Nonparametric estimation for stochastic differential equations with random effects

We consider N$N$ independent stochastic processes (_Xj(t),t∈[0,T])$(X_j\left(t\right),t\in [0,T])$, j=1,…,N$j=1,\dots ,N$, defined by a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation with coefficients depending on a random variable _?j${?}_j$ and study the nonparametric estimation of the density of the random effect _?j${?}_j$ in two kinds of mixed models. A multiplicative random effect and an additive random effect are successively considered. In each case, we build kernel and deconvolution estimators and study their L²$L^2$-risk. Asymptotic properties are evaluated as N$N$ tends to infinity for fixed T$T$ or for T=T(N)$T=T\left(N\right)$ tending to infinity with N$N$. For T(N)=N²$T\left(N\right)=N^2$, adaptive estimators are built. Estimators are implemented on simulated data for several examples.     

Estimation for stochastic differential equations with a small diffusion coefficient

We consider a multidimensional diffusion X$X$ with drift coefficient b(_Xt,α)$b(X_t,\alpha )$ and diffusion coefficient εa(_Xt,β)$\epsilon a(X_t,\beta )$ where α$\alpha$ and β$\beta$ are two unknown parameters, while ε$\epsilon$ is known. For a high frequency sample of observations of the diffusion at the time points k/n$k/n$, k=1,…,n$k=1,\dots ,n$, we propose a class of contrast functions and thus obtain estimators of (α,β)$(\alpha ,\beta )$. The estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal when n→∞$n\to \infty$ and ε→0$\epsilon \to 0$ in such a way that ε⁻¹n^−ρ${\epsilon }^{-1}{n}^{-\rho }$ remains bounded for some ρ>0$\rho >0$. The main focus is on the construction of explicit contrast functions, but it is noted that the theory covers quadratic martingale estimating functions as a special case. In a simulation study we consider the finite sample behaviour and the applicability to a financial model of an estimator obtained from a simple explicit contrast function.     

The scaling limit of Poisson-driven order statistics with applications in geometric probability

Let _ηt${\eta }_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity t≥1$t\ge 1$ on some state space Y$\mathbb{Y}$ and let f$f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on Y^k${\mathbb{Y}}^k$ for some k≥1$k\ge 1$. Applying f$f$ to all k$k$-tuples of distinct points of _ηt${\eta }_t$ generates a point process _ξt${\xi }_t$ on the positive real half-axis. The scaling limit of _ξt${\xi }_t$ as t$t$ tends to infinity is shown to be a Poisson point process with explicitly known intensity measure. From this, a limit theorem for the m$m$-th smallest point of _ξt${\xi }_t$ is concluded. This is strengthened by providing a rate of convergence. The technical background includes Wiener–Itô chaos decompositions and the Malliavin calculus of variations on the Poisson space as well as the Chen–Stein method for Poisson approximation. The general result is accompanied by a number of examples from geometric probability and stochastic geometry, such as k$k$-flats, random polytopes, random geometric graphs and random simplices. They are obtained by combining the general limit theorem with tools from convex and integral geometry.     

Density estimation for compound Poisson processes from discrete data

In this article we investigate the nonparametric estimation of the jump density of a compound Poisson process from the discrete observation of one trajectory over [0,T]$[0,T]$. We consider the case where the sampling rate Δ=_ΔT→0$\Delta ={\Delta }_T\to 0$ as T→∞$T\to \infty$. We propose an adaptive wavelet threshold density estimator and study its performance for _Lp$L_p$ losses, p≥1$p\ge 1$, over Besov spaces. The main novelty is that we achieve minimax rates of convergence for sampling rates _ΔT${\Delta }_T$ that vanish slowly. The estimation procedure is based on the explicit inversion of the operator giving the law of the increments as a nonlinear transformation of the jump density.     

Which finite simple groups are unit groups?

We prove that if G$G$ is a finite simple group which is the unit group of a ring, then G$G$ is isomorphic to: (a) a cyclic group of order 2; or (b) a cyclic group of prime order 2^k−1$2^k-1$ for some k$k$; or (c) a projective special linear group _PSLn(_F2)${PSL}_n\left({\mathbb{F}}_2\right)$ for some n≥3$n\ge 3$. Moreover, these groups do all occur as unit groups. We deduce this classification from a more general result, which holds for groups G$G$ with no non-trivial normal 2-subgroup.     

