Optimal policy for minimizing risk models in Markov decision processes

We consider the minimizing risk problems in discounted Markov decisions processes with countable state space and bounded general rewards. We characterize optimal values for finite and infinite horizon cases and give two sufficient conditions for the existence of an optimal policy in an infinite horizon case. These conditions are closely connected with Lemma 3 in White (1993), which is not correct as Wu and Lin (1999) point out. We obtain a condition for the lemma to be true, under which we show that there is an optimal policy. Under another condition we show that an optimal value is a unique solution to some optimality equation and there is an optimal policy on a transient set.     

Weighted discounted Markov decision processes with perturbation

1.IntrodnctionTheweightedMarkovdecisionprocesses(MDP's)havebeenextensivelystudiedsince1980's,seeforinstance,[1-6]andsoon.ThetheoryofweightedMDP'swithperturbedtransitionprobabilitiesappearstohavebeenmentionedonlyin[7].Thispaperwilldiscussthemodelsofwe...     

A survey of Markov decision models for control of networks of queues

We review models for the optimal control of networks of queues. Our main emphasis is on models based on Markov decision theory and the characterization of the structure of optimal control policies.This research was partially supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. DDM-8719825. The Government has certain rights in this material. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation. The research was also partially supported by the C.I.E.S. (France), while the author was on leave at INRIA, Sophia-Antipolis, 1991–92.     

连续时间Markov决策过程的均值-方差优化问题

本文考虑连续时间Markov决策过程折扣模型的均值-方差优化问题.假设状态空间和行动空间均为Polish空间,转移率和报酬率函数均无界.本文的优化目标是在折扣最优平稳策略类里,选取相应方差最小的策略.本文致力于寻找Polish空间下Markov决策过程均值-方差最优策略存在的条件.利用首次进入分解方法,本文证明均值-方差优化问题可以转化为"等价"的期望折扣优化问题,进而得到关于均值-方差优化问题的"最优方程"和均值-方差最优策略的存在性以及它相应的特征.最后,本文给出若干例子说明折扣最优策略的不唯一性和均值-方差最优策略的存在性.     

Credibilistic Markov decision processes: The average case

Using a concept of random fuzzy variables in credibility theory, we formulate a credibilistic model for unichain Markov decision processes under average criteria. And a credibilistically optimal policy is defined and obtained by solving the corresponding non-linear mathematical programming. Also we give a computational example to illustrate the effectiveness of our new model.     

An envelope theorem and some applications to discounted Markov decision processes

In this paper, an Envelope Theorem (ET) will be established for optimization problems on Euclidean spaces. In general, the Envelope Theorems permit analyzing an optimization problem and giving the solution by means of differentiability techniques. The ET will be presented in two versions. One of them uses concavity assumptions, whereas the other one does not require such kind of assumptions. Thereafter, the ET established will be applied to the Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) on Euclidean spaces, discounted and with infinite horizon. As the first application, several examples (including some economic models) of discounted MDPs for which the et allows to determine the value iteration functions will be presented. This will permit to obtain the corresponding optimal value functions and the optimal policies. As the second application of the ET, it will be proved that under differentiability conditions in the transition law, in the reward function, and the noise of the system, the value function and the optimal policy of the problem are differentiable with respect to the state of the system. Besides, various examples to illustrate these differentiability conditions will be provided. This work was partially supported by Benemérita Universidad Aut ónoma de Puebla (BUAP) under grant VIEP-BUAP 38/EXC/06-G, by Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACYT), and by Evaluation-orientation de la COopération Scientifique (ECOS) under grant CONACyT-ECOS M06-M01.     

Markov ratio decision processes

A finite-state Markov decision process, in which, associated with each action in each state, there are two rewards, is considered. The objective is to optimize the ratio of the two rewards over an infinite horizon. In the discounted version of this decision problem, it is shown that the optimal value is unique and the optimal strategy is pure and stationary; however, they are dependent on the starting state. Also, a finite algorithm for computing the solution is given.     

Optimal threshold probability and expectation in semi-Markov decision processes

We consider undiscounted semi-Markov decision process with a target set and our main concern is a problem minimizing threshold probability. We formulate the problem as an infinite horizon case with a recurrent class. We show that an optimal value function is a unique solution to an optimality equation and there exists a stationary optimal policy. Also several value iteration methods and a policy improvement method are given in our model. Furthermore, we investigate a relationship between threshold probabilities and expectations for total rewards.     

