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1.
Let X 1, X 2,... be a sequence of i.i.d. non-negative random variables with heavy tails. W e study logarithmic asymptotics for the distributions of the partial sums S n = X 1 + ··· + X n . Our main interest is in the crude estimates P(S n > n x ) n x + 1 for appropriate values of x where is a specific parameter. The related conjecture proposed by Gantert (Stat. Probab. Lett. 49, 113–118) is investigated.  相似文献   

2.
本文研究一维独立同分布随机风景中的随机游动的中偏差.通过给出一些有用的高阶矩估计并结合G(a)rtner-Ellis定理,得到主要结果.  相似文献   

3.
We consider a modulated process S which, conditional on a background process X, has independent increments. Assuming that S drifts to −∞ and that its increments (jumps) are heavy-tailed (in a sense made precise in the paper), we exhibit natural conditions under which the asymptotics of the tail distribution of the overall maximum of S can be computed. We present results in discrete and in continuous time. In particular, in the absence of modulation, the process S in continuous time reduces to a Lévy process with heavy-tailed Lévy measure. A central point of the paper is that we make full use of the so-called “principle of a single big jump” in order to obtain both upper and lower bounds. Thus, the proofs are entirely probabilistic. The paper is motivated by queueing and Lévy stochastic networks.  相似文献   

4.
We consider a random walk {S n} with dependent heavy-tailed increments and negative drift. We study the asymptotics for the tail probability P{sup n S n >x} as x. If the increments of {S n} are independent then the exact asymptotic behavior of P{sup n S n >x} is well known. We investigate the case in which the increments are given as a one-sided asymptotically stationary linear process. The tail behavior of sup n S n turns out to depend heavily on the coefficients of this linear process.  相似文献   

5.
In this paper, we study strong laws of large numbers for random walks in random sceneries. Some mild sufficient conditions for the validity of strong laws of large numbers are obtained.  相似文献   

6.
We prove large and moderate deviation estimates for products of i.i.d. r.v.'s taking values on simply connected nilpotent Lie groups as a consequence of large and moderate deviation results for stochastic processes which are solutions of O.D.E. with random coefficients.  相似文献   

7.
We firstly discuss the topological properties of the space of upper semicontinuous functions, and then we obtain large deviation principles for random upper semicontinuous functions under various topologies. Finally, we prove moderate deviation principles for random sets and random upper semicontinuous functions.  相似文献   

8.
文献[1]对于一些经典重尾随机变量的随机和大偏差作了有意义的讨论,本文则讨论了另外一些同样有用的重尾随机和的大偏差.  相似文献   

9.
We prove a large deviations principle for the number of intersections of two independent infinite-time ranges in dimension 5 and greater, improving upon the moment bounds of Khanin, Mazel, Shlosman, and Sinaï [9]. This settles, in the discrete setting, a conjecture of van den Berg, Bolthausen, and den Hollander [15], who analyzed this question for the Wiener sausage in the finite-time horizon. The proof builds on their result (which was adapted in the discrete setting by Phetpradap [12]), and combines it with a series of tools that were developed in recent works of the authors [2, 3, 5]. Moreover, we show that most of the intersection occurs in a single box where both walks realize an occupation density of order 1. © 2022 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.  相似文献   

10.
Large Deviations for Sums of Independent Heavy-Tailed Random Variables   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
We obtain precise large deviations for heavy-tailed random sums , of independent random variables. are nonnegative integer-valued random variables independent of r.v. (X i )i N with distribution functions F i. We assume that the average of right tails of distribution functions F i is equivalent to some distribution function with regularly varying tail. An example with the Pareto law as the limit function is given.  相似文献   

11.
We consider a random walk on a finite group G based on a generating set that is a union of conjugacy classes. Let the nonnegative integer valued random variable T denote the first time the walk arrives at the identity element of G, if the starting point of the walk is uniformly distributed on G. Under suitable hypotheses, we show that the distribution function F of T is almost exponential, and we give an error term.  相似文献   

12.
13.
随机环境中广义随机游动的灭绝概率   总被引:11,自引:1,他引:10  
随机环境中广义随机游动(GRWRE)是随机环境中随机游动(RWRE)的推广.该文构造了非负整数集上的GRWRE,证明了这种模型的存在性,并计算了灭绝概率.  相似文献   

