Managing transshipments in a multi-retailer system with approximate policies

Using the right transshipment policy is important when transshipments are exercised under demand uncertainty. Optimal transshipment policy can be quite complex in a multi-firm system as optimal actions depend on all system variables. Moreover, both how to select requested retailer and how to respond to requests are in question. We introduce simple, close-to-optimal heuristic transshipment policies for multiple retailers. We first show that heuristic policies may perform even better than self-optimal policy, which is explained by Braess’s paradox. Then we test the performances of various heuristics with respect to centrally optimal policy. When retailers can observe others’ inventory levels, more effective transshipments can be made. Otherwise, a random selection performs quite well. We also observe that although always-accept respond policy is quite close to centrally optimal in small systems, the performance of pairwise-optimal holdback levels to respond requests is more clear and consistent for larger systems.     

Managing inventory in a network: Performance bounds for simple policies

We consider the joint optimization of rebalancing/sourcing inventory on a graph. We focus on the lost-sales setting with customer induced relocations. Through a coupling analysis, we provide worst-case performance bounds, with tight instances, for policies commonly used in practice. We provide further insights on the performance of these policies and discuss cost regimes where they are effective.     

Cooperative advertising in a distribution channel with fairness concerns

Cooperative (co-op) advertising has been widely used in practice and employed as a strategy to improve the performance of a distribution channel. It is known from the existing models that co-op advertising could not achieve the channel coordination (i.e., maximize the total channel profit). In this paper, we consider a distribution channel consisting of a single manufacturer and a single retailer, and investigate the effect of the retailer’s fairness concerns. Applying the equilibrium analysis, we obtain the following results: (1) Channel coordination can be achieved if the retailer has fairness concerns and model parameters satisfy certain conditions. (2) Although both channel members become better off with co-op advertising if neither channel member has fairness concerns, we find situations where co-op advertising brings detrimental effects to the retailer if the retailer has fairness concerns. (3) The retailer’s fairness concerns may increase or decrease the equilibrium participation rate, the equilibrium advertising effort, and the equilibrium profit of the manufacturer and the whole channel. (4) We identify the conditions under which the effectiveness of co-op advertising can be improved or reduced by the retailer’s fairness concerns. As long as co-op advertising can bring extra profit to the manufacturer, the retailer’s fairness concerns could improve the effectiveness of the co-op advertising. (5) There exists a Pareto improvement for the profits of both the manufacturer and the retailer when a retailer without fairness concerns becomes fair-minded.     

A comparison of different quantity discount pricing policies in a two-echelon channel with stochastic and asymmetric demand information

In this paper, we study quantity discount pricing policies in a channel of one manufacturer and one retailer. The paper assumes that the channel faces a stochastic price-sensitive demand but the retailer can privately observe the realization of an uncertain demand parameter. The problem is analyzed as a Stackelberg game in which the manufacturer declares quantity discount pricing schemes to the retailer and then the retailer follows by selecting the retail price and associated quantity. Proposed in the paper are four quantity-discount pricing policies: “regular quantity discount”; “fixed percentage discount”; “incremental volume discount” and “fixed marginal-profit-rate discount”. Optimal solutions are derived, and numerical examples are presented to illustrate the efficiency of each discount policy.     

Managing vehicle breakdown incidents during urban distribution of a common product

This paper addresses a case in which a vehicle, member of a fleet distributing a single product, is immobilized while executing its distribution plan. Some active vehicles of the fleet are then rerouted to serve selected clients of the immobilized vehicle. We model this re-planning problem as a variation of the Team Orienteering Problem constraining all vehicle routes to an upper time, or distance, limit, and taking into account limited vehicle capacity. We propose an efficient heuristic to provide solutions in almost real-time. The heuristic progressively constructs new routes for each active vehicle, which may load additional product by visiting the warehouse or the immobilized vehicle. If appropriate, we solve this replenishment sub-problem by a fast labelling algorithm. We test the effectiveness of the proposed heuristic by comparing its solutions with those obtained by an appropriate Genetic Algorithm (GA) that yields high quality (but computationally expensive) results.     

