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1.
The optimal reinsurance problem is a classic topic in actuarial mathematics. Recent approaches consider a coherent or expectation bounded risk measure and minimize the global risk of the ceding company under adequate constraints. However, there is no consensus about the risk measure that the insurer must use, since every risk measure presents advantages and shortcomings when compared with others.This paper deals with a discrete probability space and analyzes the stability of the optimal reinsurance with respect to the risk measure that the insurer uses. We will demonstrate that there is a “stable optimal retention” that will show no sensitivity, insofar as it will solve the optimal reinsurance problem for many risk measures, thus providing a very robust reinsurance plan. This stable optimal retention is a stop-loss contract, and it is easy to compute in practice. A fast linear time algorithm will be given and a numerical example presented.  相似文献   

2.
采用共同冲击型相依多险种模型刻画保险公司的索赔风险过程,按照方差分保费原则计算再保险费,研究最小化破产概率的再保险问题.通过扩散逼近并利用动态规划原理,得到了显式最优策略和值函数.与采用期望值分保费原则比较,发现最优分保形式和自留风险水平均不相同;与最大化期望指数效用的结果比较,发现最优分保比例除了与安全负载相关,还与索赔分布、计数过程以及直接保险费收入率c有关.最后,结合数值算例揭示了相依参数的动态影响以及最优策略与c的敏感相关性.  相似文献   

3.
The optimal reinsurance contract is investigated from the perspective of an insurer who would like to minimise its risk exposure under Solvency II. Under this regulatory framework, the insurer is exposed to the retained risk, reinsurance premium and change in the risk margin requirement as a result of reinsurance. Depending on how the risk margin corresponding to the reserve risk is calculated, two optimal reinsurance problems are formulated. We show that the optimal reinsurance policy can be in the form of two layers. Further, numerical examples illustrate that the optimal two-layer reinsurance contracts are only slightly different under these two methodologies.  相似文献   

4.
Optimal investment and reinsurance of an insurer with model uncertainty   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
We introduce a novel approach to optimal investment–reinsurance problems of an insurance company facing model uncertainty via a game theoretic approach. The insurance company invests in a capital market index whose dynamics follow a geometric Brownian motion. The risk process of the company is governed by either a compound Poisson process or its diffusion approximation. The company can also transfer a certain proportion of the insurance risk to a reinsurance company by purchasing reinsurance. The optimal investment–reinsurance problems with model uncertainty are formulated as two-player, zero-sum, stochastic differential games between the insurance company and the market. We provide verification theorems for the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman–Isaacs (HJBI) solutions to the optimal investment–reinsurance problems and derive closed-form solutions to the problems.  相似文献   

5.
In a reinsurance contract, a reinsurer promises to pay the part of the loss faced by an insurer in exchange for receiving a reinsurance premium from the insurer. However, the reinsurer may fail to pay the promised amount when the promised amount exceeds the reinsurer’s solvency. As a seller of a reinsurance contract, the initial capital or reserve of a reinsurer should meet some regulatory requirements. We assume that the initial capital or reserve of a reinsurer is regulated by the value-at-risk (VaR) of its promised indemnity. When the promised indemnity exceeds the total of the reinsurer’s initial capital and the reinsurance premium, the reinsurer may fail to pay the promised amount or default may occur. In the presence of the regulatory initial capital and the counterparty default risk, we investigate optimal reinsurance designs from an insurer’s point of view and derive optimal reinsurance strategies that maximize the expected utility of an insurer’s terminal wealth or minimize the VaR of an insurer’s total retained risk. It turns out that optimal reinsurance strategies in the presence of the regulatory initial capital and the counterparty default risk are different both from optimal reinsurance strategies in the absence of the counterparty default risk and from optimal reinsurance strategies in the presence of the counterparty default risk but without the regulatory initial capital.  相似文献   

