Consensus QSAR models estimating acute toxicity to aquatic organisms from different trophic levels: algae,Daphnia and fish

ABSTRACT

We report new consensus models estimating acute toxicity for algae, Daphnia and fish endpoints. We assembled a large collection of 3680 public unique compounds annotated by, at least, one experimental value for the given endpoint. Support Vector Machine models were internally and externally validated following the OECD principles. Reasonable predictive performances were achieved (RMSE_ext = 0.56–0.78) which are in line with those of state-of-the-art models. The known structural alerts are compared with analysis of the atomic contributions to these models obtained using the ISIDA/ColorAtom utility. A benchmarking against existing tools has been carried out on a set of compounds considered more representative and relevant for the chemical space of the current chemical industry. Our model scored one of the best accuracy and data coverage.

Nevertheless, industrial data performances were noticeably lower than those on public data, indicating that existing models fail to meet the industrial needs. Thus, final models were updated with the inclusion of new industrial compounds, extending the applicability domain and relevance for application in an industrial context. Generated models and collected public data are made freely available.     

New Models to Predict the Acute and Chronic Toxicities of Representative Species of the Main Trophic Levels of Aquatic Environments

To assess the impact of chemicals on an aquatic environment, toxicological data for three trophic levels are needed to address the chronic and acute toxicities. The use of non-testing methods, such as predictive computational models, was proposed to avoid or reduce the need for animal models and speed up the process when there are many substances to be tested. We developed predictive models for Raphidocelis subcapitata, Daphnia magna, and fish for acute and chronic toxicities. The random forest machine learning approach gave the best results. The models gave good statistical quality for all endpoints. These models are freely available for use as individual models in the VEGA platform and for prioritization in JANUS software.     

QSAR models for P450 (2D6) substrate activity

Human Cytochrome P450 (CYP) is a large group of enzymes that possess an essential function in metabolising different exogenous and endogenous compounds. Humans have more than 50 different genes encoding CYP enzymes, among these a gene encoding for the CYP isoenzyme 2D6, a CYP able to metabolise drugs and other chemicals. A training set of 747 chemicals primarily based on in vivo human data for the CYP isoenzyme 2D6 was collected from the literature. QSAR models focusing on substrate/non-substrate activity were constructed by the use of MultiCASE, Leadscope and MDL quantitative structure–activity relationship (QSAR) modelling systems. They cross validated (leave-groups-out) with concordances of 71%, 81% and 82%, respectively. Discrete organic European Inventory of Existing Commercial Chemical Substances (EINECS) chemicals were screened to predict an approximate percentage of CYP 2D6 substrates. These chemicals are potentially present in the environment. The biological importance of the CYP 2D6 and the use of the software mentioned above were discussed.     

Qualitative and quantitative structure–activity relationship modelling for predicting blood-brain barrier permeability of structurally diverse chemicals

In this study, structure–activity relationship (SAR) models have been established for qualitative and quantitative prediction of the blood–brain barrier (BBB) permeability of chemicals. The structural diversity of the chemicals and nonlinear structure in the data were tested. The predictive and generalization ability of the developed SAR models were tested through internal and external validation procedures. In complete data, the QSAR models rendered ternary classification accuracy of >98.15%, while the quantitative SAR models yielded correlation (r²) of >0.926 between the measured and the predicted BBB permeability values with the mean squared error (MSE) <0.045. The proposed models were also applied to an external new in vitro data and yielded classification accuracy of >82.7% and r² > 0.905 (MSE < 0.019). The sensitivity analysis revealed that topological polar surface area (TPSA) has the highest effect in qualitative and quantitative models for predicting the BBB permeability of chemicals. Moreover, these models showed predictive performance superior to those reported earlier in the literature. This demonstrates the appropriateness of the developed SAR models to reliably predict the BBB permeability of new chemicals, which can be used for initial screening of the molecules in the drug development process.     

Development of an information-intensive structure–activity relationship model and its application to human respiratory chemical sensitizers

Structure–activity relationship (SAR) models are recognized as powerful tools to predict the toxicologic potential of new or untested chemicals and also provide insight into possible mechanisms of toxicity. Models have been based on physicochemical attributes and structural features of chemicals. We describe herein the development of a new SAR modeling algorithm called cat-SAR that is capable of analyzing and predicting chemical activity from divergent biological response data. The cat-SAR program develops chemical fragment-based SAR models from categorical biological response data (e.g. toxicologically active and inactive compounds). The database selected for model development was a published set of chemicals documented to cause respiratory hypersensitivity in humans. Two models were generated that differed only in that one model included explicate hydrogen containing fragments. The predictive abilities of the models were tested using leave-one-out cross-validation tests. One model had a sensitivity of 0.94 and specificity of 0.87 yielding an overall correct prediction of 91%. The second model had a sensitivity of 0.89, specificity of 0.95 and overall correct prediction of 92%. The demonstrated predictive capabilities of the cat-SAR approach, together with its modeling flexibility and design transparency, suggest the potential for its widespread applicability to toxicity prediction and for deriving mechanistic insight into toxicologic effects.     

