Comparisons of Multi-State Systems with Binary Components of Different Sizes

Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability - The system signatures of multi-state coherent or mixed systems with i.i.d. (independent and identically distributed) binary-state components are...     

失效单调关联系统中可存活元件的剩余寿命的混合表示

本文中研究的是由$n$个独立同分布元件构成的单调关联系统,当该单调关联系统失效时得到了系统中可存活元件的剩余寿命的可靠性函数的混合表示.基于signature的概念,对两个系统的剩余寿命进行了随机比较.     

Joint Reliability Function of Coherent Systems with Shared Heterogeneous Components

In this paper, we consider two coherent systems having shared components. We assume that in the two systems there are three different types of components; components of type one that just belong to the first system, components of type two that lie only in the second system and components of type three that are shared by the two systems. We use the concept of joint survival signature to assess the joint reliability function of the two systems. Using this concept, some representations for the joint reliability function of the system lifetimes are obtained under two different scenarios of component failures. In the first scenario, we assume that the components of the systems fail according to different counting processes such as non-homogeneous Poisson processes. In the second scenario, it is assumed that the component lifetimes of each type are exchangeable while the three types of component lifetimes can be independent or dependent. To illustrate the theoretical results, two systems with shared components are studied numerically and graphically.

     

有优先权三不同部件温贮备可修系统可靠性分析

针对由三个不同部件,一个完全可靠的开关和一个修理设备组成的温贮备可修系统,建立了部件的工作寿命,贮备寿命,工作故障后的修理时间和贮备故障后的修理时间均服从不同参数的指数分布的数学模型,利用Markov型可修系统的研究方法,并采用MATLAB软件给出了该系统的首次故障前的平均时间、可用度和故障频率等可靠性指标的表达式.     

随机结构系统基于可靠性的优化设计

提出了以梁板（薄板）为基体的随机结构系统（即结构元件的面积、长度、弹性模量和强度等均为随机变量）在随机载荷作用下,基于可靠性的优化设计方法．给出了随机结构系统安全余量和系统可靠性指标的敏度表达式;给出最佳矢量型算法．首先是用改进的一次二阶矩和随机有限元法求出安全余量的可靠性指标的表达式,然后用概率网络估算(PNET)法求出系统失效概率的公式,对该式两边求导得出了系统可靠性指标的敏度表达式,进而用最佳矢量型算法进行优化设计．在优化迭代过程中,采用梯度步和最佳矢量步相结合的方法进行计算．最后给出了一个算例,说明该方法计算效率高,收敛稳定,适合工程应用．     

Some Sufficient Conditions for Stochastic Comparisons Between Hitting Times for Skip-free Markov Chains

We develop some sufficient conditions for the usual stochastic ordering between hitting times, of a fixed state, for two finite Markov chains with the same state-space. Our attention will be focused on the so called skip-free case and, for the proof of our results, we develop a special type of coupling. We also analyze some special cases of applications in the frame of reliability degradation and of times to occurrence of words under random sampling of letters from a finite alphabet. As will be briefly discussed such fields give rise, in a natural way, to skip-free Markov chains.     

Stochastic Comparisons of Symmetric Sampling Designs

We compare estimators of the integral of a monotone function f that can be observed only at a sample of points in its domain, possibly with error. Most of the standard literature considers sampling designs ordered by refinements and compares them in terms of mean square error or, as in Goldstein et al. (2011), the stronger convex order. In this paper we compare sampling designs in the convex order without using partition refinements. Instead we order two sampling designs based on partitions of the sample space, where a fixed number of points is allocated at random to each partition element. We show that if the two random vectors whose components correspond to the number allocated to each partition element are ordered by stochastic majorization, then the corresponding estimators are likewise convexly ordered. If the function f is not monotone, then we show that the convex order comparison does not hold in general, but a weaker variance comparison does.     

