带有止步和中途退出的成批到达的M~x/M/R/N同步休假排队系统的性能分析

研究了带有止步和中途退出的Mx/M/R/N同步休假排队系统.顾客成批到达.到达的顾客如果看到服务员正在休假或者全忙,他或者以概率b决定进入队列等待服务,或者以概率1-b止步(不进入系统).系统根据一定的原则以概率nk在未止步的k个顾客中选择n个进入系统.在系统中排队等待服务的顾客可能因为等待的不耐烦而在没有接受服务的情况下离开系统(中途退出).系统中一旦没有顾客,R个服务员立即进行同步多重休假.首先,利用马尔科夫过程理论建立了系统稳态概率满足的方程组.其次,在证明了相关矩阵可逆性的基础上,利用矩阵解法求出了系统稳态概率的明显表达式,并得到了系统的平均队长、平均等待队长及顾客的平均损失率等性能指标.     

带有负顾客且具有反馈的M/M/1/N工作休假排队

研究带反馈的且具有正、负两类顾客的M/M/1/N工作休假排队模型.工作休假策略为空竭服务多重工作休假.负顾客一对一抵消队首正在接受服务的正顾客(若有),若系统中无正顾客时,到达的负顾客自动消失,负顾客不接受服务.完成服务的正顾客以概率p(0相似文献   

带止步与中途退出策略的M~x/M/1/N单重工作休假排队系统

研究了带有止步和中途退出的M~x/M/1/N单重工作休假排队系统.顾客成批到达,到达后每批中的顾客,或者以概率b决定进入队列等待服务,或者以概率1-b止步(不进入系统).顾客进入系统后可能因为等待的不耐烦而在没有接受服务的情况下离开系统(中途退出).系统中一旦没有顾客,服务员立即进入单重工作休假.首先,利用马尔科夫过程理论建立了系统稳态概率满足的方程组.其次利用矩阵解法求出了稳态概率的矩阵解并得到了系统的平均队长、平均等待队长以及顾客的平均消失概率等性能指标.最后通过数值例子分析了工作休假时的低服务率η和休假率θ这两个参数对系统平均队长的影响.     

带有止步和中途退出的成批到达的Mx/M/1/N多重休假排队系统的性能分析

本文研究了带有止步和中途退出的M^x／M/1／N多重休假排队系统。顾客成批到达，到达后每批中的顾客，或者以概率b决定进入队列等待服务，或者以概率1-b止步（不进入系统）。顾客进入系统后可能因为等待的不耐烦而在没有接受服务的情况下离开系统（中途退出）。系统中一旦没有顾客，服务员立即进行多重休假。首先，利用马尔科夫过程理论建立了系统稳态概率满足的方程组。其次，在利用高等代数相关知识证明了相关矩阵可逆性的基础上，利用矩阵解法求出了稳态概率的矩阵解，并得到了系统的平均队长、平均等待队长以及顾客的平均损失率等性能指标。     

Prediction in Markovian bulk arrival queues

This paper deals with the statistical analysis of bulk arrival queues from a Bayesian point of view. The focus is on prediction of the usual measures of performance of the system in equilibrium. Posterior predictive distribution of the number of customers in the system is obtained through its probability generating function. Posterior distribution of the waiting time, in the queue and in the system, of the first customer of an arriving group is expressed in terms of their Laplace and Laplace–Stieltjes transform. Discussion of numerical inversion of these transforms is addressed.     

A 3-queue polling system with join the shortest-serve the longest policy

In 1987, J.W. Cohen analyzed the so-called Serve the Longest Queue (SLQ) queueing system, where a single server attends two non-symmetric $M/G/1$-type queues, exercising a non-preemptive priority switching policy. Cohen further analyzed in 1998 a non-symmetric 2-queue Markovian system, where newly arriving customers follow the Join the Shortest Queue (JSQ) discipline. The current paper generalizes and extends Cohen’s works by studying a combined JSQ–SLQ model, and by broadening the scope of analysis to a non-symmetric 3-queue system, where arriving customers follow the JSQ strategy and a single server exercises the preemptive priority SLQ discipline. The system states’ multi-dimensional probability distribution function is derived while applying a non-conventional representation of the underlying process’s state-space. The analysis combines both Probability Generating Functions and Matrix Geometric methodologies. It is shown that the joint JSQ–SLQ operating policy achieves extremely well the goal of balancing between queue sizes. This is emphasized when calculating the Gini Index associated with the differences between mean queue sizes: the value of the coefficient is close to zero. Extensive numerical results are presented.     

A stochastic model for a vehicle in a dial-a-ride system

We consider a stochastic model for a system which can serve n customers concurrently, and each accepted and departing customer generates a service interruption. The proposed model describes a single vehicle in a dial-a-ride transport system and is closely related to Erlang’s loss system. We give closed-form expressions for the blocking probability, the acceptance rate, and the mean sojourn time, which are all shown to be insensitive with respect to the forms of the distributions defining the workload and interruption durations.     