Managing distribution changes in time series prediction

When a problem is modeled statistically, a single distribution model is usually postulated that is assumed to be valid for the entire space. Nonetheless, this practice may be somewhat unrealistic in certain application areas, in which the conditions of the process that generates the data may change; as far as we are aware, however, no techniques have been developed to tackle this problem.This article proposes a technique for modeling and predicting this change in time series with a view to improving estimates and predictions. The technique is applied, among other models, to the hypernormal distribution recently proposed. When tested on real data from a range of stock market indices the technique produces better results that when a single distribution model is assumed to be valid for the entire period of time studied.Moreover, when a global model is postulated, it is highly recommended to select the hypernormal distribution parameter in the same likelihood maximization process.     

Keep or return? Managing ordering and return policies in start-up companies

Start-up companies are considered an important factor in the success of a nation’s economy. We are interested in the decisions for long-term survival of these firms when they have considerable cash restrictions. In this paper we analyse several inventory control models to manage inventory purchasing and return policies. The Markov decision models are formulated for both established companies that look at maximising average profit and start-up companies that look at maximising their long-term survival probability. We contrast both objectives, and present properties of the policies and the survival probabilities. We find that start-up companies may need to be riskier if the return price is very low, but there is a period where a start-up firm becomes more cautious than an established company and there is a point, as it accumulates capital, where it starts behaving as an established firm. We compare the various models and give conditions under which their policies are equivalent.     

Managing supply chain backorders under vendor managed inventory: An incentive approach and empirical analysis

This paper shows how a manufacturer may use an incentive contract with a distributor under a VMI arrangement to gain market share. The manufacturer promises a distributor lower inventory levels in exchange for efforts by the distributor to convert potential lost sales due to stockouts to backorders. Data gathered from a third party provider of information services are then used to illustrate that this incentive arrangement may, at least implicitly, be employed in industry. Our data estimations show that when a manufacturer and distributor are operating under a VMI arrangement, lower inventory at the distributor is associated with a higher conversion rate of lost sales stockouts to backorders.     

Periodicity of pricing and marketing efforts in a distribution channel

Most research about cooperative (coop) advertising programs in channels relies on the assumption that manufacturers and retailers decide of pricing and marketing efforts simultaneously. This paper evaluates this central assumption and investigates the optimal periodicity (sequence of move) of pricing and marketing efforts (ME) decisions for a distribution channel. We develop a game theoretic model that accounts for pricing at each level of the channel, for the manufacturer’s ME mix strategies (a direct ME to consumers and coop advertising program offered to the retailer) and the retailer’s ME as well. We obtain solutions for a bilateral channel under different vertical interaction scenarios; when the channel is led by the manufacturer, the retailer or when channel members decide simultaneously of each of their marketing mix decisions (vertical Nash). We compare the effect of pricing and ME decision periodicity on outputs for each channel member. The main findings suggest that simultaneous decision-making of pricing and ME is optimal only for high enough levels of the manufacturer’s ME effects. For very highly effective marketing efforts, sequential play of pricing and ME allows channel members to implement equilibrium strategies and achieve maximum profits that would not be achieved with simultaneous decision-making. This highlights the importance of relaxing the simultaneous play assumption of pricing and ME in a distribution channel.     

An evaluation of inventory and transportation policies of a regional blood distribution system

Blood is a valuable but perishable community resource. Regional blood centers coordinate the blood drawing and inventory policies of the hospital blood banks in a region for more efficient use of the resource. This study used a simulation model to analyze the costs and effects of several different operational policies for a regional blood center. Simulated experiments were carried out in four areas: (1) increasing the amount of blood available, (2) changing the number of delivery vehicles, (3) comparing two types of inventory consignment policies (shipping blood to hospitals with a recall privilege and frequent redistribution of blood amongst regional hospitals) to a direct-sale, no-redistribution policy, and (4) examining the effect of sending fresher blood supplies as inventories to hospitals with lower probabilities of transfusion. The results of the third experiment are presented in detail. It was found that periodic redistribution of the regional inventory yielded lower expiration rates and lower shortage rates. The results of the other three experiments are presented briefly.     

