基于一类重尾分布的函数型线性回归模型的稳健性估计

假定随机误差分布来自具有重尾特征的scale mixtures of normal分布族,运用贝叶斯方法研究了函数型线性回归模型的稳健性估计,其中模型的响应变量为标量,解释变量为函数型变量.数值模拟结果表明:当响应变量的观测数据存在离群值时,建立的方法得到的模型参数的估计,要优于正态分布假定下的模型参数的估计.     

多维指数族分布的参数线性容许估计的一个充分条件

本文利用唯一的Ｂａｙｅｓ估计是容许估计的原理,构造了一个先验分布π１（θ）＝Ｍβ－１（θ）ψ（θ）ｅｘｐ∑ｎｉ＝１∫θｉθｉ０ｂ－ｒｉ（ｔ）ａｉｎｄｔｉ,当它满足一定的条件时,证明了在均方损失下,多维指数族分布ｆθ（ｘ）＝β（θ）ｅｘｐθ′ｘ的参数ｒ（θ）的唯一Ｂａｙｅｓ估计为线性函数ａ′ｘ＋ｂ,因而也是容许估计     

绝对损失下双边截断型分布族参数的渐近最优经验Bayes估计

本文在绝对损失下构造了双边截断型分布族参数的经验Bayes估计,并在合适的条件下证明了该估计的渐近最优性.最后,给出两个有关本文主要结果的例子.     

A Note on the Comedian for Elliptical Distributions

The comedianCOM(X, Y) of random variablesX,Yis a median based robust alternative to the covariance ofXofY. For the bivariate normal case it is known thatCOM(X, Y), standardized by the median absolute deviations ofXandY, is a symmetric, strictly increasing and continuous function of the correlation coefficientρwith range [−1, 1] and can therefore serve as a robust alternative toρ. We show that this result, which is not true in general, extends to elliptical distributions even in the case where moments ofX,Ydo not exist.     

用于指数可靠性增长模型的一类新的先验分布

该文提出了可用于指数分布产品四种可靠性增长试验方案的一类新的先验分布. 这类先验分布以条件分布形式给出, 它适合可靠性增长试验中的各种情况. 各阶段的条件均值和条件方差的表达式被获得, 先验分布的形式与它们的参数间的关系被讨论. 这些结果有助于与专家意见相结合.本文还给出试验末尾产品可靠性的后验密度, Bayesian估计和Bayesian下限.     

服从二维指数分布的非独立随机变量的线性组合的分布

国内外学者对αX+βγ的分布的研究很多,然而大部分都是在X与Y独立并且服从同一分布的前提下研究的,而对X与Y非独立的情况研究很少,至今未在国内见到相关研究成果,将基于这种考虑,以在可靠性中应用最广泛分布之一的二维指数分布为例,推出了αX+βY的分布.是受可靠性及质量工程等方面的现实例子启发下完成的.     

Inferences on Correlation Coefficients in Some Classes of Nonnormal Distributions

Correlation coefficients have many applications for studying the relationship among multivariate observations. Classical inferences on correlation coefficients are mainly based on the normality assumption. This assumption is hardly realistic in the real world, which implies that the procedures on correlation coefficients used in many statistical software packages may not be relevant to most data sets in practice. However, we show that the classical procedures, possibly after simple corrections, are also valid in classes of distributions with large skewnesses and heterogeneous marginal kurtoses. A useful class of nonnormal distributions is identified for each of several types of correlation coefficients. The marginals of these distributions may include a variety of univariate distributions with different shapes. The results generalize the classical procedures to much larger classes of distributions than previously known and give a better understanding of the historical controversy regarding the behavior of the sample correlation coefficient. An implication is that one need not be worried so much by the nonnormality of data sets when using these classical procedures, providing simple corrections are evaluated and possibly undertaken.     