Developing a sampling plan by variables inspection for controlling lot fraction of defectives

Acceptance sampling has been widely used tool for determining whether the submitted lot should be accepted or rejected. However, it cannot avoid two kinds of risks, accepting undesired poor product lots and rejecting good product lots. Such risks are even more significant as the rapid advancement of the manufacturing technology and stringent customers demand is enforced. A yield index S_pk has been developed to provide an exact measure on process yield or fraction nonconforming for normally distributed processes with two-sided specification limits. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to develop a variables sampling plan for evaluating the lot or process fraction nonconforming based on the yield index. The probability of lot acceptance is derived based on the sampling distribution and two-point condition on OC curve is used to determine the plan parameters. Tables of the plan parameters and step-by-step procedure are provided for the practitioner to make decision on lot sentencing especially for situations of products with very low fraction of nonconformities.     

Analysis of the BMAP/G/1 retrial system with search of customers from the orbit

We consider a single server retrial queuing model in which customers arrive according to a batch Markovian arrival process. Any arriving batch finding the server busy enters into an orbit. Otherwise one customer from the arriving batch enters into service immediately while the rest join the orbit. The customers from the orbit try to reach the service later and the inter-retrial times are exponentially distributed with intensity depending (generally speaking) on the number of customers on the orbit. Additionally, the search mechanism can be switched-on at the service completion epoch with a known probability (probably depending on the number of customers on the orbit). The duration of the search is random and also probably depending on the number of customers in the orbit. The customer, which is found as the result of the search, enters the service immediately if the server is still idle. Assuming that the service times of the primary and repeated customers are generally distributed (with possibly different distributions), we perform the steady state analysis of the queueing model.     

Queueing and Fluid Analysis of Partial Message Discarding Policy

We consider a stream of packets that arrive at a queue with a finite buffer. A group of consecutive packets constitutes a frame. We assume that when an arriving packet finds the queue full, not only is the packet lost but also the future packets that belong to the same frame will be rejected. The first part of the paper deals with a detailed packet level queueing model; we obtain exact expressions for the stationary queue length distribution and the goodput ratio (i.e. the fraction of arriving frames that experience no losses). The second part deals with a fluid model and the fluid analysis leads to simple closed form expressions for the stationary workload process and the fluid goodput ratio.     

Geo/Geo/1 retrial queue with non-persistent customers and working vacations

In this paper, we consider a Geo/Geo/1 retrial queue with non-persistent customers and working vacations. The server works at a lower service rate in a working vacation period. Assume that the customers waiting in the orbit request for service with a constant retrial rate, if the arriving retrial customer finds the server busy, the customer will go back to the orbit with probability q (0≤q≤1), or depart from the system immediately with probability $\bar{q}=1-q$ . Based on the necessary and sufficient condition for the system to be stable, we develop the recursive formulae for the stationary distribution by using matrix-geometric solution method. Furthermore, some performance measures of the system are calculated and an average cost function is also given. We finally illustrate the effect of the parameters on the performance measures by some numerical examples.     

Analysis of a two-class single-server discrete-time FCFS queue: the effect of interclass correlation

In this paper, we study a discrete-time queueing system with one server and two classes of customers. Customers enter the system according to a general independent arrival process. The classes of consecutive customers, however, are correlated in a Markovian way. The system uses a “global FCFS” service discipline, i.e., all arriving customers are accommodated in one single FCFS queue, regardless of their classes. The service-time distribution of the customers is general but class-dependent, and therefore, the exact order in which the customers of both classes succeed each other in the arrival stream is important, which is reflected by the complexity of the system content and waiting time analysis presented in this paper. In particular, a detailed waiting time analysis of this kind of multi-class system has not yet been published, and is considered to be one of the main novelties by the authors. In addition to that, a major aim of the paper is to estimate the impact of interclass correlation in the arrival stream on the total number of customers in the system, and the customer delay. The results reveal that the system can exhibit two different classes of stochastic equilibrium: a “strong” equilibrium where both customer classes give rise to stable behavior individually, and a “compensated” equilibrium where one customer type creates overload.     

Buffer overflow calculations using an infinite-capacity model

Sufficient conditions are established for approximation of the overflow probability in a stochastic service system with capacity C by the probability that the related infinite-capacity system has C customers. These conditions are that (a) the infinite-capacity system has negligible probability of C or more customers; (b) the probabilities of states with exactly C customers for the infinite-capacity system are nearly proportional to the same probabilities for the finite- capacity system. Condition (b) is controlling if the probabilities for the infinite-capacity system are rescaled so that the probability of at most C customers is unity. For systems with precisely one state with C customers, such as birth-and-death processes, the latter approximation is exact even when condition (a) does not hold.     