Managing risks in information systems outsourcing: An approach to analyzing outsourcing risks and structuring incentive contracts

Information systems outsourcing is now almost standard practice for many companies. Outsourcing the information processing activities is a complex issue that entails considerable implications for the strategy of the firm. An important mechanism for managing the performance of outsourcing vendors is incentive contracts. But to develop an outsourcing contract the IS manager must quantify risks and benefits. However methods and tools for analyzing and quantifying outsourcing risks that IS managers have at their disposal are rudimentary. In this paper we offer a method and some mathematical models for analyzing risks and constructing incentive contracts for IS outsourcing. We are aware that most managers do not like to use mathematical models, consequently we have minimized the technical discussion and have illustrated how this model could be implemented using spreadsheet software for ease of use.     

Coordination in a distribution channel with decisions on the nature of incentives and share-dependency on pricing

We research the most suitable coordination mechanism for a distribution channel that is composed of one manufacturer and one retailer. Coordination is sought through a Revenue Sharing Contract (RSC) and the channel members have four coordination options in the menu: The share of revenues can be either set during the course of the game (endogenous) or preset before the game starts (exogenous); similarly, the retail price can be either share-dependent or share-independent. We seek to identify the coordination mechanism that leads to a profit-Pareto-improving situation with respect to a non-coordinated channel that implements a wholesale price contract. We compare players’ profits in the four coordination options and identify the mechanisms that firms prefer. Compared to the non-coordinated channel, our findings suggest that the manufacturer is always economically better-off through coordination, independent of the mechanism the channel uses. In contrast, the retailer is better-off with a share-dependent-pricing mechanism with the share set ex-post. The adoption of a preset share is conditionally beneficial to the parameter fraction. The economic value loss due to the double marginalization cannot be entirely eliminated, independent of the nature (exogenous or endogenous) of the sharing parameter and on the effect of RSC on pricing. In the comparison among coordination mechanisms, only a share-dependent-pricing mechanism with the share fixed over the course of the game is profit-Pareto-improving.     

Optimal production and distribution policies for a two-stage supply chain with imperfect items and price- and advertisement-sensitive demand: A note

This paper develops inventory models of a vendor–buyer supply chain with imperfect products and shortages based on Rad et al. (2014) and assumes that both the selling price and advertisements influence market demand. For this reason, the buyer mandates an advertising company for promoting the product. The objective of the paper is to determine pricing, advertising, lot-sizing, backordering, and shipment policies under independent and joint optimization. Numerical examples and a sensitivity analysis illustrate the proposed models. The results indicate that coordination becomes more and more advantageous for the supply chain as the sensitivity of demand to price or advertisements increases. Furthermore, as the uncertainty in item quality increases, the buyer reduces its demand to better match demand and supply.     

Uniform distribution of inventory positions in two-echelon periodic review systems with batch-ordering policies and interdependent demands

We consider a two-level inventory system in which there are one supplier and multiple retailers. The retailers face stochastic, interdependent customer demands. Each location employs a periodic-review (R,nQ), or lot-size reorder point, inventory policy. We show that each location's inventory positions are stationary and the stationary distribution is uniform and independent of any other's.     

Flow distribution and environmental dispersivity in a tidal wetland channel of rectangular cross-section

Presented in this paper is a theoretical analysis on flow distribution and environmental dispersivity for a tidal wetland channel of rectangular cross-section. The analytical solution of velocity distribution for the tidal wetland flow is obtained and illustrated with a limiting case covering the known solution for a steady wetland flow. By use of Aris’s method of concentration moments, the environmental dispersivity for a pulsed contaminant emission into the tidal wetland flow is rigorously derived and characterized in terms of dimensionless parameters. The solution is shown to be a generalization of the environmental dispersivity for the corresponding steady wetland flow, taking into account the combined action of periodic oscillation and cross-sectional variation of superficial flow as well as the difference between superficial mass dispersivities in the vertical and lateral directions. For a long time evolution of the contaminant cloud, the environmental dispersivity may approach a stable stage of oscillation with a period equal to the period of the superficial flow. The evolution of environmental dispersivity at the initial stage for the tidal wetland flow is shown not monotonous as it does in the case of the steady wetland flow. It is also found that the period of superficial flow has no impact on the necessary time for the environmental dispersivity to attain the stable stage.     