6.
This paper considers the optimal investment, consumption and proportional reinsurance strategies for an insurer under model uncertainty. The surplus process of the insurer before investment and consumption is assumed to be a general jump–diffusion process. The financial market consists of one risk-free asset and one risky asset whose price process is also a general jump–diffusion process. We transform the problem equivalently into a two-person zero-sum forward–backward stochastic differential game driven by two-dimensional Lévy noises. The maximum principles for a general form of this game are established to solve our problem. Some special interesting cases are studied by using Malliavin calculus so as to give explicit expressions of the optimal strategies.  相似文献   

7.
This article makes use of the well-known Principal–Agent (multidimensional screening) model commonly used in economics to analyze a monopolistic reinsurance market in the presence of adverse selection, where the risk preference of each insurer is guided by its concave distortion risk measure of the terminal wealth position; while the reinsurer, under information asymmetry, aims to maximize its expected profit by designing an optimal policy provision (menu) of “shirt-fit” stop-loss reinsurance contracts for every insurer of either type of low or high risk. In particular, the most representative case of Tail Value-at-Risk (TVaR) is further explored in detail so as to unveil the underlying insight from economics perspective.  相似文献   

8.
In this paper, we investigate an optimal reinsurance and investment problem for an insurer whose surplus process is approximated by a drifted Brownian motion. Proportional reinsurance is to hedge the risk of insurance. Interest rate risk and inflation risk are considered. We suppose that the instantaneous nominal interest rate follows an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, and the inflation index is given by a generalized Fisher equation. To make the market complete, zero-coupon bonds and Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are included in the market. The financial market consists of cash, zero-coupon bond, TIPS and stock. We employ the stochastic dynamic programming to derive the closed-forms of the optimal reinsurance and investment strategies as well as the optimal utility function under the constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility maximization. Sensitivity analysis is given to show the economic behavior of the optimal strategies and optimal utility.  相似文献   

9.
This paper is concerned with the optimal form of reinsurance from the ceding company point of view, when the cedent seeks to maximize the adjustment coefficient of the retained risk. We deal with the problem by exploring the relationship between maximizing the adjustment coefficient and maximizing the expected utility of wealth for the exponential utility function, both with respect to the retained risk of the insurer.Assuming that the premium calculation principle is a convex functional and that some other quite general conditions are fulfilled, we prove the existence and uniqueness of solutions and provide a necessary optimal condition. These results are used to find the optimal reinsurance policy when the reinsurance premium calculation principle is the expected value principle or the reinsurance loading is an increasing function of the variance. In the expected value case the optimal form of reinsurance is a stop-loss contract. In the other cases, it is described by a nonlinear function.  相似文献   

10.
We study optimal investment and proportional reinsurance strategy in the presence of inside information. The risk process is assumed to follow a compound Poisson process perturbed by a standard Brownian motion. The insurer is allowed to invest in a risk-free asset and a risky asset as well as to purchase proportional reinsurance. In addition, it has some extra information available from the beginning of the trading interval, thus introducing in this way inside information aspects to our model. We consider two optimization problems: the problem of maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth with and without inside information, respectively. By solving the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, explicit expressions for their optimal value functions and the corresponding optimal strategies are obtained. Finally, we discuss the effects of parameters on the optimal strategy and the effect of the inside information by numerical simulations.  相似文献   

11.
Traditional real options analysis addresses the problem of investment under uncertainty assuming a risk-neutral decision maker and complete markets. In reality, however, decision makers are often risk averse and markets are incomplete. We confirm that risk aversion lowers the probability of investment and demonstrate how this effect can be mitigated by incorporating operational flexibility in the form of embedded suspension and resumption options. Although such options facilitate investment, we find that the likelihood of investing is still lower compared to the risk-neutral case. Risk aversion also increases the likelihood that the project will be abandoned, although this effect is less pronounced. Finally, we illustrate the impact of risk aversion on the optimal suspension and resumption thresholds and the interaction among risk aversion, volatility, and optimal decision thresholds under complete operational flexibility.  相似文献   

