Strong ergodicity of the regime-switching diffusion processes

We provide criteria for the strong ergodicity of regime-switching diffusion processes. Our conditions are imposed on the coefficients of the processes. Particularly, we show that for regime-switching diffusions on the half line, if the corresponding diffusion on each fixed environment is strongly ergodic, then the regime-switching diffusion is strongly ergodic as well, which does not depend on the changing rate of the environment. Moreover, the converse is not always true, which is shown by an example. For transience, recurrence and positive recurrence, there is no such good consistency [R. Pinsky and M. Scheutzow, Some remarks and examples concerning the transience and recurrence of random diffusions, Ann. Inst. Henri. Poincaré 28 (1992) 519–536].     

Feynman–Kac formulas for regime-switching jump diffusions and their applications

This work develops Feynman–Kac formulas for a class of regime-switching jump diffusion processes, in which the jump part is driven by a Poisson random measure associated with a general Lévy process and the switching part depends on the jump diffusion processes. Under broad conditions, the connections of such stochastic processes and the corresponding partial integro-differential equations are established. Related initial, terminal and boundary value problems are also treated. Moreover, based on weak convergence of probability measures, it is demonstrated that a sequence of random variables related to the regime-switching jump diffusion process converges in distribution to the arcsine law.     

Stability of regime-switching diffusions

This work is devoted to stability of regime-switching diffusion processes. After presenting the formulation of regime-switching diffusions, the notion of stability is recalled, and necessary conditions for p$p$-stability are obtained. Then main results on stability and instability for systems arising in approximation are presented. Easily verifiable conditions are established. An example is examined as a demonstration. A remark on linear systems is also provided.     

Approximation of Invariant Measures for Regime-switching Diffusions

In this paper, we are concerned with long-time behavior of Euler-Maruyama schemes associated with regime-switching diffusion processes. The key contributions of this paper lie in that existence and uniqueness of numerical invariant measures are addressed (i) for regime-switching diffusion processes with finite state spaces by the Perron-Frobenius theorem if the “averaging condition” holds, and, for the case of reversible Markov chain, via the principal eigenvalue approach provided that the principal eigenvalue is positive; (ii) for regime-switching diffusion processes with countable state spaces by means of a finite partition method and an M-Matrix theory. We also reveal that numerical invariant measures converge in the Wasserstein metric to the underlying ones. Several examples are constructed to demonstrate our theory.     

On subgeometric ergodicity of regime-switching diffusion processes

In this article, we discuss subgeometric ergodicity of a class of regime-switching diffusion processes. We derive conditions on the drift and diffusion coefficients, and the switching mechanism which result in subgeometric ergodicity of the corresponding semigroup with respect to the total variation distance as well as a class of Wasserstein distances. At the end, subgeometric ergodicity of certain classes of regime-switching Markov processes with jumps is also discussed.     

Stability of Discrete-Time Regime-Switching Dynamic Systems with Delays

Abstract

This work focuses on stability of regime-switching discrete-time systems with delays. Two-time-scale formulation is used for the purpose of reduction of complexity. It is demonstrated that associated with the original system, there is a limit system that is a switching diffusion process. An interesting problem is concerned with if the stability of the limit switching diffusion process can be carried over to the original system. This question is answered in the article. Furthermore, path excursion, mean recurrence time, and the associated error bounds are considered.     

Optimal stopping of switching diffusions with state dependent switching rates

This paper is concerned with a continuous-time and infinite-horizon optimal stopping problem in switching diffusion models. In contrast to the assumption commonly made in the literature that the regime-switching is modeled by an independent Markov chain, we consider in this paper the case of state-dependent regime-switching. The Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation associated with the optimal stopping problem is given by a system of coupled variational inequalities. By means of the dynamic programming (DP) principle, we prove that the value function is the unique viscosity solution of the HJB system. As an interesting application in mathematical finance, we examine the problem of pricing perpetual American put options with state-dependent regime-switching. A numerical procedure is developed based on the DP approach and an efficient discrete tree approximation of the continuous asset price process. Numerical results are reported.     

