关于拟合优度检验的EDF统计量的若干评注

拟合优度检验是建立统计模型的一个重要手段，很多检验统计量用一个理想样本能达到它们自己的极值，但ＥＤＦ统计量做不到，这无疑会影响检验的势，在本文中，我们将提出某些调整型ＥＤＦ统计量，它们具有这些性质，并改进了ＥＤＦ检验，蒙得卡罗模拟表明，调整型ＥＤＦ统计量在很多场合要必ＥＤＦ具有更高的优势，特别对重尾的备选分布更是这样，我们还考察了检验的形态与它们的极值点之间的关系。     

一类上界型拟合优度检验统计量的精确分布

对于简单假设的拟合优度检验,Zhang (2002)构造出一类上界型检验.取不同的参数$\lambda$和不同的权函数$q(t)$,这类检验包含了Kolmogorov-Smirov检验, Berk and Jones(1979)检验等已有的上界型检验.文献中仅对极少数$\lambda$和$q(t)$所对应的检验给出了零假设下的精确分布.然而, 针对不同的问题, ``好'的检验是不同的,因此有必要对任意给定的$\lambda$和$q(t)$情况, 讨论该类检验.本文对任意给定的$\lambda$和$q(t)\equiv 1$情况,导出了相应上界型检验统计量在零假设下的精确分布. 当样本容量$n$较大时,精确分布的计算时间较长, 本文还通过模拟比较得到了在不同样本量下,应采用的计算方法. 最后, 给出一个实际例子对前述方法加以简单说明.     

NBU分布类的拟合优度检验

一个寿命分布F称为属于新的比旧的好的分布类(NBU),若: R(x y)≤R(x)R(y) x,y≥0这里R(x)=1-F(x)。若R(x y)≥R(x)R(y),称作旧的比新的好(NWU)。本文讨论可靠性中应用非常广泛的NBU分布类的检验问题,即下列检验问题:原假设H_0:F是NBU的。备选假设H_A:F不是NBU。给出了检验函数。并证明了备选假设是H_A:F是NWU时,检验是无偏的。     

上界型拟合优度检验

对简单零假设情况,构造出一类上界型拟合优度检验.取不同的参数λ和不同的权函数,这类检验不仅包含许多已存在的检验,如Kolmogorov-Smirov检验,Berk-Jones检验等,而且还给出一些新的检验.众所周知,对不同的问题,"最优"的检验是不同的,有必要对这类检验的性质进行讨论.该文对任意给定的λ和较一般的权函数q(·),在较弱的条件下,导出了相应上界型检验统计量在零假设下的渐近分布,研究了它们的局部渐近功效;在若干固定备择假设下,对该类检验的功效进行了模拟研究.模拟结果表明,在不同的备择假设下,功效较优的检验是不同的,不存在对所有情况一致最优的检验.     

浅谈分布数据的x2拟合优度检验

本文给出X为离散分布或连续分布时不同情况下数据的x2拟合优度检验.     

参数未知的PPNeyman拟合优度检验及其Bootstran逼近

设ｑ维总体Ｘ的分布函数为Ｇ（ｘ），对于零假设Ｈ０：Ｇ（ｘ）＝Ｆ（ｘ），在Ｆ（ｘ）完全已知时，文献［２］给出了其ＰＰＮｙｍａｎ型拟合优度检验。本文对Ｆ（ｘ）为含有未知参数的椭球分布情形，给出了其ＰＰＮｅｙｍａｎ到检验统计量，获得了检验统计量的极限分布，并给出了用Ｂｏｏｔ－ｓｔｒａｐ技巧确定其否定域临界值的方法．     

变系数部分线性模型的拟合优度检验

本文考虑变系数部分线性模型的拟合优度检验问题.基于Profile经验似然方法,构造了参数部分和非参数部分的经验似然比检验统计量.并证明了其满足Wilks'现象,进而得到了一定置信水平的拒绝域.最后通过数据模拟,讨论了其检验功效.     

