带移民的上临界分支过程在一般条件下的小值概率

本文的主要目的是在后代分布均值有限但L log L阶距无限的条件下研究带移民的上临界分支过程(Z_n)的小值概率.当后代分布均值有限且移民分布的log L阶距有限时,存在常数序列{C_n,n≥0}使得C_n~(-1)Z_n收敛到一个非负有限且非退化的随机变量,记作W.本文基于前期关于分支过程小值概率的工作,在最一般的条件下得到了W的小值概率,即P(W≤ε)在ε→0~+时的收敛速率.     

The sector constants of continuous state branching processes with immigration

Continuous state branching processes with immigration are studied. We are particularly concerned with the associated (non-symmetric) Dirichlet form. After observing that gamma distributions are only reversible distributions for this class of models, we prove that every generalized gamma convolution is a stationary distribution of the process with suitably chosen branching mechanism and with continuous immigration. For such non-reversible processes, the strong sector condition is discussed in terms of a characteristic called the Thorin measure. In addition, some connections with notion from non-commutative probability theory will be pointed out through calculations involving the Stieltjes transform.     

Almost sure,L_1-and L_2-growth behavior of supercritical multi-type continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration

Under a first order moment condition on the immigration mechanism, we show that an appropriately scaled supercritical and irreducible multi-type continuous state and continuous time branching process with immigration(CBI process) converges almost surely. If an x log(x) moment condition on the branching mechanism does not hold, then the limit is zero. If this x log(x) moment condition holds, then we prove L_1 convergence as well. The projection of the limit on any left non-Perron eigenvector of the branching mean matrix is vanishing.If, in addition, a suitable extra power moment condition on the branching mechanism holds, then we provide the correct scaling for the projection of a CBI process on certain left non-Perron eigenvectors of the branching mean matrix in order to have almost sure and L_1 limit. Moreover, under a second order moment condition on the branching and immigration mechanisms, we prove L_2 convergence of an appropriately scaled process and the above-mentioned projections as well. A representation of the limits is also provided under the same moment conditions.     

Continuous-State Branching Processes in Lévy Random Environments

A general continuous-state branching processes in random environment (CBRE-process) is defined as the strong solution of a stochastic integral equation. The environment is determined by a Lévy process with no jump less than \(-1\). We give characterizations of the quenched and annealed transition semigroups of the process in terms of a backward stochastic integral equation driven by another Lévy process determined by the environment. The process hits zero with strictly positive probability if and only if its branching mechanism satisfies Grey’s condition. In that case, a characterization of the extinction probability is given using a random differential equation with blowup terminal condition. The strong Feller property of the CBRE-process is established by a coupling method. We also prove a necessary and sufficient condition for the ergodicity of the subcritical CBRE-process with immigration.     

Backbone decomposition for continuous-state branching processes with immigration

In the spirit of Duquesne and Winkel (2007) and Berestycki et al. (2011), we show that supercritical continuous-state branching process with a general branching mechanism and general immigration mechanism is equivalent in law to a continuous-time Galton-Watson process with immigration (with Poissonian dressing). The result also helps to characterise the limiting backbone decomposition which is predictable from the work on consistent growth of Galton-Watson trees with immigration in Cao and Winkel (2010).     

随机环境中带移民的上临界分枝过程的Berry-Esseen界

考虑独立同分布的随机环境中带移民的上临界分枝过程(Zn).应用(Zn)与随机环境中不带移民分枝过程的联系,以及与相应随机游动的联系,在一些适当的矩条件下,本文证明关于log Zn的中心极限定理的Berry-Esseen界.     

Spectral properties for a class of continuous state branching processes with immigration

We explicitly construct nontrivial invariant probability measures for a class of continuous state branching processes with immigration. The class of these measures include random Gamma measures and path space measures of Lévy subordinators as particular examples. Using the explicit construction we study long-time behaviour and hypercontractivity of the transition semigroups in corresponding L²-spaces.     

A Critical Branching Process with Stationary-Limiting Distribution

Abstract

Seneta (Seneta, E. The stationary distribution of a branching process allowing immigration: A remark on the critical case. J. Royal Statistical Society, Series B 1968, 30, 176–179) shows that a critical branching process with pure immigration has a stationary-limiting distribution provided that its offspring variance is infinite. We obtain a stationary-limiting distribution keeping the variance finite but allowing an emigration–immigration component in each generation.     

