具有Vasicek利率的风险过程的破产概率的分解(英文)

In this paper, it is assumed that an insurer with a jump-diffusion risk process would invest its surplus in a bond market, and the interest structure of the bond market is assumed to follow the Vasicek interest model. This paper focuses on the studying of the ruin problems in the above compounded process. In this compounded risk model, ruin may be caused by a claim or oscillation. We decompose the ruin probability for the compounded risk process into two probabilities： the probability that ruin caused by a claim and the probability that ruin caused by oscillation. Integro-differential equations for these ruin probabilities are derived. When the claim sizes are exponentially distributed, the above-mentioned integro-differential equations can be reduced into a three-order partial differential equation.     

带干扰负风险和模型的破产概率

引进带干扰负风险和模型．给出该模型的破产概率所满足的积分-微分方程及解析式．     

二维风险模型中Copula 相依下的破产概率

在本文中, 我们把Copula 连结函数用到二维的风险模型中, 考虑两个模型索赔额之间基于Copula 的相依关系. 首先对二维复合Poisson 模型给出了最早破产时刻定义下的生存概率满足的偏微分方程; 然后对二维的复合二项模型, 分别在连续型索赔额分布和离散型索赔额分布下给出了不同定义的生存概率和破产概率的递归公式, 并且特别选择了FGM Copula 连结函数, 给出了相应的结果; 另外在离散型分布下, 对于其Copula 函数的不唯一性进行了说明.     

保险人投资策略与破产的关系

本文主要考虑带投资收益的风险模型,在该模型下保险人可以根据盈余投资,投资的数量为时间t的函数,我们得到保险人投资策略与破产概率与t时刻所满足的积分-微分方程.     

On a partial integrodifferential equation of Seal’s type

In this paper we generalize a partial integrodifferential equation satisfied by the finite time ruin probability in the classical Poisson risk model. The generalization also includes the bivariate distribution function of the time of and the deficit at ruin. We solve the partial integrodifferential equation by Laplace transforms with the help of Lagrange’s implicit function theorem. The assumption of mixed Erlang claim sizes is then shown to result in tractable computational formulas for the finite time ruin probability as well as the bivariate distribution function of the time of and the deficit at ruin. A more general partial integrodifferential equation is then briefly considered.     

The Ruin Probability in the Presence of Extended Regular Variation and Optimal Investment

Considering the classical model with risky investment, we are interested in the ruin probability that is minimized by a suitably chosen investment strategy for a capital market index. For claim sizes with common distribution of extended regular variation, starting from an integro-differential equation for the maximal survival probability, we find that the corresponding ruin probability as a function of the initial surplus is also extended regular variation.     

带干扰的Erlang(2)风险模型的不破产概率

本文讨论了带干扰的Erlang(2)风险模型,通过构造一个延迟更新过程,我们得到了不破产概率满足的积分-微分方程,进而得到了不破产概率的明确表达式．     

Some Results for Classical Risk Process with Stochastic Return on Investments

In this paper, we discuss the classical risk process with stochastic return on investment. We prove some properties of the ruin probability, the supremum distribution before ruin and the surplus distribution at the time of ruin and derive the integro-differential equations satisfied by these distributions respectively.     

带非局部积分项常微分方程的讨论及其应用

研究带非局部积分项的二阶线性常微分方程及其在金融保险上的应用.首先讨论带非局部积分项的二阶常微分方程解的存在唯一性,通过变量代换和累次积分交换积分顺序将非局部项简化,将方程化为方程组,然后完成了对方程组解的存在唯一性的证明.接着分析了带非局部项的二阶常微分方程解的结构,给出了方程解的形式.最后通过推导,指出带非局部项的线性常微分方程在保险公司的破产概率研究中的应用,重点放在二阶方程的应用上,并且在某一特定情况下,举出了一个可以给出解析解的例子.     

