Two-group SIR epidemic model with stochastic perturbation

A stochastic two-group SIR model is presented in this paper.The existence and uniqueness of its nonnegative solution is obtained,and the solution belongs to a positively invariant set.Furthermore,the globally asymptotical stability of the disease-free equilibrium is deduced by the stochastic Lyapunov functional method if R0 ≤ 1,which means the disease will die out.While if R0 1,we show that the solution is fluctuating around a point which is the endemic equilibrium of the deterministic model in time average.In addition,the intensity of the fluctuation is proportional to the intensity of the white noise.When the white noise is small,we consider the disease will prevail.At last,we illustrate the dynamic behavior of the model and their approximations via a range of numerical experiments.     

Global stability of two-group SIR model with random perturbation

In this paper, we discuss the two-group SIR model introduced by Guo, Li and Shuai [H.B. Guo, M.Y. Li, Z. Shuai, Global stability of the endemic equilibrium of multigroup SIR epidemic models, Can. Appl. Math. Q. 14 (2006) 259–284], allowing random fluctuation around the endemic equilibrium. We prove the endemic equilibrium of the model with random perturbation is stochastic asymptotically stable in the large. In addition, the stability condition is obtained by the construction of Lyapunov function. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to illustrate our mathematical findings.     

Analysis of a predator-prey model with modified Leslie-Gower and Holling-type II schemes with stochastic perturbation

In this paper, we consider a predator-prey model with modified Leslie-Gower and Holling-type II schemes with stochastic perturbation. We show there is a unique positive solution to the system with positive initial value, and mainly investigate the long time behavior of the system. Condition for the system to be extinct is given and persistent condition is established. At last, numerical simulations are carried out to support our results.     

Global stability and stochastic permanence of a non-autonomous logistic equation with random perturbation

This paper discusses a randomized non-autonomous logistic equation , where B(t) is a 1-dimensional standard Brownian motion. In [D.Q. Jiang, N.Z. Shi, A note on non-autonomous logistic equation with random perturbation, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 303 (2005) 164-172], the authors show that E[1/N(t)] has a unique positive T-periodic solution E[1/Np(t)] provided a(t), b(t) and α(t) are continuous T-periodic functions, a(t)>0, b(t)>0 and . We show that this equation is stochastically permanent and the solution Np(t) is globally attractive provided a(t), b(t) and α(t) are continuous T-periodic functions, a(t)>0, b(t)>0 and mint∈[0,T]a(t)>maxt∈[0,T]α²(t). By the way, the similar results of a generalized non-autonomous logistic equation with random perturbation are yielded.     

A note on a predator-prey model with modified Leslie-Gower and Holling-type II schemes with stochastic perturbation

In this paper, we show there is a stationary distribution of a predator-prey model with modified Leslie-Gower and Holling-type II schemes with stochastic perturbation and it has ergodic property.     

Strategic measures in optimal control problems for stochastic sequences

Controlled discrete–time stochastic processes axe studied using the convex–analytic approach. Some new properties of strategic measures spaces are established, particular Markov models are considered. The meaningful example is presented.     

Stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic SIRI epidemic model with relapse

In this paper, we study the dynamics of a stochastic Susceptible-Infective-Removed-Infective (SIRI) epidemic model with relapse. By constructing a suitable stochastic Lyapunov function, we establish sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution to the model. Moreover, sufficient conditions for extinction of the disease are also obtained.     

Permanence of an SIR epidemic model with density dependent birth rate and distributed time delay

In this paper, we investigate the permanence of an SIR epidemic model with a density-dependent birth rate and a distributed time delay. We first consider the attractivity of the disease-free equilibrium and then show that for any time delay, the delayed SIR epidemic model is permanent if and only if an endemic equilibrium exists. Numerical examples are given to illustrate the theoretical analysis. The results obtained are also compared with those from the analog system with a discrete time delay.     