Coexistence and stability of a competition—diffusion system in population dynamics

The coexistence and stability of the population densities of two competing species in a bounded habitat are investigated in the present paper, where the effect of dispersion (transportation) is taken into consideration. The mathematical problem involves a coupled system of Lotka-Volterra-type reaction-diffusion equations together with some initial and boundary conditions, including the Dirichlet, Neumann and third type. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the coexistence and competitive exclusion are established and the effect of diffusion is explicitly given. For the stability problem, general criteria for the stability and instability of a steady-state solution are established and then applied to various situations depending on the relative magnitude among the physical parameters. Also given are necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of multiple steady-state solutions and the stability or instability of each of these solutions. Special attention is given to the Neumann boundary condition with respect to which some threshold results for the coexistence and stability or instability of the four uniform steady states are characterized. It is shown in this situation that only one of the four constant steady states is asymptotically stable while the remaining three are unstable. The stability or instability of these states depends solely on the relative magnitude among the various rate constants and is independent of the diffusion coefficients.     

Regime-switching diffusion processes: strong solutions and strong Feller property

Abstract

We investigate the existence and uniqueness of strong solutions for state-dependent regime-switching diffusion processes in an infinite state space with singular coefficients. Non-explosion conditions are given by using the Zvonkin’s transformation. The strong Feller property is proved by further assuming that the diffusion in each fixed environment generates a strong Feller semigroup, and our results can also be applied to irregular or degenerate situations.     

Ergodicity of one-dimensional regime-switching diffusion processes

In this work, for a one-dimensional regime-switching diffusion process, we show that when it is positive recurrent, then there exists a stationary distribution, and when it is null recurrent, then there exists an invariant measure. We also provide the explicit representation of the stationary distribution and invariant measure based on the hitting times of the process.     

A Multivariate Regime-Switching Mean Reverting Process and Its Application to the Valuation of Credit Risk

In this article, we study the counterparty risk on a credit default swap (CDS) and the valuation of a first-to-default basket swap on three underlyings under a common shock model with regime-switching intensities. We assume that the defaults of all the names are driven by some shock events, whose arrivals are governed by a multivariate regime-switching shot noise process. Based on some expressions for the joint Laplace transform of the regime-switching shot noise processes, we give explicit formulas for the spread of the CDS contract with and without counterparty risk and the spread of the first-to-default basket swap on the three underlyings.     

Stability and stochastic stabilization of numerical solutions of regime-switching jump diffusion systems

This work studies stability and stochastic stabilization of numerical solutions of a class of regime-switching jump diffusion systems. These systems have a wide range of applications in communication systems, flexible manufacturing and production planning, financial engineering and economics because they involve three classes of stochastic factors: white noise, Poisson jump and Markovian switching. This paper focuses on the stability of numerical solutions of the switching jump diffusion systems and examines the conditions under which the Euler–Maruyama (EM) and the backward EM may share the stability of the exact solution. These conditions show that all these three classes of stochastic factors may serve as stabilizing factors and play positive roles for the stability property of both exact and numerical solutions.     

On conservativeness and recurrence criteria for Markov processes

In the present paper, we give general criteria of conservativeness and recurrence for Markov processes associated with, not necessarily symmetric, Dirichlet spaces. The conservativeness criterion is applied to discuss a comparison theorem of conservativeness for diffusion processes. Also some sufficient conditions of conservativeness and recurrence for diffusion processes.are given.     

A Reduced-Form Model for Correlated Defaults with Regime-Switching Shot Noise Intensities

In this paper, we consider a two-dimensional reduced form contagion model with regime-switching interacting default intensities. The model assumes that the intensities of the default times are driven by macro-economy described by a homogenous Markov chain and that the default of one firm may trigger a positive jump, associated with the state of Markov chain, in the default intensity of the other firm. The intensities before the default of the other firm are modeled by a two-dimensional regime-switching shot noise process with common shocks. By using the idea of “change of measure” and some closed-form formulas for the joint conditional Laplace transforms of the regime-switching shot noise processes and the integrated regime-switching shot noise processes, we derive the two-dimensional conditional and unconditional joint distributions of the default times. Based on these results, we can express the single-name credit default swap (CDS) spread, the first and second-to-default CDS spreads on two underlyings in terms of fundamental matrix solutions of linear, matrix-valued, ordinary differential equations.     

