Contract design and supply chain coordination in the electricity industry

In this article we propose a model of the supply chain in electricity markets with multiple generators and retailers and considering several market structures. We analyze how market design interacts with the different types of contract and market structure to affect the coordination between the different firms and the performance of the supply chain as a whole. We compare the implications on supply chain coordination and on the players’ profitability of two different market structures: a pool based market vs. bilateral contracts, taking into consideration the relationship between futures and spot markets. Furthermore, we analyze the use of contracts for differences and two-part-tariffs as tools for supply chain coordination. We have concluded that there are multiple equilibria in the supply chain contracts and structure and that the two-part tariff is the best contract to reduce double marginalization and increase efficiency in the management of the supply chain.     

Allocation of risk capital on an internal market

We propose an allocation process for economic risk capital using an internal sequential auction in which investment allowances are based on marginal risk contributions. Division managers have incentive to give truthful bids because of bonus payments, which are linear in the division’s profit and linked to the auction bids. With our model, the auction process reaches an equilibrium identical to the optimal allocation if division managers have no diverging interests. When division managers do have diverging preferences in terms of empire building, headquarters faces a trade-off between incurring opportunity costs for achieving a suboptimal allocation and bonus costs paid to division managers to overcome their diverging interests. However, bonus costs are partially offset by proceeds from the auction. Depending on the model parameters, total agency costs can become negative. We show that for large values of new risk capital to be allocated, headquarters can always choose a level of bonus payments so that total costs are negative.     

Searching for equilibrium positions in a game of political competition with restrictions

This paper considers a problem of political economy in which a Nash equilibrium study is performed in a proposed game with restrictions where the two major parties in a country vary their position within a politically flexible framework to increase their number of voters. The model as presented fits the reality of many countries. Moreover, it avoids the uniqueness of equilibrium positions. The problem is stated and solved from a geometric point of view.     

Technology selection and capacity investment under uncertainty

We analyze the problem of technology selection and capacity investment for electricity generation in a competitive environment under uncertainty. Adopting a Nash-Cournot competition model, we consider the marginal cost as the uncertain parameter, although the results can be easily generalized to other sources of uncertainty such as a load curve. In the model, firms make three different decisions: (i) the portfolio of technologies, (ii) each technology’s capacity and (iii) the technology’s production level for every scenario. The decisions related to the portfolio and capacity are ex-ante and the production level is ex-post to the realization of uncertainty. We discuss open and closed-loop models, with the aim to understand the relationship between different technologies’ cost structures and the portfolio of generation technologies adopted by firms in equilibrium. For a competitive setting, to the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first not only to explicitly discuss the relation between costs and generation portfolio but also to allow firms to choose a portfolio of technologies. We show that portfolio diversification arises even with risk-neutral firms and technologies with different cost expectations. We also investigate conditions on the probability and cost under which different equilibria of the game arise.     

A distributed coordination mechanism for supply networks with asymmetric information

The paper analyses the problem of coordination in supply networks of multiple retailers and a single supplier, where partners have asymmetric, private information of demand and costs. After stating generic requirements like distributedness, truthfulness, efficiency and budget balance, we use the apparatus of mechanism design to devise a coordination mechanism that guarantees the above properties in the network. The resulting protocol is a novel realisation of the widely used Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI) where the responsibility of planning is at the supplier. We prove that together with the required generic properties a fair sharing of risks and benefits cannot be guaranteed. We illustrate the general mechanism with a detailed discussion of a specialised version, assuming that inventory planning is done according to the newsvendor model, and explore the operation of this protocol through computational experiments.     

Oligopoly models for market price of electricity under demand uncertainty and unit reliability

Several oligopoly models have been proposed for representing strategic behavior in electricity markets, which include Bertrand, Cournot, and Supply Function Equilibrium (SFE). For the most part, these models are deterministic, with the exception of the SFE originally developed by Klemperer and Meyer. However, their model does not include supply side uncertainties. In this paper, we consider both load and supply side uncertainties (resulting from generator availabilities). We obtain Nash equilibrium solutions for Cournot and SFE models, in which asymmetric firms (whose generating units have different costs and capacities) submit their bids so that each firm’s expected profit is maximized.     

