Three fuzzy goal programming models for index portfolios

Studies show that most actively managed mutual funds struggle to beat the market, driving an increase in the popularity of index investing. Index investing instruments, including index funds and Exchange-traded Funds, aim to track market performance. This study pursues both tracking error minimization and excess return maximization, two conflicting objectives, to construct an index portfolio. In the real-world financial environment, the desires and expectations of decision makers are generally imprecise. This study applies fuzzy theory to deal with imprecise objectives. This study represents minimizing tracking error and maximizing excess return as ‘fuzzy goals’ to improve traditional goal programming, which is suitable for handling multiple conflicting objectives, but subject to establishing crisp goals. Three fuzzy goal programming (FGP) models that track indexes are compared and discussed, and the results show that through certain membership functions and tracking models, an index tracking portfolio with a tracking error lower than the 0050 index fund, and a similar excess return to 0050 index fund can be constructed using additive type FGP. max-min type FGP underperforms the additive type FGP in index fund construction.     

A robust nonparametric approach to evaluate and explain the performance of mutual funds

The topic of the measurement of mutual funds’ performance is receiving an increasing interest both from an applied and a theoretical perspective. Beside the traditional financial literature, a growing body of studies has started to apply the tools of frontier analysis for benchmarking comparisons in portfolio analysis. Our paper contributes to this literature proposing a robust nonparametric approach for analysing mutual funds. It is based on the concept of order-m frontier [Cazals, C., Florens, J.P., Simar, L., 2002. Nonparametric frontier estimation: A robust approach. Journal of Econometrics 106, 1–25] and on a probabilistic approach [Daraio, C., Simar, L., 2005. Introducing environmental variables in nonparametric frontier models: A probabilistic approach. Journal of Productivity Analysis 24 (1), 93–121] to find out the factors explaining mutual funds’ performance. Within this framework, a decomposition of conditional efficiency is proposed, and its usefulness for economic interpretation analysed. Our approach is illustrated by using US mutual funds data, grouped for category by objective. Economies of scale, slacks and market risks are investigated. A comparison of traditional, nonparametric and robust performance measures is also offered.     

Semi-Absolute Deviation Rule for Mutual Funds Portfolio Selection

Investors consider mutual funds as an interesting investment opportunity. This is the result of the impressive growth shown by these financial products in recent times. In this paper we propose a mixed integer linear programming model dealing with the portfolio selection problem on mutual funds in a single period investment strategy. We propose some heuristics and compare their performance. According to the results obtained on real instances, heuristics have proved to be effective and efficient.     

On the construction of mutual fund portfolios: A multicriteria methodology and an application to the Greek market of equity mutual funds

The evaluation of the performance of mutual funds (MFs) has been a very interesting research topic not only for researchers, but also for managers of financial, banking and investment institutions. In this paper, an integrated methodological framework for the evaluation of MF performance is proposed. The proposed methodology is based on the combination of discrete and continuous multicriteria decision aid (MCDA) methods for MFs selection and composition. In the first stage of the analysis the UTADIS MCDA method is employed in order to develop mutual fund's performance models supporting the selection of a small set of MFs, which will compose the final portfolios. In the second stage, a goal programming model is employed to determine the proportion of the selected MFs in the final portfolios. The methodology is applied on data of Greek MFs over the period 1999–2001 with encouraging results.     

Leaders and followers in mutual funds: A dynamic Bayesian approach

This article proposes a dynamic Bayesian framework to analyze the leadership relationships between mutual funds. To this end, a two‐step procedure is proposed. First, a Bayesian rolling window based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model is used to estimate the evolution of mutual funds' market exposure over time. Then, a vector autoregressive (VAR) model is used to analyze the leader‐follower relationship between pair of mutual funds. Several leadership measures are studied. An application to Spanish mutual funds is carried out. In addition, the study examines the determining factors of mutual fund leadership.     

基于极大熵理论的评价指标组合赋权模型

针对目前指标组合赋权方法中存在的赋权过于"僵硬"的通病,基于Jaynes E T提出的最大信息熵原理,构建了一种新的指标赋权模型.在模型中,以客观因素为目标规划主体,将主观因素转化为目标规划的约束条件,实现了主客观条件的融合.实例分析表明方法准确、有效,具有较高的应用价值.     

