Tail behavior of random sums under consistent variation with applications to the compound renewal risk model

In this paper, we consider the random sums of i.i.d. random variables ξ ₁,ξ ₂,... with consistent variation. Asymptotic behavior of the tail P(ξ₁ + ... + ξ_η > x), where η is independent of ξ ₁,ξ ₂,..., is obtained for different cases of the interrelationships between the tails of ξ ₁ and η. Applications to the asymptotic behavior of the finite-time ruin probability ψ(x,t) in a compound renewal risk model, earlier introduced by Tang et al. (Stat Probab Lett 52, 91–100 (2001)), are given. The asymptotic relations, as initial capital x increases, hold uniformly for t in a corresponding region. These asymptotic results are illustrated in several examples.      

Tails of random sums of a heavy-tailed number of light-tailed terms

The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the collective risk model, where the total claim size in a portfolio is the sum of a random number of claims. If the tail of the claim number is heavier than the tail of the claim sizes, then under certain conditions the tail of the total claim size does not change asymptotically if the individual claim sizes are replaced by their expectations. The conditions allow the claim number distribution to be of consistent variation or to be in the domain of attraction of a Gumbel distribution with a mean excess function that grows to infinity sufficiently fast. Moreover, the claim number is not necessarily required to be independent of the claim sizes.     

Complete moment and integral convergence for sums of negatively associated random variables

For a sequence of identically distributed negatively associated random variables {Xn; n ≥ 1} with partial sums Sn = ∑i=1^n Xi, n ≥ 1, refinements are presented of the classical Baum-Katz and Lai complete convergence theorems. More specifically, necessary and sufficient moment conditions are provided for complete moment convergence of the form ∑n≥n0 n^r-2-1/pq anE（max1≤k≤n｜Sk｜^1/q-∈bn^1/qp）^＋〈∞to hold where r 〉 1, q 〉 0 and either n0 = 1,0 〈 p 〈 2, an = 1,bn = n or n0 = 3,p = 2, an = 1 （log n） ^1/2q, bn=n log n. These results extend results of Chow and of Li and Spataru from the indepen- dent and identically distributed case to the identically distributed negatively associated setting. The complete moment convergence is also shown to be equivalent to a form of complete integral convergence.     

On complete moment convergence of weighted sums for arrays of row-wise negatively associated random variables

Negatively associated (NA) random variables are a more general class of random variables which include a set of independent random variables and have been applied to many practical fields. In this paper, the complete moment convergence of weighted sums for arrays of row-wise NA random variables is investigated. Some sufficient conditions for complete moment convergence of weighted sums for arrays of row-wise NA random variables are established. Moreover, under the weaker conditions, we extend the results of Baek et al. [J. Korean Stat. Soc. 37 (2008), pp. 73–80] and Sung [Abstr. Appl. Anal. 2011 (2011)]. As an application, the complete moment convergence of moving average processes based on an NA random sequence is obtained, which improves the result of Li and Zhang [Stat. Probab. Lett. 70 (2004), pp. 191–197 ].     

Some approximation methods for the distribution of random sums

This paper deals with approximation methods for the distribution of random sums, a subject being of high interest especially in actuarial mathematics (distribution of the total claim during a fixed time interval). Above all the authors intended to deliver rigid proofs for some propositions (such as Esscher and Edgeworth approximation) which are established in relevant articles frequently only in heuristic manner.     

Asymptotic tail probability of randomly weighted sums of dependent random variables with dominated variation

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of tail probability of randomly weighted sums of dependent and real-valued random variables with dominated variation, where the weights form another sequence of nonnegative random variables. The result we obtain extends the corresponding result of Wang and Tang[7].     

On the exponential inequalities for negatively dependent random variables

A number of exponential inequalities for identically distributed negatively dependent and negatively associated random variables have been established by many authors. The proofs use the truncation technique together with the control of the bounded terms and unbounded terms. In this paper, we improve essentially the control of bounds for the unbounded terms and obtain exponential inequalities for negatively dependent random variables which include negatively associated random variables. Our results improve on the corresponding ones in the literature.     

On the complete convergence of sums of negatively associated random variables

This paper extends results on complete convergence in the law of large numbers for subsequences to the case of negatively associated nonidentically distributed random variables. Translated fromMatematicheskie Zametki, Vol. 68, No. 3, pp. 411–420, September, 2000.     