Convergence dynamics of stochastic reaction–diffusion recurrent neural networks with continuously distributed delays

Convergence dynamics of reaction–diffusion recurrent neural networks (RNNs) with continuously distributed delays and stochastic influence are considered. Some sufficient conditions to guarantee the almost sure exponential stability, mean value exponential stability and mean square exponential stability of an equilibrium solution are obtained, respectively. Lyapunov functional method, M-matrix properties, some inequality technique and nonnegative semimartingale convergence theorem are used in our approach. These criteria ensuring the different exponential stability show that diffusion and delays are harmless, but random fluctuations are important, in the stochastic continuously distributed delayed reaction–diffusion RNNs with the structure satisfying the criteria. Two examples are also given to demonstrate our results.     

Valuing variable annuity guarantees with the multivariate Esscher transform

Variable annuities are usually sold with a range of guarantees that protect annuity holders from some downside market risk. Although it is common to see variable annuity guarantees written on multiple funds, existing pricing methods are, by and large, based on stochastic processes for one single asset only. In this article, we fill this gap by developing a multivariate valuation framework. First, we consider a multivariate regime-switching model for modeling returns on various assets at the same time. We then identify a risk-neutral probability measure for use with the model under consideration. This is accomplished by a multivariate extension of the regime-switching conditional Esscher transform. We further extend our results to the situation when the guarantee being valued is linked to equity indexes measured in foreign currencies. In particular, we derive a probability measure that is risk-neutral from the perspective of domestic investors. Finally, we illustrate our results with a hypothetical variable annuity guarantee.     

Valuing variable annuity guarantees with the multivariate Esscher transform

Variable annuities are usually sold with a range of guarantees that protect annuity holders from some downside market risk. Although it is common to see variable annuity guarantees written on multiple funds, existing pricing methods are, by and large, based on stochastic processes for one single asset only. In this article, we fill this gap by developing a multivariate valuation framework. First, we consider a multivariate regime-switching model for modeling returns on various assets at the same time. We then identify a risk-neutral probability measure for use with the model under consideration. This is accomplished by a multivariate extension of the regime-switching conditional Esscher transform. We further extend our results to the situation when the guarantee being valued is linked to equity indexes measured in foreign currencies. In particular, we derive a probability measure that is risk-neutral from the perspective of domestic investors. Finally, we illustrate our results with a hypothetical variable annuity guarantee.     

ASYMPTOTIC STABILITY OF SINGULAR NONLINEAR DIFFERENTIAL SYSTEMS WITH UNBOUNDED DELAYS

In this paper,the asymptotic stability of singular nonlinear differential systems with unbounded delays is considered.The stability criteria are derived based on a kind of Lyapunov-functional and some technique of matrix inequalities.The criteria are described as matrix equation and matrix inequalities,which are computationally flexible and efficient.Two examples are given to illustrate the results.     

AIC type statistics for discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes

We consider the model selection problem for ergodic diffusion processes based on sampled data. The adaptive estimators for parameters of drift and diffusion coefficients are used in order to construct Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) type model selection statistics. Asymptotic properties of our proposed criteria are given for three kinds of the adaptive estimators.     

Markov-modulated jump-diffusions for currency option pricing

This paper introduces dynamic models for the spot foreign exchange rate with capturing both the rare events and the time-inhomogeneity in the fluctuating currency market. For the rare events, we use a compound Poisson process with log-normal jump amplitude to describe the jumps. As for the time-inhomogeneity in the market dynamics, we particularly stress the strong dependence of the domestic/foreign interest rates, the appreciation rate and the volatility of the foreign currency on the time-varying sovereign ratings in the currency market. The time-varying ratings are formulated by a continuous-time finite-state Markov chain. Based on such a spot foreign exchange rate dynamics, we then study the pricing of some currency options. Here we will adopt a so-called regime-switching Esscher transform to identify a risk-neutral martingale measure. By determining the regime-switching Esscher parameters we then get an integral expression on the prices of European-style currency options. Finally, numerical illustrations are given.