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1.
考虑带扰动的两类索赔风险模型.两类索赔来到的计数过程分别为独立的Poisson过程和广义Erlang(n)过程.得到了此模型的罚金折扣函数的拉普拉斯变换,并且当两类索赔额分布密度的拉普拉斯变换均为有理函数时,给出了罚金折扣函数的具体表达式.  相似文献   

2.
离散的相依风险模型的破产问题   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
研究一类索赔时间相依的离散风险模型,模型中假设每次主索赔可能引起一次副索赔,而每次副索赔有可能延迟发生.通过引入辅助模型,运用概率论的分析方法得到了破产前瞬时盈余和破产时赤字联合分布的递推解,以及初始值为0时最终破产概率的明确表达式.最后结合保险实例进行了数值模拟.  相似文献   

3.
研究了马氏环境下带干扰的Cox风险模型.首先给出了罚金折现期望函数满足的积分方程,然后给出了破产概率,破产前瞬时盈余、破产赤字的分布及各阶矩所满足的积分方程.最后给出当索赔额服从指数分布且理赔强度为两状态时的破产概率的拉普拉斯变换.  相似文献   

4.
赵明清  张伟 《经济数学》2011,28(2):44-48
考虑了一类离散相依的风险模型,该模型假设主索赔以一定的概率引起两种副索赔,而第一种副索赔有可能延迟发生.通过引入一个辅助模型,分别得出了该风险模型初始盈余为0时破产前盈余与破产时赤字的联合分布的表达式、初始盈余为"时破产前盈余和破产时赤字的联合分布的递推公式、初始盈余为0时的破产概率,以及初始盈余为"时的破产概率求解方...  相似文献   

5.
本文考虑了具有随机收入的两类索赔干扰风险模型.建立了破产前最大盈余分布(?)(u;d)所满足的积分-微分方程,假设年金收入量为指数分布时,得到了当d→+∞时,(?)(u;d)的拉普拉斯解,给出了当两类索赔数量分布均属于有理函数族时破产前最大盈余分布的显式解.  相似文献   

6.
本文研究了索赔服从Phase-type分布的风险模型在第n次索赔时破产的概率问题.利用Phasetype分布的性质及索赔时刻的盈余与净收入之间的关系,得到盈余密度函数的Laplace变换递推关系,进而得出风险过程在第n次索赔时的破产概率,最后举例说明之.  相似文献   

7.
研究了常利率下基于对偶复合泊松模型带阈值的分红策略,给出了公司在破产时累积红利期望现值函数的两个积分-微分方程,分情况讨论了收益服从指数分布时的显示表达式,以及服从一般分布时的拉普拉斯变换表达式.  相似文献   

8.
该文主要讨论带干扰古典风险模型的破产瞬间余额和破产赤字的边际及联合分布.借助于修正阶梯高度的结果,得到了它们的表达式.当索赔服从指数分布时,给出它们的精确表达.  相似文献   

9.
稀疏过程的三特征的联合分布函数   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文考虑一类人寿保险,保费到达为Po isson过程,索赔到达为p-稀疏过程,我们推导三特征的联合分布函数;破产时间,破产概率,破产前的盈余,破产赤字,并由这联合分布得破产概率的显示表达式.  相似文献   

10.
本文考虑了索赔时间间距为phase-type分布时带干扰更新风险模型中的破产前最大盈余、破产后赤字的分布,建立了相应的积分-微分方程.最后,讨论了当索赔时间间距为Erlang(2)分布且索赔量满足指数分布时的特殊情形.  相似文献   

11.
随机利率作用下的经典风险模型的破产概率   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文讨论了在随机利率作用下经典风险模型的破产问题,给出了导致公司破产的索赔额的L ap lace变换所满足的微分方程,给出了破产概率二次连续可微性的条件,得到了导致公司破产的所满足的积分微分方程;破产时刻公司赤字的L ap lace变换所满足的积分-微分方程.作为特例,本文给出了当索赔为指数分布地导致破产索赔额的L ap lace变换和破产时刻赤字的L ap lace变换的微分方程.  相似文献   

12.
In this paper, we consider a Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function in Sparre Andersen risk process in which claim inter-arrival times have a phase-type (2) distribution, a distribution with a density satisfying a second order linear differential equation. By conditioning on the time and the amount of the first claim, we derive a Laplace transform of the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function, and then we consider the joint density function of the surplus prior to ruin and the deficit at ruin and some ruin related problems. Finally, we give a numerical example to illustrate the application of the results.  相似文献   

