Question selection responding to information on customers from heterogeneous populations to select offers that maximize expected profit

The advent of Internet broking pages allows customers to ‘apply’ to a number of different companies at one time, leading to multiple offers made to a customer. The saturated condition of the personal financial products has led to falling ‘take’ rates. Financial institutions are trying to increase the ‘take’ rates of their personal financial products. Applicants for credit will have to provide information for risk assessment, which can be used to assess the probability of a customer accepting an offer. Interactive channels such as the Internet and telephone allow questions that are asked to depend on previous answers. The questions selected need to provide information to assess the probability of acceptance of a particular variant of financial product. In this paper, we investigate a model to predict the best offer to extend next to a customer based on the response for the questions, as well as the question selection itself.     

Hemivariational inequality approach to constrained problems for star-shaped admissible sets

The hemivariational inequality approach is applied to establish the existence of solutions to a large class of nonconvex constrained problems in a reflexive Banach space. The admissible sets are supposed to be star-shaped with respect to a ball. Due to a discontinuity property of the Clarke directional differential related to the corresponding distance functions, the proposed method permits one to attain the solution without passing to zero with the penalization parameter. Some applications to nonconvex constrained variational problems illustrate the theory.     

Modelling ship operational reliability over a mission under regular inspections

A ship is required to operate for a fixed mission period. Should a critical item of equipment fail at sea, the ship is subject to a costly event with potentially high risk to ship and crew. Given warning of a pending defect, the ship can try to return to port under its own power and thus attempt to avoid an at sea failure. Defects which lead to a failure are detected by inspection, and the task is to select the appropriate frequency of inspection to balance the number of occasions that a ship fails at sea and the number of preventive inspection based returns to port during a mission to correct a defect. The modelling entails using the delay time concept. Expressions are established for the expected number of preventive and failure returns over a mission, and an example given of a cost based balance to select an optimal inspection period. Although addressing ship reliability, the model has relevance to the mission reliability of any repairable equipment with remote main repair facilities.     

快递企业航空货运网络的构建

快递业竞争激烈,构建高效合理的航空货运网络是快递企业提高竞争力的重要手段。“枢纽—辐射”式航空货运网络是整合航空快递资源、提高航空快递资源利用效率、提高快递企业竞争力的有效模式。本文以降低航空快递网络成本、加快航空快递处理时间为目标,从航空快递网络枢纽的选取、指派关系的确定、枢纽个数的选择三个方面研究了航空快递网络模型建立问题,选用遗传算法求解不同枢纽个数下航空快递网络的运输成本,并据此进行枢纽的选取,运用重力模型法进行指派关系的确定,在此基础上运用超效率DEA模型确定枢纽个数。接着,以包含17个节点的顺丰航空快递网络的规划为例,对本文所提出的模型和算法进行了验证,验证结果证实了模型的合理性。本文的研究为快递企业构建航空货运网络提供了科学实用的方法,该方法的使用可以降低航空货运成本,提高效率,从而提高快递企业的竞争力。     

The Design of Routes,Service Frequencies,and Schedules for a Municipal Bus Undertaking: A Case Study

This paper describes a case study of the reorganization of a municipal bus undertaking. The terms of reference were to consider reorganizing the route structure, to advise on frequencies to operate on the chosen routes, to compile timetables, and to design bus schedules so that the recommended system could be implemented with the minimum number of active buses. Theoretically, all of these variables can interact and one global model should be used to optimize the entire system simultaneously. In practice, the components of this problem had to be uncoupled and tackled separately. An heuristic model designed to provide a "good" route network was developed. Service frequencies were allocated to routes so that a measure of service to passengers was maximized. Bus timetables were compiled using conventional methods and a linear programming model used to assign individual buses to journeys. A new scheme based on the recommendations of the study has been implemented. It is expected that it will reduce the annual operating deficit by [pound]35,000 without appreciably decreasing the overall level of service offered.     

On the properties of orthorecursive expansions with respect to subspaces

In a Hilbert space, for orthorecursive expansions with respect to closed subspaces, we establish a criterion for expansions of elements of a certain finite-dimensional subspace with respect to a finite sequence of subspaces to coincide with the expanded elements. This implies a criterion for an element to be equal to its orthorecursive expansion with respect to a finite sequence of subspaces. We also obtain a number of results related to the best approximations of elements by partial sums of their orthorecursive expansions with respect to a sequence of finite-dimensional subspaces.     

The utility of returns to scale in DEA programming: An analysis of Michigan rural hospitals

In 1984, Banker, Charnes, and Cooper introduced the capability of using data envelopment analysis to assess increasing, decreasing, or constant returns to scale. This analysis would appear to make an important contribution to the health care field because of the regulatory environment within which the industry exists and the competition among hospitals for additional services and capacity. In many states, hospitals must submit a “certificate of need” to prove eligibility to add capacity or services. Agency administrators at the state level should analyze each hospital's production performance to determine the effectiveness of resource utilization. Residents of a state where hospitals are regulated need to know the effectiveness of agencies in allowing resources to be properly allocated to hospitals. Returns to scale analysis can help provide answers to these concerns. We examine Michigan rural hospitals and propose a simple, yet logical procedure for evaluating returns to scale for technically inefficient hospitals.     