A sequential goal programming model with fuzzy hierarchies to sustainable and responsible portfolio selection problem

Sustainable and responsible (SR) investors have to address two criteria types: both financial ones and those pertaining to sustainability and social responsibility. We present a comfortable tool for SR investors that allow them to express their preferences at two levels: first, by comparing criteria of the same nature, and second, via the comparison between the two superior level criteria (the financial and the SR objectives). Owing to the difficulty involved in determining a precise preference between the conflicting objectives, we address this by goal programming with fuzzy hierarchies (GPFH) modelling. This methodology is a modification of the lexicographic GP approach whereby the relative importance relations among the criteria are modelled by fuzzy relations. The proposed sequential handling for the SR portfolios selection provides information to the investors on the best result they can achieve in regard to their goals. An application to a set of UK-SR mutual funds is presented.     

A bicriteria solid transportation problem with fixed charge under stochastic environment

In this paper, a bicriteria solid transportation problem with stochastic parameters is investigated. Three mathematical models are constructed for the problem, including expected value goal programming model, chance-constrained goal programming model and dependent-chance goal programming model. A hybrid algorithm is also designed based on the random simulation algorithm and tabu search algorithm to solve the models. At last, some numerical experiments are presented to show the performance of models and algorithm.     

解线性目标规划的《量化优先因子法》—基于LP过程的算法

本文提出一种解线性目标规划及整数线性目标规划的《量化优先因子法》,即把目标规划中表示优先等级的优先因子 pl( l=1 ,2 ,… ,L)用能从数量级上刻划优先因子 Pl Pl+ 1的本质特征的数来表示 ,进而用 SAS/OR软件包中解线性规划的 LP过程即可求解此线性目标规划 .通过实例给出算法与用 LP过程求解的程序 .     

Goal programming with linear fractional criteria

In this paper we present an extension of goal programming to include linear fractional criteria. The extension forms a natural link between goal programming (GP) and multiple objective linear fractional programming (MOLFP).     

Fuzzy goal programming for multiobjective transportation problems

Several fuzzy approaches can be considered for solving multiobjective transportation problem. This paper presents a fuzzy goal programming approach to determine an optimal compromise solution for the multiobjective transportation problem. We assume that each objective function has a fuzzy goal. Also we assign a special type of nonlinear (hyperbolic) membership function to each objective function to describe each fuzzy goal. The approach focuses on minimizing the negative deviation variables from 1 to obtain a compromise solution of the multiobjective transportation problem. We show that the proposed method and the fuzzy programming method are equivalent. In addition, the proposed approach can be applied to solve other multiobjective mathematical programming problems. A numerical example is given to illustrate the efficiency of the proposed approach.     

A fuzzy goal programming approach to multi-objective optimization problem with priorities

In goal programming problem, the general equilibrium and optimization are often two conflicting factors. This paper proposes a generalized varying-domain optimization method for fuzzy goal programming (FGP) incorporating multiple priorities. According to the three possible styles of the objective function, the varying-domain optimization method and its generalization are proposed. This method can generate the results consistent with the decision-maker (DM)’s expectation, that the goal with higher priority may have higher level of satisfaction. Using this new method, it is a simple process to balance between the equilibrium and optimization, and the result is the consequence of a synthetic decision between them. In contrast to the previous method, the proposed method can make that the higher priority achieving the higher satisfactory degree. To get the global solution of the nonlinear nonconvex programming problem resulting from the original problem and the varying-domain optimization method, the co-evolutionary genetic algorithms (GAs), called GENOCOPIII, is used instead of the SQP method. In this way the DM can get the optimum of the optimization problem. We demonstrate the power of this proposed method by illustrative examples.     

Fractional Goal Programming for Fuzzy Solid Transportation Problem with Interval Cost

In this paper, we study a solid transportation problem with interval cost using fractional goal programming approach (FGP). In real life applications of the FGP problem with multiple objectives, it is difficult for the decision-maker(s) to determine the goal value of each objective precisely as the goal values are imprecise, vague, or uncertain. Therefore, a fuzzy goal programming model is developed for this purpose. The proposed model presents an application of fuzzy goal programming to the solid transportation problem. Also, we use a special type of non-linear (hyperbolic) membership functions to solve multi-objective transportation problem. It gives an optimal compromise solution. The proposed model is illustrated by using an example.     

Solution of goal programming models using a basic taboo search algorithm

Goal programming is a very powerful technique for solving multiple objective optimisation problems. It has been successfully applied to numerous diverse real life problems. In this paper a Taboo search based method is developed to solve preemptive goal programming problems. The method can easily be applied to any kind of preemptive goal programming problems.     

