Diagnosing Bootstrap Success

We show that convergence of intuitive bootstrap distributions to the correct limit distribution is equivalent to a local asymptotic equivariance property of estimators and to an asymptotic independence property in the bootstrap world. The first equivalence implies that bootstrap convergence fails at superefficiency points in the parameter space. However, superefficiency is only a sufficient condition for bootstrap failure. The second equivalence suggests graphical diagnostics for detecting whether or not the intuitive bootstrap is trustworthy in a given data analysis. Both criteria for bootstrap convergence are related to Hájek's (1970, Zeit. Wahrscheinlichkeitsth., 14, 323-330) formulation of the convolution theorem and to Basu's (1955, Sankhy, 15, 377-380) theorem on the independence of an ancillary statistic and a complete sufficient statistic.     

Bootstrap and empirical likelihood methods in extremes

One of the major interests in extreme-value statistics is to infer the tail properties of the distribution functions in the domain of attraction of an extreme-value distribution and to predict rare events. In recent years, much effort in developing new methodologies has been made by many researchers in this area so as to diminish the impact of the bias in the estimation and achieve some asymptotic optimality in inference problems such as estimating the optimal sample fractions and constructing confidence intervals of various quantities. In particular, bootstrap and empirical likelihood methods, which have been widely used in many areas of statistics, have drawn attention. This paper reviews some novel applications of the bootstrap and the empirical likelihood techniques in extreme-value statistics. Dedicated to Professor Laurens de Haan on the occasion of his 70th birthday.     

两个和K个分布函数相等的自助法检验(英文)

两个和Ｋ 个分布函数相等的检验在统计领域中,长期以来一直受到关注．为了克服高维空间中数据点的稀疏性,并且对一般情况进行处理,我们提出了几个投影追踪类型的统计量,并得到了这些统计量的极限分布的一些结果．对一些自助法逼近的性质进行了研究．更进一步地,由于计算的原因,对统计量的逼近,我们采用了数论方法,并进行了一些模拟试验     

Approximation for bootstrapped empirical processes

We obtain an approximation for the bootstrapped empirical process with the rate of the Komlós, Major and Tusnády approximation for empirical processes. The proof of the new approximation is based on the Poisson approximation for the uniform empirical distribution function and the Gaussian approximation for randomly stopped sums.

     

A characterization of limiting distributions of estimators in an autoregressive process

Summary Let the random variablesX ₁,X ₂, ...,X _n be generated by the first-order autoregressive modelX _i =θX _i−1 +e _i wheree _i ,i=1, 2, ...,n, are i.i.d. random variables with mean zero, variance σ², and with unspecified density functiong(·). In the present paper we obtain a characterization of limiting distributions of nonparametric and parametric estimators of θ as well as a local asymptotic minimax bound of the risks of estimators.     

BOOTSTRAP MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF THE PARAMETER IN SPECTRAL DENSITY OF STATIONARY PROCESSES

ＢＯＯＴＳＴＲＡＰ　ＭＡＸＩＭＵＭＬＩＫＥＬＩＨＯＯＤＥＳＴＩＭＡＴＩＯＮＯＦＴＨＥＰＡＲＡＭＥＴＥＲＩＮＳＰＥＣＴＲＡＬＤＥＮＳＩＴＹＯＦＳＴＡＴＩＯＮＡＲＹ　ＰＲＯＣＥＳＳＥＳＹＵＤＡＮ（于丹）（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＳｙｓｔｅｍｓＳｃｉｅｎｃｅ...     

指数族ACD模型的参数估计及其Bootstrap置信区间

针对指数族ACD模型,采用Scoring算法对模型进行参数估计,得到指数族情况下Scoring算法中方向向量的计算公式,并讨论了该算法的收敛性以及估计值的相合性.本文运用W ild Bootstrap构建参数的置信区间和置信带,将其结果与传统的残差Bootstrap做比较,数据模拟的结果表明,W ild Bootstrap处理问题更加快捷,结果更加准确.     

Estimating the limits for statistical process control charts: A direct method improving upon the bootstrap

This paper considers the problem of finding limits for a statistical process control (SPC) chart for the process mean, when the process distribution is unknown. The bootstrap method estimates these limits relying on Monte Carlo methods, which are subject to simulation errors. Therefore this paper develops a computationally efficient enumeration method for exact calculations of the control limits.     

Semiparametric Estimation of the State of a Dynamical System with Small Noise

We consider the problem of estimation of the state of a perturbed dynamical system by observing the trajectory of a diffusion process with known small diffusion coefficient. The drift coefficient is supposed to be an unknown regular function. Asymptotic minimax lower bounds for the risk of any estimator of the state are derived and the notion of efficiency is introduced. The naïve estimator for this problem is proposed and its basic properties are discussed. It emerges that this estimator is asymptotically efficient.     

