On the DFR property of the compound geometric distribution with applications in risk theory

In 1988, Shanthikumar proved that the sum of a geometrically distributed number of i.i.d. DFR random variables is also DFR. In this paper, motivated by the inverse problem, we study monotonicity properties related to defective renewal equations, and obtain that if a compound geometric distribution is DFR, then the random variables of the sums are NWU (a class that contains DFR). Furthermore, we investigate some applications of risk theory and give a characterization of the exponential distribution.     

The Convergence of the Sums of Independent Random Variables Under the Sub-linear Expectations

Let {Xn;n≥1} be a sequence of independent random variables on a probability space(Ω,F,P) and Sn=∑k=1n Xk.It is well-known that the almost sure convergence,the convergence in probability and the convergence in distribution of Sn are equivalent.In this paper,we prove similar results for the independent random variables under the sub-linear expectations,and give a group of sufficient and necessary conditions for these convergence.For proving the results,the Levy and Kolmogorov maximal inequalities for independent random variables under the sub-linear expectation are established.As an application of the maximal inequalities,the sufficient and necessary conditions for the central limit theorem of independent and identically distributed random variables are also obtained.     

Circular law, extreme singular values and potential theory

Consider the empirical spectral distribution of complex random n×n matrix whose entries are independent and identically distributed random variables with mean zero and variance 1/n. In this paper, via applying potential theory in the complex plane and analyzing extreme singular values, we prove that this distribution converges, with probability one, to the uniform distribution over the unit disk in the complex plane, i.e. the well known circular law, under the finite fourth moment assumption on matrix elements.     

The extreme points of the set of decreasing failure rate distributions

Summary Since the class of extended decreasing failure rate (EDFR) life distributions (i.e., distributions with support in [0, ]) is compact and convex, it follows from Choquet's Theorem that every EDFR life distribution can be represented as a mixture of extreme points of the EDFR class. We identify the extreme points of this class and of the standard class of decresing failure rate (DFR) life distributions. Further, we show that even though the convex class of DFR life distributions is not compact, every DFR life distribution can be represented as a mixture of extreme points of the DFR class.Research sponsored by the Air Force Office of Scientific Research, AFSC, USAF, under Grant AFOSR 78-3678.Research sponsored by the National Science Foundation MCS-7904698.     

Expansions for the Distributions of Some Normalized Summations of Random Numbers of I.I.D. Random Variables

The central limit theorem for a normalized summation of random number of i.i.d. random variables is well known. In this paper we improve the central limit theorem by providing a two-term expansion for the distribution when the random number is the first time that a simple random walk exceeds a given level. Some numerical evidences are provided to show that this expansion is more accurate than the simple normality approximation for a specific problem considered.     

Equality of Types for the Distribution of the Maximum for Two Values of n Implies Extreme Value Type

In this note, we prove a characterization of extreme value distributions. We show that, under some conditions, if the distribution of the maximum of n i.i.d. variables is of the same type for two distinct values of n then the distribution is one of the three extreme value types. This is an analogue of the well known result that if the sum of two i.i.d. random variables with finite second moment is of the same type as the original distribution then the distribution is Gaussian (Kagan et al., 1973). Our result was motivated by study of the m out of n bootstrap.     

Some results on the residual life at random time

In this paper, we consider the residual life at random time, i.e.X _Y =X−Y\X>Y, whereX andY are non-negative random variables. We establish a number of stochastic comparison properties forX _Y under various assumptions ofX andY. Under the assumption thatY has decreasing reverse hazard rate (DRHR), we show that ifX is in any one of the classes IFR, DFR, DMRL or IMRL thenX _Y is in the same class asX. We also obtain some useful bounds for the distribution and the moment ofX _Y . Because the idle time in classicalGI/G/1 queuing system can be regarded as the residual life at random time, the results obtained in this paper have applications in the study of such system. This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.     

On the block thresholding wavelet estimators with censored data

We consider block thresholding wavelet-based density estimators with randomly right-censored data and investigate their asymptotic convergence rates. Unlike for the complete data case, the empirical wavelet coefficients are constructed through the Kaplan-Meier estimators of the distribution functions in the censored data case. On the basis of a result of Stute [W. Stute, The central limit theorem under random censorship, Ann. Statist. 23 (1995) 422-439] that approximates the Kaplan-Meier integrals as averages of i.i.d. random variables with a certain rate in probability, we can show that these wavelet empirical coefficients can be approximated by averages of i.i.d. random variables with a certain error rate in L². Therefore we can show that these estimators, based on block thresholding of empirical wavelet coefficients, achieve optimal convergence rates over a large range of Besov function classes , p≥2, q≥1 and nearly optimal convergence rates when 1≤p<2. We also show that these estimators achieve optimal convergence rates over a large class of functions that involve many irregularities of a wide variety of types, including chirp and Doppler functions, and jump discontinuities. Therefore, in the presence of random censoring, wavelet estimators still provide extensive adaptivity to many irregularities of large function classes. The performance of the estimators is tested via a modest simulation study.     

