Gerber-Shiu analysis in a perturbed risk model with dependence between claim sizes and interclaim times

In this paper, we consider a compound Poisson risk model perturbed by a Brownian motion. We construct the bivariate cumulative distribution function of the claim size and interclaim time by Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern copula. The integro-differential equations and the Laplace transforms for the Gerber-Shiu functions are obtained. We also show that the Gerber-Shiu functions satisfy some defective renewal equations. For exponential claims, some explicit expressions are obtained, and numerical examples for the ruin probabilities are also given.     

Ruin probability and time of ruin with a proportional reinsurance threshold strategy

In this paper, we present a threshold proportional reinsurance strategy and we analyze the effect on some solvency measures: ruin probability and time of ruin. This dynamic reinsurance strategy assumes a retention level that is not constant and depends on the level of the surplus. In a model with inter-occurrence times being generalized Erlang(n)-distributed, we obtain the integro-differential equation for the Gerber?CShiu function. Then, we present the solution for inter-occurrence times exponentially distributed and claim amount phase-type(N). Some examples for exponential and phase-type(2) claim amount are presented. Finally, we show some comparisons between threshold reinsurance and proportional reinsurance.     

Two parallel insurance lines with simultaneous arrivals and risks correlated with inter-arrival times

We investigate an insurance risk model that consists of two reserves which receive income at fixed rates. Claims are being requested at random epochs from each reserve and the interclaim times are generally distributed. The two reserves are coupled in the sense that at a claim arrival epoch, claims are being requested from both reserves and the amounts requested are correlated. In addition, the claim amounts are correlated with the time elapsed since the previous claim arrival.We focus on the probability that this bivariate reserve process survives indefinitely. The infinite-horizon survival problem is shown to be related to the problem of determining the equilibrium distribution of a random walk with vector-valued increments with ‘reflecting’ boundary. This reflected random walk is actually the waiting time process in a queueing system dual to the bivariate ruin process.Under assumptions on the arrival process and the claim amounts, and using Wiener–Hopf factorization with one parameter, we explicitly determine the Laplace–Stieltjes transform of the survival function, c.q., the two-dimensional equilibrium waiting time distribution.Finally, the bivariate transforms are evaluated for some examples, including for proportional reinsurance, and the bivariate ruin functions are numerically calculated using an efficient inversion scheme.     

On the compound Poisson risk model with dependence based on a generalized Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copula

In this paper we consider an extension to the classical compound Poisson risk model in which we introduce a dependence structure between the claim amounts and the interclaim time. This structure is embedded via a generalized Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copula. In this framework, we derive the Laplace transform of the Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty function. An explicit expression for the Laplace transform of the time of ruin is given for exponential claim sizes.     

On the moments of the time to ruin in dependent Sparre Andersen models with emphasis on Coxian interclaim times

The structural properties of the moments of the time to ruin are studied in dependent Sparre Andersen models. The moments of the time to ruin may be viewed as generalized versions of the Gerber–Shiu function. It is shown that structural properties of the Gerber–Shiu function hold also for the moments of the time to ruin. In particular, the moments continue to satisfy defective renewal equations. These properties are discussed in detail in the model of Willmot and Woo (2012), which has Coxian interclaim times and arbitrary time-dependent claim sizes. Structural quantities needed to determine the moments of the time to ruin are specified under this model. Numerical examples illustrating the methodology are presented.     

On a risk model with stochastic premiums income and dependence between income and loss

Labbé and Sendova (2009) [9] consider a compound Poisson risk model with stochastic premiums income. In this paper, we extend their model by assuming that there exists a specific dependence structure among the claim sizes, interclaim times and premium sizes. Assume that the distributions of the premium sizes and interclaim times are controlled by the claim sizes. When the individual premium sizes are exponentially distributed, the Laplace transforms and defective renewal equations for the (Gerber-Shiu) discounted penalty functions are obtained. When the individual premium sizes have rational Laplace transforms, we show that the Laplace transforms for the discounted penalty functions can also be obtained.     

The Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function in the risk process with phase-type interclaim times

In this paper, we consider the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function for the Sparre Anderson risk process in which the interclaim times have a phase-type distribution. By the Markov property of a joint process composed of the risk process and the underlying Markov process, we provide a new approach to prove the systems of integro-differential equations for the Gerber-Shiu functions. Closed form expressions for the Gerber-Shiu functions are obtained when the claim amount distribution is from the rational family. Finally we compute several numerical examples intended to illustrate the main results.     

Ruin probabilities in the discrete time renewal risk model

In this paper, we study the discrete time renewal risk model, an extension to Gerber’s compound binomial model. Under the framework of this extension, we study the aggregate claim amount process and both finite-time and infinite-time ruin probabilities. For completeness, we derive an upper bound and an asymptotic expression for the infinite-time ruin probabilities in this risk model. Also, we demonstrate that the proposed extension can be used to approximate the continuous time renewal risk model (also known as the Sparre Andersen risk model) as Gerber’s compound binomial model has been proposed as a discrete-time version of the classical compound Poisson risk model. This allows us to derive both numerical upper and lower bounds for the infinite-time ruin probabilities defined in the continuous time risk model from their equivalents under the discrete time renewal risk model. Finally, the numerical algorithm proposed to compute infinite-time ruin probabilities in the discrete time renewal risk model is also applied in some of its extensions.     

Surplus analysis for a class of Coxian interclaim time distributions with applications to mixed Erlang claim amounts

Gerber-Shiu analysis with the generalized penalty function proposed by Cheung et al. (in press-a) is considered in the Sparre Andersen risk model with a K_n family distribution for the interclaim time. A defective renewal equation and its solution for the present Gerber-Shiu function are derived, and their forms are natural for analysis which jointly involves the time of ruin and the surplus immediately prior to ruin. The results are then used to find explicit expressions for various defective joint and marginal densities, including those involving the claim causing ruin and the last interclaim time before ruin. The case with mixed Erlang claim amounts is considered in some detail.     

阈红利边界下理赔时间间隔与理赔额相依的风险模型

考虑阈红利边界下理赌时间间隔与理赔额相依的风险模型.首先给出了该模型的Gerber- Shiu函数满足的积分.微分方程及更新方程,然后利用Laplace变换及复合几何分布函数得到了Gerber-Shiu函数的确切表达式.     

Discounted Aggregate Claim Costs Until Ruin in the Discrete-Time Renewal Risk Model

In this paper, we focus on analyzing the relationship between the discounted aggregate claim costs until ruin and ruin-related quantities including the time of ruin. To facilitate the evaluation of quantities of our interest as an approximation to the ones in the continuous case, discrete-time renewal risk model with certain dependent structure between interclaim times and claim amounts is considered. Furthermore, to provide explicit expressions for various moment-based joint probabilities, a fairly general class of distributions, namely the discrete Coxian distribution, is used for the interclaim times. Also, we assume a combination of geometrics claim size with arbitrary interlciam time distribution to derive a nice expression for the Gerber-Shiu type function involving the discounted aggregate claims until ruin. Consequently, the results are applied to evaluate some interesting quantities including the covariance between the discounted aggregate claim costs until ruin and the discounted claim causing ruin given that ruin occurs.     

On the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function in the Sparre Andersen model with an arbitrary interclaim time distribution

In this paper, we consider the Sparre Andersen risk model with an arbitrary interclaim time distribution and a fairly general class of distributions for the claim sizes. Via a two-step procedure which involves a combination of a probabilitic and an analytic argument, an explicit expression is derived for the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function, subject to some restrictions on its form. A special case of Sparre Andersen risk models is then further analyzed, whereby the claim sizes’ distribution is assumed to be a mixture of exponentials. Finally, a numerical example follows to determine the impact on various ruin related quantities of assuming a heavy-tail distribution for the interclaim times.     

Pricing of Spread Options on a Bivariate Jump Market and Stability to Model Risk

Abstract

We study the pricing of spread options and we obtain a Margrabe-type formula for a bivariate jump-diffusion model. Moreover, we study the robustness of the price to model risk, in the sense that we consider two types of bivariate jump-diffusion models: one allowing for infinite activity small jumps and one not. In the second model, an adequate continuous component describes the small variation of prices. We illustrate our computations by several examples.     

