Concrete model theory for a class of operators with unitary part

Let m and v_t, 0 ? t ? 2π be measures on T = [0, 2π] with m smooth. Consider the direct integral $\text{H}$ = ⊕L²(v^t) dm(t) and the operator $\text{(L?)(t, λ) = e}{}^{\mathrm{?i\lambda }}\text{?(t, λ) ? 2e}{}^{\mathrm{?i\lambda }}\text{∫}{}_{\mathrm{t}}{}^{\mathrm{2\pi }}\text{∫}{}_{\mathrm{T}}\text{?(s, x) e(s, t) dv}{}_{\mathrm{s}}\text{(x) dm(s)}$ on $\text{H}$, where e(s, t) = exp ∫_s^t ∫_Tdv_λ(θ) dm(λ). Let μ_t be the measure defined by $\text{∫}{}_{\mathrm{T}}\text{?(x) dμ}{}_{\mathrm{t}}\text{(x) = ∫}{}_0{}^{\mathrm{t}}\text{∫}{}_{\mathrm{T}}\text{?(x) dv}{}_{\mathrm{s}}\text{dm(s)}$ for all continuous ?, and let ?_t(z) = exp[?∫ (e^iθ + z)(e^iθ ? z)^?1dμ_t(gq)]. Call {v_t} regular iff for all $\text{t, ¦?}{}_{\mathrm{t}}\text{(e}{}^{\mathrm{i\theta }}\text{)¦ = ¦?}{}_{\mathrm{2\pi }}\text{(e}{}^{\mathrm{i\theta }}\text{)¦}$ for 1 a.e.     

Strong approximation theorems for density dependent Markov chains

A variety of continuous parameter Markov chains arising in applied probability (e.g. epidemic and chemical reaction models) can be obtained as solutions of equations of the form

$\text{X}{}_{\mathrm{N}}\text{(t)=x}{}_0\text{+∑}\text{1}\text{N}\text{lY}{}_1\text{N ∫}{}^{\mathrm{t}}{}_0\text{f}{}_1\text{(X}{}_{\mathrm{N}}\text{(s))ds}$

where $\text{l∈}\text{Z}{}^{\mathrm{t}}$, the Y₁ are independent Poisson processes, and N is a parameter with a natural interpretation (e.g. total population size or volume of a reacting solution).The corresponding deterministic model, satisfies

$\text{X(t)=x}{}_0\text{+ ∫}{}^{\mathrm{t}}{}_0\text{∑ lf}{}_1\text{(X(s))ds}$

Under very general conditions lim_N→∞X_N(t)=X(t) a.s. The process X_N(t) is compared to the diffusion processes given by

$\text{Z}{}_{\mathrm{N}}\text{(t)=x}{}_0\text{+∑}\text{1}\text{N}\text{lB}{}_1\text{N∫}{}^{\mathrm{t}}{}_0\text{ft(Z}{}_{\mathrm{N}}\text{(s))ds}$

and

$\text{V(t)=∑ l∫}{}^{\mathrm{t}}{}_0\text{f}{}_1\text{(X(s))}\text{d}\text{W}\text{?}{}_1\text{+∫}{}^{\mathrm{t}}{}_0\text{?F(X(s))·V(s)}\text{ds.}$

Under conditions satisfied by most of the applied probability models, it is shown that X_N,Z_N and V can be constructed on the same sample space in such a way that

$\text{X}{}_{\mathrm{N}}\text{(t)=Z}{}_{\mathrm{N}}\text{(t)+O}\text{logN}\text{N}$

and

$\text{N}\text{(X}{}_{\mathrm{N}}\text{(t)?X(t))=V(t)+O}\text{log N}\text{N}$

     

Counting subsets of the random partition and the ‘Brownian Bridge’ process

Let Ω_m be the set of partitions, ω, of a finite m-element set; induce a uniform probability distribution on Ω_m, and define X_ms(ω) as the number of s-element subsets in ω. We alow the existence of an integer-valued function n=n^(m)(t), t?[0, 1], and centering constants b_ms, 0?s? m, such that

$\text{Z}{}^{\mathrm{(m)}}\text{(t)=}\text{∑}\text{s=0}\text{n(m)(t)}\text{(X}{}_{\mathrm{ms}}\text{?b}{}_{\mathrm{ms}}\text{)}\text{√}\text{∑}\text{s=0}\text{m}\text{b}{}_{\mathrm{ms}}$

converges to the ‘Brownian Bridge’ process in terms of its finite-dimensional distributions.     