Stability theorems and the second-order asymptotics in threshold phenomena for boundary functionals of random walks

In Section 1, we prove stability theorems for a series of boundary functionals of random walks. In Section 2, we suggest a new simpler proof of the theorem on threshold phenomena for the distribution of the maximum of the consecutive sums of random variables. In Section 3, we find the second-order asymptotics for this distribution under the assumption that the third moments of the random variables exist.     

Weighted distances in scale‐free preferential attachment models

We study three preferential attachment models where the parameters are such that the asymptotic degree distribution has infinite variance. Every edge is equipped with a nonnegative i.i.d. weight. We study the weighted distance between two vertices chosen uniformly at random, the typical weighted distance, and the number of edges on this path, the typical hopcount. We prove that there are precisely two universality classes of weight distributions, called the explosive and conservative class. In the explosive class, we show that the typical weighted distance converges in distribution to the sum of two i.i.d. finite random variables. In the conservative class, we prove that the typical weighted distance tends to infinity, and we give an explicit expression for the main growth term, as well as for the hopcount. Under a mild assumption on the weight distribution the fluctuations around the main term are tight.     

The perimeter of uniform and geometric words: a probabilistic analysis

Abstract

Let a word be a sequence of n i.i.d. integer random variables. The perimeter P of the word is the number of edges of the word, seen as a polyomino. In this paper, we present a probabilistic approach to the computation of the moments of P. This is applied to uniform and geometric random variables. We also show that, asymptotically, the distribution of P is Gaussian and, seen as a stochastic process, the perimeter converges in distribution to a Brownian motion.     

Characterizing a comonotonic random vector by the distribution of the sum of its components

In this article, we characterize comonotonicity and related dependence structures among several random variables by the distribution of their sum. First we prove that if the sum has the same distribution as the corresponding comonotonic sum, then the underlying random variables must be comonotonic as long as each of them is integrable. In the literature, this result is only known to be true if either each random variable is square integrable or possesses a continuous distribution function. We then study the situation when the distribution of the sum only coincides with the corresponding comonotonic sum in the tail. This leads to the dependence structure known as tail comonotonicity. Finally, by establishing some new results concerning convex order, we show that comonotonicity can also be characterized by expected utility and distortion risk measures.     

Superlarge deviation probabilities for sums of independent lattice random variables with exponential decreasing tails

In the note we study large and superlarge deviation probabilities of sum of i.i.d. lattice random variables, whose distribution function has an exponentially decreasing tail at infinity.     

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This paper considers the asymptotics of randomly weighted sums and their maxima, where the increments {X_i,i\geq1\} is a sequence of independent, identically distributed and real-valued random variables and the weights {\theta_i,i\geq1\} form another sequence of non-negative and independent random variables, and the two sequences of random variables follow some dependence structures. When the common distribution F of the increments belongs to dominant variation class, we obtain some weakly asymptotic estimations for the tail probability of randomly weighted sums and their maxima. In particular, when the F belongs to consistent variation class, some asymptotic formulas is presented. Finally, these results are applied to the asymptotic estimation for the ruin probability.     

Multivariate linear recursions with Markov-dependent coefficients

We study a linear recursion with random Markov-dependent coefficients. In a “regular variation in, regular variation out” setup we show that its stationary solution has a multivariate regularly varying distribution. This extends results previously established for i.i.d. coefficients.     

极值分布的一个注记

本文对PH极值分布进行了推广,应用构造相关联的Markov过程的方法,证明了n个相互独立的PH随机变量构成的次序随机变量的分布仍是PH分布。并给出了次序PH随机变量分布表达式的表示方法,本文同时也给出了次序PH随机变量的联合生存分布,本文最后给出了次序PH随机变量在可靠性理论与更新理论中的应用。     

Strong Laws of Large Numbers for Sublinear Expectation under Controlled 1st Moment Condition

This paper deals with strong laws of large numbers for sublinear expectation under controlled 1st moment condition. For a sequence of independent random variables, the author obtains a strong law of large numbers under conditions that there is a control random variable whose 1st moment for sublinear expectation is finite. By discussing the relation between sublinear expectation and Choquet expectation, for a sequence of i.i.d random variables, the author illustrates that only the finiteness of uniform 1st moment for sublinear expectation cannot ensure the validity of the strong law of large numbers which in turn reveals that our result does make sense.     

关于二项分布的强偏差定理

利用分析方法建立了用不等式表示的用渐近平均对数似然比刻划的服从二项分布的随机变量序列的强偏差定理,作为推论得到了服从二项分布的相依随机变量序列的强大数定律.     

ψ-混合随机变量序列的重对数律

本文讨论了同分布的 -混合序列其共同分布属于稳定分布(非高斯情形)吸引场部分和的Chover型重对数律.特别地当分布函数属于稳分布的正则吸引场时,得到了部分和及后置和更精细的结果,即积分检验的结果,由此立即可推出相应的Chover型重对数律.     

ψ-混合随机变量序列的重对数律

本文讨论了同分布的 -混合序列其共同分布属于稳定分布(非高斯情形)吸引场部分和的Chover型重对数律.特别地当分布函数属于稳分布的正则吸引场时,得到了部分和及后置和更精细的结果,即积分检验的结果,由此立即可推出相应的Chover型重对数律.