12.
We consider an optimal impulse control problem on reinsurance, dividend and reinvestment of an insurance company. To close reality, we add fixed and proportional transaction costs to this problem. The value of the company is associated with expected present value of net dividends pay out minus the net reinvestment capitals until ruin time. We focus on non-cheap proportional reinsurance. We prove that the value function is a unique solution to associated Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation, and establish the regularity property of the viscosity solution under a weak assumption. We solve the non-uniformly elliptic equation associated with the impulse control problem. Finally, we derive the value function and the optimal strategy of the control problem.  相似文献   

13.
研究在Knight不确定环境下,考虑投资者遗产和保险,在三种不同借款约束下的最优消费与投资问题.借助于倒向随机微分方程(BsDE)理论求出了投资者最优消费和投资策略的显式表达式.最后结合数值分析,给出含糊与含糊态度对最优消费和投资决策的影响.  相似文献   

14.
The theory of discretization methods to control problems and their convergence under strong stable optimality conditions in recent years has been thoroughly investigated by several authors. A particularly interesting question is to ask for a natural smoothness category for the optimal controls as functions of time.In several papers, Hager and Dontchev considered Riemann integrable controls. This smoothness class is characterized by global, averaged criteria. In contrast, we consider strictly local properties of the solution function. As a first step, we introduce tools for the analysis of L elements at a point. Using afterwards Robinson's strong regularity theory, under appropriate first and second order optimality conditions we obtain structural as well as certain pseudo-Lipschitz properties with respect to the time variable for the control.Consequences for the behavior of discrete solution approximations are discussed in the concluding section with respect to L as well as L 2 topologies.  相似文献   

15.
We study the optimal reinsurance policy and dividend distribution of an insurance company under excess of loss reinsurance. The objective of the insurer is to maximize the expected discounted dividends. We suppose that in the absence of dividend distribution, the reserve process of the insurance company follows a compound Poisson process. We first prove existence and uniqueness results for this optimization problem by using singular stochastic control methods and the theory of viscosity solutions. We then compute the optimal strategy of reinsurance, the optimal dividend strategy and the value function by solving the associated integro-differential Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman Variational Inequality numerically.  相似文献   

16.
We study optimal control problems of systems describing the flow of incompressible shear-thinning fluids. Taking advantage of regularity properties of the flows, we derive necessary optimality conditions under a restriction on the optimal control.  相似文献   

17.
We study optimal liquidation of a trading position (so-called block order or meta-order) in a market with a linear temporary price impact (Kyle, 1985). We endogenize the pressure to liquidate by introducing a downward drift in the unaffected asset price while simultaneously ruling out short sales. In this setting the liquidation time horizon becomes a stopping time determined endogenously, as part of the optimal strategy. We find that the optimal liquidation strategy is consistent with the square-root law which states that the average price impact per share is proportional to the square root of the size of the meta-order (Bershova & Rakhlin,2013; Farmer et?al., 2013; Donier et?al., 2015; Tóth (2016).Mathematically, the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation of our optimization leads to a severely singular and numerically unstable ordinary differential equation initial value problem. We provide careful analysis of related singular mixed boundary value problems and devise a numerically stable computation strategy by re-introducing time dimension into an otherwise time-homogeneous task.  相似文献   

18.
19.
We consider the problem faced by a wage-earner with an uncertain lifetime having to reach decisions concerning consumption and life-insurance purchase, while investing his savings in a financial market comprised of one risk-free security and an arbitrary number of risky securities whose prices are determined by diffusive linear stochastic differential equations. We assume that life-insurance is continuously available for the wage-earner to buy from a market composed of a fixed number of life-insurance companies offering pairwise distinct life-insurance contracts. We characterize the optimal consumption, investment and life-insurance selection and purchase strategies for the wage-earner with an uncertain lifetime and whose goal is to maximize the expected utility obtained from his family consumption, from the size of the estate in the event of premature death, and from the size of the estate at the time of retirement. We use dynamic programming techniques to obtain an explicit solution in the case of discounted constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility functions.  相似文献   

20.
进一步讨论了在保持分派问题最优解不变的情况下,效率矩阵元素的变化范围.这些变化范围是保持分派问题最优解不变的充要条件.  相似文献   

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