Point processes of exits by bivariate Gaussian processes and extremal theory for the χ2-process and its concomitants

Let ζ(t), η(t) be continuously differentiable Gaussian processes with mean zero, unit variance, and common covariance function r(t), and such that ζ(t) and η(t) are independent for all t, and consider the movements of a particle with time-varying coordinates (ζ(t), η(t)). The time and location of the exists of the particle across a circle with radius u defines a point process in R³ with its points located on the cylinder {(t, u cos θ, u sin θ); t ≥ 0, 0 ≤ θ < 2π}. It is shown that if r(t) log t → 0 as t → ∞, the time and space-normalized point process of exits converges in distribution to a Poisson process on the unit cylinder. As a consequence one obtains the asymptotic distribution of the maximum of a χ²-process, χ²(t) = ζ²(t) + η²(t), P{sup_0≤t≤Tχ²(t) ≤ u²} → e^?τ if $\text{T(}\text{?r″(0)}\text{2π}\text{)}{}^{\mathrm{<mtext>1</mtext><mtext>2</mtext>}}\text{u ×}\text{exp}\text{(}\text{?u}{}^2\text{2}\text{) → τ}$ as T, u → ∞. Furthermore, it is shown that the points in R³ generated by the local ?-maxima of χ²(t) converges to a Poisson process in R³ with intensity measure (in cylindrical polar coordinates) (2πr²)^?1dtdθdr. As a consequence one obtains the asymptotic extremal distribution for any function g(ζ(t), η(t)) which is “almost quadratic” in the sense that $\text{g}{}^1\text{(r}\text{cos}\text{θ, r}\text{sin}\text{θ) =}\text{1}\text{2}\text{(r}{}^2\text{? g(r}\text{cos}\text{θ, r}\text{sin}\text{θ))}$ has a limit $\text{g}{}^1\text{(θ)}$ as r → ∞. Then if $\text{T(}\text{?r″(0)}\text{2π}\text{)}{}^{\mathrm{<mtext>1</mtext><mtext>2</mtext>}}\text{u}\text{exp}\text{(}\text{?u}{}^2\text{2}\text{) → τ}$ as T, u → ∞.     

On the fair coin tossing process

Let Ω = {1, 0} and for each integer n ≥ 1 let $\text{Ω}{}_{\mathrm{n}}\text{= Ω × Ω × … × Ω}$ (n-tuple) and $\text{Ω}{}_{\mathrm{n}}{}^{\mathrm{k}}\text{= {(a}{}_1\text{, a}{}_2\text{, …, a}{}_{\mathrm{n}}\text{)|(a}{}_1\text{, a}{}_2\text{, … , a}{}_{\mathrm{n}}\text{) ? Ω}{}_{\mathrm{n}}\text{and}\text{Σ}{}_{\mathrm{i=1}}{}^{\mathrm{n}}\text{a}{}_{\mathrm{i}}\text{= k}}$ for all k = 0,1,…,n. Let {Y_m}_m≥1 be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables such that $\text{P(Y}{}_1\text{= 0) = P(Y}{}_1\text{= 1) =}\text{1}\text{2}$. For each A in $\text{Ω}{}_{\mathrm{n}}$, let T_A be the first occurrence time of A with respect to the stochastic process {Y_m}_m≥1. R. Chen and A.Zame (1979, J. Multivariate Anal. 9, 150–157) prove that if n ≥ 3, then for each element A in $\text{Ω}{}_{\mathrm{n}}$, there is an element B in $\text{Ω}{}_{\mathrm{n}}$ such that the probability that T_B is less than T_A is greater than $\text{1}\text{2}$. This result is sharpened as follows: (I) for n ≥ 4 and 1 ≤ k ≤ n ? 1, each element A in $\text{Ω}{}_{\mathrm{n}}{}^{\mathrm{k}}$, there is an element B also in $\text{Ω}{}_{\mathrm{n}}{}^{\mathrm{k}}$ such that the probability that T_B is less than T_A is greater than $\text{1}\text{2}$; (II) for n ≥ 4 and 1 ≤ k ≤ n ? 1, each element A = (a₁, a₂,…,a_n) in $\text{Ω}{}_{\mathrm{n}}{}^{\mathrm{k}}$, there is an element C also in $\text{Ω}{}_{\mathrm{n}}{}^{\mathrm{k}}$ such that the probability that T_A is less than T_C is greater than $\text{1}\text{2}$ if n ≠ 2m or n = 2m but a_i = a_{i + 1} for some 1 ≤ i ≤ n?1. These new results provide us with a better and deeper understanding of the fair coin tossing process.     

