An explicit model of default time with given survival probability

For a given filtered probability space (Ω,F,P), an F-adapted continuous increasing process Λ and a positive P-F local martingale N such that Λ₀=0 and N_te^−Λ_t≤1, we construct a probability measure Q^Z and a random time τ such that Q|_F∞=P|_F∞ and Q[τ>t|F_t]=Z_t. The probability Q^Z is linked with the well-known Cox model by an explicit density function. Various properties exist, which characterize Q^Z from others. Let G=(G_t)_t≥0 with G_t=F_t∨σ({τ≤s}:s≤t). We establish the (H^′)-property between the filtrations F and G, and we provide the enlargement of filtration formula.     

Some New Results for Departure Process in the M X /G/1 Queueing System with a Single Vacation and Exhaustive Service

A batch arrival queueing system with a single vacation between two successive busy periods and with exhaustive service is considered.

The departure process h(t) is studied first on a single vacation cycle. The approach based on renewal theory is applied to obtain results in the general case. In particular, the explicit representation for the generating function of Laplace transform of the probability function of h(t) is derived. All formulae are written in terms of input parameters of the system and factors of a certain canonical factorization of Wiener–Hopf type. A numerical approach to results is discussed as well.     

Regularity and perturbation results for mixed second order elliptic problems

We study a mixed boundary value problem for elliptic second order equations obtaining optimal regularity results under weak assumptions on the data. We also consider the dependence of the solution with respect to perturbations of the boundary sets carrying the Dirichlet and the Neumann conditions.     

Evaluating corporate bonds with complicated liability structures and bond provisions

This paper presents a general and numerically accurate lattice methodology to price risky corporate bonds. It can handle complex default boundaries, discrete payments, various asset sales assumptions, and early redemption provisions for which closed-form solutions are unavailable. Furthermore, it can price a portfolio of bonds that accounts for their complex interaction, whereas traditional approaches can only price each bond individually or a small portfolio of highly simplistic bonds. Because of the generality and accuracy of our method, it is used to investigate how credit spreads are influenced by the bond provisions and the change in a firm’s liability structure due to bond repayments.     

Equilibrium investment strategy for DC pension plan with default risk and return of premiums clauses under CEV model

This paper considers an optimal investment problem for a defined contribution (DC) pension plan with default risk in a mean–variance framework. In the DC plan, contributions are supposed to be a predetermined amount of money as premiums and the pension funds are allowed to be invested in a financial market which consists of a risk-free asset, a defaultable bond and a risky asset satisfied a constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model. Notice that a part of pension members could die during the accumulation phase, and their premiums should be withdrawn. Thus, we consider the return of premiums clauses by an actuarial method and assume that the surviving members will share the difference between the return and the accumulation equally. Taking account of the pension fund size and the volatility of the accumulation, a mean–variance criterion as the investment objective for the DC plan can be formulated, and the original optimization problem can be decomposed into two sub-problems: a post-default case and a pre-default case. By applying a game theoretic framework, the equilibrium investment strategies and the corresponding equilibrium value functions can be obtained explicitly. Economic interpretations are given in the numerical simulation, which is presented to illustrate our results.     

Bifurcations and spatiotemporal patterns in a ratio‐dependent diffusive Holling‐Tanner system with time delay

In this paper, we concentrate on the spatiotemporal patterns of a delayed reaction‐diffusion Holling‐Tanner model with Neumann boundary conditions. In particular, the time delay that is incorporated in the negative feedback of the predator density is considered as one of the principal factors to affect the dynamic behavior. Firstly, a global Turing bifurcation theorem for τ = 0 and a local Turing bifurcation theorem for τ > 0 are given. Then, further considering the degenerated situation, we derive the existence of Bogdanov‐Takens bifurcation and Turing‐Hopf bifurcation. The normal form method is used to study the explicit dynamics near the Turing‐Hopf singularity. It is shown that a pair of stable nonconstant steady states (stripe patterns) and a pair of stable spatially inhomogeneous periodic solutions (spot patterns) could be bifurcated from a positive equilibrium. Moreover, the Turing‐Turing‐Hopf–type spatiotemporal patterns, that is, a subharmonic phenomenon with two spatial wave numbers and one temporal frequency, are also found and explained theoretically. Our results imply that the interaction of Turing and Hopf instabilities can be considered as the simplest mechanism for the appearance of complex spatiotemporal dynamics.     

