The perturbed Sparre Andersen model with a threshold dividend strategy

In this paper, we consider a Sparre Andersen model perturbed by diffusion with generalized Erlang(n)-distributed inter-claim times and a threshold dividend strategy. Integro-differential equations with certain boundary conditions for the moment-generation function and the mth moment of the present value of all dividends until ruin are derived. We also derive integro-differential equations with boundary conditions for the Gerber–Shiu functions. The special case where the inter-claim times are Erlang(2) distributed and the claim size distribution is exponential is considered in some details.     

The Sparre Andersen Risk Process with Investment and Debit Interest

In this paper, we study absolute ruin problems for the Sparre Andersen risk process with generalized Erlang()-distributed inter-claim times, investment and debit interest. We first give a system of integro-differential equations with certain boundary conditions satisfied by the expected discounted penalty function at absolute ruin. Second, we obtain a defective renewal equation under some special cases, then based on the defective renewal equation we derive two asymptotic results for the expected discounted penalty function when the initial surplus tends to infinity for the light-tailed claims and heavy-tailed claims, respectively. Finally, we investigate some explicit solutions and numerical results for generalized Erlang(2) inter-claim times and exponential claims.     

On a perturbed Sparre Andersen risk model with multi-layer dividend strategy

In this paper, we consider a perturbed Sparre Andersen risk model, in which the inter-claim times are generalized Erlang(n) distributed. Under the multi-layer dividend strategy, piece-wise integro-differential equations for the discounted penalty functions are derived, and a recursive approach is applied to express the solutions. A numerical example to calculate the ruin probabilities is given to illustrate the solution procedure.     

阈红利边界下Erlang(2)风险过程的罚金折现期望函数(英文)

本文研究了阙红利边界TErlang(2)风险过程的罚金折现期望函数.利用算子变换及复合几何分布函数得到了罚金折现期望函数满足的微分积分方程,并给出了罚金折现期望函数解析表达式.     

On the ruin time distribution for a Sparre Andersen process with exponential claim sizes

We derive a closed-form (infinite series) representation for the distribution of the ruin time for the Sparre Andersen model with exponentially distributed claims. This extends a recent result of Dickson et al. [Dickson, D.C.M., Hughes, B.D., Zhang, L., 2005. The density of the time to ruin for a Sparre Andersen process with Erlang arrivals and exponential claims. Scand. Actuar. J., 358–376] for such processes with Erlang inter-claim times. The derivation is based on transforming the original boundary crossing problem to an equivalent one on linear lower boundary crossing by a spectrally positive Lévy process. We illustrate our result in the cases of gamma, mixed exponential and inverse Gaussian inter-claim time distributions.     

带观察时的跳服从Erlang(n)分布的对偶模型的红利贴现问题

研究了跳服从Erlang(n)分布,随机观察时服从指数分布的对偶风险模型.假设在边值策略下红利分发只在观察时发生,建立了红利期望贴现函数V(u;b)的微积分方程组.给出了当收益额服从PH(m)分布时V(u;b)的解析解.探讨了当收益额服从指数分布时V(u;b)的具体求解方法.     

Ruin probability in Sparre Andersen risk model with claim inter-arrival times distributed as Erlang

This article deals with the ruin probability in a Sparre Andersen risk process with the inter-claim times being Erlang distributed in the framework of piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP). We construct an exponential martingale by virtue of the extended generator of the PDMP to change the measure. Some results are derived for the ruin probabilities, such as the general expressions for ruin probability, Lundberg bounds, Cramér-Lundberg approximations, and finite-horizon ruin probability.     

带干扰phaes-type风险模型中的最大盈余及相关分布

本文考虑了索赔时间间距为phase-type分布时带干扰更新风险模型中的破产前最大盈余、破产后赤字的分布,建立了相应的积分-微分方程.最后,讨论了当索赔时间间距为Erlang(2)分布且索赔量满足指数分布时的特殊情形.     

Threshold分红策略下带干扰的两类索赔风险模型的Geber-Shiu函数

本文研究了在threshold分红策略下带干扰的两类索赔风险模型的Geber-Shiu函数.这里假设两个索赔计数过程为独立的更新过程,其中一个为Poisson过程另一个为时间间隔服从广义Erlang(2)分布的更新过程.本文得到了threshold分红策略下Gerber-Shiu函数所满足的积分-微分方程及其边界条件....     

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In this paper, an Erlang(2) risk model with time-dependent claims is studied under a multi-layer dividend strategy. First, some piecewise integro-differential equations with certain boundary conditions for the Gerber-Shiu function are derived. Then, applying these results, some defective renewal equations and explicit expressions for the Gerber-Shiu function are obtained when the joint density of the inter-claim time and claim size belongs to the rational family.     

Ruin probabilities in the risk process with random income

We extend the classical risk model to the case in which the premium income process, modelled as a Poisson process, is no longer a linear function. We derive an analog of the Beekman convolution formula for the ultimate ruin probability when the inter-claim times are exponentially distributed. A defective renewal equation satisfied by the ultimate ruin probability is then given. For the general inter-claim times with zero-truncated geometrically distributed claim sizes, the explicit expression for the ultimate ruin probability is derived.     