Scaling limits of Gaussian vector fields

For Gaussian vector fields {X(t) ∈ Rⁿ:t ∈ R^d} we describe the covariance functions of all scaling limits Y(t) = $\text{L}$lim_α↓0 B^?1(α) X(αt) which can occur when B(α) is a d × d matrix function with B(α) → 0. These matrix covariance functions $\text{r(t, s) = EY(t) Y}{}^1\text{(s)}$ are found to be homogeneous in the sense that for some matrix L and each α > 0, $\text{(}{}^1\text{) r(αt, αs) = α}{}^{\mathrm{L1}}\text{r(t, s) α}{}^{\mathrm{L}}$. Processes with stationary increments satisfying (¹) are further analysed and are found to be natural generalizations of Lévy's multiparameter Brownian motion.     

A remark on the tail probability of a distribution

Let {X_n}_n≥1 be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables. For each integer n ≥ 1 and positive constants r, t, and ?, let S_n = Σ_j=1ⁿX_j and $\text{E{N}{}_{\mathrm{\infty }}\text{(r, t, ?)} = Σ}{}_{\mathrm{n=1}}{}^{\mathrm{\infty }}\text{n}{}^{\mathrm{r?2}}\text{P{|S}{}_{\mathrm{n}}\text{| > ?n}{}^{\mathrm{<mtext>r</mtext><mtext>t</mtext>}}\text{}}$. In this paper, we prove that (1) lim_?→0+?^α(r?1)E{N_∞(r, t, ?)} = K(r, t) if E(X₁) = 0, Var(X₁) = 1, and E(| X₁ |^t) < ∞, where 2 ≤ t < 2r ≤ 2t, $\text{K(r, t) =}\text{{2}{}^{\mathrm{<mtext>\alpha (r?1)</mtext><mtext>2</mtext>}}\text{Γ(}\text{(1 + α(r ? 1))}\text{2}\text{)}}\text{{(r ? 1) Γ(}\text{1}\text{2}\text{)}}$, and $\text{α =}\text{2t}\text{(2r ? t)}$; (2) $\text{lim}{}_{\mathrm{?\to 0+}}\text{G(t, ?)}\text{H(t, ?)}\text{= 0}$ if 2 < t < 4, E(X₁) = 0, Var(X₁) > 0, and E(|X₁|^t) < ∞, where G(t, ?) = E{N_∞(t, t, ?)} = Σ_n=1^∞n^t?2P{| S_n | > ?n} → ∞ as ? → 0+ and $\text{H(t, ?) = E{N}{}_{\mathrm{\infty }}\text{(t, t, ?)} = Σ}{}_{\mathrm{n=1}}{}^{\mathrm{\infty }}\text{n}{}^{\mathrm{t?2}}\text{P{| S}{}_{\mathrm{n}}\text{| > ?n}{}^{\mathrm{<mtext>2</mtext><mtext>t</mtext>}}\text{} → ∞}\text{as}\text{? → 0+}$, i.e., H(t, ?) goes to infinity much faster than G(t, ?) as ? → 0+ if 2 < t < 4, E(X₁) = 0, Var(X₁) > 0, and E(| X₁ |^t) < ∞. Our results provide us with a much better and deeper understanding of the tail probability of a distribution.     

Concrete model theory for a class of operators

The operator $\text{L?(t, λ) = e}{}^{\mathrm{?i\lambda }}\text{(t, λ) ? 2e}{}^{\mathrm{?i\lambda }}\text{∝}{}_{\mathrm{t}}{}^{\mathrm{2\pi }}\text{∝}{}_{\mathrm{T}}\text{?(s, x) e(s, t) dv}{}_{\mathrm{s}}\text{(x) dm(s)}$ acting on H=∝₀^2π⊕L²(v_t), where m and v_t, 0 ? t ? 2π are measures on [0, 2π] with m smooth and e(s, t) = exp[?∝_t^s∝_Tdv_λ(θ) dm(λ)], satisfies $\text{rank}\text{(I ? LL}{}^1\text{) =}\text{rank}\text{(I ? L}{}^1\text{L) = 1}$. It is, therefore, unitarily equivalent to a scalar Sz.-Nagy-Foia? canonical model. The purpose of this paper is to determine the model explicitly and to give a formula for the unitary equivalence.     

How small are the increments of a Wiener process?

