Ruin probability for correlated negative risk sums model with Erlang processes

This paper studies a Sparre Andersen negative risk sums model in which the distribution of ＂interclaim＂ time is that of a sum of n independent exponential random variables. Thus, the Erlang（n） model is a special case. On this basis the correlated negative risk sums process with the common Erlang process is considered. Integro-differential equations with boundary conditions for ψ（u） are given. For some special cases a closed-form expression for ψ（u） is derived.     

随机收益环境下的破产时刻罚金折现期望

This paper considers the expected discounted penalty function Φ(u) for the perturbed compound Poisson risk model with stochastic return on investments. After presenting an integro-differential equation that the expected discounted penalty function satisfies, the paper derives the closed form solution by constructing an identical equation. The exact expression for Φ (0) is given using the Laplace transform technique when interest rate is constant. Applications of the results are given to the ruin probability and moments of the deficit at ruin.     

Explicit Expressions for the Ruin Probabilities of Erlang Risk Processes with Pareto Individual Claim Distributions

In this paper we first consider a risk process in which claim inter-arrival times and the time untilthe first claim have an Erlang (2) distribution.An explicit solution is derived for the probability of ultimateruin,given an initial reserve of u when the claim size follows a Pareto distribution.Follow Ramsay,Laplacetransforms and exponential integrals are used to derive the solution,which involves a single integral of realvalued functions along the positive real line,and the integrand is not of an oscillating kind.Then we showthat the ultimate ruin probability can be expressed as the sum of expected values of functions of two differentGamma random variables.Finally,the results are extended to the Erlang(n) case.Numerical examples aregiven to illustrate the main results.     

LAPLACE TRANSFORM OF THE SURVIVAL PROBABILITY UNDER SPARRE ANDERSEN MODEL

In this paper a class of risk processes in which claims occur as a renewal process is studied. A clear expression for Laplace transform of the survival probability is well given when the claim amount distribution is Erlang distribution or mixed Erlang distribution. The expressions for moments of the time to ruin with the model above are given.     

On the expected discounted penalty function in a delayed-claims risk model

In this paper,we consider a risk model in which each main claim may induce a delayed claim,called a by-claim.We assume that the time for the occurrence of a by-claim is random.We investigate the expected discounted penalty function,and derive the defective renewal equation satisfied by it.We obtain some explicit results when the main claim and the by-claim are both exponentially distributed,respectively.We also present some numerical illustrations.     

The Ruin Probability in the Presence of Extended Regular Variation and Optimal Investment

Considering the classical model with risky investment, we are interested in the ruin probability that is minimized by a suitably chosen investment strategy for a capital market index. For claim sizes with common distribution of extended regular variation, starting from an integro-differential equation for the maximal survival probability, we find that the corresponding ruin probability as a function of the initial surplus is also extended regular variation.     

On the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function for a surplus process described by PDMPs

In this paper, we investigate the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function for the surplus process described by a piecewise deterministic Markov process （PDMP）. We derive an integral equation for the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function, and obtain the exact solution when the initial surplus is zero. Dickson formulae are also generalized to the present surplus process.     

The Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function for a compound binomial risk model with by-claims

A recursive formula of the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function for a compound binomial risk model with by-claims is obtained. In the discount-free case, an explicit formula is given. Utilizing such an explicit expression, we derive some useful insurance quantities, including the ruin probability, the density of the deficit at ruin, the joint density of the surplus immediately before ruin and the deficit at ruin, and the density of the claim causing ruin.     

A ruin model with random income and dependence between claim sizes and claim intervals

In this paper,we consider a generalization of the classical ruin model,where the income is random and the distribution of the time between two claim occurrences depends on the previous claim size.This model is more appropriate than the classical ruin model.Explicit expression for the generating function of the Gerber-Shiu expected discounted penalty function are derived.A similar model is discussed.Finally,the result are showed by two examples.     

