证券组合选择的有效子集

本文引进证券组合选择的有效子集概念。有效子集可取代原有的基本证券集来生成Markowitz有效组合前沿。本文给出一个证券集的子集是全集的有效子集的充要条件。在理论上，这是一条新的k-基金分离定理；在实际应用上，这有可能用来减少计算有效组合前沿的计算量。     

不允许卖空证券组合选择的有效子集

证券组合选择的有效子集是指它可取代原有的基本证券集来生成Markowits有效组合前沿.本文给出一个证券集的子集在不允许卖空的条件下是全集的有效子集的充要条件。     

均值方差偏好和期望损失风险约束下的动态投资组合

本文在均值方差框架下,研究了期望损失风险约束下的连续时间动态投资组合问题。运用鞅理论和凸对偶方法,分别给出了最优财富和最优投资策略的解析式,而且两基金分离定理仍然成立。最后通过数值例子分析了风险约束对最优投资策略的影响。     

The dynamic control of risk in optimised portfolios

E-mail: c.j.adcock{at}sheffield.ac.uk or adcock{at}intonet.co.uk This paper presents a theoretical treatment of the statisticalproperties of optimal portfolios. The results demonstrate theway in which the statistical properties of forecast returnsaffect the performance of optimised portfolios. The paper thenindicates how these methods may be used in principle to controlthe performance of an optimised portfolio. This is exemplifiedby an optimal portfolio of foreign currencies.     

On the number of securities which constitute an efficient portfolio

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the relationship between the number of securities which constitute an efficient portfolio as defined by the standard mean-variance portfolio selection model and the number of periods used to compute the efficient portfolio. It is shown that the number of data gives the upper bound of the number of securities which constitute an efficient portfolio, when each efficient portfolio is unique for a given expected return. Empirical tests based on actual return data show that this upper bound is very tight when the number of data is small. However, when more data are used, the upper bound becomes looser. This result is incompatible with the market efficiency. These empirical tests also indicate that a very tight upper bound often causes a degenerate case ensuring zero-variance portfolios.     

投资比例非负约束的风险证券组合有效集及动态分析

本文提出了风险证券有效组合的决策模型 ,给出了投资比例非负约束的风险证券有效组合的解析表示 ,研究了证券个数变动对证券组合有效集的影响 .分析了它的漂移方向和漂移范围 ,给出了最小风险有效证券组合和最大收益有效证券组合的漂移距离及风险与收益的增加或减少程度     

具指数赋权指标的证券投资多目标线性规划模型

本文提出证券投资决策的指数赋权指标体系．在该指标体系中,建立风险证券组合投资决策和存在无风险证券或无风险贷款时证券组合投资决策的多目标线性规划模型．研究了有效风险证券组合集和有效证券组合集的结构和相互关系,市场证券组合以及证券均衡市场价格和投资风险分析．     

Do investors like to diversify? A study of Markowitz preferences

We study rankings of completely and partially diversified portfolios and also of specialized assets when investors follow so-called Markowitz preferences. It turns out that diversification strategies for Markowitz investors are more complex than in the case of risk-averse and risk-inclined investors, whose investment strategies have been extensively investigated in the literature. In particular, we observe that for Markowitz investors, preferences toward risk vary depending on their sensitivities toward gains and losses. For example, it turns out that, unlike in the case of risk-averse and risk-inclined investors, Markowitz investors might prefer investing their entire wealth in just one asset. This finding helps us to better understand some financial anomalies and puzzles, such as the well known diversification puzzle, which notes that some investors tend to concentrate on investing in only a few assets instead of choosing the seemingly more attractive complete diversification.     

具有不同效用函数的最优投资组合分析

The question of optimal portfolio is that finds the trading strategy satisfying the maximal expected utility function subject to some constraints. There is the optimal trading strategy under the risk neutral probability measure (martingale measure) if and only if there is no-arbitrage opportunity in the market. This paper argues the optimal wealth and the optimal value of expected utility with different utility function.     

基于矩分析的资产组合选择

在风险资产收益分布为非正态的情景下,通过矩分析,研究其收益的高阶矩对资产组合选择的影响.首先,假设风险资产收益存在有限阶矩,泰勒展开边际财富期望效用,获得静态资产组合选择的近似解;其次,假设收益过程的跳跃产生收益分布的非正态性,运用随机控制方法获得动态资产组合选择的近似解析解,从高阶矩角度解释其特征。分析表明,超出峰度的存在导致减少风险资产投资,正(负)的偏度导致增加(减少)风险资产投资,该影响性随着它们及风险规避系数的增大而增强;可预测性导致资产组合存在正或负的对冲需求,取决于相关系数的符号和风险规避系数;跳跃性总体上减少风险资产投资;可预测性和跳跃性对动态资产组合选择的影响具有内在关联性。     