On the absolute ruin problem in a Sparre Andersen risk model with constant interest

In this paper, we extend the work of Mitric and Sendova (2010), which considered the absolute ruin problem in a risk model with debit and credit interest, to renewal and non-renewal structures. Our first results apply to MAP processes, which we later restrict to the Sparre Andersen renewal risk model with interclaim times that are generalized Erlang (n) distributed and claim amounts following a Matrix-Exponential (ME) distribution (see for e.g. Asmussen and O’Cinneide (1997)). Under this scenario, we present a general methodology to analyze the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function defined at absolute ruin, as a solution of high-order linear differential equations with non-constant coefficients. Closed-form solutions for some absolute ruin related quantities in the generalized Erlang (2) case complement the results obtained under the classical risk model by Mitric and Sendova (2010).     

A local limit theorem for the probability of ruin

In this paper, we give a result on the local asymptotic behaviour of the probability of ruin in a continuous-time risk model in which the inter-claim times have an Erlang distribution and the individual claim sizes have a distribution that belongs to S(v) with v≥ 0, but where the Lundberg exponent of the underlying risk process does not exist.     

带干扰广义Elang(n)风险过程的破产前最大盈余

本文考虑了索赔时间间距为广义Erlang(n)分布的带干扰更新(Sparre Andersen)风险过程.所用的方法类似于Albrecher,et al.(2005),即将广义Erlang(n)随机变量分解成n个独立的指数随机变量的和.建立了破产前最大盈余所满足的积分-微分方程,讨论了索赔量分布为K<,m>分布时的特殊情形.     

Ruin probability and time of ruin with a proportional reinsurance threshold strategy

In this paper, we present a threshold proportional reinsurance strategy and we analyze the effect on some solvency measures: ruin probability and time of ruin. This dynamic reinsurance strategy assumes a retention level that is not constant and depends on the level of the surplus. In a model with inter-occurrence times being generalized Erlang(n)-distributed, we obtain the integro-differential equation for the Gerber?CShiu function. Then, we present the solution for inter-occurrence times exponentially distributed and claim amount phase-type(N). Some examples for exponential and phase-type(2) claim amount are presented. Finally, we show some comparisons between threshold reinsurance and proportional reinsurance.     

Analysis of the Gerber-Shiu function and dividend barrier problems for a risk process with two classes of claims

In this paper we consider a risk model with two independent classes of insurance risks. We assume that the two independent claim counting processes are, respectively, the Poisson and the generalized Erlang(2) process. We prove that the Gerber-Shiu function satisfies some defective renewal equations. Exact representations for the solutions of these equations are derived through an associated compound geometric distribution and an analytic expression for this quantity is given when the claim severities have rationally distributed Laplace transforms. Further, the same risk model is considered in the presence of a constant dividend barrier. A system of integro-differential equations with certain boundary conditions for the Gerber-Shiu function is derived and solved. Using systems of integro-differential equations for the moment-generating function as well as for the arbitrary moments of the discounted sum of the dividend payments until ruin, a matrix version of the dividends-penalty is derived. An extension to a risk model when the two independent claim counting processes are Poisson and generalized Erlang(ν), respectively, is considered, generalizing the aforementioned results.     

一类具有随机保费风险模型的破产问题

本文考虑了一个保费收入过程为复合Poisson过程,且索赔时间间隔分布为广义Erlang(n)分布的风险模型,给出了其罚金折现期望函数所满足的瑕疵更新方程以及渐近表达式和精确表达式.     

Evaluation of (R,Q)-policies for two-level inventory systems with generally distributed customer inter-arrival times

In this paper we consider a two-level inventory system with a central warehouse and a number of retailers. All facilities apply continuous review (R,Q)-policies. We first extend Forsberg's exact Poisson model to the case with unit demand and customer inter-arrival times that are Erlang distributed. In the case with generally distributed customer inter-arrival times we approximate by Erlang distributions. We use two different methods to choose the approximate Erlang distribution. The first method means that we, for each retailer, choose the Erlang distribution that has the exact mean and minimum difference in standard deviation. Our second method means that we, for each retailer, choose the Erlang distribution of customer inter-arrival times that gives the exact mean and minimum difference in the standard deviation of the demand per unit of time instead of the inter-arrival time. Both methods are tested on 38 simulated cases. In all cases both methods give the same approximation.     

具有二步保费的Erlang（2）风险模型

本文考虑了当索赔间隔时间为Erlang(2)分布且保费收取为二步保费过程的复合更新风险模型,推导出该模型的罚金折现期望值函数满足具有一定边界条件和积分微分方程,并解出该方程.特别地,当索赔额为指数分布时,利用所得结果给出了破产时间的Laplace变换及终积破产概率的解析解.     

The expected discounted penalty function under a renewal risk model with stochastic income

In this paper, we consider a renewal risk model with stochastic premiums income. We assume that the premium number process and the claim number process are a Poisson process and a generalized Erlang (n) processes, respectively. When the individual stochastic premium sizes are exponentially distributed, the Laplace transform and a defective renewal equation for the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function are obtained. Furthermore, the discounted joint distribution of the surplus just before ruin and the deficit at ruin is given. When the claim size distributions belong to the rational family, the explicit expression of the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function is derived. Finally, a specific example is provided.