Modeling cooperation on a class of distribution problems

In this paper we study models of cooperation between the nodes of a network that represents a distribution problem. The distribution problem we propose arises when, over a graph, a group of nodes offers certain commodity, some other nodes require it and a third group of nodes neither need this material nor offer it but they are strategically relevant to the distribution plan. The delivery of one unit of material to a demand node generates a fixed profit, and the shipping of the material through the arcs has an associated cost. We show that in such a framework cooperation is beneficial for the different parties. We prove that the cooperative situation arising from this distribution problem is totally balanced by finding a set of stable allocations (in the core of an associated cooperative game). In order to overcome certain fairness problems of these solutions, we introduce two new solution concepts and study their properties.     

求解含平衡约束数学规划的熵函数法

提出求解含平衡约束数学规划问题(简记为MPEC问题)的熵函数法，在将原问题等价改写为单层非光滑优化问题的基础上，通过熵函数逼近，给出求解MPEC问题的序列光滑优化方法，证明了熵函数逼近问题解的存在性和算法的全局收敛性，数值算例表明了算法的有效性。     

Market power analysis in electricity markets using supply function equilibrium model

This paper presents a surveillance method based on the gametheory which is used by the ISO to find whether a power supplierin an electricity market has market power. The paper uses thesupply function equilibrium model to analyse the generationsuppliers’ bidding behaviour and models the ISO's marketpower monitoring problem as a bi-level multi-objective problem.The outer sub-problem is a multi-objective problem which maximizessuppliers’ payoffs, while the inner one is the ISO's marketclearing problem based on the locational marginal pricing mechanism.A discrete method is adopted to find ‘good enough’solutions, in a continuous bidding strategy space, which arethe intersection of all suppliers’ optimal response spacesaccording to Nash equilibrium. The paper utilizes the IEEE 118-bussystem to illustrate the application of the proposed methodwith three suppliers as price setters in the energy market andthe other generators as price takers. The numerical resultsshow that the transmission congestion may enhance the suppliers’ability to exercise market power. Likewise, suppliers’gaming behaviour could relieve the transmission congestion.It is shown that applying price caps is an efficient way ofmitigating market power.     

Equilibria of two-sided matching games with common preferences

Problems of matching have long been studied in the operations research literature (assignment problem, secretary problem, stable marriage problem). All of these consider a centralized mechanism whereby a single decision maker chooses a complete matching which optimizes some criterion. This paper analyzes a more realistic scenario in which members of the two groups (buyers–sellers, employers–workers, males–females) randomly meet each other in pairs (interviews, dates) over time and form couples if there is mutual agreement to do so. We assume members of each group have common preferences over members of the other group. Generalizing an earlier model of Alpern and Reyniers [Alpern, S., Reyniers, D.J., 2005. Strategic mating with common preferences. J. Theor. Biol. 237, 337–354], we assume that one group (called males) is r   times larger than the other, r?1$r?1$. Thus all females, but only 1/r$1/r$ of the males, end up matched. Unmatched males have negative utility -c$-c$. We analyze equilibria of this matching game, depending on the parameters r   and c$c$. In a region of (r,c)$(r\text{,}c)$ space with multiple equilibria, we compare these, and analyze their ‘efficiency’ in several respects. This analysis should prove useful for designers of matching mechanisms who have some control over the sex ratio (e.g. by capping numbers of males at a ‘singles event’or by having ‘ladies free’ nights) or the nonmating cost c (e.g. tax benefits to married couples).     

Optimal allocation of MRI scan capacity among competing hospital departments

We consider an MRI scanning facility run by a Radiology department. Several hospital departments compete for capacity and have private information regarding their demand for scans. The fairness of the capacity allocation by the Radiology department depends on the quality of the information provided by the hospital departments. We employ a generic Bayesian game approach that stimulates the disclosure of true demand (truth-telling), so that capacity can be allocated fairly. We derive conditions under which truth-telling is a Bayesian Nash equilibrium. The usefulness of the approach is illustrated with a numerical example.     