输入率可变且有差错服务的M/M/1排队系统的研究与应用

在到达系统的顾客数不变的情况下,顾客到达系统但是否进入系统接受服务对销售行业影响是巨大的.从排队长度对顾客输入率的影响着手,研究了顾客以泊松流到达系统,而到达系统的顾客进入系统接受服务的概率与队长有关的M/M/1排队模型,且系统服务会出差错.得出了进入系统的顾客流是泊松过程,且系统中的顾客数是生灭过程,并获得了该模型的平稳分布、顾客的平均输入率、系统的平均服务强度等多项指标,为销售行业调整自己的服务速度以影响排队长度及顾客输入率,进而提高自己的销售业绩提供了很有价值的参考.     

A discrete-time queueing system with optional LCFS discipline

We consider a discrete-time queueing system in which the arriving customers decide with a certain probability to be served under a LCFS-PR discipline and with complementary probability to join the queue. The arrivals are assumed to be geometrical and the service times are arbitrarily distributed. The service times of the expelled customers are independent of their previous ones. We carry out an extensive analysis of the system developing recursive formulae and generating functions for the steady-state distribution of the number of customers in the system and obtaining also recursive formulae and generating functions for the stationary distribution of the busy period and sojourn time as well as some performance measures.     

基于混合模型的利润驱动违约判别临界点研究

违约判别临界点是金融机构是否接受客户贷款申请的重要参考,合适的违约判别临界点对减少金融机构贷款损失实现稳健经营具有重要意义。本文研究的问题是如何保证计算客户违约概率的准确性,并找到利润最大化的违约判别临界点。本文的创新与特色：一是通过将多个不同类型的违约判别模型计算的客户违约概率进行加权平均,保证了计算客户违约概率的的整体准确性,避免了使用单一模型计算客户违约概率不准确的弊端;二是通过定义金融机构从贷款中获得利润的计算公式,以利润最大为目标,求解违约判别临界点,避免了现有计算临界点的方法如广义对称点估计和经验似然法等方法得到的临界点利润不是最大的弊端。研究发现：混合模型比单一模型的准确性高,AUC值显著提高;在人人贷数据集中本文的违约判别临界点下贷款利润远高于其他方法下临界点的利润。     

The MAP/(PH/PH)/1 queue with self-generation of priorities and non-preemptive service

Customers arriving according to a Markovian arrival process are served at a single server facility. Waiting customers generate priority at a constant rate γ$\gamma$; such a customer waits in a waiting space of capacity 1 if this waiting space is not already occupied by a priority generated customer; else it leaves the system. A customer in service will be completely served before the priority generated customer is taken for service (non-preemptive service discipline). Only one priority generated customer can wait at a time and a customer generating into priority at that time will have to leave the system in search of emergency service elsewhere. The service times of ordinary and priority generated customers follow PH-distributions. The matrix analytic method is used to compute the steady state distribution. Performance measures such as the probability of n consecutive services of priority generated customers, the probability of the same for ordinary customers, and the mean waiting time of a tagged customer are found by approximating them by their corresponding values in a truncated system. All these results are supported numerically.     

Analysis of the adaptive MMAP[K]/PH[K]/1 queue: A multi-type queue with adaptive arrivals and general impatience

In this paper we introduce the adaptive MMAP[K] arrival process and analyze the adaptive MMAP[K]/PH[K]/1 queue. In such a queueing system, customers of K different types with Markovian inter-arrival times and possibly correlated customer types, are fed to a single server queue that makes use of r thresholds. Service times are phase-type and depend on the type of customer in service. Type k customers are accepted with some probability a_i,k if the current workload is between threshold i − 1 and i. The manner in which the arrival process changes its state after generating a type k customer also depends on whether the customer is accepted or rejected.     

Equilibrium customers’ choice between FCFS and random servers

Consider two servers of equal service capacity, one serving in a first-come first-served order (FCFS), and the other serving its queue in random order. Customers arrive as a Poisson process and each arriving customer observes the length of the two queues and then chooses to join the queue that minimizes its expected queueing time. Assuming exponentially distributed service times, we numerically compute a Nash equilibrium in this system, and investigate the question of which server attracts the greater share of customers. If customers who arrive to find both queues empty independently choose to join each queue with probability 0.5, then we show that the server with FCFS discipline obtains a slightly greater share of the market. However, if such customers always join the same queue (say of the server with FCFS discipline) then that server attracts the greater share of customers. This research was supported by the Israel Science Foundation grant No. 526/08.     

Semi-Automated Production Systems under Disturbances

A production system operates at a speed which is a stationary stochastic process. Given the routine control point, the actual accumulated production observed at that point and the deterministic rate of demand, the decision-maker determines the timing of the next control point. The problem is applied to semiautomated production processes where the advancement of the process cannot be measured or viewed continuously, and the process has to be controlled in discrete points by the decision-maker. Since the cost of performing a single control is relatively high, the control should be carried out as rarely as possible but it also has to ensure a preset confidence probability of achieving production output no less than that required. Formulae for determining the next control point for an arbitrary distribution function of the stationary process with a certain autocorrelation function are presented. They depend on the status of the system (shortage or surplus), the relation between the rate of demand and the mean value of the speed, the variance of the speed, and on the confidence level 1-α. A practical numerical example from the mining industry will be given.