Algebra at the Turn of the Century

At the turn of the century it seems to be appropriate to pause and to try to envision future possibilities. We want to discuss the prospects of algebra. To look into the future requires an understanding of the past, the longstanding aims, but also the difficulties which have been encountered. We are going to review part of the history of algebra in order to outline its present state. It is important to notice the missed opportunities and to analyze the reasons. To recognize the present possibilities requires to be aware of the tools which now are available and which may not yet have been used in an optimal way. We urge the reader to focus attention to the need for algebraic considerations in all parts of mathematics but also outside of mathematics. Of course, a view back should also strengthen the interest in classical open problems which now may be feasible to attack.This is a the written version of a lecture presented at the National Conference on Algebra VII, held in Beijing Normal University, October 1999.     

出租车司机社会贡献评价方法研究

出租车司机的社会贡献对于促进城市经济发展和社会进步具有重要的作用,评价出租车司机的社会贡献是激励出租车司机多做社会贡献的重要手段。为了评价出租车司机的社会贡献,本文提出了一种基于实际出租车运营数据的评价方法。本文设计了运营特性、重点区域、恶劣天气、大事件四个体现司机社会贡献的指标,以此构建了出租车司机社会贡献评价指标体系,进而选用了主观赋权法G1法和客观赋权法拉开档次法相结合的赋权方式对指标赋权,并选择四种评价信息集结方法建立了出租车司机社会贡献评价模型。最后,通过实际的出租车运营数据验证了本方法的可行性。本文为评价出租车司机社会贡献提供了一种研究思路和方法,并对政府政策的制定和企业策略的实施具有一定的启示。     

Superized Troesch complexes and cohomology for strict polynomial superfunctors

We adapt a construction due to Troesch to the category of strict polynomial superfunctors in order to construct complexes of injective objects whose cohomology is isomorphic to Frobenius twists of the (super)symmetric power functors. We apply these complexes to construct injective resolutions of the even and odd Frobenius twist functors, to investigate the structure of the Yoneda algebra of the Frobenius twist functor, and to compute other extension groups between strict polynomial superfunctors. By an equivalence of categories, this also provides cohomology calculations in the category of left modules over Schur superalgebras.     

Strategic commitment to price to stimulate downstream innovation in a supply chain

It is generally in a firm’s interest for its supply chain partners to invest in innovations. To the extent that these innovations either reduce the partners’ variable costs or stimulate demand for the end product, they will tend to lead to higher levels of output for all of the firms in the chain. However, in response to the innovations of its partners, a firm may have an incentive to opportunistically increase its own prices. The possibility of such opportunistic behavior creates a hold-up problem that leads supply chain partners to underinvest in innovation. Clearly, this hold-up problem could be eliminated by a pre-commitment to price. However, by making an advance commitment to price, a firm sacrifices an important means of responding to demand uncertainty. In this paper we examine the trade-off that is faced when a firm’s channel partner has opportunities to invest in either cost reduction or quality improvement, i.e. demand enhancement. Should it commit to a price in order to encourage innovation, or should it remain flexible in order to respond to demand uncertainty. We discuss several simple wholesale pricing mechanisms with respect to this trade-off.     

Rhombus filtrations and Rauzy algebras

Peach introduced rhombal algebras associated to quivers given by tilings of the plane by rhombi. We develop general techniques to analyze rhombal algebras, including a filtration by what we call rhombus modules. We introduce a way to relate the infinite-dimensional rhombal algebra corresponding to a complete tiling of the plane to finite-dimensional algebras corresponding to finite portions of the tiling. Throughout, we apply our general techniques to the special case of the Rauzy tiling, which is built in stages reflecting an underlying self-similarity. Exploiting this self-similar structure allows us to uncover interesting features of the associated finite-dimensional algebras, including some of the tree classes in the stable Auslander-Reiten quiver.     

A multivariate adaptive regression splines cutting plane approach for solving a two-stage stochastic programming fleet assignment model

The fleet assignment model assigns a fleet of aircraft types to the scheduled flight legs in an airline timetable published six to twelve weeks prior to the departure of the aircraft. The objective is to maximize profit. While costs associated with assigning a particular fleet type to a leg are easy to estimate, the revenues are based upon demand, which is realized close to departure. The uncertainty in demand makes it challenging to assign the right type of aircraft to each flight leg based on forecasts taken six to twelve weeks prior to departure. Therefore, in this paper, a two-stage stochastic programming framework has been developed to model the uncertainty in demand, along with the Boeing concept of demand driven dispatch to reallocate aircraft closer to the departure of the aircraft. Traditionally, two-stage stochastic programming problems are solved using the L-shaped method. Due to the slow convergence of the L-shaped method, a novel multivariate adaptive regression splines cutting plane method has been developed. The results obtained from our approach are compared to that of the L-shaped method, and the value of demand-driven dispatch is estimated.     