Vector network equilibrium problems with capacity constraints of arcs and nonlinear scalarization methods

In this paper, a vector network equilibrium problem with capacity constraints of arcs is studied. By virtue of Fan-Browder’ fixed point theorem, an existence result of a (weak) vector equilibrium flow is derived. By using nonlinear scalarization methods, some sufficient and necessary conditions for a weak vector equilibrium flow are obtained.     

Ordering policy and coordination of a supply chain with two-period demand uncertainty

We develop a two-period game model of a one-manufacturer and one-retailer supply chain to investigate the optimal decisions of the players, where stock-out and holding costs are incorporated into the model. The demand at each period is stochastic and price sharply drops in mid-life. We assume the retailer has a single order opportunity, and decides how much inventory to keep in the middle of selling season. We show that both the price-protection mid-life and end-of-life returns (PME) scheme and the only mid-life and end-of-life returns (ME) scheme may achieve channel coordination and access a ‘win-win’ situation under some conditions. The larger the lowest expected profit of the retailer, the lower the possibility of ‘win-win’ situation will be. Combined with the analysis of feasible regions for coordination policies, we find that PME scheme is not always better than ME scheme from the perspective of implementable mechanism. Finally, we find that adopting the dispose-down-to (DDT) policy can bring a larger improvement of the expected channel profit in the centralized setting, and it is interesting that by using DDT policy, double marginalization occurs only at Period 1, and however, does not plague the retailer in Period 2.     

Demand disruption and coordination of the supply chain with a dominant retailer

This paper develops two coordination models of a supply chain consisting of one manufacturer, one dominant retailer and multiple fringe retailers to investigate how to coordinate the supply chain after demand disruption. We consider two coordination schedules, linear quantity discount schedule and Groves wholesale price schedule. We find that, under the linear quantity discount schedule, the manufacturer only needs to adjust the maximum variable wholesale price after demand disruption. For each case of the disrupted amount of demand, the higher the market share of the dominant retailer, the lower its average wholesale price and the subsidy will be under the linear quantity discount schedule, while the higher its fraction of the supply chain’s profit will be under Groves wholesale price schedule. When the increased amount of demand is very large and production cost is sufficiently low, linear quantity discount schedule is better for the manufacturer. However, when the production cost is sufficiently large, Groves wholesale price schedule is always better. We also find that the disrupted amount of demand largely affects the allocation of the supply chain’s profit.     

Impact of product pricing and timing of investment decisions on supply chain co-opetition

In supply chain co-opetition, firms simultaneously compete and co-operate in order to maximize their profits. We consider the nature of co-opetition between two firms: The product supplier invests in the technology to improve quality, and the purchasing firm (buyer) invests in selling effort to develop the market for the product before uncertainty in demand is resolved. We consider three different decision making structures and discuss the optimal configuration from each firm’s perspective. In case 1, the supplier invests in product quality and sets the wholesale price for the product. The buyer then exerts selling effort to develop the market and following demand potential realization, sets the resale price. In case 2, the supplier invests in product quality followed by the buyer’s investment in selling effort. Then, after demand potential is observed, the supplier sets the wholesale price and the buyer sets the resale price. Finally, in case 3, both firms simultaneously invest in product quality and selling effort, respectively. Subsequently, observing the demand potential, the supplier sets the wholesale price and the buyer sets the resale price. We compare all configuration options from both the perspective of the supplier and the buyer, and show that the level of investment by the firms depends on the nature of competition between them and the level of uncertainty in demand. Our analysis reveals that although configuration 1 results in the highest profits for the integrated channel, there is no clear dominating preference on system configuration from the perspective of both parties. The incentives of the co-opetition partners and the investment levels are mainly governed by the cost structure and the level of uncertainty in demand. We examine and discuss the relation between system parameters and the incentives in desiging the supply contract structure.     

