BOOTSTRAP WAVELET IN THE NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSION MODEL WITH WEAKLY DEPENDENT PROCESSES

This paper introduces a method of bootstrap wavelet estimation in a nonparametric regression model with weakly dependent processes for both fixed and random designs. The asymptotic bounds for the bias and variance of the bootstrap wavelet estimators are given in the fixed design model. The conditional normality for a modified version of the bootstrap wavelet estimators is obtained in the fixed model. The consistency for the bootstrap wavelet estimator is also proved in the random design model. These results show that the bootstrap wavelet method is valid for the model with weakly dependent processes.     

Asymptotic normality and confidence intervals for inverse regression models with convolution-type operators

We consider inverse regression models with convolution-type operators which mediate convolution on (d≥1) and prove a pointwise central limit theorem for spectral regularisation estimators which can be applied to construct pointwise confidence regions. Here, we cope with the unknown bias of such estimators by undersmoothing. Moreover, we prove consistency of the residual bootstrap in this setting and demonstrate the feasibility of the bootstrap confidence bands at moderate sample sizes in a simulation study.     

The nonparametric estimation of long memory spatio-temporal random field models

This paper considers the local linear estimation of a multivariate regression function and its derivatives for a stationary long memory(long range dependent) nonparametric spatio-temporal regression model.Under some mild regularity assumptions, the pointwise strong convergence, the uniform weak consistency with convergence rates and the joint asymptotic distribution of the estimators are established. A simulation study is carried out to illustrate the performance of the proposed estimators.     

有重复观测时变系数线性结构关系EV模型的参数估计

利用重复观测数据和加权方法给出了有重复观测时变系数一维线性结构关系EV模型中的参数估计,证明了估计的弱相合性和强相合性．     

变系数线性结构关系EV模型的参数估计

利用加权正交回归最小二乘法给出了变系数一维线性结构关系EV模型中的参数 估计,证明了估计的弱相合性和强相合性.     

Adaptive penalized M-estimation with current status data

Current status data arises when a continuous response is reduced to an indicator of whether the response is greater or less than a random threshold value. In this article we consider adaptive penalized M-estimators (including the penalized least squares estimators and the penalized maximum likelihood estimators) for nonparametric and semiparametric models with current status data, under the assumption that the unknown nonparametric parameters belong to unknown Sobolev spaces. The Cox model is used as a representative of the semiparametric models. It is shown that the modified penalized M-estimators of the nonparametric parameters can achieve adaptive convergence rates, even when the degrees of smoothing are not known in advance. consistency, asymptotic normality and inference based on the weighted bootstrap for the estimators of the regression parameter in the Cox model are also established. A simulation study is conducted for the Cox model to evaluate the finite sample efficacy of the proposed approach and to compare it with the ordinary maximum likelihood estimator. It is demonstrated that the proposed method is computationally superior.We apply the proposed approach to the California Partner Study analysis.     

The progressively truncated estimating functions and estimators

We consider the progressively truncated estimating functions and estimators as a generalization of the progressively truncated likelihood estimating functions and maximum likelihood estimators. We show the uniform consistency and weak convergence of the progressively truncated estimators.     

随机删失数据下几种风险率函数估计的渐近性质

文中对于删失数据下几种不同的风险率函数估计进行了研究。使用与以往不同的方法，在较弱的条件下，改进并扩充了现有文献的结果，获得了这几种风险率函数估计的渐近正态性，一致强弱相合收敛速度以及重对数律且进行了数值模拟。     

Weak and universal consistency of moving weighted averages

The properties of weighted averages as linear estimators of a regression function and its derivatives are investigated for the fixed design case. Results on weak consistency and on universal consistency are derived, using a modification of the definition of Stone [10]. As examples we consider kernel estimates and weighted local regression estimators and show that the general results apply.     

On progressively truncated maximum likelihood estimators

Summary The basic regularity conditions pertaining to the asymptotic theory of progressively truncated likelihood functions and maximum likelihood estimators are considered, and the uniform strong consistency and weak convergence of progressively truncated maximum likelihood estimators are studied systematically. Work done during the first author's visit (as a visiting scholar) to the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, supported by the Ministry of Education of the Japanese Government. Work supported by the (U.S.) National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute, Contact NIH-NHLBI-F1-2243-L.     

Parameter change test for location‐scale time series models with heteroscedasticity based on bootstrap

This study considers the bootstrap cumulative sum (CUSUM) test for a parameter change in location‐scale time series models with heteroscedasticity. The CUSUM test has been popular for detecting an abrupt change in time series models because it performs well in many applications. However, it has severe size distortions in many situations. As a remedy, we consider the bootstrap CUSUM test, particularly focusing on the CUSUM test based on score vectors, and demonstrate the weak consistency of the bootstrap test for its justification. A simulation study and data analysis are conducted for illustration.     