13.
In this paper, we consider a Sparre Andersen risk model where the interclaim time and claim size follow some bivariate distribution. Assuming that the risk model is also perturbed by a jump-diffusion process, we study the Gerber?CShiu functions when ruin is due to a claim or the jump-diffusion process. By using a q-potential measure, we obtain some integral equations for the Gerber?CShiu functions, from which we derive the Laplace transforms and defective renewal equations. When the joint density of the interclaim time and claim size is a finite mixture of bivariate exponentials, we obtain the explicit expressions for the Gerber?CShiu functions.  相似文献   

14.
In this paper, we consider an insurance risk model governed by a Markovian arrival claim process and by phase-type distributed claim amounts, which also allows for claim sizes to be correlated with the inter-claim times. A defective renewal equation of matrix form is derived for the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function and solved using matrix analytic methods. The use of the busy period distribution for the canonical fluid flow model is a key factor in our analysis, allowing us to obtain an explicit form of the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function avoiding thus the use of Lundberg’s fundamental equation roots. As a special case, we derive the triple Laplace transform of the time to ruin, surplus prior to ruin, and deficit at ruin in explicit form, further obtaining the discounted joint and marginal moments of the surplus prior to ruin and the deficit at ruin.  相似文献   

15.
In this paper, we focus on analyzing the relationship between the discounted aggregate claim costs until ruin and ruin-related quantities including the time of ruin. To facilitate the evaluation of quantities of our interest as an approximation to the ones in the continuous case, discrete-time renewal risk model with certain dependent structure between interclaim times and claim amounts is considered. Furthermore, to provide explicit expressions for various moment-based joint probabilities, a fairly general class of distributions, namely the discrete Coxian distribution, is used for the interclaim times. Also, we assume a combination of geometrics claim size with arbitrary interlciam time distribution to derive a nice expression for the Gerber-Shiu type function involving the discounted aggregate claims until ruin. Consequently, the results are applied to evaluate some interesting quantities including the covariance between the discounted aggregate claim costs until ruin and the discounted claim causing ruin given that ruin occurs.  相似文献   

16.
In this paper, we consider a renewal risk model with stochastic premiums income. We assume that the premium number process and the claim number process are a Poisson process and a generalized Erlang (n) processes, respectively. When the individual stochastic premium sizes are exponentially distributed, the Laplace transform and a defective renewal equation for the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function are obtained. Furthermore, the discounted joint distribution of the surplus just before ruin and the deficit at ruin is given. When the claim size distributions belong to the rational family, the explicit expression of the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function is derived. Finally, a specific example is provided.  相似文献   

17.
研究了当保费率随理赔强度的变化而变化时C ox风险模型的折现罚金函数,利用后向差分法得到了折现罚金函数所满足的积分方程,进而得到了破产概率,破产前瞬时盈余、破产时赤字的各阶矩所满足的积分方程.最后给出当理赔额服从指数分布,理赔强度为两状态的马氏过程时破产概率的拉普拉斯变换,对一些具体数值计算出了破产概率的表达式.  相似文献   

18.
复合Poisson-Geometric风险模型Gerber-Shiu折现惩罚函数   总被引:11,自引:0,他引:11  
本文研究赔付为复合Poisson-Geometric过程的风险模型,首先得到了Gerber-Shiu折现惩罚期望函数所满足的更新方程,然后在此基础上推导出了破产概率和破产即刻前赢余分布等所满足的更新方程,再运用Laplace方法得出了破产概率的Pollazek-Khinchin公式,最后根据Pollazek-Khinchin公式,直接得出了当索赔分布服从指数分布的情形下破产概率的显示表达式.  相似文献   

19.
A completely dependent risk process with perturbation and phase-type distributed claim sizes is analyzed. Claim arrivals are modeled by a Markovian arrival process. Using a vector-valued martingale, the Laplace transform of the time to ruin is derived algorithmically. The conditional memoryless property of the phase-type distribution yields the distribution of the deficit at ruin as a corollary.  相似文献   

20.
In this paper a class of risk processes in which claims occur as a renewal process is studied. A clear expression for Laplace transform of the survival probability is well given when the claim amount distribution is Erlang distribution or mixed Erlang distribution. The expressions for moments of the time to ruin with the model above are given.  相似文献   

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