Risk sharing and information revelation mechanism of a one-manufacturer and one-retailer supply chain facing an integrated competitor

This paper develops an information revelation mechanism model of a one-manufacturer and one-retailer supply chain facing an outside integrated-competitor under demand uncertainty. We investigate how the manufacturer designs a wholesale price-order quantity contract to induce the retailer to report his risk sensitivity information truthfully. We try to explore the effects of the outside competitor and the risk-sharing rule on the optimal price-service level decisions of the retailer and the optimal wholesale prices of the manufacturer. We find that the strategic interaction plays an important role in the effect of risk sensitivity on the order quantity for the retailer. When the fraction of the risk cost shared by the manufacturer is sufficiently large (small), the optimal wholesale price for the high risk-averse retailer is higher (lower) than that for the low risk-averse retailer.     

The EU regulation on cross-border trade of electricity: A two-stage equilibrium model

The regulation on cross-border exchanges of electricity in the European Union is meant to enhance the trade of electricity between Member States, by facilitating access to the network and improving the management of congestion at the interconnections. This paper presents a computational model that embeds these two features. The problem is cast in the form of a two-stage equilibrium between regional Regulators. In the first stage, they decide on the allocation of their regional network costs between generators and customers. Either they maximise their regional welfare non-cooperatively (Nash equilibrium), or they centralise the decision as a super-regulator (leading to a cooperative equilibrium). In the second-stage equilibrium, the consequences of first-stage’s decisions are assessed by modelling the energy market as the result of imperfect competition equilibrium on competitive market, coupled with regulated pricing on the domestic less competitive markets. The “rules” that come out of the first-stage game largely influence the final equilibrium. We illustrate this on an extensive numerical example, showing that the model behaves properly and identifying policy issues worth of further investigations.     

Existence and generic stability of solutions for multiclass multicriteria traffic equilibrium problems with capacity constraints of arcs

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we introduce the multiclass multicriteria traffic equilibrium problem with capacity constraints of arcs and its equilibrium principle. Using Fan–Browder's fixed points theorem and Fort's lemma to prove the existence and generic stability results of multiclass multicriteria traffic equilibrium flows with capacity constraints of arcs.     

Centralized and decentralized management of groundwater with multiple users

In this work, we investigate two groundwater inventory management schemes with multiple users in a dynamic game-theoretic structure: (i) under the centralized management scheme, users are allowed to pump water from a common aquifer with the supervision of a social planner, and (ii) under the decentralized management scheme, each user is allowed to pump water from a common aquifer making usage decisions individually in a non-cooperative fashion. This work is motivated by the work of Saak and Peterson [14], which considers a model with two identical users sharing a common aquifer over a two-period planning horizon. In our work, the model and results of Saak and Peterson [14] are generalized in several directions. We first build on and extend their work to the case of n non-identical users distributed over a common aquifer region. Furthermore, we consider two different geometric configurations overlying the aquifer, namely, the strip and the ring configurations. In each configuration, general analytical results of the optimal groundwater usage are obtained and numerical examples are discussed for both centralized and decentralized problems.     

Monte Carlo and quasi-Monte Carlo sampling methods for a class of stochastic mathematical programs with equilibrium constraints

In this paper, we consider a class of stochastic mathematical programs with equilibrium constraints introduced by Birbil et al. (Math Oper Res 31:739–760, 2006). Firstly, by means of a Monte Carlo method, we obtain a nonsmooth discrete approximation of the original problem. Then, we propose a smoothing method together with a penalty technique to get a standard nonlinear programming problem. Some convergence results are established. Moreover, since quasi-Monte Carlo methods are generally faster than Monte Carlo methods, we discuss a quasi-Monte Carlo sampling approach as well. Furthermore, we give an example in economics to illustrate the model and show some numerical results with this example. The first author’s work was supported in part by the Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid from Japan Society for the Promotion of Science and SRF for ROCS, SEM. The second author’s work was supported in part by the United Kingdom Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council grant. The third author’s work was supported in part by the Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid from Japan Society for the Promotion of Science.