On the uniqueness of Bertrand equilibrium

We introduce product differentiation in the model of price competition with strictly convex costs in which firms have to supply all of the forthcoming demand. We find that although a continuum of equilibria exists in a homogeneous product market, the competitive price equilibrium is the only robust one. Specifically, as long as the equilibrium correspondence is nonempty, the equilibrium price converges to the competitive price when the degree of product differentiation shrinks to zero.     

A dynamic free-entry oligopoly with sluggish entry and exit adjustments

We study a dynamic free-entry oligopoly with sluggish entry and exit of firms under general demand and cost functions. We show that the number of firms in a steady-state open-loop solution for a dynamic free-entry oligopoly is smaller than that at static equilibrium and that the number of firms in a steady-state memoryless closed-loop solution is larger than that in an open-loop solution.     

Asymmetric Supply Function Equilibria with Forward Contracts

We consider markets in which firms offer supply functions, rather than a quantity or price alone: the most important examples are wholesale electricity markets. The equilibria in such markets can be hard to characterize. In many cases, whole families of supply function equilibria occur so there are difficulties in determining which equilibrium will be chosen. In this paper, we consider supply function equilibria, when firms hold forward contracts, which is common in electricity markets. Under the assumption that contract positions have been fixed in advance, we characterize the families of supply function equilibria in a duopoly. The existence of forward contracts implies a tightening of the conditions for an equilibrium, and a greater likelihood that no equilibrium solution exists. In the case of three firms, there can be at most one supply function equilibrium, provided that the lowest demand be small enough.     

Strategic upfront marketing channel integration as an entry barrier

This paper investigates an organizational design problem concerning whether duopolistic firms competing in a product market should vertically integrate or separate their marketing channels in a dynamic noncooperative game setting. Previous operational research models have shown that the separation of the marketing channel with the adoption of a two-part tariff contract is the dominant strategy compared with integration for each firm if the two firms face retail price competition, and thereby constitutes the subgame perfect Nash equilibrium (SPNE). Contrary to this previous insight, this paper demonstrates that if exogenous parameters that characterize fixed costs, product substitutability, and a demand function fall into a specific region, marketing channel integration dominates the separation strategy when one of the two firms is the incumbent firm while the other is a potential entrant. In other words, the well-known result in the price-setting game can be reversed when we take entry threats into consideration. Specifically, we show that upfront vertical integration of the marketing channel enables the incumbent to deter the entry of the potential competitor and to monopolize the market in the SPNE. This result has operational implications for a firm confronting the threat of potential rivals entering the market, in that the firm can use this apparently inferior strategy as a commitment device, which creates a virtual entry barrier.     

Distributed Price Adjustment Based on Convex Analysis

In this paper, we suggest a distributed process of price adjustment toward a partial market equilibrium. As the main contribution, our algorithm of price adjustment is computationally efficient and decentralized. Its convergence properties are crucially based on convex analysis. The proposed price adjustment corresponds to a subgradient scheme for minimizing a special nonsmooth convex function. This function is the total excessive revenue of the market’s participants and its minimizers are equilibrium prices. As the main result, the algorithm of price adjustment is shown to converge to equilibrium prices. Additionally, the market clears on average during the price adjustment process, i.e., by historical averages of supply and demand. Moreover, a global rate of convergence is obtained. We endow our algorithm with decentralized prices by introducing the trade design with price initiative of producers. The latter suggests that producers settle and update their individual prices, and consumers buy at the lowest purchase price.     

Nonlinear Cournot oligopoly games with isoelastic demand function: The effects of different behavior rules

The analysis of asymptotical convergence for the oligopoly game has always been important to characterize the firms’ long-term behavior. In the nonlinear oligopoly competition possibly involving chaotic fluctuations, non-convergent trajectories are particularly undesirable since the resulting behavior will become unpredictable. In this paper, consistent with a traditional assumption that the firms update their outputs simultaneously, we at first construct an adjustment process and discuss the convergence to the equilibrium for a nonlinear Cournot duopoly game with the isoelastic demand function. We indicate that the tendency to instability does rise with the number of firms and the adjustment speeds. In particular, we alter this assumption from simultaneous decisions to sequential decisions so that the latter firms are able to observe the former ones at every time periods. We finally arrive at a conclusion that the unique equilibrium is convergent as long as the adjustment speeds are less than a fixed threshold, no matter what the number of the firms. Our findings show that the firms with sequential decisions can achieve the equilibrium more easily.     