Sevastyanov branching processes with non-homogeneous Poisson immigration

Sevastyanov age-dependent branching processes allowing an immigration component are considered in the case when the moments of immigration form a non-homogeneous Poisson process with intensity r(t). The asymptotic behavior of the expectation and of the probability of non-extinction is investigated in the critical case depending on the asymptotic rate of r(t). Corresponding limit theorems are also proved using different types of normalization. Among them we obtained limiting distributions similar to the classical ones of Yaglom (1947) and Sevastyanov (1957) and also discovered new phenomena due to the non-homogeneity.     

Limit distributions for generalized Jiřina processes with immigration

A relationship between continuous state population-size-dependent branching (CSDB) processes with or without immigration and discrete state population-size-dependent branching (DSDB) processes with or without immigration is established via the representation of the former. Based on this relationship, some limiting distributions of CSDB processes with or without immigration are obtained.     

?-measure for continuous state branching processes and its application

In this paper, we first give a direct construction of the ℕ-measure of a continuous state branching process. Then we prove, with the help of this ℕ-measure, that any continuous state branching process with immigration can be constructed as the independent sum of a continuous state branching process (without immigration), and two immigration parts (jump immigration and continuum immigration). As an application of this construction of a continuous state branching process with immigration, we give a proof of a necessary and sufficient condition, first stated without proof by M. A. Pinsky [Bull. Amer. Math. Soc., 1972, 78: 242–244], for a continuous state branching process with immigration to a proper almost sure limit. As another application of the ℕ-measure, we give a “conceptual” proof of an L log L criterion for a continuous state branching process without immigration to have an L ¹-limit first proved by D. R. Grey [J. Appl. Prob., 1974, 11: 669–677].     

Williams’ decomposition of the Lévy continuum random tree and simultaneous extinction probability for populations with neutral mutations

We consider an initial Eve-population and a population of neutral mutants, such that the total population dies out in finite time. We describe the evolution of the Eve-population and the total population with continuous state branching processes, and the neutral mutation procedure can be seen as an immigration process with intensity proportional to the size of the population. First we establish a Williams’ decomposition of the genealogy of the total population given by a continuum random tree, according to the ancestral lineage of the last individual alive. This allows us to give a closed formula for the probability of simultaneous extinction of the Eve-population and the total population.     

Estimation of the offspring mean in a controlled branching process with a random control function

Controlled branching processes (CBP) with a random control function provide a useful way to model generation sizes in population dynamics studies, where control on the growth of the population size is necessary at each generation. An important special case of this process is the well known branching process with immigration. Motivated by the work of Wei and Winnicki [C.Z. Wei, J. Winnicki, Estimation of the mean in the branching process with immigration, Ann. Statist. 18 (1990) 1757–1773], we develop a weighted conditional least squares estimator of the offspring mean of the CBP and derive the asymptotic limit distribution of the estimator when the process is subcritical, critical and supercritical. Moreover, we show the strong consistency of this estimator in all the cases. The results obtained here extend those of Wei and Winnicki [C.Z. Wei, J. Winnicki, Estimation of the mean in the branching process with immigration, Ann. Statist. 18 (1990) 1757–1773] for branching processes with immigration and provide a unified limit theory of estimation.     

A class of two-sex branching processes with reproduction phase in a random environment

We model the demographic dynamics of populations with sexual reproduction where the reproduction phase occurs in a non-predictable environment and we assume the immigration/out-migration of mating units in the population. We introduce a general class of two-sex branching processes where, in each generation, the number of mating units which take part in the reproduction phase is randomly determined and the offspring probability distribution changes over time in a random environment. We provide several probabilistic results about the limit behaviour of populations whose dynamics is modelled by such a class of stochastic processes. In particular, we provide sufficient conditions for the almost sure extinction of the population or for its survival with a positive probability. As illustration, we include some simulated examples.     

MOMENTS AND LARGE DEVIATIONS FOR SUPERCRITICAL BRANCHING PROCESSES WITH IMMIGRATION IN RANDOM ENVIRONMENTS

Let（Z_n） be a branching process with immigration in a random environment ξ,where ξ is an independent and identically distributed sequence of random variables.We show asymptotic properties for all the moments of Zn and describe the decay rates of the n-step transition probabilities.As applications,a large deviation principle for the sequence log Zn is established,and related large deviations are also studied.     

A central limit theorem for branching Brownian motion with random immigration

We establish a central limit theorem for a branching Brownian motion with random immigration under the annealed law,where the immigration is determined by another branching Brownian motion.The limit is a Gaussian random measure and the normalization is t3/4for d=3 and t1/2for d≥4,where in the critical dimension d=4 both the immigration and the branching Brownian motion itself make contributions to the covariance of the limit.     

MEASURE-VALUED IMMIGRATION DIFFUSIONS AND GENERALIZED ORNSTEIN-UHLENBECK DIFFUSIONS

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