证券集的组合前沿分类与有效子集

本文通过引入证券价格 ,讨论一般证券集组合前沿的分类 ,并据此直接证明判定某个证券子集是全集的有效子集的一个充要条件     

Continuous-time mean-variance portfolios: a comparison

In this article, we present and compare three mean-variance optimal portfolio approaches in a continuous-time market setting. These methods are the L ²-projection as presented in Schweizer [M. Schweizer, Approximation of random variables by stochastic integrals, Ann. Prob. 22 (1995), pp. 1536–1575], the Lagrangian function approach of Korn and Trautmann [R. Korn and S. Trautmann, Continuous-time portfolio optimization under terminal wealth constraints, ZOR-Math. Methods Oper. Res. 42 (1995), pp. 69–92] and the direct deterministic approach of Lindberg [C. Lindberg, Portfolio optimization when expected stock returns are determined by exposure to risk, Bernoulli 15 (2009), pp. 464–474]. As the underlying model, we choose the recent innovative market parameterization introduced by Lindberg (2009) that has the particular aim to overcome the estimation problems of the stock price drift parameters. We derive some new results for the Lagrangian function approach, in particular explicit representations for the optimal portfolio process. Further, we compare the different optimization frameworks in detail and highlight their attractive and not so attractive features by numerical examples.     

关于证券投资组合有效前沿的分析

针对 Markwitz证券组合投资理论进行了阐述即投资者进行决策时总希望用尽可能小的风险获得尽可能大的收益 ,或在收益率一定的情况下 ,尽可能降低风险 .首先详细的讨论了在投资于两种证券情况下随着相关系数的变化而引起的投资组合有效前沿的不同情况 ,而后针对投资于 n种证券情况下综合分析了允许卖空条件下证券组合前沿的构成和性质 .     

不允许卖空的组合证券投资策略的确定

以Ｍａｒｋｏｗｉｔｚ的均值——方差模型的理论为基础,研究了组合证券投资策略确定过程中的两个主要问题：投资对象的选择方法和风险选择方法     

t-分布与不同风险度量下有效投资组合及其边缘的相互关系研究

In order to study the effect of different risk measures on the efficient portfolios (frontier) while properly describing the characteristic of return distributions in the stock market, it is assumed in this paper that the joint return distribution of risky assets obeys the multivariate t-distribution. Under the mean-risk analysis framework, the interrelationship of efficient portfolios (frontier) based on risk measures such as variance, value at risk (VaR), and expected shortfall (ES) is analyzed and compared. It is proved that, when there is no riskless asset in the market, the efficient frontier under VaR or ES is a subset of the mean-variance (MV) efficient frontier, and the efficient portfolios under VaR or ES are also MV efficient; when there exists a riskless asset in the market, a portfolio is MV efficient if and only if it is a VaR or ES efficient portfolio. The obtained results generalize relevant conclusions about investment theory, and can better guide investors to make their investment decision.     

基于动态非线性损失厌恶的投资组合优化与实证研究

从行为金融学的角度考虑投资者损失厌恶的心理特征,构建了基于线性损失厌恶和非线性损失厌恶行为投资组合模型。利用中国市场数据模拟一种静态情景和四种动态情景,实证研究不同损失厌恶投资组合模型在不同情景下不同损失厌恶程度的最优资产配置策略和投资绩效表现,并将结果与均值方差模型等传统的投资组合模型进行比较。研究发现损失厌恶投资组合模型优于传统投资组合模型,不同情景下不同程度损失厌恶投资者具有不同的资产配置策略,其投资绩效表现也不尽相同。     

基于最大期望满意度与背景风险的模糊投资组合模型研究

模糊投资组合是不确定性理论研究的重要领域.然而,由于人的理性局限性,投资者在决策的过程中,可能不是追求理性的效用最大化,而是追求心理满意度的最大化;在金融市场中,投资者不仅面临市场风险,也需要承担由自身因素产生的背景风险.因此,提出了一个考虑背景风险等因素的最大期望满意度模型,该模型的目标是最大化投资组合收益与最小收益证券的差值;最后,以上海证券交易所180指数的十支证券构成的的投资组合为例,分析了此模型在分散投资风险与增加满意度方面的有效性.     

单位收益率风险最小的组合证券投资决策模型

章首先分析了组合证券投资的收益率和风险,根据组合证券投资的亏本概率上界最小的原则,建立了单位收益率风险最小的组合证券投资决策模型,并证明了该模型的有效性。     

期望和残差收益估计不可靠的鲁棒模型

投资优化问题的最优策略会随着输入参数的扰动而出现敏感的变化,针对投资优化问题中出现的随机变量的参数估计不可靠的情况,本文引入不确定集合描述随机收益的有关矩信息,提出了投资优化问题的一个鲁棒性模型,并采用数学规划的理论和方法,给出了该模型的最优策略和有效前沿的解析表示。本方法能够为采用保守策略的、对不确定性厌恶的投资者提供一种最优的投资策略。     

带干扰的多险种风险模型的破产概率

将多险种风险模型推广到带干扰项的一种新模型,讨论了收益过程的性质,并利用鞅的方法得出了破产概率所满足的Lundberg不等式及其一般公式.