An average-value-at-risk criterion for Markov decision processes with unbounded costs

We study the Markov decision processes under the average-valueat-risk criterion. The state space and the action space are Borel spaces, the costs are admitted to be unbounded from above, and the discount factors are state-action dependent. Under suitable conditions, we establish the existence of optimal deterministic stationary policies. Furthermore, we apply our main results to a cash-balance model.     

Sample-path optimality and variance-maximization for Markov decision processes

This paper studies both the average sample-path reward (ASPR) criterion and the limiting average variance criterion for denumerable discrete-time Markov decision processes. The rewards may have neither upper nor lower bounds. We give sufficient conditions on the system’s primitive data and under which we prove the existence of ASPR-optimal stationary policies and variance optimal policies. Our conditions are weaker than those in the previous literature. Moreover, our results are illustrated by a controlled queueing system. Research partially supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province (Grant No: 06025063) and the Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No: 10626021).     

Another set of conditions for Markov decision processes with average sample-path costs

This paper deals with discrete-time Markov decision processes with average sample-path costs (ASPC) in Borel spaces. The costs may have neither upper nor lower bounds. We propose new conditions for the existence of ε-ASPC-optimal (deterministic) stationary policies in the class of all randomized history-dependent policies. Our conditions are weaker than those in the previous literature. Moreover, some sufficient conditions for the existence of ASPC optimal stationary policies are imposed on the primitive data of the model. In particular, the stochastic monotonicity condition in this paper has first been used to study the ASPC criterion. Also, the approach provided here is slightly different from the “optimality equation approach” widely used in the previous literature. On the other hand, under mild assumptions we show that average expected cost optimality and ASPC-optimality are equivalent. Finally, we use a controlled queueing system to illustrate our results.     

Optimal risk probability for first passage models in semi-Markov decision processes

This paper studies the risk minimization problem in semi-Markov decision processes with denumerable states. The criterion to be optimized is the risk probability (or risk function) that a first passage time to some target set doesn't exceed a threshold value. We first characterize such risk functions and the corresponding optimal value function, and prove that the optimal value function satisfies the optimality equation by using a successive approximation technique. Then, we present some properties of optimal policies, and further give conditions for the existence of optimal policies. In addition, a value iteration algorithm and a policy improvement method for obtaining respectively the optimal value function and optimal policies are developed. Finally, two examples are given to illustrate the value iteration procedure and essential characterization of the risk function.     

Average optimality inequality for continuous-time Markov decision processes in Polish spaces

In this paper, we study the average optimality for continuous-time controlled jump Markov processes in general state and action spaces. The criterion to be minimized is the average expected costs. Both the transition rates and the cost rates are allowed to be unbounded. We propose another set of conditions under which we first establish one average optimality inequality by using the well-known “vanishing discounting factor approach”. Then, when the cost (or reward) rates are nonnegative (or nonpositive), from the average optimality inequality we prove the existence of an average optimal stationary policy in all randomized history dependent policies by using the Dynkin formula and the Tauberian theorem. Finally, when the cost (or reward) rates have neither upper nor lower bounds, we also prove the existence of an average optimal policy in all (deterministic) stationary policies by constructing a “new” cost (or reward) rate. Research partially supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No: 10626021) and the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province (Grant No: 06300957).     

Constrained continuous-time Markov decision processes with average criteria

In this paper, we study constrained continuous-time Markov decision processes with a denumerable state space and unbounded reward/cost and transition rates. The criterion to be maximized is the expected average reward, and a constraint is imposed on an expected average cost. We give suitable conditions that ensure the existence of a constrained-optimal policy. Moreover, we show that the constrained-optimal policy randomizes between two stationary policies differing in at most one state. Finally, we use a controlled queueing system to illustrate our conditions. Supported by NSFC, NCET and RFDP.     

Finite-horizon piecewise deterministic Markov decision processes with unbounded transition rates

This paper is concerned with the problem of minimizing the expected finite-horizon cost for piecewise deterministic Markov decision processes. The transition rates may be unbounded, and the cost functions are allowed to be unbounded from above and from below. The optimality is over the general history-dependent policies, where the control is continuously acting in time. The infinitesimal approach is employed to establish the associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, via which the existence of optimal policies is proved. An example is provided to verify all the assumptions proposed.     

A policy improvement method for constrained average Markov decision processes

This brief paper presents a policy improvement method for constrained Markov decision processes (MDPs) with average cost criterion under an ergodicity assumption, extending Howard's policy improvement for MDPs. The improvement method induces a policy iteration-type algorithm that converges to a local optimal policy.