Competitive capacity expansion under demand uncertainty

We analyze the capacity expansion behavior of firms in a duopoly faced with an uncertain new market. The market demand may be high or low with a given probability mass function. Firms obtain private information about the market size and build their capacity before the market demand is known. Once the demand is revealed, firms enter a capacity constrained price competition phase which determines their revenues. Two scenarios are considered: first, when firms choose their capacities simultaneously in the investment phase, and second, when they do so sequentially. For each case, we determine the unique symmetric Nash equilibrium. Excess capacity can occur in equilibrium in the industry. It is seen that preempting the competitor in the capacity expansion phase offers first mover benefits. We argue that the sequential moves game is more prone to equilibrium excess capacity compared to the simultaneous case. We show that preemption is a good strategy if the investing environment is either highly optimistic or highly pessimistic. If the industry outlook is only moderately optimistic, a capacity planner is still better off preempting his competitor, however, the industry may encounter overcapacity as a consequence.     

A nonnegative extension of the affine demand function and equilibrium analysis for multiproduct price competition

We derive a nonnegative extension of the affine demand function for differentiated substitute products from the optimization problem facing a representative consumer whose utility function is quadratic. We show that the extended demand function reduces to a linear program. The linear program has a simple intuitive interpretation in terms of a shifted price vector. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the Bertrand equilibrium in oligopolies consisting of multiproduct firms under the proposed demand function. The equilibrium, available in closed form, coincides with that obtained when allowing negative demands.     

A tâtonnement process with fading memory,stabilization and optimal speed of convergence

The purpose of this work is to provide a way to improve stability and convergence rate of a price adjustment mechanism that converges to a Walrasian equilibrium. We focus on a discrete tâtonnement based on a two-agent, two-good exchange economy, and we introduce memory, assuming that the auctioneer adjusts prices not only using the current excess demand, but also making use of the past excess demand functions. In particular, we study the effect of computing a weighted average of the current and the previous excess demands (finite two level memory) and of all the previous excess demands (infinite memory). We show that suitable weights’ distributions have a stabilizing effect, so that the resulting price adjustment process converge toward the competitive equilibrium in a wider range of situations than the process without memory. Finally, we investigate the convergence speed toward the equilibrium of the proposed mechanisms. In particular, we show that using infinite memory with fading weights approaches the competitive equilibrium faster than with a distribution of quasi-uniform weights.     

On Cournot–Bertrand competition with differentiated products

In this paper, we present a game theoretic framework for Cournot–Bertrand competition based on a nonlinear price function. The competition is between two firms and is assumed to take place in terms of pricing decision and quantity produced. However, the proposed objective function has not been used in literature before, yet the throughput obtained in this paper generalizes some of the existing results in literature. The competitive interaction between firms is described and analyzed using best-reply reaction, proposed adaptive adjustment and bounded rationality approach. The condition of stability of Nash equilibrium (NE) is induced by these approaches. Interestingly, we prove that there exists exactly a unique NE. Furthermore, it is noticed that when firms adopt best-reply and the proposed adaptive adjustment, the firms’ strategic variables become asymptotically stable. On the contrary, when the bounded rationality is used both quantity and price behave chaotically due to bifurcation occurred.     

Risk-neutral economy and zero price of risk

The paper investigates the equilibrium in an economy in which all participants are indifferent to risk. The mechanism of asset and derivative pricing in such economy is identified. It is shown that no economy in equilibrium with stochastic interest rates can be simultaneously risk-neutral and have zero market price of risk. On the other hand, there exist equilibrium economies with risk-averse participants and zero prices of risk.     