Decomposition of Exponential Distributions on Positive Semigroups

Let (S,·) be a positive semigroup and T a sub-semigroup of S. In many natural cases, an element can be factored uniquely as x=yz, where and where z is in an associated “quotient space” S/T. If X has an exponential distribution on S, we show that Y and Z are independent and that Y has an exponential distribution on T. We prove a converse when the sub-semigroup is for . Specifically, we show that if Y _t and Z _t are independent and Y _t has an exponential distribution on S _t for each , then X has an exponential distribution on S. When applied to ([0,∞), +) and , these results unify and extend known results on the quotient and remainder when X is divided by t.     

Asymptotic Distributions of Zeros of Quadratic Hermite–Pade Polynomials Associated with the Exponential Function

The asymptotic distributions of zeros of the quadratic Hermite--Pad\'{e} polynomials $p_{n},q_{n},r_{n}\in{\cal P}_{n}$ associated with the exponential function are studied for $n\rightarrow\infty$. The polynomials are defined by the relation $$(*)\qquad p_{n}(z)+q_{n}(z)e^{z}+r_{n}(z)e^{2z}=O(z^{3n+2})\qquad\mbox{as} \quad z\rightarrow0,$$ and they form the basis for quadratic Hermite--Pad\'{e} approximants to $e^{z}$. In order to achieve a differentiated picture of the asymptotic behavior of the zeros, the independent variable $z$ is rescaled in such a way that all zeros of the polynomials $p_{n},q_{n},r_{n}$ have finite cluster points as $n\rightarrow\infty$. The asymptotic relations, which are proved, have a precision that is high enough to distinguish the positions of individual zeros. In addition to the zeros of the polynomials $p_{n},q_{n},r_{n}$, also the zeros of the remainder term of (*) are studied. The investigations complement asymptotic results obtained in [17].     

Multivariate Exponential Distributions with Constant Failure Rates

In this paper a multivariate failure rate representation based on Cox's conditional failure rate is introduced, characterizations of the Freund–Block and the Marshall–Olkin multivariate exponential distributions are obtained, and generalizations of the Block–Basu and the Friday–Patil bivariate exponential distributions are proposed.     

单参数指数分布参数比率统计推断的研究

本文在产品寿命服从单参数指数分布的无替换定数截尾寿命试验场合下,提出两独立产品的平均寿命比率的两个估计量并研究了它们的均值、方差、方差的估计、大截尾数性质、置信区间及最优截尾数的确定问题.然后进行了数据模拟,进一步验证了所提估计量的有效性.     

Estimation with Sequential Order Statistics from Exponential Distributions

The lifetime of an ordinary k-out-of-n system is described by the (n–k+1)-st order statistic from an iid sample. This set-up is based on the assumption that the failure of any component does not affect the remaining ones. Since this is possibly not fulfilled in technical systems, sequential order statistics have been proposed to model a change of the residual lifetime distribution after the breakdown of some component. We investigate such sequential k-out-of-n systems where the corresponding sequential order statistics, which describe the lifetimes of these systems, are based on one- and two-parameter exponential distributions. Given differently structured systems, we focus on three estimation concepts for the distribution parameters. MLEs, UMVUEs and BLUEs of the location and scale parameters are presented. Several properties of these estimators, such as distributions and consistency, are established. Moreover, we illustrate how two sequential k-out-of-n systems based on exponential distributions can be compared by means of the probability P(X < Y). Since other models of ordered random variables, such as ordinary order statistics, record values and progressive type II censored order statistics can be viewed as sequential order statistics, all the results can be applied to these situations as well.     

Multivariate Discrete Distributions with a Product-Type Dependence

A discrete multivariate probability distribution for dependent random variables, which contains the Poisson and Geometric conditionals distributions as particular cases, is characterized by means of conditional expectations of arbitrary one-to-one functions. Independence of the random variables is also characterized in terms of these conditional expectations. For certain exchangeable and partially exchangeable random variables with a joint distribution of this form it is shown that maximum likelihood estimates coincide with the simple method of moments estimates, suggesting that these models offer a pragmatic way to analyze certain dependent data.