Let $\text{γ}{}_{\mathrm{т}}\text{=(8(}\text{logTa}{}^{-1}{}_{\mathrm{T}}\text{+log log T)}\text{π}{}^2\text{a}{}_{\mathrm{T}}\text{)}{}^{\mathrm{<mtext>1</mtext><mtext>2</mtext>}}$, 0<a_T?T<∞, and {W(t);0?t<∞} be a standard Wiener process. This exposition studies the almost sure behaviour of

, under varying conditions on a_T and T/a_T. The following analogue of Lévy's modulus of continuity of a Wiener Process is also given:

$\text{lim}{}_{\mathrm{h\to 0}}\text{inf}{}_{\mathrm{0?t?1}}\text{sup}{}_{\mathrm{0?s?h}}\text{(}\text{8 log h}{}^{-1}\text{π}{}^2\text{h}\text{)}\text{1}\text{2}\text{|W(t+s)?W(t)| =}{}^{\mathrm{a.s.}}\text{1.}$

and this may be viewed as the exact “modulus of non-differentiability” of a Wiener Process.     

Gaussian processes with biconvex covariances

Let R(s, t) be a continuous, nonnegative, real valued function on a ≤ s ≤ t ≤ b. Suppose $\text{?R}\text{?s}\text{≥ 0}$, $\text{?R}\text{?t}\text{≤ 0}$, and $\text{?}{}^2\text{R}\text{?t}\text{?t ≤ 0}$ in the interior of the domain. Then the extension of R to a symmetric function on [a, b] × [a, b] is a covariance function. Such a covariance is called biconvex. Let X(t) be a Gaussian process with mean 0 and biconvex covariance. X has a representation as a sum of simple moving averages of white noises on the line and plane. The germ field of X at every point t is generated by X(t) alone. X is locally nondeterministic. Under an additional assumption involving the partial derivatives of R near the diagonal, the local time of the sample function exists and is jointly continuous almost surely, so that the sample function is nowhere differentiable.     

A test for the independence of two Gaussian processes

A bivariate Gaussian process with mean 0 and covariance

$\text{Σ(s, t, p)=}\text{Σ}{}_{11}\text{(s, t)}\text{ρΣ}{}_{12}\text{(s, t)}\text{ρΣ}{}_{21}\text{(s, t)}\text{Σ}{}_{22}\text{(s, t)}$

is observed in some region Ω of R′, where {Σ_ij(s,t)} are given functions and p an unknown parameter. A test of H₀: p = 0, locally equivalent to the likelihood ratio test, is given for the case when Ω consists of p points. An unbiased estimate of p is given. The case where Ω has positive (but finite) Lebesgue measure is treated by spreading the p points evenly over Ω and letting p → ∞. Two distinct cases arise, depending on whether Δ_2,p, the sum of squares of the canonical correlations associated with Σ(s, t, 1) on $\text{Ω}{}^2$, remains bounded. In the case of primary interest as p → ∞, Δ_2,p → ∞, in which case $\text{p}\text{?}$ converges to p and the power of the one-sided and two-sided tests of H₀ tends to 1. (For example, this case occurs when Σ_ij(s, t) ≡ Σ₁₁(s, t).)     

On the monotonicity of stop-loss premiums

Let $\text{Π}{}_{\mathrm{k}}\text{(t) = ∫}{}^{\mathrm{\propto }}{}_{\mathrm{t}}\text{(x?t)}\text{d}\text{P}{}^{\mathrm{1k}}\text{(x)}$, where P is a distribution with P(0)=0. Then $\text{Π}{}_{\mathrm{k}}\text{(t)}\text{k}$ is a non-decreasing function of k, and Π_k$\text{(kt)}\text{k}$ is a non-increasing function of k.     

Strong law for the bootstrap

Let X₁, X₂, X₃, … be i.i.d. r.v. with E|X₁| < ∞, E X₁ = μ. Given a realization X = (X₁,X₂,…) and integers n and m, construct Y_n,i, i = 1, 2, …, m as i.i.d. r.v. with conditional distribution $\text{P}{}^1\text{(Y}{}_{\mathrm{n,i}}\text{= X}{}_{\mathrm{j}}\text{) =}\text{1}\text{n}$ for 1 ? j ? n. ($\text{P}{}^1$ denotes conditional distribution given X). Conditions relating the growth rate of m with n and the moments of X₁ are given to ensure the almost sure convergence of $\text{(}\text{1}\text{m}\text{)Σ}{}^{\mathrm{m}}{}_{\mathrm{i=1}}\text{Y}{}_{\mathrm{n,i}}$ toμ. This equation is of some relevance in the theory of Bootstrap as developed by Efron (1979) and Bickel and Freedman (1981).     