Bootstrap techniques in semiparametric estimation methods for ARFIMA models: A comparison study

Summary  This paper considers different bootstrap procedures for investigating the estimation of the fractional parameter d in a particular case of long memory processes, i.e. for ARFIMA models withd in (0.0, 0.5). We propose two bootstrap techniques to deal with semiparametric estimation methods of d. One approach consists of the local bootstrap method for time frequency initially suggested for the ARMA case by Paparoditis and Politis (1999), and the other consists of the bootstrapping in the residuals of the frequency-domain regression equation. Through Monte Carlo simulation, these alternative bootstrap methods are compared, based on the mean and the mean square error of the estimators, with the well-known parametric and nonparametric bootstrap techniques for time series models.     

Asymptotic analysis of flow in wavy tubes and simulation of the extrusion process

The paper is devoted to the mathematical modelling of an extrusion process. Usually, an extruder has a very complicated geometry. This generates a lot of difficulties for computations of three‐dimensional flows. In the present paper, we develop and justify the asymptotic domain decomposition strategy in order to parallelize the computational process and reduce the memory. The error estimates are proved for the Stokes steady‐state equation in the two‐dimensional and three‐dimensional cases. Then, the asymptotic domain decomposition procedure is applied for numerical testing and computations of the non‐Newtonian fluid simulating a real process of the polymer extrusion. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Bootstrapping the empirical distribution of a linear process

The validity of the moving block bootstrap for the empirical distribution of a short memory causal linear process is established under simple conditions that do not involve mixing or association. Sufficient conditions can be expressed in terms of the existence of moments of the innovations and summability of the coefficients of the linear model. Applications to one and two sample tests are discussed.     

Local asymptotic normality and asymptotical minimax efficiency of the MLE under random censorship

Here we study the problems of local asymptotic normality of the parametric family of distributions and asymptotic minimax efficient estimators when the observations are subject to right censoring. Local asymptotic normality will be established under some mild regularity conditions. A lower bound for local asymptotic minimax risk is given with respect to a bowl-shaped loss function, and furthermore a necessary and sufficient condition is given in order to achieve this lower bound. Finally, we show that this lower bound can be attained by the maximum likelihood estimator in the censored case and hence it is local asymptotic minimax efficient.     

条件经验随机过程的渐近性质

设(Xi,Yi)(i=1,2,…,n)是来自总体(X,Y)的样本(独立同分布),其中X∈R1,Y∈Rq.M(x y)是Y=y时X的条件分布,Mnkn(x y)为M(x y)的第kn个最近邻域的经验分布估计量,讨论条件经验过程Sn(t,x,y)=kn12(Mnkn(x y)-M(x y))的渐近性质,得出在适当条件下,对固定的y,Sn(t,x,y)(x,t为参数)弱收敛于某一G aussian过程S(.).     

Some convergence theorems on a supercritical Galton-Watson process

Summary LetX=(X _n; n≧0,X ₀=1) be a supercritical Galton-Watson process. The limiting distribution of ) where is the m.l.e. of the offspring mean, is derived. As an application of this result, some limit theorems leading ultimately to a parameter free result of statistical interest, are also established.     

On the empirical process of multivariate, dependent random variables

A convergence theorem of Billingsley for the empirical process of stationary, real valued radom variables under a mixing condition is generalized to the k-dimensional and nonstationary case. Further a more general empirical process is treated, including the upper summation boundary as argument. Some applications are given to a Kolmogorov-Smirnov and a Cramér-von Mises type statistic.     

Bootstrap of the offspring mean in the critical process with a non-stationary immigration

In applications of branching processes, usually it is hard to obtain samples of a large size. Therefore, a bootstrap procedure allowing inference based on a small sample size is very useful. Unfortunately, in the critical branching process with stationary immigration the standard parametric bootstrap is invalid. In this paper, we consider a process with non-stationary immigration, whose mean and variance vary regularly with nonnegative exponents α and β, respectively. We prove that 1+2α is the threshold for the validity of the bootstrap in this model. If β<1+2α, the standard bootstrap is valid and if β>1+2α it is invalid. In the case β=1+2α, the validity of the bootstrap depends on the slowly varying parts of the immigration mean and variance. These results allow us to develop statistical inferences about the parameters of the process in its early stages.     

基于灰色模型和Bootstrap理论的大规模定制质量控制方法研究

针对大规模定制生产中样本量小而无法直接应用传统控制图判断过程状态的问题,提出基于灰色模型和Bootstrap理论的质量控制方法.首先采用灰色模型,以现有样本为基础进行数据分析,适当扩展样本量;然后基于Bootstrap统计推断方法获得统计量的经验分布;最后建立样本均值和极差控制图,对生产过程的状态进行分析判断.研究表明,新方法可用于大规模定制生产尤其是新型号生产初期的质量预测和控制.     

非线性模型误差方差估计的Bootstrap逼近和分布的收敛速度

本文对非线性模型误差方差的估计基于Jackknife虚拟值的Bootstrap方法建立了Bootstrap逼近,证明了逼近的相合性定理,得到了逼近的速度是o(n~(-1/2))。进一步,本文证明了误差方差估计的分布以理想的最佳速度o(n~(-1/2))收敛于正态分布的结论。     

误差为线性过程时回归模型的估计问题

对一类非线性回归模型及线性模型，在误差是一个弱平稳线性过程及适当的条件下，获得了估计量的r-阶平均相合性、完全相合性和渐近正态性。