance estimator is also presented. All of these results are extended to the case of non-uniform response. Simulation studies show the good performance of the proposed estimators.