Temporally inhomogeneous scattering theory

A theory of scattering for the time dependent evolution equations $\text{du}\text{dt}\text{= iH}{}_{\mathrm{j}}\text{(t)u, j = 0, 1}$ (¹) is developed. The wave operators are defined in terms of the evolution operators U_j(t, s), which govern (¹). The scattering operator remains unitary. Sufficient conditions for existence and completeness of the wave operators are obtained; these are the main results. General properties, such as the chain rule and various intertwining relations, are also established. Applications include potential scattering (H₀(t) = ?Δ, Δ denoting the Laplacian, and H₁(t) = ?Δ + q(t, ·)) and scattering for second-order differential operators with coefficients constant in the spatial variable ($\text{H}{}_{\mathrm{j}}\text{(t) = ∑}{}_{\mathrm{m,\; k\; =\; 1}}{}^{\mathrm{n}}\text{a}{}_{\mathrm{mk}}{}^{\mathrm{(j)}}\text{(t)(}\text{?}{}^2\text{?x}{}_{\mathrm{m}}\text{?x}{}_{\mathrm{k}}\text{) + b}{}_{\mathrm{j}}\text{(t)}\text{for}\text{j = 0, 1}$).     

An abstract nonlinear Volterra integrodifferential equation

We study the nonlinear Volterra equation $\text{u′(t) + Bu(t) + ∫}{}_0{}^{\mathrm{t}}\text{a(t ? s) Au(s) ds ? F(t) (0 < t < ∞) (′ =}\text{d}\text{dt}\text{), u(0) = u}{}_0$, (¹) as well as the corresponding problem with infinite delay $\text{u′(t) + Bu(t) + ∫}{}_{\mathrm{?\infty }}{}^{\mathrm{t}}\text{a(t ? s) Au(s) ds ? ?(t) (0 < t < ∞), u(t) = h(t) (?∞ < t ? 0)}$. (⁷) Under various assumptions on the nonlinear operators A, B and on the given functions a, F, f, h existence theorems are obtained for (¹) and (⁷, followed by results concerning boundedness and asymptotic behaviour of solutions on (0 ? < ∞); two applications of the theory to problems of nonlinear heat flow with “infinite memory” are also discussed.     

Filtrations for the two parameter jump process

A process which has just one jump, and whose time parameter is the positive quadrant [0, ∞] × [0, ∞], is considered. Following Merzbach, related stopping lines are introduced, and the filtration {$\text{F}$_t1,t2³} considered in this paper is such that, modulo completion, the σ-field $\text{F}$_t1,t2³ is the Borel field on the region

$\text{L}{}_{\mathrm{t1,t2}}\text{={(s}{}_1\text{,s}{}_2\text{); 0?s}{}_1\text{?t}{}_1\text{or}\text{0?s}{}_2\text{?t}{}_2\text{}}$

, together with the atom which is the complement in Ω = [0, ∞]² of L_t1,t2. Optional and predictable projections of related processes are defined, together with their dual projections, and an integral representation for martingales is obtained.     

The maximum of the periodogram

Let x(t), t = 1,…, T, be generated by a zero mean stationary process and let $\text{I(ω) =}\text{|Σx(t)}\text{exp}\text{itω|}{}^2\text{T}$ be the periodogram. Under general conditions, and in particular assuming only a finite 2nd moment, it is shown that $\text{max}{}_{\mathrm{\omega }}\text{I(ω)}\text{{2πf(ω)}\text{log}\text{T}}\text{≤ 1}$, a.s., and under stricter conditions it is shown that equality holds.     

Two strong limit theorems for processes with independent increments

Two related almost sure limit theorems are obtained in connection with a stochastic process {ξ(t), ?∞ < t < ∞} with independent increments. The first result deals with the existence of a simultaneous stabilizing function H(t) such that $\text{(ξ(t) ? ξ(0))}\text{H(t)}\text{→ 0}$ for almost all sample functions of the process. The second result deals with a wide-sense stationary process whose random spectral distributions is ξ. It addresses the question: Under what conditions does $\text{(2T)}{}^{\mathrm{?1}}\text{∫}{}_{\mathrm{?T}}{}^{\mathrm{T}}\text{X(t)}\text{X(t + τ)}\text{dt}$ converge as T → ∞ for all τ for almost all sample functions?     

The distribution of the likelihood ratio for additive processes

Let {X(t), 0 ≤ t ≤ T} and {Y(t), 0 ≤ t ≤ T} be two additive processes over the interval [0, T] which, as measures over D[0, T], are absolutely continuous with respect to each other. Let μ_X and μ_Y be the measures over D[0, T] determined by the two processes. The characteristic function of $\text{ln}\text{(}\text{dμ}{}_{\mathrm{X}}\text{dμ}{}_{\mathrm{Y}}\text{)}$ with respect to μ_Y is obtained in terms of the determining parameters of the two processes.