关于自助 U-统计量的渐近性质

一、引言设 X_1,X_2,…,X_n 为来自分布 F 的独立随机变量,h(x_1,x_2)为关于两个变元 x_1,x_2对称的 Borel 可测函数。设 Eh(X_1,X_2)=θ,那么下面定义的 U-统计量     

Cross-validated bagged learning

Many applications aim to learn a high dimensional parameter of a data generating distribution based on a sample of independent and identically distributed observations. For example, the goal might be to estimate the conditional mean of an outcome given a list of input variables. In this prediction context, bootstrap aggregating (bagging) has been introduced as a method to reduce the variance of a given estimator at little cost to bias. Bagging involves applying an estimator to multiple bootstrap samples and averaging the result across bootstrap samples. In order to address the curse of dimensionality, a common practice has been to apply bagging to estimators which themselves use cross-validation, thereby using cross-validation within a bootstrap sample to select fine-tuning parameters trading off bias and variance of the bootstrap sample-specific candidate estimators. In this article we point out that in order to achieve the correct bias variance trade-off for the parameter of interest, one should apply the cross-validation selector externally to candidate bagged estimators indexed by these fine-tuning parameters. We use three simulations to compare the new cross-validated bagging method with bagging of cross-validated estimators and bagging of non-cross-validated estimators.     

左截断相依数据下非参数回归的局部M 估计

本文对左截断模型, 利用局部多项式的方法构造了非参数回归函数的局部M 估计. 在观察样本为平稳α-混合序列下, 建立了该估计量的强弱相合性以及渐近正态性. 模拟研究显示回归函数的局部M 估计比Nadaraya-Watson 型估计和局部多项式估计更稳健.     

分布函数尾端点估计量的渐近性质

当极值指标小于0时,本文给出了分布函数F(x)的尾端点估计量,证明了该估计量的强相合性和弱相合性;在二阶正规变化条件下,通过限制正规变化函数的收敛速度,给出了强收敛速度,证明了渐近正态性,进而可以构造F(x)的尾端点的渐近置信区间.     

Resampling time series using missing values techniques

Several techniques for resampling dependent data have already been proposed. In this paper we use missing values techniques to modify the moving blocks jackknife and bootstrap. More specifically, we consider the blocks of deleted observations in the blockwise jackknife as missing data which are recovered by missing values estimates incorporating the observation dependence structure. Thus, we estimate the variance of a statistic as a weighted sample variance of the statistic evaluated in a “complete” series. Consistency of the variance and the distribution estimators of the sample mean are established. Also, we apply the missing values approach to the blockwise bootstrap by including some missing observations among two consecutive blocks and we demonstrate the consistency of the variance and the distribution estimators of the sample mean. Finally, we present the results of an extensive Monte Carlo study to evaluate the performance of these methods for finite sample sizes, showing that our proposal provides variance estimates for several time series statistics with smaller mean squared error than previous procedures.     

On progressively first failure censored Lindley distribution

This article deals with the progressively first failure censored Lindley distribution. Maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators of the parameter and reliability characteristics of Lindley distribution based on progressively first failure censored samples are derived. Asymptotic confidence intervals based on observed Fisher information and bootstrap confidence intervals of the parameter are constructed. Bayes estimators using non-informative and gamma informative priors are derived using importance sampling procedure and Metropolis–Hastings (MH) algorithm under squared error loss function. Also, HPD credible intervals based on importance sampling procedure and MH algorithm for the parameter are constructed. To study the performance of various estimators discussed in this article, a Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted. Finally, a real data set is studied for illustration purposes.     

Pointwise Improvement of Multivariate Kernel Density Estimates

Multivariate kernel density estimators are known to systematically deviate from the true value near critical points of the density surface. To overcome this difficulty a method based on Rao–Blackwell's theorem is proposed. Local corrections of kernel density estimators are achieved by conditioning these estimators with respect to locally sufficient statistics. The asymptotic as well as the small sample size behavior of the improved estimators are studied. Asymptotic bias and variance are investigated and weak and complete consistency are derived under mild hypothesis.     

Fixed Design Nonparametric Regression with Truncated and Censored Data

In this paper we consider a fixed design model in which the observations axe subject to left truncation and right censoring. A generalized product-limit estimator for the conditional distribution at a given covaxiate value is proposed, and an almost sure asymptotic representation of this estimator is established. We also obtain the rate of uniform consistency, weak convergence and a modulus of continuity for this estimator.Applications include trimmed mean and quantile function estimators.     

Convergence results for maximum likelihood type estimators in multivariable ARMA models

General convergence results for maximum likelihood type estimators in multivariable ARMA-models under very weak assumptions are given. This extends results by Dunsmuir and Hannan (1976, Advan. Appl. Probab. 8 339–364) and Deistler, Dunsmuir, and Hannan (1978, Advan. Appl. Probab. 10 360–372). In particular it is shown that consistency can be achieved without imposing a certain assumption used in Dunsmuir and Hannan which is related to the zeroes of the spectral density if one is willing to make stronger assumptions concerning the probabilistic structure of the process.