The gerber-shiu expected discounted penalty function for Lévy insurance risk processes

In this paper,we study a general Lévy risk process with positive and negative jumps.A renewal equation and an infinite series expression are obtained for the expected discounted penalty function of this risk model.We also examine some asymptotic behaviors for the ruin probability as the initial capital tends to infinity.     

初论一类风险模型下的破产时刻罚金折现期望

考虑一类具有Poisson过程和Erlang(n)过程的风险模型的破产问题,该模型中保险公司具有两类保险,每类保险的理赔次数过程都是Poisson过程与一个共同的Erlang(n)过程的和.针对这类理赔相关的风险模型,就利息力为常数的情形得到破产时刻罚金折现期望的积分—微分方程.     

一类具有随机保费风险模型的破产问题

本文考虑了一个保费收入过程为复合Poisson过程,且索赔时间间隔分布为广义Erlang(n)分布的风险模型,给出了其罚金折现期望函数所满足的瑕疵更新方程以及渐近表达式和精确表达式.     

一类相依风险模型的破产问题

研究了一类相依的双险种风险模型,其中第一类险种的索赔到达计数过程为E lang(2)过程,第二类险种的索赔到达计数过程为其p-稀疏过程.首先通过更新论证的方法得到罚金折现期望满足的积分-微分方程,然后推导拉普拉斯变换的表达式,并就索赔额服从指数分布的情形得到了罚金折现期望的精确表达式.     

On the discounted penalty function in the renewal risk model with general interclaim times

The defective renewal equation satisfied by the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function in the renewal risk model with arbitrary interclaim times is analyzed. The ladder height distribution is shown to be a mixture of residual lifetime claim severity distributions, which results in an invariance property satisfied by a large class of claim amount models. The class of exponential claim size distributions is considered, and the Laplace transform of the (discounted) defective density of the surplus immediately prior to ruin is obtained. The mixed Erlang claim size class is also examined. The simplified defective renewal equation which results when the penalty function only involves the deficit is used to obtain moments of the discounted deficit.     

Erlang(2)扩散风险模型的Gerber-Shiu期望折现惩罚函数

将由布朗运动刻画的随机干扰项加入到Erlang(2)风险模型中,在模型中引入了由Gerber和Shiu定义的期望折现惩罚函数,并给出了这类模型的Gerber-Shiu函数所满足的积分微分方程.     

阈红利边界下Erlang(2)风险过程的罚金折现期望函数(英文)

本文研究了阙红利边界TErlang(2)风险过程的罚金折现期望函数.利用算子变换及复合几何分布函数得到了罚金折现期望函数满足的微分积分方程,并给出了罚金折现期望函数解析表达式.     

厄兰极值混合模型的有效估计及其在保险中的应用

本文研究了Erlang混合分布和广义帕累托分布混合模型的估计问题.通过引入iSCAD惩罚函数,利用EM算法极大化iSCAD惩罚似然函数的方法,获得了混合序和参数的估计值,计算出有效的度量风险指标value-at-risk(VaR)和tail-VaR(TVaR),通过模拟实验和实际数据说明了模型和算法的有效性.推广了有限Erlang极值混合模型在保险数据拟合中的应用.     

Sparre Andersen风险模型的破产问题(英)

本文主要研究了一类Sparre Andersen模型,其索赔时间间隔的分布为指数分布与Erlang(n) 分布的混合.得到了当初始资金u趋于无穷大时,破产概率ψ(u)的确切表达式和渐近表达式.     

The Sparre Andersen Risk Process with Investment and Debit Interest

In this paper, we study absolute ruin problems for the Sparre Andersen risk process with generalized Erlang()-distributed inter-claim times, investment and debit interest. We first give a system of integro-differential equations with certain boundary conditions satisfied by the expected discounted penalty function at absolute ruin. Second, we obtain a defective renewal equation under some special cases, then based on the defective renewal equation we derive two asymptotic results for the expected discounted penalty function when the initial surplus tends to infinity for the light-tailed claims and heavy-tailed claims, respectively. Finally, we investigate some explicit solutions and numerical results for generalized Erlang(2) inter-claim times and exponential claims.