一类上临界带移民分支过程的下偏差概率估计

对于后代分布为{p_i,ige 0}的上临界带移民分支过程{Z_n}, 如果分支和移民分布满足适当的矩条件,则Z_n/m^n几乎处处收敛到某个非退化的极限,其中m:=sum_{i=0}^infty ip_i为过程后代分布的均值.本文给出了p_0>0时该过程下偏差概率pr(Z_n=k)的渐近行为,其中kin[k_n,m^n], k_ntoinfty (nrightarrowinfty),这一结果可作为文献ncite{8}中Schr\"{o}der情形结论的补充.     

Limit theorems for the integral of a population process with immigration

A limit theorem is proven for the integral of a general class of population processes possessing independent immigration components. For the special case of the Bellman-Harris process with immigration, further results are obtained.     

Limit distributions for generalized Jiřina processes with immigration

A relationship between continuous state population-size-dependent branching (CSDB) processes with or without immigration and discrete state population-size-dependent branching (DSDB) processes with or without immigration is established via the representation of the former. Based on this relationship, some limiting distributions of CSDB processes with or without immigration are obtained.     

带移民的上临界分支过程在一般条件下的小值概率

本文的主要目的是在后代分布均值有限但L log L阶距无限的条件下研究带移民的上临界分支过程(Z_n)的小值概率.当后代分布均值有限且移民分布的log L阶距有限时,存在常数序列{C_n,n≥0}使得C_n~(-1)Z_n收敛到一个非负有限且非退化的随机变量,记作W.本文基于前期关于分支过程小值概率的工作,在最一般的条件下得到了W的小值概率,即P(W≤ε)在ε→0~+时的收敛速率.     

Small value probabilities for continuous state branching processes with immigration

We consider the small value probability of supercritical continuous state branching processes with immigration.From Pinsky(1972) it is known that under regularity condition on the branching mechanism and immigration mechanism,the normalized population size converges to a non-degenerate finite and positive limit W as t tends to infinity.We provide sharp estimate on asymptotic behavior of P(W≤ε) as ε→ 0+ by studying the Laplace transform of W.Without immigration,we also give a simpler proof for the small value probability in the non-subordinator case via the prolific backbone decomposition.     

Moderate deviations from the hydrodynamic limit of the symmetric exclusion process

We investigate the moderate deviations from the hydrodynamic limit of the empirical density ofparticles and obtain a moderate deviation principle for a symmetric exclusion process.     

Moderate Deviations for Random Sums of Heavy-Tailed Random Variables

Let {Xn;n≥ 1} be a sequence of independent non-negative random variables with common distribution function F having extended regularly varying tail and finite mean μ = E（X1） and let {N（t）; t ≥0} be a random process taking non-negative integer values with finite mean λ（t） = E（N（t）） and independent of {Xn; n ≥1}. In this paper, asymptotic expressions of P（（X1 ＋… ＋XN（t）） -λ（t）μ 〉 x） uniformly for x ∈[γb（t）, ∞） are obtained, where γ〉 0 and b（t） can be taken to be a positive function with limt→∞ b（t）/λ（t） = 0.     

An application of berezin integration to large deviations

We apply a method invented by Luttinger to obtain an asymptotic expansion in powers of 1/T forE[e ^–TF()]. is theproportion of local time andE is the expectation for a time-homogeneous Markov process withN states. The result extends the large-deviation result of Donsker and Varadhan by providing a complete expansion as opposed to only the leading term.     

Existence,uniqueness and ergodicity of Markov branching processes with immigration and instantaneous resurrection

We consider a modified Markov branching process incorporating with both state-independent immigration and instantaneous resurrection.The existence criterion of the process is firstly considered.We prove that if the sum of the resurrection rates is finite,then there does not exist any process.An existence criterion is then established when the sum of the resurrection rates is infinite.Some equivalent criteria,possessing the advantage of being easily checked,are obtained for the latter case.The uniqueness criterion for such process is also investigated.We prove that although there exist infinitely many of them,there always exists a unique honest process for a given q-matrix.This unique honest process is then constructed.The ergodicity property of this honest process is analysed in detail.We prove that this honest process is always ergodic and the explicit expression for the equilibrium distribution is established.     

Large Deviations for Heavy-tailed Random Variables in Prospective-loss Process

In this paper, we study the precise large deviations for the prospectiveloss process with consistently varying tails. The obtained results improve some related known ones.     

更新随机指标分枝过程的大偏差

研究了时间指标为一般更新过程的随机指标分枝过程.在每个粒子至少有两个分枝(Bottcher情形)以及更新分布满足Cramer条件的情况下,得到了更新随机指标分枝过程的大偏差原理.     

Large deviations for parameter estimators of some time inhomogeneous diffusion process

The goal of this paper is to study large deviations for estimator and score function of some time inhomogeneous diffusion process. Large deviation in the non-steepness case with explicit rate functions is obtained by using parameter-dependent change of measure.     

Large deviations ordering of point processes in some queueing networks

Given a stochastic ordering between point processes, say that a p.p. N is smooth if it is less than the Poisson process with the same average intensity for this ordering. In this article we investigate whether initially smooth processes retain their smoothness as they cross a network of FIFO ·/D/1 queues along fixed routes. For the so-called strong variability ordering we show that point processes remain smooth as they proceed through a tandem of quasi-saturated (i.e., loaded to 1) M+·/D/1 queues. We then introduce the Large Deviations ordering, which involves comparison of the rate functions associated with Large Deviations Principles satisfied by the point processes. For this ordering, we show that smoothness is retained when the processes cross a feed-forward network of unsaturated ·/D/1 queues. We also examine the LD characteristics of a deterministic p.p. at the output of an M+·/D/1 queue. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

A property of the renewal counting process with application to the finite-time ruin probability

We consider the renewal counting process , where θ ₁ , θ ₂ ,… are nonnegative independent identically distributed nondegenerate random variables with finite mean. The asymptotics for the tail of the exponential moment are derived. The obtained results are applied to the finite-time ruin probability in a renewal risk model.