Concentration and multiplicity of solutions for a fourth-order equation with critical nonlinearity

In this paper, we consider the problem (_Pε)$(P_{\epsilon })$ : Δ²u=u^n+4/n-4+εu,u>0${\mathrm{\Delta }}^{2}u=u^{n+4/n-4}+\epsilon u,u>0$ in Ω,u=Δu=0$\Omega ,u=\mathrm{\Delta }u=0$ on ∂Ω$\mathrm{\partial }\Omega$, where Ω$\Omega$ is a bounded and smooth domain in Rⁿ,n>8${\mathbb{R}}^n,n>8$ and ε>0$\epsilon >0$. We analyze the asymptotic behavior of solutions of (_Pε)$(P_{\epsilon })$ which are minimizing for the Sobolev inequality as ε→0$\epsilon \to 0$ and we prove existence of solutions to (_Pε)$(P_{\epsilon })$ which blow up and concentrate around a critical point of the Robin's function. Finally, we show that for ε$\epsilon$ small, (_Pε)$(P_{\epsilon })$ has at least as many solutions as the Ljusternik–Schnirelman category of Ω$\Omega$.     

Ruin probability in the presence of risky investments

We consider an insurance company in the case when the premium rate is a bounded non-negative random function _ct$c_t$ and the capital of the insurance company is invested in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion with mean return a   and volatility σ>0$\sigma >0$. If β?2a/σ²-1>0$\beta ?2a/{\sigma }^2-1>0$ we find exact the asymptotic upper and lower bounds for the ruin probability Ψ(u)$\Psi (u)$ as the initial endowment u   tends to infinity, i.e. we show that _C*u^-β?Ψ(u)?C^*u^-β$C_{*}{u}^{-\beta }?\Psi (u)?C^{*}{u}^{-\beta }$ for sufficiently large u  . Moreover if _ct=c^*e^γt$c_t=c^{*}{\mathrm{e}}^{\gamma t}$ with γ?0$\gamma ?0$ we find the exact asymptotics of the ruin probability, namely Ψ(u)∼u^-β$\Psi (u)\sim u^{-\beta }$. If β?0$\beta ?0$, we show that Ψ(u)=1$\Psi (u)=1$ for any u?0$u?0$.     

Weak convergence of censored and reflected stable processes

It is shown that if a sequence of open n$n$-sets _Dk$D_k$ increases to an open n$n$-set D$D$ then reflected stable processes in _Dk$D_k$ converge weakly to the reflected stable process in D$D$ for every starting point x$x$ in D$D$. The same result holds for censored α$\alpha$-stable processes for every x$x$ in D$D$ if D$D$ and _Dk$D_k$ satisfy the uniform Hardy inequality. Using the method in the proof of the above results, we also prove the weak convergence of reflected Brownian motions in unbounded domains.     

Unilateral small deviations of processes related to the fractional Brownian motion

Let x(s)$x\left(s\right)$, s∈R^d$s\in R^d$ be a Gaussian self-similar random process of index H$H$. We consider the problem of log-asymptotics for the probability _pT$p_T$ that x(s)$x\left(s\right)$, x(0)=0$x\left(0\right)=0$ does not exceed a fixed level in a star-shaped expanding domain T⋅Δ$T\cdot \Delta$ as T→∞$T\to \infty$. We solve the problem of the existence of the limit, θ?lim(−log_pT)/(logT)^D$\theta ?lim(-log{p}_T)/{(logT)}^D$, T→∞$T\to \infty$, for the fractional Brownian sheet x(s)$x\left(s\right)$, s∈[0,T]²$s\in {[0,T]}^2$ when D=2$D=2$, and we estimate θ$\theta$ for the integrated fractional Brownian motion when D=1$D=1$.     

Parametric inference for discretely observed multidimensional diffusions with small diffusion coefficient

We consider a multidimensional diffusion X$X$ with drift coefficient b(α,_Xt)$b(\alpha ,X_t)$ and diffusion coefficient ?σ(β,_Xt)$?\sigma (\beta ,X_t)$. The diffusion sample path is discretely observed at times _tk=kΔ$t_k=k\Delta$ for k=1…n$k=1\dots n$ on a fixed interval [0,T]$[0,T]$. We study minimum contrast estimators derived from the Gaussian process approximating X$X$ for small ?$?$. We obtain consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of α$\alpha$ for fixed Δ$\Delta$ and ?→0$?\to 0$ and of (α,β)$(\alpha ,\beta )$ for Δ→0$\Delta \to 0$ and ?→0$?\to 0$ without any condition linking ?$?$ and Δ$\Delta$. We compare the estimators obtained with various methods and for various magnitudes of Δ$\Delta$ and ?$?$ based on simulation studies. Finally, we investigate the interest of using such methods in an epidemiological framework.     

Joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of random-coefficient AR(1) processes

We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of N$N$ independent copies of AR(1) process with random-coefficient a∈[0,1)$a\in [0,1)$ when N$N$ and time scale n$n$ increase at different rate. Assuming that a$a$ has a density, regularly varying at a=1$a=1$ with exponent −1<β<1$-1<\beta <1$, different joint limits of normalized aggregated partial sums are shown to exist when N^1/(1+β)/n$N^{1/(1+\beta )}/n$ tends to (i) ∞$\infty$, (ii) 0$0$, (iii) 0<μ<∞$0<\mu <\infty$. The limit process arising under (iii) admits a Poisson integral representation on (0,∞)×C(R)$(0,\infty )\times C\left(\mathbb{R}\right)$ and enjoys ‘intermediate’ properties between fractional Brownian motion limit in (i) and sub-Gaussian limit in (ii).     

The natural Banach space for version independent risk measures

Risk measures, or coherent measures of risk, are often considered on the space L^∞$L^{\infty }$, and important theorems on risk measures build on that space. Other risk measures, among them the most important risk measure–the Average Value-at-Risk–are well defined on the larger space L¹$L^1$ and this seems to be the natural domain space for this risk measure. Spectral risk measures constitute a further class of risk measures of central importance, and they are often considered on some L^p$L^p$ space. But in many situations this is possibly unnatural, because any L^p$L^p$ with p>_p0$p>p_0$, say, is suitable to define the spectral risk measure as well. In addition to that, risk measures have also been considered on Orlicz and Zygmund spaces. So it remains for discussion and clarification, what the natural domain to consider a risk measure is?     

Heat-kernel estimates for random walk among random conductances with heavy tail

We study models of discrete-time, symmetric, Z^d${\mathbb{Z}}^d$-valued random walks in random environments, driven by a field of i.i.d. random nearest-neighbor conductances _ωxy∈[0,1]${\omega }_{xy}\in [0,1]$, with polynomial tail near 0 with exponent γ>0$\gamma >0$. We first prove for all d≥5$d\ge 5$ that the return probability shows an anomalous decay (non-Gaussian) that approaches (up to sub-polynomial terms) a random constant times n⁻²$n^{-2}$ when we push the power γ$\gamma$ to zero. In contrast, we prove that the heat-kernel decay is as close as we want, in a logarithmic sense, to the standard decay n^−d/2$n^{-d/2}$ for large values of the parameter γ$\gamma$.     

Regularity for the fractional Gelfand problem up to dimension 7

We study the problem (−Δ)^su=λe^u${(-\mathrm{\Delta })}^{s}u=\lambda e^u$ in a bounded domain Ω⊂Rⁿ$\Omega \subset {\mathbb{R}}^n$, where λ   is a positive parameter. More precisely, we study the regularity of the extremal solution to this problem. Our main result yields the boundedness of the extremal solution in dimensions n≤7$n\le 7$ for all s∈(0,1)$s\in (0,1)$ whenever Ω   is, for every i=1,...,n$i=1,...,n$, convex in the _xi$x_i$-direction and symmetric with respect to {_xi=0}$\{x_i=0\}$. The same holds if n=8$n=8$ and s?0.28206...$s?0.28206...$, or if n=9$n=9$ and s?0.63237...$s?0.63237...$. These results are new even in the unit ball Ω=_B1$\Omega =B_1$.     

Blow-up and propagation of disturbances for fast diffusion equations

This paper is concerned with the Cauchy problem for the fast diffusion equation _ut−Δu^m=αu^_p1$u_t-\Delta u^m=\alpha u^{p_1}$ in R^N${\mathbb{R}}^N$ (N≥1$N\ge 1$), where m∈(0,1)$m\in (0,1)$, _p1>1$p_1>1$ and α>0$\alpha >0$. The initial condition _u0$u_0$ is assumed to be continuous, nonnegative and bounded. Using a technique of subsolutions, we set up sufficient conditions on the initial value _u0$u_0$ so that u(t,x)$u(t,x)$ blows up in finite time, and we show how to get estimates on the profile of u(t,x)$u(t,x)$ for small enough values of t>0$t>0$.