高维随机截尾数据的PP拟合优度检验

关于一维删截数据的拟合优度检验，已有相当多的文献，但高维截尾数据的拟合优度检验尚不多见．本文用PP技巧讨论了高维截尾数据的拟合优度检验，得到了检验统计量的渐近分布，并讨论了其Bootstrap逼近及逼近的相容性和检验的渐近功效．     

时间序列中向量自回归模型的拟合优度检验

本文提出并研究了一些诊断检验工具,用于一般参数型的时间序列向量自回归模型的拟合优度检验．该检验在零假设下渐近服从卡方分布,并能侦察到以参数速度收敛到零假设模型的备择模型．检验涉及到权函数,因此可以灵活地选择权函数以提高检验功效,尤其是在可能的偏离方向已知情形．如果备择不是方向型的,而只知道其属于某一个模型类中,此时可构造一个渐近分布自由的极大极小（maximin）检验．对于饱和备择,基于得分型思想给出了构造万能（omnibus）检验的可行性构想．本文对提出的检验从理论上进行了功效研究．另外,为提高检验在小样本情形的功效,本文把非参数Monte Carlo检验方法推广到相依数据情形．最后,通过模拟研究和实际数据分析进一步表明检验的有用性．     

随机PP Kolmogorov多维拟合优度检验乃其Bootstrap逼近

本文提出了一种基于随机选择投影方向的PP型棉球等高分布族的拟合优度检验，其特点是计算上较通常的PP检验统计量简单．得到了其检验统计量在零假设下的极限分布，讨论了其Bootstrap逼近及逼近的相容性．     

一类相合的分位点型检验

广义非参数似然比检验统计量是一类很广的统计量,包含了众多重要的检验统计量,如Anderson-Darling(AD)等.利用Rubin的随机经验分布函数替代经验分布函数的方法,得到了广义非参数似然比检验统计量的新版本,构造了新的检验统计量.由于新的检验统计量在给定样本下仍然是随机变量,选择了它的分位点和期望作为检验统计量,分别称之为分位点型检验统计量和期望型检验统计量.在简单假设情况下,证明了分位点型检验统计量和期望型检验统计量在固定备择下的相合性.模拟结果显示,在某些备择下,新的检验的功效明显高于原有的基于经验分布函数的检验的功效.     

Intermediate Approach to Comparison of Some Goodness-of-Fit Tests

In this paper we present the intermediate approach to investigating asymptotic power and measuring the efficiency of nonparametric goodness-of-fit tests for testing uniformity. Contrary to the classical Pitman approach, the intermediate approach allows the explicit quantitative comparison of powers and calculation of efficiencies. For standard tests, like the Cramér-von Mises test, an intermediate approach gives conclusions consistent with qualitative results obtained using the Pitman approach. For other more complicated cases the Pitman approach does not give the right picture of power behaviour. An example is the data driven Neyman test we present in this paper. In this case the intermediate approach gives results consistent with finite sample results. Moreover, using this setting, we prove that the data driven Neyman test is asymptotically the most powerful and efficient under any smooth departures from uniformity. This result shows that, contrary to classical tests being efficient and the most powerful under one particular type of departure from uniformity, the new test is an adaptive one.     

Goodness-of-Fit Tests for the Inverse Gaussian Distribution Based on the Empirical Laplace Transform

This paper considers two flexible classes of omnibus goodness-of-fit tests for the inverse Gaussian distribution. The test statistics are weighted integrals over the squared modulus of some measure of deviation of the empirical distribution of given data from the family of inverse Gaussian laws, expressed by means of the empirical Laplace transform. Both classes of statistics are connected to the first nonzero component of Neyman's smooth test for the inverse Gaussian distribution. The tests, when implemented via the parametric bootstrap, maintain a nominal level of significance very closely. A large-scale simulation study shows that the new tests compare favorably with classical goodness-of-fit tests for the inverse Gaussian distribution, based on the empirical distribution function.     