考虑动态相依性的可靠性系统随机Copula模型及其参数估计

动态变化是现代复杂工程系统的典型特征,动态相依系统可靠性理论能更好地揭示系统在工作阶段复杂的状态的性能,动态相依系统成为可靠性研究领域的热点和难点。本文基于随机Copula模型研究了可靠性系统在动态相依下的可靠性,介绍了随机Copula模型,基于极大似然理论的参数估计方法,给出了基于随机Copula模型的串联与并联系统在动态相依下的可靠度计算方法,并对独立系统、静态相依系统及动态相依系统的可靠度进行了比较分析,最后给出了数值算例。仿真算例的结果,验证了本文方法的可行性和有效性。     

随机时变线性系统的稳定性

利用构造二次型Ｌｙａｐｕｎｏｖ函数和Ｉｔｏ公式研究了一般ｎ维时变线性Ｉｔｏ型随机微分系统的稳定性,给出了二维时变线性系统的三种常见情形的均方指数 稳定或均方渐近稳定的充分判据。     

关于Gamma分布的秩序统计量的随机比较

对于独立不同分布的两个Gamma样本，当它们相同的形状参数大于或等于1时，最近Korwar(2002)证明了，当它们的尺度参数满足优化序时，样本的卷积就满足似然比序．本文我们证明了，当Gamma分布的形状参数小于1时，样本的对应秩序统计量之间存在一致的一般随机序；然而当形状参数大于1时，样本对应的极大值和极小值统计量有着相反的一般随机序。     

Stochastic Ordering Among Success Runs Statistics in a Sequence of Exchangeable Binary Trials

A new scheme-distribution-based representation is presented for the cumulative distribution function of the number of success runs of length k in a sequence of exchangeable binary trials. By utilizing this new representation, some stochastic ordering results are obtained to compare success runs. The results are illustrated for beta-binomial distributions of order k.     

Stabilization of Stochastic Hybrid Linear Systems with Noise

Abstract

This article deals with the class of uncertain stochastic hybrid linear systems with noise. The uncertainties we are considering are of norm bounded type. The stochastic stabilization and robust stabilization problems are treated. Linear matrix inequality (LMI)-based sufficient conditions are developed to design the state feedback controller with constant gain that stochastically (robust stochastically) stabilizes the studied class of systems. Our results are mode independent and require only the complete access to the state vector. Numerical examples are given to show the effectiveness of the proposed results.     

逆Weibull分布随机变量的随机比较

研究了两个相互独立的逆Weibull分布随机变量间的随机序,似然比序,危险率序以及凸序之间的相互关系,给出了两个相互独立但不同分布的随机变量满足各种随机序时其分布所含参数间的相应关系．也给出了两组相互独立但不同分布的随机变量极值间在一般随机序下的大小关系．     

Stochastic Comparisons and Dependence among Concomitants of Order Statistics

Let (X_i, Y_i) i=1, 2, …, n be n independent and identically distributed random variables from some continuous bivariate distribution. If X_(r) denotes the rth ordered X-variate then the Y-variate, Y_[r], paired with X_(r) is called the concomitant of the rth order statistic. In this paper we obtain new general results on stochastic comparisons and dependence among concomitants of order statistics under different types of dependence between the parent random variables X and Y. The results obtained apply to any distribution with monotone dependence between X and Y. In particular, when X and Y are likelihood ratio dependent, it is shown that the successive concomitants of order statistics are increasing according to likelihood ratio ordering and they are TP₂ dependent in pairs. If we assume that the conditional hazard rate of Y given X=x is decreasing in x, then the concomitants are increasing according to hazard rate ordering and are dependent according to the right corner set increasing property. Finally, it is proved that if Y is stochastically increasing in X, then the concomitants of order statistics are stochastically increasing and are associated. Analogous results are obtained when the variables X and Y are negatively dependent. We also prove that if the hazard rate of the conditional distribution of Y given X=x is decreasing in x and y, then the concomitants have DFR (decreasing failure rate) distributions and are ordered according to dispersive ordering.     

逆Weibull分布随机变量的随机比较(英文)

研究了两个相互独立的逆Weibull分布随机变量间的随机序,似然比序,危险率序以及凸序之间的相互关系,给出了两个相互独立但不同分布的随机变量满足各种随机序时其分布所含参数间的相应关系.也给出了两组相互独立但不同分布的随机变量极值间在一般随机序下的大小关系.     

Gompertz分布顺序统计量的一些随机比较

考虑两组相互独立的来自非齐次总体Gompertz分布的样本,给出了最小顺序统计量的反向失效率序、散度序以及凸变换序之间的比较和最大顺序统计量的普通随机序的比较.     

Comparisons of the Expectations of System and Component Lifetimes in the Failure Dependent Proportional Hazard Model

Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability - In the failure dependent proportional hazard model, it is assumed that identical components work jointly in a system. At the moments of...     

无限时滞的非线性随机泛函微分方程

本文考虑了无限时滞的非线性随机泛函微分方程,作者在局部利普希茨条件和非线性增长条件下证明了全局解的存在唯一性,矩指数稳定性和渐近稳定性.