On the absolute ruin problem in a Sparre Andersen risk model with constant interest

In this paper, we extend the work of Mitric and Sendova (2010), which considered the absolute ruin problem in a risk model with debit and credit interest, to renewal and non-renewal structures. Our first results apply to MAP processes, which we later restrict to the Sparre Andersen renewal risk model with interclaim times that are generalized Erlang (n) distributed and claim amounts following a Matrix-Exponential (ME) distribution (see for e.g. Asmussen and O’Cinneide (1997)). Under this scenario, we present a general methodology to analyze the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function defined at absolute ruin, as a solution of high-order linear differential equations with non-constant coefficients. Closed-form solutions for some absolute ruin related quantities in the generalized Erlang (2) case complement the results obtained under the classical risk model by Mitric and Sendova (2010).     

On the discrete-time compound renewal risk model with dependence

In this paper, we study the discrete-time renewal risk model with dependence between the claim amount random variable and the interclaim time random variable. We consider several dependence structures between the claim amount random variable and the interclaim time random variable. Recursive formulas are derived for the probability mass function and the moments of the total claim amount over a fixed period of time. In the context of ruin theory, explicit expressions for the expected penalty (Gerber-Shiu) function are derived for special cases. We also discuss how the discrete-time compound renewal risk model with dependence can be used to approximate the corresponding continuous time compound renewal risk model with dependence. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate different topics discussed in the paper.     

Absolute ruin in the compound Poisson model with credit and debit interests and liquid reserves

In this paper, we study the absolute ruin probability in the compound Poisson model with credit and debit interests and liquid reserves. At first, we derive a system of integro‐differential equations with certain boundary conditions for the Gerber–Shiu function. Then, applying these results, we obtain asymptotical formula of the absolute ruin probability for subexponentially claims. Furthermore, when the claims are exponentially distributed, we obtain the explicit expressions for the Gerber–Shiu function and the exact solution for the absolute ruin probability. Finally, we discuss the absolute ruin probability by using the Gerber–Shiu function when debit interest is varying. In the case of exponential individual claim, we give the explicit expressions for the Gerber–Shiu function. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

复合Poisson-geometric风险模型下第n次索赔时的破产概率研究

在复合Poisson-geometric风险模型下,通过构造一个特殊的Gerber-Shiu函数,推导出此风险模型下Gerber-Shiu函数满足的更新方程,破产时刻和直到破产时的索赔次数的联合密度函数,得到了第n次索赔时的破产概率的数学表达式．     

On asymptotic equivalence among the solutions of some defective renewal equations

We obtain some sufficient conditions for mutually asymptotic equivalence among solutions of some defective renewal equations, where the related distributions can be heavy-tailed but are not required to be subexponential. Particularly, the paper make clearer the asymptotically equivalent relations between the ruin probability and the function introduced by Gerber et al. [H.U. Gerber, M.J. Goovaerts, and R. Kaas, On the probability and severity of ruin, Astin Bull., 17:151–163, 1987] for the standard renewal risk model. The results we obtain modify, improve, and extend some existing results.     

常利率下索赔相依风险模型的破产赤字

研究了常利率下具有相依索赔结构的Sparre Andersen风险模型的破产问题,其中理赔间隔时间与随后的理赔数额具有特殊相依结构.利用递归方法,得到该模型破产赤字分布的上界估计,并且考察了参数为指数函数的例子,加深对定理中破产赤字上界的了解.     

The perturbed compound Poisson risk model with constant interest and a threshold dividend strategy

In this paper, we consider the compound Poisson risk model perturbed by diffusion with constant interest and a threshold dividend strategy. Integro-differential equations with certain boundary conditions for the moment-generation function and the nth moment of the present value of all dividends until ruin are derived. We also derive integro-differential equations with boundary conditions for the Gerber-Shiu functions. The special case that the claim size distribution is exponential is considered in some detail.