Contagion modeling between the financial and insurance markets with time changed processes

This study analyzes the impact of contagion between financial and non-life insurance markets on the asset–liability management policy of an insurance company. The indirect dependence between these markets is modeled by assuming that the assets return and non-life insurance claims are led respectively by time-changed Brownian and jump processes, for which stochastic clocks are integrals of mutually self-exciting processes. This model exhibits delayed co-movements between financial and non-life insurance markets, caused by events like natural disasters, epidemics, or economic recessions.     

Omega diffusion risk model with surplus-dependent tax and capital injections

In this paper, we propose and study an Omega risk model with a constant bankruptcy function, surplus-dependent tax payments and capital injections in a time-homogeneous diffusion setting. The surplus value process is both refracted (paying tax) at its running maximum and reflected (injecting capital) at a lower constant boundary. The new model incorporates practical features from the Omega risk model (Albrecher et al., 2011), the risk model with tax (Albrecher and Hipp, 2007), and the risk model with capital injections (Albrecher and Ivanovs, 2014). The study of this new risk model is closely related to the Azéma–Yor process, which is a process refracted by its running maximum. We explicitly characterize the Laplace transform of the occupation time of an Azéma–Yor process below a constant level until the first passage time of another Azéma–Yor process or until an independent exponential time. We also consider the case when the process has a lower reflecting boundary. This result unifies and extends recent results of Li and Zhou (2013) and Zhang (2015). We explicitly characterize the Laplace transform of the time of bankruptcy in the Omega risk model with tax and capital injections up to eigen-functions, and determine the expected present value of tax payments until default. We also discuss a further extension to occupation functionals through stochastic time-change, which handles the case of a non-constant bankruptcy function. Finally we present examples using a Brownian motion with drift, and discuss the pricing of quantile options written on the Azéma–Yor process.     

The maximum surplus before ruin and related problems in a jump-diffusion renewal risk process

In this paper, we investigate a Sparre Andersen risk model perturbed by diffusion with phase-type inter-claim times. We mainly study the distribution of maximum surplus prior to ruin. A matrix form of integro-differential equation for this quantity is derived, and its solution can be expressed as a linear combination of particular solutions of the corresponding homogeneous integro-differential equations. By using the divided differences technique and nonnegative real part roots of Lundberg’s equation, the explicit Laplace transforms of particular solutions are obtained. Specially, we can deduce closed-form results as long as the individual claim size is rationally distributed. We also give a concise matrix expression for the expected discounted dividend payments under a barrier dividend strategy. Finally, we give some examples to present our main results.     

Asymptotic finite-time ruin probability for a bidimensional renewal risk model with constant interest force and dependent subexponential claims

This paper considers a bidimensional renewal risk model with constant interest force and dependent subexponential claims. Under the assumption that the claim size vectors form a sequence of independent and identically distributed random vectors following a common bivariate Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern distribution, we derive for the finite-time ruin probability an explicit asymptotic formula.     

Ruin measures for a compound Poisson risk model with dependence based on the Spearman copula and the exponential claim sizes

This paper is devoted to an extension to the classical compound risk model. We relax the independence assumption of claim amounts and interclaim times. The dependent structure between these random variables is described by the Spearman copula. We study the Laplace transform of the discounted penalty function and we give the explicit expression of it for the exponential claim size.     

Existence and exponential stability of unique almost periodic solution for Lasota–Wazewska red blood cell model with perturbation on time scales

This paper deals with Lasota–Wazewska red blood cell model with perturbation on time scales. By applying the fixed point theorem of decreasing operator, we establish sufficient conditions for the existence of unique almost periodic positive solution. Particularly, we give iterative sequence which converges to the almost periodic positive solution. Moreover, we investigate exponential stability of the almost periodic positive solution by means of Gronwall inequality. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.