一类具有新红利界限的Erlang(2)风险模型

考虑到保险公司的实际运作中红利的发放率要比保费的收取率小,将一类新的红利政策引入Erlang(2)风险模型,利用更新论证,得到并求解了此模型下罚金折现期望函数所满足的微积分方程.最后通过数值例子,分析了红利界限与初始盈余对破产概率的影响.     

随机收益环境下的破产时刻罚金折现期望

This paper considers the expected discounted penalty function Φ(u) for the perturbed compound Poisson risk model with stochastic return on investments. After presenting an integro-differential equation that the expected discounted penalty function satisfies, the paper derives the closed form solution by constructing an identical equation. The exact expression for Φ (0) is given using the Laplace transform technique when interest rate is constant. Applications of the results are given to the ruin probability and moments of the deficit at ruin.     

一类逐段决定风险模型罚金函数的期望(英)

本文主要考虑了一类逐段决定的风险模型的罚金函数.利用建立的积分-微分方程,我们得出了此类风险模型罚金函数期望的一般解.     

Ruin theory with excess of loss reinsurance and reinstatements

The present paper studies the probability of ruin of an insurer, if excess of loss reinsurance with reinstatements is applied. In the setting of the classical Cramér-Lundberg risk model, piecewise deterministic Markov processes are used to describe the free surplus process in this more general situation. It is shown that the finite-time ruin probability is both the solution of a partial integro-differential equation and the fixed point of a contractive integral operator. We exploit the latter representation to develop and implement a recursive algorithm for numerical approximation of the ruin probability that involves high-dimensional integration. Furthermore we study the behavior of the finite-time ruin probability under various levels of initial surplus and security loadings and compare the efficiency of the numerical algorithm with the computational alternative of stochastic simulation of the risk process.     

Distribution of Deficit at Ruin for a PDMP Insurance Risk Model

In this paper we consider the risk process described by a piecewise deterministic Markov processes(PDMP). We mainly discuss the distribution of the deficit at ruin for the risk process. We derive the integrodifferential equation satisfied by this distribution. We obtain the explicit expressions for it for certain choices of the claim amount distribution.     

一类逐段决定风险模型罚金函数的期望

本文主要考虑了一类逐段决定的风险模型的罚金函数．利用建立的积分一微分方程,我们得出了此类风险模型罚金函数期望的一般解．     

常利率下带干扰负风险和模型的破产概率

本文考虑了常利率下带干扰负风险和模型的破产模型,给出了积分和积分-微分方程,并当理赔量为指数分布时给出了破产概率的具体表达式.     

相关双边跳扩散模型的期望折现罚金函数

带干扰的经典风险模型,其干扰项可被解释为未来的总理赔量,保费收入以及未来投资收益的不确定性,用双指数跳扩散过程来描述这些不确定性,考虑双边跳扩散模型的期望折现罚金函数,给出其所满足的积分微分方程,并给出破产时间和破产时公司现值的联合拉普拉斯变换的显式表达公式.     

马氏利率下相关险种的离散风险建模和破产概率

在随机利率服从有限齐次Markov链下,建立相关险种离散风险模型,采用递推方法得到了有限时间破产概率的递推等式和最终破产概率的积分等式;给出了有限时间破产概率和最终破产概率的上界,导出了破产时刻余额分布的计算等式.     

线性边界下两步保费率风险模型的Gerber-Shiu罚金函数

在经典复合泊松模型的基础上,研究线性红利边界下两步保费率风险模型的Gerber-Shiu贴现罚金函数.根本目的是推导出它的微积分方程和偏微积分方程.同时给出了线性红利边界下Lundberg基本方程;利用Laplace变换求出了最终破产概率.     

具有二步保费的Erlang（2）风险模型

本文考虑了当索赔间隔时间为Erlang(2)分布且保费收取为二步保费过程的复合更新风险模型,推导出该模型的罚金折现期望值函数满足具有一定边界条件和积分微分方程,并解出该方程.特别地,当索赔额为指数分布时,利用所得结果给出了破产时间的Laplace变换及终积破产概率的解析解.