Repeatability analysis of the Tetrahymena pyriformis population growth impairment assay

Assessments necessary to ensure the safety of both humans and the environment are challenged by the sheer number of chemicals in use today. Chemical legislation, such as REACH, aims to use alternative methods to reduce the reliance on in vivo animal testing. Consequently, databases such as the TETRATOX database, containing data from the Tetrahymena pyriformis population growth impairment assay, have been used extensively to develop computational models which aid in priority setting and initial hazard assessments. To use any toxicological data, an assessment of quality is required. One important aspect of quality is the repeatability of the assay. This study considered TETRATOX assay data for 85 structurally and mechanistically diverse compounds. The repeatability of replicate determinations was assessed and factors relating to repeatability are discussed. Despite the majority of compounds demonstrating excellent repeatability, it was found that the mechanism of action is likely to be a modulating factor, with compounds acting via electrophilic mechanisms being more likely to exhibit reduced repeatability than those acting via narcotic mechanisms. It is evident from this study that the TETRATOX assay is a robust and highly repeatable assay, suitable for use in toxicological modelling studies and priority setting.     

Modelling of ready biodegradability based on combined public and industrial data sources

ABSTRACT

The European Registration, Evaluation, Authorization and Restriction of Chemical Substances Regulation, requires marketed chemicals to be evaluated for Ready Biodegradability (RB), considering in silico prediction as valid alternative to experimental testing. However, currently available models may not be relevant to predict compounds of industrial interest, due to accuracy and applicability domain restriction issues. In this work, we present a new and extended RB dataset (2830 compounds), issued by the merging of several public data sources. It was used to train classification models, which were externally validated and benchmarked against already-existing tools on a set of 316 compounds coming from the industrial context. New models showed good performances in terms of predictive power (Balance Accuracy (BA) = 0.74–0.79) and data coverage (83–91%). The Generative Topographic Mapping approach identified several chemotypes and structural motifs unique to the industrial dataset, highlighting for which chemical classes currently available models may have less reliable predictions. Finally, public and industrial data were merged into global dataset containing 3146 compounds. This is the biggest dataset reported in the literature so far, covering some chemotypes absent in the public data. Thus, predictive model developed on the Global dataset has larger applicability domain than the existing ones.     

Autoignition temperature: comprehensive data analysis and predictive models

ABSTRACT

Here we report a new predictive model for autoignition temperature (AIT), an important physical parameter widely used to assess potential safety hazards of combustible materials. Available structure-AIT data extracted from different sources were critically analysed. Support vector regression (SVR) models on different data subsets were built in order to identify a reliable compound set on which a realistic model could be built. This led to a selection of the dataset containing 875 compounds annotated with AIT values. The thereupon-based SVR model performs reasonably well in cross-validation with the determination coefficient r ² = 0.77 and mean absolute error MAE = 37.8°C. External validation on 20 industrial compounds missing in the training set confirmed its good predictive power (MAE = 28.7°C).     

Computer‐aided prediction of toxicity with substructure pattern and random forest

Toxicity of chemicals induced by different factors is an important consideration, especially during the drug research and development process. Thus, there is urgent need to develop computationally effective models that can predict the toxicity or adverse effects of chemicals for a specific class of chemicals. In this study, random forest (RF) was used to classify five toxicity data sets from Distributed Structure‐Searchable Toxicity database network, using substructure fingerprints calculated directly from simple molecular structure. Three model validation approaches, out‐of‐bag validation incorporated in RF, fivefold cross‐validation, and an independent validation set, were used for assessing the prediction capability of our models. The chemical space analysis of data sets was explored by multidimensional scaling plots, and outlying molecules were also detected by the proximity measure in RF. At the same time, the important substructure fingerprints, recognized by the RF technique, gave some insights into the structure features related to toxicity of chemicals. The results obtained showed that these in silico classification models with substructure patterns and RF are applicable for potential toxicity prediction of chemical compounds. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.