14.
负相依随机变量之和的概率大偏差不等式   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
刘立新  王贵保 《应用数学》1998,11(3):103-108
本文建立了负相依随机变量序列的概率大偏差不等式,并推广了以往文献的结果.  相似文献   

15.
In this paper, we obtain results on precise large deviations for non-random and random sums of negatively associated nonnegative random variables with common dominatedly varying tail distribution function. We discover that, under certain conditions, three precise large-deviation prob- abilities with different centering numbers are equivalent to each other. Furthermore, we investigate precise large deviations for sums of negatively associated nonnegative random variables with certain negatively dependent occurrences. The obtained results extend and improve the corresponding results of Ng, Tang, Yan and Yang (J. Appl. Prob., 41, 93-107, 2004).  相似文献   

16.
We establish moderate and small deviations for the ranges of integer valued random walks. Our theorems apply to the limsup and the liminf laws of the iterated logarithm. We establish moderate and small deviations for the ranges of integer valued random walks. Our theorems apply to the limsup and the liminf laws of the iterated logarithm.  相似文献   

17.
Large Deviations of Heavy-Tailed Sums with Applications in Insurance   总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13  
First we give a short review of large deviation results for sums of i.i.d. random variables. The main emphasis is on heavy-tailed distributions. We stress more the methodology than the detailed calculations. Large deviation techniques are then applied to randomly indexed sums and shot noise processes. We also indicate the close relationship between large deviation results and the modeling of large insurance claims. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

18.
The usual random walk on a group (homogeneous both in time and in space) is determined by a probability measure on the group. In a random walk with random transition probabilities this single measure is replaced with a stationary sequence of measures, so that the resulting (random) Markov chains are still space homogeneous, but no longer time homogeneous. We study various notions of measure theoretical boundaries associated with this model and establish an analogue of the Poisson formula for (random) bounded harmonic functions. Under natural conditions on transition probabilities we identify these boundaries for several classes of groups with hyperbolic properties and prove the boundary triviality (i.e., the absence of non-constant random bounded harmonic functions) for groups of subexponential growth, in particular, for nilpotent groups.  相似文献   

19.
We study a random walk on a complex of finitely many half-lines joined at a common origin; jumps are heavy-tailed and of two types, either one-sided (towards the origin) or two-sided (symmetric). Transmission between half-lines via the origin is governed by an irreducible Markov transition matrix, with associated stationary distribution \(\mu _k\). If \(\chi _k\) is 1 for one-sided half-lines k and 1 / 2 for two-sided half-lines, and \(\alpha _k\) is the tail exponent of the jumps on half-line k, we show that the recurrence classification for the case where all \(\alpha _k \chi _k \in (0,1)\) is determined by the sign of \(\sum _k \mu _k \cot ( \chi _k \pi \alpha _k )\). In the case of two half-lines, the model fits naturally on \({{\mathbb {R}}}\) and is a version of the oscillating random walk of Kemperman. In that case, the cotangent criterion for recurrence becomes linear in \(\alpha _1\) and \(\alpha _2\); our general setting exhibits the essential nonlinearity in the cotangent criterion. For the general model, we also show existence and non-existence of polynomial moments of return times. Our moments results are sharp (and new) for several cases of the oscillating random walk; they are apparently even new for the case of a homogeneous random walk on \({{\mathbb {R}}}\) with symmetric increments of tail exponent \(\alpha \in (1,2)\).  相似文献   

20.
Let (Xi) be a martingale difference sequence and Sn=∑^ni=1Xi Suppose (Xi) i=1 is bounded in L^p. In the case p ≥2, Lesigne and Volny (Stochastic Process. Appl. 96 (2001) 143) obtained the estimation μ(Sn 〉 n) ≤ cn^-p/2, Yulin Li (Statist. Probab. Lett. 62 (2003) 317) generalized the result to the case when p ∈ (1,2] and obtained μ(Sn 〉 n) ≤ cn^l-p, these are optimal in a certain sense. In this article, the authors study the large deviation of Sn for some dependent sequences and obtain the same order optimal upper bounds for μ(Sn 〉 n) as those for martingale difference sequence.  相似文献   

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