An almost sure central limit theorem for products of sums of partial sums under association

Let be a strictly stationary positively or negatively associated sequence of positive random variables with EX₁=μ>0, and VarX₁=σ²<∞. Denote , and γ=σ/μ the coefficient of variation. Under suitable conditions, we show that

     

离散随机序列加权和的若干极限定理

设{Xn,n≥0}是任意离散随机变量序列,{ank,0≤k≤n,n≥0)是一常数阵列,我们引入随机序列渐近对数似然比的概念,作为表征随机序列的真实概率测度P与参考测度Q之间的差异的度量,用分析方法,得到了随机序列Jamison型加权和的若干随机偏差定理.     

A central limit theorem for random sums of random variables

Anscombe (1952) (also see Chung (1974)) has developed a central limit theoremof random sums of independent and identically distributed random variables. Applicability of this theorem in practice, however, is limited since the normalization requires random factors. In this paper we establish sufficient conditions under which the central limit theorem holds when such random factors are replaced by the underlying asymptotic mean and standard ddeviation. An application of this result in the context of shock models is also given.     

Stability of sums of weighted nonnegative random variables

A stability result for sums of weighted nonnegative random variables is established and then it is utilized to obtain, among other things, a slight generalization of the Borel-Cantelli lemma and to show that the work of Jamison, Orey, and Pruitt (Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete4 (1965), 40–44) on almost sure convergence of weighted averages of independent random variables remains valid if the assumption of independence on the random variables is replaced by pairwise independence.     

Limit theorems for sums of random exponentials

We study limiting distributions of exponential sums as t→∞, N→∞, where (X_i) are i.i.d. random variables. Two cases are considered: (A) ess sup X_i = 0 and (B) ess sup X_i = ∞. We assume that the function h(x)= -log P{X_i>x} (case B) or h(x) = -log P {X_i>-1/x} (case A) is regularly varying at ∞ with index 1 < ϱ <∞ (case B) or 0 < ϱ < ∞ (case A). The appropriate growth scale of N relative to t is of the form , where the rate function H₀(t) is a certain asymptotic version of the function (case B) or (case A). We have found two critical points, λ₁<λ₂, below which the Law of Large Numbers and the Central Limit Theorem, respectively, break down. For 0 < λ < λ₂, under the slightly stronger condition of normalized regular variation of h we prove that the limit laws are stable, with characteristic exponent α = α (ϱ, λ) ∈ (0,2) and skewness parameter β ≡ 1.Research supported in part by the DFG grants 436 RUS 113/534 and 436 RUS 113/722.Mathematics Subject Classification (2000): 60G50, 60F05, 60E07     

Large deviations for product of sums of random variables

In this paper, we obtain sample path and scalar large deviation principles for the product of sums of positive random variables. We study the case when the positive random variables are independent and identically distributed and bounded away from zero or the left tail decays to zero sufficiently fast. The explicit formula for the rate function of a scalar large deviation principle is given in the case when random variables are exponentially distributed.     

Convergence of weighted sums of tight random elements

Convergence of weighted sums of tight random elements {V_n} (in a separable Banach space) which have zero expected values and uniformly bounded rth moments (r > 1) is obtained. In particular, if {a_nk} is a Toeplitz sequence of real numbers, then | Σ_k=1^∞a_nkf(V_k)| → 0 in probability for each continuous linear functional f if and only if 6Σ_k=1^∞a_nkV_k 6→ 0 in probability. When the random elements are independent and max_{1≤k≤n | ank | = $\text{O}$(n^?8)} for some $\text{0 <}\text{1}\text{s}\text{< r ? 1}$, then |Σ_k=1^∞a_nkV_k 6→ 0 with probability 1. These results yield laws of large numbers without assuming geometric conditions on the Banach space. Finally, these results can be extended to random elements in certain Fréchet spaces.     

关于重尾随机和大偏差的一个注记

设｛Xκ，κ≥1｝为一列独立同分布的非随机变量，且具有共同的分布函数F。记Sn为序列｛Xκ，κ≥1｝的前n项部分和。在F属于ERV分布族的假定下，文中证明了关于随机和SN(t)的随机中心化的精细大偏差结果。这里N（t）为一个与｛Xκ，κ≥1｝独立的非负整数值的随机过程。     

Tail behavior of conditional sojourn times in Processor-Sharing queues

We investigate the tail behavior of the sojourn-time distribution for a request of a given length in an M/G/1 Processor-Sharing (PS) queue. An exponential asymptote is proven for general service times in two special cases: when the traffic load is sufficiently high and when the request length is sufficiently small. Furthermore, using the branching process technique we derive exact asymptotics of exponential type for the sojourn time in the M/M/1 queue. We obtain an equation for the asymptotic decay rate and an exact expression for the asymptotic constant. The decay rate is studied in detail and is compared to other service disciplines. Finally, using numerical methods, we investigate the accuracy of the exponential asymptote. AMS 2000 Subject Classifications Primary:60K25,Secondary: 60F10,68M20,90B22