Stochastic competitive entries and dynamic pricing

How should firms price new products when they do not know the timing, nor the nature of the next competitive entry? To guide managers’ pricing decisions in such contexts, we propose a dynamic pricing model with two types of randomly timed entry, i.e. imitative and innovative. The characterization of the equilibrium strategies reveals how optimal prices vary with the manager’s knowledge about the timing of future competitive entries. We show that price skimming is not always optimal when entry dates are unknown to managers. Everything else equal, we demonstrate that the randomness of competitive entries make forward looking managers to choose constant prices, even though the characteristics of the market would have justified skimming the demand in the normal course. Moreover, we show that the constant pricing policy remains optimal even when the incumbent’s optimal pricing strategy influences the probability of facing a competitive entry. Finally, we find that uncertainty does not necessarily hurt firms’ profits.     

一般均衡下基于产品市场和资本市场的单名CDS定价

次贷危机呼吁新的信用衍生品定价模型, 因此为存在产品市场和资本市场的经济结构建立一般均衡的单名CDS定价模型, 使用最优化求解一般均衡下的商品价格和CDS价格. 可以发现一般均衡的CDS定价具有资本市场和产品市场的因素, 这表示CDS的价格不再是由单纯的资本市场因素决定的, 而是由无风险利率、资本产出弹性、违约率、回收率同时决定的. 通过数量约束用模拟的方式研究多个均衡的动态变化, 发现违约风险的增加使得价格剧烈波动且市场交易萎缩. 在为以中国工商银行为参考资产的CDS定价过程中, 发现各种因素在不同的时期都可能成为定价的主要影响因素. 可以发现, 次贷危机的定价体系存在着信用调整问题和定价与实体经济脱节的问题. 可以认为, 一般均衡下基于产品市场和资本市场的单名CDS定价可以囊括多个市场的交叉影响, 为衍生品定价提供一个新的方向.     

考虑企业释放质量信号行为的产品推广策略

为吸引消费者, 一些企业尝试以释放质量信号为手段进行产品推广。本文考虑消费者购买时的参考效用, 通过构建模型, 探讨了短期经营下低质量企业不释放质量信号、短期经营下低质量企业释放质量信号、长期经营下低质量企业不释放质量信号和长期经营下低质量企业释放质量信号等四种情况下的产品定价策略, 并分析了释放质量信号对企业运营带来的利弊。研究发现:长期经营下低质量企业释放质量信号时, 产品质量差距的扩大将提高竞争企业的最优定价, 而释放质量信号程度的增加则将使最优定价降低。同时, 通过释放质量信号, 短期内低质量企业看似可以借此获得大量需求, 但现实中可行性不高。从长期经营来看, 以释放质量信号为手段的推广策略实际上会损害整个市场的利益。     

On the existence of supply function equilibria

Supply function equilibria are used in the analysis of divisible good auctions with a large number of identical objects to be sold or bought. An important example occurs in wholesale electricity markets. Despite the substantial literature on supply function equilibria the existence of a pure strategy Nash equilibria for a uniform price auction in asymmetric cases has not been established in a general setting. In this paper we prove the existence of a supply function equilibrium for a duopoly with asymmetric firms having convex non-decreasing marginal costs, with decreasing concave demand subject to an additive demand shock, provided that the second derivative of the demand function is small enough and not increasing. The proof is constructive and also gives insight into the structure of the equilibrium solutions.     