A Laboratory,Computer and Calculus Based Course in Mathematics

The paper describes the designing and testing of a laboratory, computer and calculus based course in mathematics. The laboratory is central to the course and stimulates in the student the need and desire to know more about mathematics. Further, it enables mathematics to be taught in a real world context. Computers are used to take the drudgery out of the mathematics and make it possible to attack real scientific and technical problems. This new approach to calculus is less formal and depends to a smaller extent upon prior mathematical training so that it appeals to a much wider audience. The proposed course, with its emphasis on laboratory measurements, is ideally suited to the exploration of numerical methods and their application to the calculation of derivatives, definite integrals and the solution of differential equations.     

The relevance of DEA benchmarking information and the Least-Distance Measure

Efficiency analysis is performed not only to estimate the current level of efficiency, but also to provide information on how to remove inefficiency, that is, to obtain benchmarking information. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) was developed in order to satisfy both objectives and the strength of its benchmarking analysis gives DEA a unique advantage over other methodologies of efficiency analysis. This study proposes the use of the Least-Distance Measure in order to obtain the shortest projection from the evaluated Decision Making Unit (DMU) to the strongly efficient production frontier, thus allowing an inefficient DMU to find the easiest way to improve its efficiency. In addition to producing reasonable benchmarking information, the proposed model provides efficiency values which satisfy the general requirements that every well-defined efficiency measure should meet.     

财政支农专项转移支付制度制定:矫正工商资本下乡异化行为

制定怎样的财政支农专项转移支付制度才能正确引导与矫正工商资本下乡行为？为了探索出能够有效矫正工商资本下乡异化行为的财政制度,文章采用动态博弈的方法剖析工商资本下乡企业的行为。经深入研究发现,国家财政支付制度的实施成效取决于分配制度(“勉励”还是“嘉奖”)及工商资本下乡企业的发展阶段。随着企业的逐渐壮大,在政策机制中融入“嘉奖”制度较事后的“勉励”制度,对于发展农业提升企业利益与反哺农民改善民生的两种行为,可更好的引导工商资本下乡正确与合理的分配资金。     

Optimally Dense Packings of Hyperbolic Space

In previous work, a probabilistic approach to controlling difficulties of density in hyperbolic space led to a workable notion of optimal density for packings of bodies. In this paper we extend an ergodic theorem of Nevo to provide an appropriate definition of those packings to be considered optimally dense. Examples are given to illustrate various aspects of the density problem, in particular the shift in emphasis from the analysis of individual packings to spaces of packings.     

Modeling customer impatience in a newsboy problem with time-sensitive shortages

Customers across all stages of the supply chain often respond negatively to inventory shortages. One approach to modeling customer responses to shortages in the inventory control literature is time-dependent partial backlogging. Partial backlogging refers to the case in which a customer will backorder shortages with some probability, or will otherwise solicit the supplier’s competitors to fulfill outstanding shortages. If the backorder rate (i.e., the probability that a customer elects to backorder shortages) is assumed to be dependent on the supplier’s backorder replenishment lead-time, then shortages are said to be represented as time-dependent partial backlogging. This paper explores various backorder rate functions in a single period stochastic inventory problem in an effort to characterize a diversity of customer responses to shortages. We use concepts from utility theory to formally classify customers in terms of their willingness to wait for the supplier to replenish shortages. Under mild assumptions, we verify the existence of a unique optimal solution that corresponds to each customer type. Sensitivity analysis experiments are conducted in order to compare the optimal actions associated with each customer type under a variety of conditions. Additionally, we introduce the notion of expected value of customer patience information (EVCPI), and then conduct additional sensitivity analyses to determine the most and least opportune conditions for distinguishing between customer behaviors.     

Local limit theorems for multiplicative free convolutions

This paper describes the quality of convergence to an infinitely divisible law relative to free multiplicative convolution. We show that convergence in distribution for products of identically distributed and infinitesimal free random variables implies superconvergence of their probability densities to the density of the limit law. Superconvergence to the marginal law of free multiplicative Brownian motion at a specified time is also studied. In the unitary case, the superconvergence to free Brownian motion and that to the Haar measure are shown to be uniform over the entire unit circle, implying further a free entropic limit theorem and a universality result for unitary free Lévy processes. Finally, the method of proofs on the positive half-line gives rise to a new multiplicative Boolean to free Bercovici–Pata bijection.     

Factorisation of Littlewood-Richardson coefficients

The hive model is used to show that the saturation of any essential Horn inequality leads to the factorisation of Littlewood-Richardson coefficients. The proof is based on the use of combinatorial objects known as puzzles. These are shown not only to account for the origin of Horn inequalities, but also to determine the constraints on hives that lead to factorisation. Defining a primitive Littlewood-Richardson coefficient to be one for which all essential Horn inequalities are strict, it is shown that every Littlewood-Richardson coefficient can be expressed as a product of primitive coefficients. Precisely the same result is shown to apply to the polynomials defined by stretched Littlewood-Richardson coefficients.