大额索赔Sparre Andersen模型的破产问题

本文考虑一类特殊 Sparre Andersen风险模型 ,其索赔时间间隔 Tk 的密度函数 k(t)满足一个二阶常微分方程 ,讨论了当索赔为大额索赔时 ,破产概率的渐近表达式 .     

一类Sparre Andersen风险模型的Gerber-Shiu函数

本文考虑了一类相邻两次索赔的时间间隔服从Erlang($n$)和Erlang($m$)的混合分布的Sparre Andersen风险模型.主要目的是研究Gerber-Shiu函数$\phi_\delta(u)$,首先证明了$\phi_\delta(u)$满足一个高阶的积分微分方程,然后讨论了广义Lundberg方程根的性质,在此基础上导出了$\phi_\delta(u)$的拉普拉斯变换并且证明了$\phi_\delta(u)$满足一个更新方程,最后给出了一个例子.     

Approximation for Ruin Probability in the Sparre Andersen Model with Interest

We consider the Sparre Andersen model modified by the inclusion of interest on the surplus.Approximation for the ultimate ruin probability is derived by rounding.And upper bound and lower bound arealso derived by rounding-down and rounding-up respectively.According to the upper bound and lower bound,we can easily obtain the error estimation of the approximation.Applications of the results to the compoundPoisson model are given.     

Sparre Andersen模型中破产概率的边界

研究在Andersen Spaxre模型中,当破产概率的初始边界已知的时候,根据更新方程和更新方程中函数的单调性来改进破产概率的边界,并进一步改进了严重损失函数G（x,y）的边界．     

带常利率和相依结构更新风险模型的破产概率

研究了一类具有常利率及相依结构的Sparre Andersen模型,模型中假设理赔间隔时间决定下一次理赔额的分布情况.对一般分布情形,利用推广后的调节系数方程与递归更新技巧,得到了此模型的最终破产概率上界的估计.最后以理赔额和理赔间隔时间都服从指数分布的情况下的实例分析来说明该模型的有效性.     

Sparre Anderson模型中随机时破产概率的一致渐近性

随机时破产概率是有限时破产概率在时间上的随机化.本文研究了带折现的Sparre Anderson模型中随机时破产概率的一致渐近性.在一些假设条件下,最终得到一致渐近公式.     

经典风险模型破产概率及其局部渐近解

本文首先研究了分布族S(v)(v≥0)和分布族S*(v)(v≥0)的一些相关性质,然后研究了经典风险模型在调节系数不存在而且索赔分布F∈S*(v)(v>0)的情况下破产概率的-个渐近结果以及破产概率局部解的渐近结果.     

带连续变利率风险模型最终破产概率上界

考虑了带二元连续变利息力的Sparre Andersen风险模型.研究了积累值盈余过程的表达式与性质;在利率递增环境下,利用推广后的调节系数方程组与递归技术推导了最终破产概率的上界,结论表明得到的破产概率上界是更为一般的Lundberg指数上界.     

变破产下限风险模型的破产概率

近年来,很多文献对经典风险模型作了研究,并得出许多有用的结论。一般文献都是假定保险公司的破产下限为零,但在实际的保险实务中,当保险公司的盈余低于某一限度时,保险公司就要调整政策或宣布破产。本文研究了经典风险模型在假定变破产下限下的破产概率,得出了破产概率所满足的不等式,而且研究了当破产下限f(t)为某些特殊函数时,破产概率所满足的不等式或破产概率的具体表达式。最后本文给出了在推广后的风险模型中变破产下限破产概率所满足的不等式。     

离散的相依风险模型的破产问题

研究一类索赔时间相依的离散风险模型,模型中假设每次主索赔可能引起一次副索赔,而每次副索赔有可能延迟发生.通过引入辅助模型,运用概率论的分析方法得到了破产前瞬时盈余和破产时赤字联合分布的递推解,以及初始值为0时最终破产概率的明确表达式.最后结合保险实例进行了数值模拟.     

Ruin probability in Sparre Andersen risk model with claim inter-arrival times distributed as Erlang

This article deals with the ruin probability in a Sparre Andersen risk process with the inter-claim times being Erlang distributed in the framework of piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP). We construct an exponential martingale by virtue of the extended generator of the PDMP to change the measure. Some results are derived for the ruin probabilities, such as the general expressions for ruin probability, Lundberg bounds, Cramér-Lundberg approximations, and finite-horizon ruin probability.     

Stochastic Bounds for the Sparre Andersen Process

In this paper we define two stochastic processes that are smaller and greater in usual stochastic order than the Sparre Andersen process. We derive, as a consequence, upper and lower bounds of its marginal distributions, and of the distributions of its first passage times above fixed thresholds. We also present a generalization of these stochastic bounds for risk processes perturbed by diffusion.AMS 2000 Subject Classification: 60K10, 60E15Partially supported by the italian PRIN-Cofin 2004 “Stochastic models in mathematical finance” (F. Pellerey) and PRIN-Cofin 2003 “Numerical, analytical and simulation methods with reference to reliability in neuronal signal transmission” (C. Zucca).     

On a class of dependent Sparre Andersen risk models and a bailout application

In this paper a one-dimensional surplus process is considered with a certain Sparre Andersen type dependence structure under general interclaim times distribution and correlated phase-type claim sizes. The Laplace transform of the time to ruin under such a model is obtained as the solution of a fixed-point problem, under both the zero-delayed and the delayed cases. An efficient algorithm for solving the fixed-point problem is derived together with bounds that illustrate the quality of the approximation. A two-dimensional risk model is analyzed under a bailout type strategy with both fixed and variable costs and a dependence structure of the proposed type. Numerical examples and ideas for future research are presented at the end of the paper.     

On a perturbed Sparre Andersen risk model with multi-layer dividend strategy

In this paper, we consider a perturbed Sparre Andersen risk model, in which the inter-claim times are generalized Erlang(n) distributed. Under the multi-layer dividend strategy, piece-wise integro-differential equations for the discounted penalty functions are derived, and a recursive approach is applied to express the solutions. A numerical example to calculate the ruin probabilities is given to illustrate the solution procedure.     

一类延迟双险种风险模型的破产概率

本考虑了一类索赔发生分别是Poisson过程和Erlang(n)过程的延迟双险种模型，给出了初始女本为u的破产概率ψ(u)表达式．     

常利率下索赔相依风险模型的破产赤字

研究了常利率下具有相依索赔结构的Sparre Andersen风险模型的破产问题,其中理赔间隔时间与随后的理赔数额具有特殊相依结构.利用递归方法,得到该模型破产赤字分布的上界估计,并且考察了参数为指数函数的例子,加深对定理中破产赤字上界的了解.