Nonlinear duopoly games with positive cost externalities due to spillover effects

A Cournot duopoly game is proposed where the interdependence between the quantity-setting firms is not only related to the selling price, determined by the total production through a given demand function, but also on cost-reduction effects related to the presence of the competitor. Such cost reductions are introduced to model the effects of know-how spillovers, caused by the ability of a firm to take advantage, for free, of the results of competitors' Research and Development (R&D) results, due to the difficulties to protect intellectual properties or to avoid the movements of skilled workers among competing firms. These effects may be particularly important in the modeling of high-tech markets, where costs are mainly related to R&D and workers' training. The results of this paper concern the existence and uniqueness of the Cournot–Nash equilibrium, located at the intersection of non-monotonic reaction curves, and its stability under two different kinds of bounded rationality adjustment mechanisms. The effects of spillovers on the existence of the Nash equilibrium are discussed, as well as their influence on the kind of attractors arising when the Nash equilibrium is unstable. Methods for the global analysis of two-dimensional discrete dynamical systems are used to study the structure of the basins of attraction.     

A note on oligopoly exploitation of common-pool renewable resources

This note derives the linear Feedback Nash equilibrium of a differential oligopoly game of exploitation of a common-pool renewable resource, and compares and contrasts it with social optimum. The case of regulated entry by means of a license fee is also considered. Two main results are derived. First, the steady-state oligopoly price can be increasing in the (exogenously given) number of firms. Second, an optimal license fee exists that induces the (endogenously given) number of firms to behave efficiently.     

Dual-Role Based Pricing in a Dynamic and Competitive Environment

The dual role of price, as a product attribute signaling quality and as a measure of sacrifice, serving as a benchmark for comparing the utility gains from superior product quality, is now well established in the marketing and economic literature. However, knowledge about their long-run impact and the influence of competition on these effects still remains very sparse. In the current paper, with reference to a dynamic and competitive framework, an analytical model is proposed to help determining optimal decision rules for price incorporating both roles. The main results are as follows: (i) The optimal pricing policy is determined as a Nash equilibrium strategy. (ii) The resulting equilibrium price is higher than an equilibrium that disregards the carryover price effects. (iii) For a symmetric competition, we provide normative rules on how firms should set prices as a function of the perceived quality; particularly, how the price should be set initially, when there is little product familiarity and the perceived quality is low, and how this price should vary as the perceived quality increases. (iv) At steady state, we find that the level of equilibrium margin, in percentage terms, decreases with the elasticity of demand with respect to the brand price, but this decrease is moderated by the elasticity of demand with respect to the brand perceived quality, the cross elasticity of demand with respect to the competitor’s perceived quality and the effect of the competitor’s current price on the firm’s perceived quality deterioration. The author thanks Konstantin Kogan for helpful discussions and comments.     

Dynamic Bertrand Oligopoly

We study continuous time Bertrand oligopolies in which a small number of firms producing similar goods compete with one another by setting prices. We first analyze a static version of this game in order to better understand the strategies played in the dynamic setting. Within the static game, we characterize the Nash equilibrium when there are N players with heterogeneous costs. In the dynamic game with uncertain market demand, firms of different sizes have different lifetime capacities which deplete over time according to the market demand for their good. We setup the nonzero-sum stochastic differential game and its associated system of HJB partial differential equations in the case of linear demand functions. We characterize certain qualitative features of the game using an asymptotic approximation in the limit of small competition. The equilibrium of the game is further studied using numerical solutions. We find that consumers benefit the most when a market is structured with many firms of the same relative size producing highly substitutable goods. However, a large degree of substitutability does not always lead to large drops in price, for example when two firms have a large difference in their size.     

Learning,convergence and economic constraints

This article investigates a partial equilibrium production model with dynamic information aggregation. Firms use observed prices to estimate the unknown model parameter by applying Bayesian learning. In the baseline setting, the demand structure is linear and the noise term is Gaussian. Then, prices and quantities are supported by the real line and convergence of the limited information to rational expectations quantities is obtained. Since a production economy is considered, the economic constraint of non-negative quantities is imposed. This non-negativity constraint and the assumption that signals about demand are only received in periods where production takes place destroy the “optimistic” convergence result observed in the baseline model. With this constraint firms learning an unknown demand intercept parameter exit with strictly positive probability, even when the true value of this parameter would induce production in the full information setting. In a second step, the linear demand structure is replaced by piece-wise linear demand, such that prices become non-negative. Also in this stetting the convergence result of the baseline model does not hold.