基金风险改变了投资者的业绩敏感程度吗？——基于基金业绩波动与资金净流量关系的实证研究

本文利用我国2005年至2011年期间开放式基金的面板数据,研究了基金业绩波动对投资者业绩敏感程度的影响。在验证了基金资金净流量与基金业绩的正相关关系后,实证研究发现:(1)基金业绩波动降低了投资者对基金业绩的敏感程度:基金业绩波动越大,相同业绩提升带来的资金净流量越少;(2)对于不同业绩类型的基金,业绩波动对基金“业绩—资金净流量”关系的反向影响程度也有所不同:这一影响主要体现在绩劣基金中,中等业绩基金次之,在明星基金中反而体现为正向影响。     

VaR约束下均值-方差模型在基金资产配置的应用

随着我国开放式基金的迅猛发展以及证券市场的波动，如何识别和控制基金风险这一问题越显重要。VaR模型是一种有效的风险计量和管理工具，本文刻划VaR约束下均值-方差模型及其优化模型，并运用基于VaR约束下的均值——方差模型，定量地分析投资基金的投资组合收益和风险，提出开放式基金最优资产配置，使投资组合收益最大。     

Nonlinear goal programming using multi-objective genetic algorithms

Goal programming is a technique often used in engineering design activities primarily to find a compromised solution which will simultaneously satisfy a number of design goals. In solving goal programming problems, classical methods reduce the multiple goal-attainment problem into a single objective of minimizing a weighted sum of deviations from goals. This procedure has a number of known difficulties. First, the obtained solution to the goal programming problem is sensitive to the chosen weight vector. Second, the conversion to a single-objective optimization problem involves additional constraints. Third, since most real-world goal programming problems involve nonlinear criterion functions, the resulting single-objective optimization problem becomes a nonlinear programming problem, which is difficult to solve using classical optimization methods. In tackling nonlinear goal programming problems, although successive linearization techniques have been suggested, they are found to be sensitive to the chosen starting solution. In this paper, we pose the goal programming problem as a multi-objective optimization problem of minimizing deviations from individual goals and then suggest an evolutionary optimization algorithm to find multiple Pareto-optimal solutions of the resulting multi-objective optimization problem. The proposed approach alleviates all the above difficulties. It does not need any weight vector. It eliminates the need of having extra constraints needed with the classical formulations. The proposed approach is also suitable for solving goal programming problems having nonlinear criterion functions and having a non-convex trade-off region. The efficacy of the proposed approach is demonstrated by solving a number of nonlinear goal programming test problems and an engineering design problem. In all problems, multiple solutions (each corresponding to a different weight vector) to the goal programming problem are found in one single simulation run. The results suggest that the proposed approach is an effective and practical tool for solving real-world goal programming problems.     

Solving multi-level multi-objective linear programming problems through fuzzy goal programming approach

In this paper, two new algorithms are presented to solve multi-level multi-objective linear programming (ML-MOLP) problems through the fuzzy goal programming (FGP) approach. The membership functions for the defined fuzzy goals of all objective functions at all levels are developed in the model formulation of the problem; so also are the membership functions for vectors of fuzzy goals of the decision variables, controlled by decision makers at the top levels. Then the fuzzy goal programming approach is used to achieve the highest degree of each of the membership goals by minimizing their deviational variables and thereby obtain the most satisfactory solution for all decision makers.     

Priority based fuzzy goal programming technique to fractional fuzzy goals using dynamic programming

This paper describes the use of preemptive priority based fuzzy goal programming method to fuzzy multiobjective fractional decision making problems under the framework of multistage dynamic programming. In the proposed approach, the membership functions for the defined objective goals with fuzzy aspiration levels are determined first without linearizing the fractional objectives which may have linear or nonlinear forms. Then the problem is solved recursively for achievement of the highest membership value (unity) by using priority based goal programming methodology at each decision stages and thereby identifying the optimal decision in the present decision making arena. A numerical example is solved to represent potentiality of the proposed approach.     

A note on chance constrained programming with fuzzy coefficients

This paper deals with nonlinear chance constrained programming as well as multiobjective case and goal programming with fuzzy coefficients occurring in not only constraints but also objectives. We also present a fuzzy simulation technique for handling fuzzy objective constraints and fuzzy goal constraints. Finally, a fuzzy simulation based genetic algorithm is employed to solve a numerical example.