A note on nonautonomous logistic equation with random perturbation

This paper discusses a randomized nonautonomous logistic equation

     

Sufficient and necessary conditions of stochastic permanence and extinction for stochastic logistic populations under regime switching

In this paper, we prove that a stochastic logistic population under regime switching controlled by a Markov chain is either stochastically permanent or extinctive, and we obtain the sufficient and necessary conditions for stochastic permanence and extinction under some assumptions. In the case of stochastic permanence we estimate the limit of the average in time of the sample path of the solution by two constants related to the stationary probability distribution of the Markov chain and the parameters of the subsystems of the population model. Finally, we illustrate our conclusions through two examples.     

Interpolation solution in generalized stochastic exponential population growth model

In this paper, first we consider model of exponential population growth, then we assume that the growth rate at time t is not completely definite and it depends on some random environment effects. For this case the stochastic exponential population growth model is introduced. Also we assume that the growth rate at time t depends on many different random environment effect, for this case the generalized stochastic exponential population growth model is introduced. The expectations and variances of solutions are obtained. For a case study, we consider the population growth of Iran and obtain the output of models for this data and predict the population individuals in each year.     

A stochastic model for internal HIV dynamics

In this paper we analyse a stochastic model representing HIV internal virus dynamics. The stochasticity in the model is introduced by parameter perturbation which is a standard technique in stochastic population modelling. We show that the model established in this paper possesses non-negative solutions as this is essential in any population dynamics model. We also carry out analysis on the asymptotic behaviour of the model. We approximate one of the variables by a mean reverting process and find out the mean and variance of this process. Numerical simulations conclude the paper.     

An NSFD scheme for a class of SIR epidemic models with vaccination and treatment

An non-standard finite difference scheme is employed to discuss a class of SIR epidemic model with vaccination and treatment. The dynamical properties of the discretized model are then analysed. The results demonstrate that the discretized epidemic model is dynamically consistent with the continuous model since it maintains essential properties of the corresponding continuous model, such as positivity property and boundness of solutions, equilibrium points and their local stability properties.     

Nontrivial periodic solution of a stochastic epidemic model with seasonal variation

In this paper, we consider a stochastic SIR epidemic model with seasonal variation. First, we obtain the threshold of our model which determines whether the epidemic occurs or not. In the case of persistence, we prove that there is a nontrivial positive periodic solution.     

The improved LaSalle-type theorems for stochastic functional differential equations

The main aim of this paper is to improve some results obtained by Mao [X. Mao, The LaSalle-type theorems for stochastic functional differential equations, Nonlinear Stud. 7 (2000) 307-328]. Our new theorems give better results while conditions imposed are much weaker than in the paper mentioned above. For example, we need only the local Lipschitz condition but neither the linear growth condition nor the bounded moment condition on the solutions. To guarantee the existence and uniqueness of the global solution to the underlying stochastic functional differential equation (SFDE) under the weaker conditions imposed in this paper, we establish a generalised existence-and-uniqueness theorem which covers a wider class of nonlinear SFDEs as demonstrated by the examples discussed in this paper. Moreover, from our improved results follow some new criteria on the stochastic asymptotic stability for SFDEs.     

Explicit conditions for asymptotic stability of stochastic Liénard-type equations with Markovian switching

This paper deals with the boundedness in probability and convergence for solutions of stochastic Liénard-type equations. Some explicit conditions to ensure that all solution is bounded in probability and convergent to some fixed sets are obtained. We also show that white noise can affect the boundedness of corresponding deterministic Liénard equations.     

Global behavior and permanence of SIRS epidemic model with time delay

In this paper an autonomous SIRS epidemic model with time delay is studied. The basic reproductive number R₀ is obtained which determines whether the disease is extinct or not. When the basic reproductive number is greater than 1, it is proved that the disease is permanent in the population, and explicit formula are obtained by which the eventual lower bound of the fraction of infectious individuals can be computed. Throughout the total paper, we mainly use the technique of Lyapunov functional to establish the global stability of the infection-free equilibrium and the local stability of the endemic equilibrium but need another sufficient condition.