Compressible gas flow inside a cylindrical channel with a source on the channel axis

The article solves the problem of compressible nonviscous gas flow inside a cylindrical channel in the presence of a source on the channel axis. The cases considered include a supersonic spherically symmetrical source and a hypersonic source modeling jet flow. The numerical solution is obtained by two methods: one method treats the flow singularities (shocks, etc.) in explicit form, while the other uses the “through calculation” procedure. The solution is applied to analyze the physical flow pattern and the distribution of gasdynamic parameters in the shock layer, in particular on the channel walls. Translated from Obratnye Zadachi Estestvoznaniya, Published by Moscow University, Moscow, 1997, pp. 169–180.     

Transshipment incentive contracts in a multi-level supply chain

Transshipments within a supply chain can be difficult to implement as the costs and benefits are often incurred by different parties. This difficulty becomes even more problematic when the costs and benefits are not completely known by all parties. The primary purpose of this paper is to introduce the role of asymmetric information into the design of supply chain transshipment contracts. Using a representative supply chain from within the soft drink industry as an example, a multi-level contracting framework is developed that aligns incentives to encourage transshipments and improve performance in the absence of all parties having full information. Analysis of the proposed framework suggests that, even if a transshipment is likely to be unprofitable to the transshipping dyad, it may still be best for the entire supply chain. Moreover, overall supply chain inventories with transshipments do not necessarily increase relative to the no-transshipment case.     

Optimal admission policies for a finite queue with bursty arrivals

We consider a service system with a single server, a finite waiting room and two classes of customers with deterministic service time. Primary jobs arrive at random and are admitted whenever there is room in the system. At the beginning of each period, secondary jobs can be admitted from an infinite pool. A revenue is earned upon admission of each job, with the primary jobs bringing a higher contribution than the secondary jobs, the objective being to maximize the total discounted revenue over an infinite horizon. We model the system as a discrete time Markov decision process and show that a monotone admission policy is optimal when the number of primary arrivals has a fixed distribution. Moreover, when the primary arrival distribution varies with time according to a finite state Markov chain, we show that the optimal policy is conditionally monotone and that the numerical computation of an optimal policy, in this case, is substantially more difficult than in the case of stationary arrivals.This research was supported in part by the National Science Foundation, under grant ECS-8803061, while the author was at the University of Arizona.     

Optimal policies for a delay time model with postponed replacement

We develop a delay time model (DTM) to determine the optimal maintenance policy under a novel assumption: postponed replacement. Delay time is defined as the time lapse from the occurrence of a defect up until failure. Inspections can be performed to monitor the system state at non-negligible cost. Most works in the literature assume that instantaneous replacement is enforced as soon as a defect is detected at an inspection. In contrast, we relax this assumption and allow replacement to be postponed for an additional time period. The key motivation is to achieve better utilization of the system’s useful life, and reduce replacement costs by providing a sufficient time window to prepare maintenance resources. We model the preventive replacement cost as a non-increasing function of the postponement interval. We then derive the optimal policy under the modified assumption for a system with exponentially distributed defect arrival time, both for a deterministic delay time and for a more general random delay time. For the settings with a deterministic delay time, we also establish an upper bound on the cost savings that can be attained. A numerical case study is presented to benchmark the benefits of our modified assumption against conventional instantaneous replacement discussed in the literature.     

Optimal insurance with belief heterogeneity and incentive compatibility

People may evaluate risk differently in the insurance market. Motivated by this, we examine an optimal insurance problem allowing the insured and the insurer to have heterogeneous beliefs about loss distribution. To reduce ex post moral hazard, we follow Huberman et al. (1983) to assume that alternative insurance contracts satisfy the principle of indemnity and the incentive-compatible constraint. Under the assumption that the insurance premium is calculated by the expected value principle, we establish a necessary and sufficient condition for an optimal insurance solution and provide a practical scheme to improve any suboptimal insurance strategy under an arbitrary form of belief heterogeneity. By virtue of this condition, we explore qualitative properties of optimal solutions, and derive optimal insurance contracts explicitly for some interesting forms of belief heterogeneity. As a byproduct of this investigation, we find that Theorem 3.6 of Young (1999) is not completely true.