Asymptotic Approximations for the Distributions of the Multinomial Goodness-of-Fit Statistics under Local Alternatives

N. Cressie and T. R. C. Read (1984, J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B46, 440–464) introduced a class of multinomial goodness-of-fit statistics R^a based on power divergence. All R^a have the same chi-square limiting distribution under null hypothesis and have the same noncentral chi-square limiting distribution under local alternatives. In this paper, we investigate asymptotic approximations for the distributions of R^a under local alternatives. We obtain an expression of approximation for the distribution of R^a under local alternatives. The expression consists of continuous and discontinuous terms. Using the continuous term of the expression, we propose a new approximation of the power of R^a. We call the approximation AE approximation. By numerical investigation of the accuracy of the AE approximation, we present a range of sample size n that the omission of the discontinuous term exercises only slight influence on power approximation of R^a. We find that the AE approximation is effective for a much wider range of the value of a than the other power approximations, except for an approximation method which requires high computer performance.     

Some convergence theorems on a supercritical Galton-Watson process

Summary LetX=(X _n; n≧0,X ₀=1) be a supercritical Galton-Watson process. The limiting distribution of ) where is the m.l.e. of the offspring mean, is derived. As an application of this result, some limit theorems leading ultimately to a parameter free result of statistical interest, are also established.     

Local Power Properties of Kernel Based Goodness of Fit Tests

If (X_i, i ) is a strictly stationary process with marginal density function f, we are interested in testing the hypothesis H₀: {f=f₀}, where f₀ is given. We consider different test statistics based on integrated quadratic forms measuring the proximity between f_n, a kernel estimator of f, and f₀, or between f_n and its expected value computed under H₀. We study the asymptotic local power properties of the testing procedures under local alternatives. This study generalizes to the multidimensional case in a context of dependence the corresponding one made by P. J. Bickel and M. Rosenblatt in 1973 (Ann. Statist.1, 1071–1095).     

我国教育统计与教育统计指标体系

建立中国教育统计指标体系具有重要的现实意义，本文提出了第一类教育统计与第二类教育统计，分析了第二类教育统计的现状，指出了它的弊端，其目的是为了更好实现对基层教育的改革．     

Goodness-of-Fit Tests for the Cauchy Distribution Based on the Empirical Characteristic Function

Let X ₁,...,X _n be independent observations on a random variable X. This paper considers a class of omnibus procedures for testing the hypothesis that the unknown distribution of X belongs to the family of Cauchy laws. The test statistics are weighted integrals of the squared modulus of the difference between the empirical characteristic function of the suitably standardized data and the characteristic function of the standard Cauchy distribution. A large-scale simulation study shows that the new tests compare favorably with the classical goodness-of-fit tests for the Cauchy distribution, based on the empirical distribution function. For small sample sizes and short-tailed alternatives, the uniformly most powerful invariant test of Cauchy versus normal beats all other tests under discussion.     

Goodness of Fit Tests in Random Coefficient Regression Models

Random coefficient regressions have been applied in a wide range of fields, from biology to economics, and constitute a common frame for several important statistical models. A nonparametric approach to inference in random coefficient models was initiated by Beran and Hall. In this paper we introduce and study goodness of fit tests for the coefficient distributions; their asymptotic behavior under the null hypothesis is obtained. We also propose bootstrap resampling strategies to approach these distributions and prove their asymptotic validity using results by Giné and Zinn on bootstrap empirical processes. A simulation study illustrates the properties of these tests.     

删失数据下几种两样本检验的功效研究

本文讨论了删失数据下的两样本检验问题,并提出了一个新的检验统计量.在样本来自指数分布和Weibull分布及不同的删失水平下,我们把这种检验与其它检验的功效进行了比较.结果表明,在某些情况下,这种检验比其它检验好.